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treis

9,656 karma · joined November 28, 2017

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treis··on Search engines alternatives now that Google isn't Google anymore
Can you give an example of your searches?

I'm with the GP. To me LLMs are just better search engines. In the most literal sense. They have their own index and can generate links if you want them.

treis··on 1k-year-old dingo bones show that it was injured, cared for, and ritually buried
Okay but I didn't say they didn't conclude that. I said:

>no evidence of burial and the evidence (mussel shells) that humans were involved with the site at all is thin

treis··on 1k-year-old dingo bones show that it was injured, cared for, and ritually buried
>Layer 1 was the only unit containing identifiable cultural materials and was interpreted as a midden because it appeared to have been formed, at least partially, by anthropic additions of mussel shells. All in situ dingo bones were confined to Layer 1. There were no observable cut or fill features that indicated a hole had been excavated to emplace the Garli

>One of the Garli’s caudal vertebrae, recovered directly below the eroding burial, was sampled for AMS radiocarbon dating and returned an age range of 963–916 cal BP (ANU-75935). A freshwater mollusc shell sampled from the central burial block (UNSW-3415) returned an age of 1,178–957 cal BP. Three additional mussel fragments (cf. Velesunio sp.) were dated from Layer 1 of Zone 1 (UNSW-3414), the Garli burial core’s interface with Layer 1 (UNSW-3416), and from sediment within the burial core adjacent to the Garli skeleton itself (SANU-75235). These produced ages several hundred years younger than the Garli

treis··on 1k-year-old dingo bones show that it was injured, cared for, and ritually buried
This seems highly suspect. The paper says there's no evidence of burial and the evidence (mussel shells) that humans were involved with the site at all is thin. That they came from a "feeding ritual" seems to be based on nothing more than speculation.

Seems a lot more plausible that it washed up on a river bank during a flood. Or it died next to a river which subsequently changed course.

treis··on Memory has grown to nearly two-thirds of AI chip component costs
A fab costs a billion dollars (really a lot more) and 5 years. It doesn't do anything for anyone today.
treis··on Waymo pauses Atlanta service as its robotaxis keep driving into floods
I doubt it's less actual throughput in most cases. In a place like Atlanta there's no place where it's bus after bus. The BRT line they built nearby is a bus every 10 minutes. Which being very generous to the bus usage is equivalent to like 5 cars a minute.
treis··on SpaceX S-1
It has $25 billion on AI cap expenditure in the S1. So generally looks like a solid deal for SpaceX.
treis··on College students drown out AI-praising commencement speeches with boos
There is an equally impressive ability of abusers to rewrite history to put themselves in the role of the victim. That comes along with justifying all sorts of behavior. The classic "if you didn't make me so angry I wouldn't hit you" is logic that adds up to them.
treis··on Who will buy your services if you fire us all?
Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon, Nvidia, Cisco, Oracle, et al make a bajillion dollars a year. The faangs are the most profitable companies in the world (swap Nvidia for Netflix)
treis··on What “Amazon Supply Chain Services” tells us about what Amazon is
I'd call that completely wrong. It's become something of an urban legend but the reality is that AWS was net new. It was not share Amazon infrastructure with the world
treis··on What “Amazon Supply Chain Services” Tells Us About What Amazon Is
This gets the story of AWS wrong and it should be fundamentally suspect because of that.
treis··on AI eats the world (Spring 26) [pdf]
It's big because it may take a big swath of people who will actually pay for LLMs out of the market. But for the average consumer they're going to primarily use their phone/tablet and we're far away from that being possible.

Even if it were possible the LLMs are such a gold mine of user data. It's really hard to see that opportunity be passed up.

treis··on Tesla Solar Roof is on life support as it pivot to panels
I don't think it really adds up. It's an inconvenient install location and roofs are replaced every 10-20ish years. It makes sense from an efficiency standpoint but the capital costs outweigh that.

