When something is postured to 'benefit the every day people' you can bet it does the exact opposite
602 karma · joined April 17, 2020
When something is postured to 'benefit the every day people' you can bet it does the exact opposite
so not sure what the heck this article is about
Where do people on Hacker News meet their future significant other or people they date?
Bars - gone
Cafes/Coffee Shops - mostly gone
Museums/Art Galleries - mostly closed
House Parties - gone
Friends of Friends - almost gone
Random Luck - almost completely gone
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Online dating - really sucks
I guess pandemic must be really good for people who specialize in online dating. For everyone else it sucks
Among my friends there are so many that work for dodgy companies and believe they are doing something good
In Seattle my friends and I ran into a girl who worked for a spybar/spy install bar company and she was completely OK with it. She actually liked working there
Of course, now it turns out that Google, Facebook, Amazon do far worse stuff than spyware companies
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reminds me of an old quote - It is impossible to make a man realize something when his pay check depends on him not realizing it
Second: Monetization
Third: Growth
Culture isn't even in the Top 3 and might not even be in the Top 5
* One very important Caveat
In today's zero interest rate, Fed printing press environment
where money is DESPERATE for any kind of return
Growth will sometimes trump Monetization and even Product Market Fit
VCs will focus on Growth above all else because with Growth you can raise enough money to 'brute force' Product Market Fit
Culture, as opposed to what all the 'gurus' and 'politically correct people' say and pretend
is not as important as any of the above
You can see a lot of successful companies that don't necessarily have very good culture
Culture is something that will matter 10 to 20 years down the line once you're a big or very big company
If you don't have Product Market Fit, you won't survive
If you don't have good monetization/profitability you won't last very long (unless Product Market Fit and/or growth is massive)
If you don't have Growth, then you will always remain small/much smaller than you could be
One thing a lot of people in US/UK/Canada (have lived in all 3 countries) believe VERY STRONGLY IN and which people from China/India/Africa (worked with all; non work friends from all places) don't believe in AT ALL
is this Western Dream State of a company also being focused on saving pandas and bald eagles and world peace
It's almost as if in the West it's not enough to be successful you also have to
A) Pretend you never intended to be successful. It was a happy byproduct of wanting to make the world a better place
B) Start talking non stop about how much you will donate to charity
C) Start saying 'it was all luck' and 'not the better people won' etc
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This is also reflected in a different way
In the West people are super likely to be made a fool of by a company pretending to be virtuous
Google and Facebook are good examples
They work so hard to pretend all their unethical steps are 'mistakes' or 'one off instances'
people in the West just buy it hook, line and sinker
things like: Even after we turned off the setting to track location, Google was still tracking it
things like: Instagram had camera on all the time, it was just a bug and had nothing to do with ad targeting and spying
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For all the talk of China and INdia and South East Asia and Africa being corrupt
companies like this are very quickly identified to be scum and taken down, sometimes even by the Government
Basically, the people who control Europe and US are very, very good at making it seem all magical fantasy land
Snowden is a good example. He's basically being treated as if HE was the one doing all the spying and illegal surveillance
Would very strongly recommend reading it when you have 1 week to half a year free/avaiable
It will really mess with your head and your perception of reality
It's some really high level stuff
anyways, very happy to see so many people get it
we probably are
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one other thing people should keep an eye on
Google inserting Adsense tags into organic traffic
people who were coming to your site anyways - Google pretending it's paid Adwords traffic
Many of the people who use Instagram are ones who stopped using Facebook due to privacy issues and their grandpa and grandma showing up
They didn't know Facebook owns Instagram
Facebook is stuck in this loop where it has to keep buying competitors because its own users lose faith and leave
If Instagram didn't sell to Facebook, Facebook would be screwed
Currently, FB has Instagram, Whatsapp and Messenger
By some special deal with the Government they are trying to nuke TikTok
If that doesn't work they are in trouble
Many of the newer companies that are growing won't sell to FB
(Tik Tok, Snapchat, Telegram, etc)
Look back at everything he revealed
That's LITERALLY conspiracy Theory proven to be conspiracy reality
And that guy, Keith Alexander, is now on the board of Amazon
so giving large tech companies like Google, Amazon, FB the benefit of the doubt is insanity
Not sure why someone is assuming Facebook did this for an honest reason when Facebook is the best example of an extremely dishonest large tech company
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The founder Zucker berg literally wrote - They trust me, the dumb fucks
He wrote this in college
He has shown a pattern of treating his users as 'dumb fucks'
Again and again more and more data comes up that Facebook is a dishonest company. not a 'by mistake' dishonest, but a fundamentally dishonest company
And always White Knights like this guy show up claiming 'it is to optimize loading speed)
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Now Facebook is finally getting into trouble with even the left, because instead of helping Obama get elected it seems now they are helping Trump get elected
So their own dishonesty is so extreme that they are trying to help both Democrats and Republicans thinking both sides are dumb fucks that will forget what Facebook did to screw them over in past elections
wonder how many of the people claiming Pret a Manger is worse than 7-11 have actually ever eaten at Pret a Manger
1) Amazing food
2) Very nicely set up
3) Just read the blogs etc. that London women write about Pret a Manger. In their minds it's the kind of place where they can get good food and also find 'the man of their dreams'
4) very little real competition
5) most people have a decent amount of disposable income. You can eat utter rubbish at a fast food joint, or you can terrible tasting food from a convenience store, or you can eat at a good place like Pret a Manger
6) Quick
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They do a lot of things right
If your target audience has money, then providing them a high quality service and pricing it higher is good
It's also a big help if the pricing ensures that only upwardly mobile people can afford it
Go into a fish and chips in london and you have half of East London in there, innit?
