911 karma · joined December 31, 2010
So, if you bought shares of an Emerging Markets ETF [1] with the money that you would have otherwise paid for accelerated mortgage payments. Today these shares are paying you around 3.5% in dividends alone.
Fast forward ten years to a high rate environment, and ten years of buying ETF shares and reinvesting dividends, I'm assuming that the dollar amount of your shares would be higher than the amount of debt you would have otherwise paid off already.
That's why no other country on Earth that I know of has 30-year fixed mortgages. They are essentially a government subsidy to homeowners via Fannie/Freddie.
Say your mortgage loan amount is $300K at 3.5%, locked in for 30 years. Instead of paying it off in 6-10 years with extra payments, I say invest those extra payments in the stock market, and keep paying the mortgage for 30 years at a locked rate of 3.5%. If that money that you invested makes anything above 3.5% over 30 years, then that's free returns to you.
On top of that, it also depends where you think the interests rates will be in 10-20 years from now. If you believe that they will be higher than they are currently, then that's even more reason to keep that loan locked in for 30 years instead of paying it off sooner. Hope that helps.
These sentiments are ironic, given California's history. E.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Territorial_evolution_of_Mexic...
I grew up in apartment blocks very similar to the image that was linked elsewhere in this thread: http://lh5.ggpht.com/-zHv1hczQcD4/UdgqTs1G3cI/AAAAAAAAqCI/le...
These were mid-rise buildings connecting together to form protective courtyards, filled with gathering places, playgrounds and mini-parks, inaccessible to cars, where 5-year olds could play, and 10 year olds had the whole city accessible to them thanks to good public transit.
>> I'm defending the sort of place I grew up, which combines quarter-acre blocks and trees and parks with having shops and schools and libraries within walking distance.
That sounds like a pretty rare place though. Walking distance to schools and libraries tells me either pedestrian-friendly high density, or a very small town with not many job options. If it's neither, I'd love to check it out. Where was that, if you don't mind?
In a typical American suburban environment, "play outside" means play alone in the confines of the backyard, or be shuttled in cars by parents to "play dates", with most roads lacking even sidewalks.