IMHO a pergola or carport is going to be better. You lose solar efficiency but gain the benefit of something that provides shade. Especially as solar panels have become an economical roofing option if you don't care about perfect waterproofing.

treis··on US is starting to see heavy job losses in roles exposed to AI
These businesses didn't stop growing. They grew by how you say. Steady growth into adjacent markets and acquisitions. Not through innovative new products.

It's just a different mindset. It's no longer move fast and be first. It's well we'll get there eventually. Let's do it cost constrained and with minimal risk.

treis··on Security researcher says Microsoft built a Bitlocker backdoor, releases exploit
Ah yes a typical Tuesday for me
treis··on A Meta employee gets real about the horror of working there
They don't pay a fraction more. Levels.fyi says I'd about double my salary and if they downlevel about 50% more.
treis··on US is starting to see heavy job losses in roles exposed to AI
Think this is the FAANGs entering their stodgy middle life phase like Oracle et al did decades ago. Except for Google they haven't done anything innovative in like a decade. It's time to wring money out of the monopoly and buy companies to add to that.
treis··on A Meta employee gets real about the horror of working there
They show them now but yeah they're another ad driven service in waiting. That's ultimately the end for Meta. When ad dollars go from websites to LLMs.
treis··on A Meta employee gets real about the horror of working there
I dunno I think AI is pretty cataclysmic for the ad supported web. For one, why go to any webpage instead of reading the LLM summary. For two, why look at an ad riddled page when an LLM can clean it up for you.
treis··on A Meta employee gets real about the horror of working there
"That's what the money is for" - Don Draper
treis··on The old world of tech is dying and the new cannot be born
Yes. Nothing fundamentally has changed about the US/Europe relationship for 80 years. Trump being a royal prick doesn't mean his message is fundamentally different than what any other president would send. If the US elects Kamala, for example, things quiet down and go back to normal almost immediately.
treis··on Amazon workers under pressure to up their AI usage are making up tasks
The first tractors in 1911 or whatever probably did. 50 years on and it was many times that.
treis··on Amazon workers under pressure to up their AI usage are making up tasks
Your data shows a 20% improvement. That's $20-100k a year depending on how much devs are paid.
treis··on The old world of tech is dying and the new cannot be born
Replace Iran with Iraq and this was all true 25 years ago. And that was an actual failure.

Fundamentally nothing has changed about the world or the relationship between the US and its allies. Once Trump is replaced by someone closer to European social values and less of an asshole the temperature will change. Just like it did from Bush to Obama.

treis··on Amazon workers under pressure to up their AI usage are making up tasks
It's definitely not. It's a fundamental shift on how we interact with computers.

It's a tractors on farms kind of moment.

treis··on Amazon workers under pressure to up their AI usage are making up tasks
If we suddenly went from rail travel to jets that's exactly what would happen. We'd go from 0 to all the business flights that happen today. Everyone would be under enormous pressure to not be a laggard.
treis··on The old world of tech is dying and the new cannot be born
I disagree that this is well written. It's a long and meandering where unchallengeable anecdotes build up to sweeping narrative that doesn't add up.

Iran has gone from a peak of power and it's proxies pulled off the biggest attack against Israel in decades. Three years later most of the leadership involved is dead, their power is at a nadir, and Israel has re-established itself as the dominant power.

That Iran isn't totally incapable of fighting back and hasn't capitulated isn't much of a feather in their cap.

Technology wise the West has a string of victories. SpaceX, AI, Waymo, and Apple are leaps and bounds ahead of any Chinese competitors.

Nothing has changed. The US honest to goodness lost a war 50 years ago and continued to dominate. Not to mention Iraq/Afghanistan. Iran being something less than a perfect and clean victory doesn't fundamentally change anything.

treis··on The Power of a Free Popsicle (2018)
I think this conflates symptoms and causes. You'd still be a code producing cow with a craft brew in your hand. $200 fun budgets, IME, doesn't help that and more often is another sort of obligation.
treis··on The US is winning the AI race where it matters most: commercialization
AI has definitely improved the industrial capacity of the US
treis··on GitLab announces workforce reduction and end of their CREDIT values
At this point Gitlab investors haven't gotten any money.
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