go to Pret a Manger and it's people you wouldn't mind having a pint at the pub with
1 billion people on universal income, doing nothing except getting up, putting on Virtual Reality headsets, spending 8 hours in imaginary worlds, where Facebook tracks everything and keeps showing them products they can spend their Universal income on
then take a break for food
then spend another 6 hours in imaginary worlds
then go to sleep
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A Human Farm. Facebook with help of VR 'entertains' mindless corpses
Universal income keeps them going along, and whatever is left they spend on pointless products advertised to them in FB virtual reality
Let's consider a few more examples of abuse of market dominance
1) Retail Me Not
Google through Google Venture secretly invested in them and didn't disclose that
Then for next 3 years, Retail Me Not was #1 for EVERY SINGLE deal and coupon search term on Google
Is that an abuse of market dominance? Pretty Sure
Is it illegal? According to US Anti Trust Law - not sure. A lawyer can step in
2) A market we are in
The largest 2 players (us and another company) are #40 and #41 when people search for the biggest key word
Not #2, Not #10
At #40 and #41
Who is in the Top 10?
companies that advertise A LOT on Google, even though they are distant 4th and 6th in the market
Not only that, they do it in blatant ways
Last year, they pumped up organic traffic to one of our competitors THIRTY TIMES over night
So, the top two companies (another company and us) saw ZERO CHANGE
However, a company that is a distant 4th in the market suddenly got its organic search engine traffic increased 30 times
Pretty sure in 3 or 4 years it will be revealed that Google invested in them or did some tie up
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Google is basically using Search as a weapon
For God's Sake
Let this great guy who gave away $8 billion of his hard earned money get proper credit without dragging a @#$#$ subsidy entrepreneur into it
A) What you wrote: Not to mention the brightest engineers, managers are being sucked en-masse into FAANG and the supporting industries, where they waste humanities potential into improving engagement by 0.001%.
But then, if everyone did what I did, could capitalism even survive?
B) What people say about 'the brightest wasting their time on Wall Street instead of creating things'
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Why are we assuming these people would do something meaningful with their lives if they were not working on 'better advertising and better conversion'
??
Perhaps they would just be doing something else that pays well but has little long term contribution to humanity
It's interesting that everything they have done is not PROVABLY fraud, and yet is on the very line between slightly unethical and actually illegal
pretty crazy
They sort of ARE the NSA
NSA CIA are part of the fabric of Silicon Valley and especially companies like
Amazon, Google, Facebook
CONTRAST with Apple where as long as Steve Jobs was CEO Apple flat out refused to join any of the 'Patriot surveillance and stop terrorim by spying on American citizens and the entire world' coalition
The biggest thing if you have been in prolonged vicious competition, is to Control Your Own Destiny and leave the basket of crabs behind
For Nvidia this is a MASSIVE win
Softbank are @#$@#$ idiots for selling ARM
Right when ARM is finally taking over the world
For what?
So they can fund the next bunch of charlatans - add more disasters like WeWork and Uber?
I watched some videos of Trevor Milton. He has ZERO signs he is faking
HOWEVER
A) Just because someone's body language and presentation is PERFECT doesn't mean they are telling the truth. They might have convinced themselves of the lie
B) The Truck Video is SUPER DODGY. It's shot from an angle that makes it impossible to tell what the incline angle is. It could VERY easily be just a truck with no engine rolling down a slight incline
C) The walkthroughs etc. Trevor Milton does are SUPER DODGY.
Elon Musk with Tesla talks about crazy things that might never happen (Full Auto Pilot Level 5 Driving) but half of the crazy stuff he DELIVERS
Trevor Milton seems to be just as good as Musk at promising things, but so far has not delivered anything
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On the one hand, it would be great if Nikola delivers a great truck
Competition for Tesla
Death to these parasitic short sellers
ON THE OTHER HAND
Don't see what exactly is the VALUE Nikola is providing. GM is building everything. So is Nikola's contribution selling a great story ???
