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theodorewiles

136 karma · joined May 16, 2015

hninput@hntheodorewiles.anonaddy.com
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theodorewiles··on Starting your own bank is laborious but profitable (2009)
Look into CUSOs. There are players that cater to that niche.
theodorewiles··on Performance Reviews Are a Waste of Time
Performance reviews are for the ORGANIZATION, not the EMPLOYEE. Informal feedback is for the employee. #managertools
theodorewiles··on AMA with Substack and Matt Taibbi about a new business model for journalism
Guys,

Great idea. I would focus on specialty media. Think things like banking regulations, utility work, law reviews, etc. I think there is pretty strong willingness to pay in those markets and the credibility of the individual authors may carry more weight than magazine brands. Giving those writers a bigger cut might also attract them to the platform. Clearly you need to think about an advertising model here but those are the types of markets I would try to compete in - not serialized fiction.

theodorewiles··on Ask HN: What makes you happy in life?
good weather good food good conversation
theodorewiles··on Launch HN: Pathrise (YC W18) – Career accelerator for students, free until hired
You should tier this by industry or career goal more closely. For example, many students want to do high-profile consulting or banking gigs after undergrad. These have relatively similar starting salaries so you don’t need to worry about adverse incentives as mentioned below. Basically get the student to say “I will give you 7% of my salary if I get a job at McKinsey Bain or BCG”. That will be a lot of value for many students (7% is probably low pricing frankly). You’ll probably need to do more work on screening and the addressable market is probably much smaller. But the value prop for that market I think is way big vs. just “I want any job thanks”. Those interviews and prep are trainable and there is a pretty robust set of providers there already. Could also add investment banks, larger tech cos, etc. just get specific on goals.
theodorewiles··on Ask HN: How do you do feedback within your team?
https://www.manager-tools.com

They just did a series on performance review systems.

theodorewiles··on Ask HN: How to escape my own zombie startup?
Take a vacation and get back into the game! You are catastrophizing your business.

I would do the following:

1) Get to stable profitability (raise prices / find costs to cut)

2) Find adjacent markets to go after (what other stuff are your customers buying? What other stuff could your specialized team be good at?)

3) Put together a deck and sell to PE (you won’t be able to tell a unicorn story but sounds like to have a stable biz here)

You are depressed and it’s impacting your leadership. Take a vacation, find a therapist, and get back into it!

I love talking about this stuff, feel free to PM.

theodorewiles··on DJI’s newest 4K folding drone costs $799
Wow so this is basically just an ad? Am I missing something?
theodorewiles··on Ex-Tinder employees launch professional networking app Ripple
Definitely agree that there is an unmet need and huge market here. Best of luck to them.
theodorewiles··on Show HN: Project Management as Code with Graphviz
Here you go

https://github.com/theodorewiles/org-mind-map

theodorewiles··on FoldingText – Plain text productivity for Mac users
so.... org mode? but you have to pay for it?
theodorewiles··on Org-Mode Is One of the Most Reasonable Markup Languages to Use for Text
shameless plug: https://github.com/theodorewiles/org-mind-map
theodorewiles··on Who Is Winning the Food Delivery War?
Just remember - if you don't want your data packed up and shipped off for marketing purposes, don't apply for a loan from Earnest :)
theodorewiles··on [dead]
reminds me of yahoo forums back in the late 90s
theodorewiles··on Companies headed by introverts performed better in a study of thousands of CEOs
survivorship bias. introverts have to be better to become CEOs in the first place.
theodorewiles··on Show HN: Daily condensed MLB games, delivered direct to your inbox
Thank you!
theodorewiles··on Show HN: Daily condensed MLB games, delivered direct to your inbox
This was my weekend project. Pretty straightforward, uses clojure + amazon SES + amazon SimpleDB to send links to MLB's public condensed videos, every day at 7:00 AM EST. Hope this is useful for somebody!
theodorewiles··on Org Mode for Emacs – Your Life in Plain Text
My system for remote editing:

System A: get a notebook. Write down what you want to capture when you are away from your comp. When you sit down, check your notebook.

System B: Run your org mode on a linode. Download Connectbot (SSH client) for your phone. You can now connect to your Org wherever you have cell service and work from one always-running emacs instance with emacs --daemon and emacsclient -c. I bought a personal blackberry (yes, I know) solely for the physical keyboard which makes throwing out a CTRL or META keypress much easier.

theodorewiles··on Let Students Sell Equity in Their Higher-Education to Finance It
Great idea, although the article highlights the biggest problem: adverse selection. Students who want to slack off will choose equity, whereas go-getters will choose debt. Given this, no provider of equity could be sure that they would be getting high-quality income streams, so they would charge more, worsening the effect, etc. etc. I doubt that all the analytics in the world could counteract this effect.

