13 karma · joined July 15, 2026
AI can help tremendously but there’s so much you as a human understand about product direction and real-world use that the AI simply can’t. Everywhere you look, companies are popping up that are desperate to ingest data from every possible source in order to fix this context and intuition gap. But it’s just not possible. As long as you’re the one who ultimately decides what features you’ll implement, the model will be bad at guessing what to build for in the future. And anyway, you can spend all your energy learning how to squeeze the last 10% of work out of your model and harness and workflow but at the end of the day that’s time you’re not learning about designing resilient systems and actually doing the hard work of implementing them.
Bias: I’m a software engineer, and not super ai-pilled, so. There’s that.
That may not work as well on the international stage. Our GPU export controls will only last so long anyway as China builds native manufacturing capacity.
On the other hand, I think that too much of the debate about AI development treats models like any other ordinary good. But they aren’t. Average people aren’t buying them. They’re barely even useful for the majority of companies, software engineers excepted. We’re all rooting for open weight models right now, in spite of alignment issues, because they resonate with our open-source values and tinkerer spirits. Maybe if domestic models were open-weight and were for the social good we’d be willing to put up with a few points less on SWE-Bench-Turbo-X3.