13 karma · joined June 15, 2023
In many ways GPT-4 does a better impression of a human than any we have seen in Star Trek. Data couldn’t understand humor.
We were so sure of our own complexity, we projected onto the AI characters weaknesses. Then an AI comes up doing jokes in any topic you throw at it in any way you like.
Yet still some suggest I must be trolling with my post. I know my take is quite pessimistic but far from exaggeration, I didn’t even get as far as suggesting any SciFi level dangers in longer term.
About in 5 years, imagine all of us, using Chatgpt in that time...along with all the enterprise integrations of it directly into workflow of companies through JIRA etc. (if not chatgpt, closed models could be trained in that time)
AI could even learn corporate politics from all the Slack, Jira etc. conversations. If this hype survives 5 years, and we keep putting data into it, it will only get more powerful from here on.
I think you nailed it. My current fear arises from the fact, I am at one of the highest HCOL cities in the world in comparison to wages. This makes the fear more imminent, as I basically would have to move if my salary goes significantly lower.
That wouldn't be the case where I am originally from, in Scandinavia.
This is exactly how I feel. I felt so out of my depth looking at the ML architectures and I could not make any sense of it. I thought perhaps, they get inspired by neuroscience for the layers etc.
But a friend who works on LLMs mentioned, the architecture of large ML models, are mostly experimentally discovered, not designed. If that's the case, that's even worse... it means an entire field which perhaps could replace me in future, doesn't even have a knowledge foundation for its breakthroughs, but just goes by experiment... I thought it was only the weights inside the model that evolves, not the architecture itself.
Which body of knowledge do I study then, and is it even engineering anymore? That's something else, which I am not sure if my programming experience applies.
The amount of GPU/Capital it takes to evolve such architectures, run such experiments has to be prohibitively expensive.
But the compensation is much lower in these fields in Europe/UK, compared to web :/
Is there such a thing as %150 developer, Is there a market for the %150 developer?
All of these are not yet answered or tested by the market.
I am getting at least 5x boost in productivity.
Just last night, I solved 7-8 bugs consecutively.
My productivity definitely went up at least by a factor of 5 by a safe estimate.
This is amazing, all good, yeah. But doesnt that mean companies need 5x fewer people?
It is not simply about job safety, it is about the career ladder.
When the career ladder is disrupted, how will even the banks evaluate someone’s ability to pay off mortgage for long term.
I built 4 projects so far with it. Out of these 3, 1 is clone of an app that has been charging 65usd per year. Other one was rehash/improvement on an existing app that has been selling for 25usd.
It took me under a day to build the prototype, a week to deploy/build installer.
The only thing left is to actually put them out in the market really.
This was just too easy.