To get this off the ground, you'd need some sort of coordination, either at the school or government level, to enforce risk pooling. How about free education at state colleges coupled with a higher lifetime marginal income tax?

theodorewiles··on Let Students Sell Equity in Their Higher-Education to Finance It
MRU looks like they pivoted to private student loans, and then got caught up in the credit crunch, so I don't know if it's a perfect comp. It was probably just a lot easier to latch onto the largest-growing consumer finance sector than to try and sell an actually innovative product against a heavily subsidized existing alternative.
theodorewiles··on Show HN: A daily collection of business journal articles
This is my attempt to process my huge collection of journal articles by focusing on a few articles a day. The goal is to find the research that's actually meaningful for real businesses.
theodorewiles··on [dead]
This is my weekend project, an attempt to break up my RSS feed of academic journal articles into more manageable bites and identify articles that are actually useful/interesting.
theodorewiles··on [dead]
This was my weekend project. I have a huge RSS feed of academic journals, thought I would open my project of reading through the abstracts to find interesting ones open to all!
theodorewiles··on Ask HN: How often does technical debt lead to the failure of a startup?
Glad you found it useful.

Another reason technical debt is useful, as touched on elsewhere, is that it's something of a real option.

Options have value - think e.g. Oil futures which are the right but not the obligation to purchase X at Y price in the future.

Real options also have value - certain investment decisions can be delayed (e.g. building a plant or refactoring code) and by delaying them you create an option. Here the option is the right but not obligation to write better code that will actually work :)

I know it's hard to convince clients to change their ways, I have found that telling them they are doing great things they didn't even realize is a good way to start before you "bring the pain". Best of luck!

theodorewiles··on Ask HN: How often does technical debt lead to the failure of a startup?
Try framing it as interest payments:

When you get X customers, you'll have to commit Y resources to fix this one thing.

Taking on technical debt is a smart thing in early stages because it's essentially low-cost, non-dilutive financing. So you should recognize that very real benefit.

However, if they are young startups they might not even realize they are doing this smart thing. You can add value by telling them are smart and giving them the schedule of technical interest payments they will have to pay one way or the other if they are still in business.

theodorewiles··on Show HN: SimpleCharters – Compare and book private jets online
I agree on the turboprop; was looking into services for some New England travel recently, and I thought a service like this would be useful for that.
theodorewiles··on Sports Bars and Biker Gangs – The Death of Reddit
I think the real threat is the investors demanding outsize returns. I have read elsewhere that Pao might have been a sacrificial lamb - make some changes, get fired, changes stay in place. I'm sure that the board has significant changes around monetization in mind.

The mods should move everything to a non-profit org. The site is open-source already, and you could even use their Oauth to port user accounts over directly. My understanding is that they are just breaking even, which sounds bad for a for-profit but sounds great for a not-for-profit, especially if your executive director is getting CEO level pay.

Now, someone else will spend the time implementing my fantastic idea for me, right? /s

theodorewiles··on Correlating Commissions with Happiness
I agree that just equating Commission / OTE = FYE / TAM seems pretty arbitrary, I was unclear how this was "optimal".

In my understanding, commissions are used when effort is not observable but outcomes (i.e. closing a sale) are. An additional point in my head is that the commission / base trade-off is a decision that depends on how sensitive your salespeople are to risk.

I think you would really want to set marginal benefit to marginal cost. In this case, the marginal benefit of increased commissions would be incremental increases in effort and marginal costs would be incremental decreases in customer satisfaction or decreases in employee retention due to risk aversion. Of course, these might seem harder to quantify that FYE/TAM, but I think that the fraction of FYE is a little made up to begin with :)

theodorewiles··on Business Can Pay to Train Its Own Work Force
As a lib arts graduate, I might be biased, but I believe that it's still the best education for the type of decision-making that's most useful in real-world business decisions: ambiguous and incomplete information from a variety of sources with competing interests.

That being said, if you're not in a leadership position that kind of decision making isn't what you're doing: you're most likely just optimizing on your own little anthill, so a "profit-centered" education like the article is against might make sense for the worker bees.

Another thing that I think is usually missing from the "train your workers" debate is how much variance there is in productivity, and how actual productivity is usually unknowable unless you have 2-3 months of project data for a given worker (these are assumptions). So hire unskilled contract workers, fire 80% of them, and then train the remaining 20%. They won't have the credentials to work elsewhere, and you've been able to identify the true all-stars using data on their actual work product.

theodorewiles··on Show HN: Grocery Shopping? Price Grocer helps track your prices
Thanks so much for your 2 cents VoiceClonr!

After talking to a lot of people, I agree that:

- Most people treat groceries as JIT

- Most people see the value of real-time cross-store comparisons

There have been other apps & services that have tried to solve this problem, but I think that the "great filter" is making price tracking valuable to a single user in a single store. Before you get a network of people contributing prices, you need a set of people who are willing to contribute on their own. I am currently trying to test if such people exist :)

Some people maintain "price books" of prices they see in stores, and they claim that historical records of prices let them predict sales.

Right now my tests are suggesting that such people are few and far between, so I think that this might be a fail-fast type situation.

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