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throwaway_1299

13 karma · joined August 11, 2020

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throwaway_1299··on Why are currently no ads on Techdirt? apparently Google thinks we're dangerous
2/3/4 billion users paying $10 a year would certainly change things. I think the closest I have seen is the Google one program but not sure if people are aware or would want to pay for it.

For power users, I completely agree it might be the only feasible idea.

The closest parallel I can think of Amazon where there is cost of products involved (and >> $10 year I suspect) - they do a good job but even they work hard to make sure you cant easily reach a person.

throwaway_1299··on Why are currently no ads on Techdirt? apparently Google thinks we're dangerous
I was averaging it out assuming there will be an overhead of users using the channel for many other reasons too, eg. they dont know how something works, there are language barriers, other errors get attributed to google (eg. android vs manufacturer) etc.

But this is a fair point, all the assumptions I make (eg. how many products a user uses, number of requests for support, etc.) are hypothetical and might be incorrect if this was actually implemented. Based on my judgement though, while variable might change, the end numbers will probably remain the same.

throwaway_1299··on Why are currently no ads on Techdirt? apparently Google thinks we're dangerous
Is there something ideological about phishing protections?
throwaway_1299··on Why are currently no ads on Techdirt? apparently Google thinks we're dangerous
As someone who is in a similar domain / company, no one knows how to do this at planet scale unless you narrow it down to a very short list (which is typically very large sums of money).

My back of napkin math from another comment:

I work in a similar space and it is significantly complex and expensive to do this. Back of the napkin math - * Lets say on average customers contact Google support once a year for each product they use. That's 0.25 tickets per user per quarter. * Consider Google has ~10billion monthly productuser combinations (9 products have 1B+, most have significantly more) That is 2.5M tickets/support requests a quarter. ~28M tickets a day * If we consider an average ticket take ~3 mins to resolve, thats ~155k hours a day * If we take an employee being productive for 7 hours a day, that's 22k employees * If you take a 1:10 ratio, that is 2205,220 and 22 - 1st, 2nd and 3rd line managers. * Take the cost to be an average of 30k,60k,150k and 300k for each of those layers, thats ($661, $132M, $33M, $6.6M) which totals to ~$833M per quarter * The real world costs for this will probably be anywhere between 2X to 3X of this because all of these people come with other costs like infrastructure, tooling, space, etc. So we are looking at ~$1.7B to $2.5B.

One might be tempted to say that money can be saved vs my estimates but keep in mind the challenges of localization, time zones, compliance etc is also significant and will probably mean an even larger expense.

So yeah, it would be ~40% of the quarterly profit.

Sure this is an expense so tax etc can be changed but my argument would be that we are severely underestimating the complexity and challenge at each step.

So yes, I do think it will never make economic sense unless you are on the platform with sufficiently high spend. Just like every single other economic system we have out there.

throwaway_1299··on G Suite Doesn't Let You Contact Support Until Logged In. Locked Out = Stuck
Haha.. that is true. Guess they are not "best in class" for this one. That being said, I do genuinely wonder if there are any companies which have managed to do customer service at such a scale. Amazon is probably the closest but that is different because the average revenue per user is >> that of Google.
throwaway_1299··on G Suite Doesn't Let You Contact Support Until Logged In. Locked Out = Stuck
I know its not a popular opinion but as someone who comes from a non-western-rich country Googles business model is amazing for what it offers. Do they mess up a lot, for sure. But overall the fact that they can use capital expenses from big markets to deliver things globally has been positive for most people I know.

That aside, the business model has established that you can get great service if you spend $xM+ or $xxM+ per month (whatever the number is) - its just that we expect the same for a much lower cost.

throwaway_1299··on G Suite Doesn't Let You Contact Support Until Logged In. Locked Out = Stuck
Do you really want Google to have your real identity?
throwaway_1299··on G Suite Doesn't Let You Contact Support Until Logged In. Locked Out = Stuck
I work in a similar space and it is significantly complex and expensive to do this.

Back of the napkin math - * Lets say on average customers contact Google support once a year for each product they use. That's 0.25 tickets per user per quarter. * Consider Google has ~10billion monthly productuser combinations (9 products have 1B+, most have significantly more) That is 2.5M tickets/support requests a quarter. ~28M tickets a day * If we consider an average ticket take ~3 mins to resolve, thats ~155k hours a day * If we take an employee being productive for 7 hours a day, that's 22k employees * If you take a 1:10 ratio, that is 2205,220 and 22 - 1st, 2nd and 3rd line managers. * Take the cost to be an average of 30k,60k,150k and 300k for each of those layers, thats ($661, $132M, $33M, $6.6M) which totals to ~$833M per quarter * The real world costs for this will probably be anywhere between 2X to 3X of this because all of these people come with other costs like infrastructure, tooling, space, etc. So we are looking at ~$1.7B to $2.5B.

One might be tempted to say that money can be saved vs my estimates but keep in mind the challenges of localization, time zones, compliance etc is also significant and will probably mean an even larger expense.

So yeah, it would be ~40% of the quarterly profit.

Sure this is an expense so tax etc can be changed but my argument would be that we are severely underestimating the complexity and challenge at each step.

So yes, I do think it will never make economic sense unless you are on the platform with sufficiently high spend. Just like every single other economic system we have out there.