It's like Musk's ability to sell stories, but lacking Musk's abilities to
A) get subsidies from the government B) actually deliver products
Trevor Milton and Nikola are getting money from the stock market. That comes with a lot of dangers which government contracts and subsidies do not
This:
alex_young 14 minutes ago [–]
Won’t this force them to go public? Too many shareholders? reply
How can they skirt around these rules?
A) The intersection between people who love books and love technology is rather small
B) There is no 'monetization ramp up' when producing products for books and publishing
Monetization if you are a startup in books and publishing is via either
Amazon Associate - However, Amazon will kick you out if they want to enter the same business
Example: https://the-digital-reader.com/2016/06/15/amazon-brings-the-...
Selling Ads to Authors & Publishers - However Amazon will manipulate results
Example: https://the-digital-reader.com/2017/11/22/amazon-now-punishi...
so there is no easy path
Contrast that with something like Apps or Shopping where you can use affiliate networks and monetize right from the start. And a competitor like Google doesn't have control over the Affiliate networks (which in books, Amazon has)
C) Most authors are not tech savvy and keep doing crazy things like giving exclusivity to one store and create monopolies. They then get screwed by these monopolies
Why would you step into a market where
A) The competitors are monopolists who have no compulsion against doing illegal things
B) The participants (authors and Publishers) are in the 1950s technology wise
C) The participants (authors and publishers) keep doing strange stuff like give one ebook store exclusivity
CONTRAST what happened with Apps versus what happened with Books
Apps
Amazon wanted pricing control of apps and exclusivity. Developers gave them the middle finger
Amazon tried unlimited apps (including unlimited IAP purchases if you are on subscription) and developers didn't play along. They had to close down the service
Books
There were FIVE major stores - Kindle, Sony, Apple, B&N, Kobo
Amazon offered exclusivity to authors in return for (the comically bad incentive) - allowed to make book free for 5 days every 90 days, allowed to discount book as a special Kindle Countdown Deal for 7 days every 90 days
Authors gave Amazon exclusivity. Helped it get from 30-40% market share to 60-70% market share
Now completely dependent on Amazon
Kindle Unlimited - Amazon won't give authors and publishers data on how many people borrow, etc. Only 'total number of pages read'
Authors play along and now many are completely dependent on income from this 'subscription service' where they don't even know how many readers downloaded their book, how many read X% etc. Just one vague metric of 'total pages read by all readers'
So, to do well in this market you are suited for it IF
A) Your default is to take advantage of authors and publishers
OR
treat them like naive sheep who don't understand the basics of business
B) You are willing to go up against a large monopoly that will also do illegal things without remorse
Amazon just hired Keith Alexander - head of NSA during warrantless surveillance
Do you really want to compete against that?
C) somehow bridge the gap between books and publishing and technology
while keeping in mind that most of the top quality supply is controlled by 5 large companies (the Big 5 very big publishers)
You would be hard pressed to find ANY business to go into that is worse
The saying - An intelligent enemy is better than a stupid friend
This is an ecosystem where - your friends are naive (in effect, clueless), and your enemies are stupid (doing all sorts of illegal things because they are a monopoly and know the US does @#$$-all to monopoly power abusing companies
You are not even realizing what he's actually saying
HE's not talking about lowballing on salary
He is talking about what percentage of the company you are going to get, how soon you will get it, and other details
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Most people won't get this. I will still try
A) What percentage of the company are you getting?
B) What dilution is going to happen?
C) When can you sell your stake in the company?
D) How soon and in what manner does it vest
* People fixate on things like 1,000 options without considering what it really means
Please consider what you wrote:
The standard for pre-IPO seems to me to be N number of options, at a particular strike price, 10-year expiration (or 90 days if you leave the company). That doesn't seem all that complicated to me, or deceptive.
NOWHERE in that is
What value do I bring the company
IN RETURN what percentage of the company am I getting
AT WHAT RATE will I be given that share of the company
There is literally no company on the planet that can justify a 896 PE
Let's see how long Tesla can keep things going with 1,000 PEs
They are projected (based on stock valuation) to take over all or most of
cars energy solar power
Which is quite an absurd assumption
perhaps more to learn from those
At some point we need to just say it
some of the largest tech companies are basically NSA+CIA partners and we're well on our way to having
Big Tech completely integrated into NSA and CIA and DoD
speaking to this: If you hate the office that badly, you’re probably working at the wrong place.
What percentage of people who 'prefer WFH' are just people who don't like where they work and who they work with?
Would be interesting if someone did a survey on this