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swimorsinka

541 karma · joined January 29, 2014

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swimorsinka··on Over 40% of deceased drivers in vehicle crashes test positive for THC: Study
We've seen the same uptick in reckless driving in CO since Covid. Reddit Denver complains about it all the time. I think it's happening everywhere, and it's not clear why.
swimorsinka··on Austin's Reign as a Tech Hub Might Be Coming to an End
I'm seeing similar dynamics occurring with Denver/Boulder. These smaller tech cities have been hit hard by the tech recession.
swimorsinka··on IT Unemployment Rises to 5.7% as AI Hits Tech Jobs
It’s hard to know if this most recent move will be more permanent. The irony with Amsterdam was that they had a hell of a time hiring. They had to import 80-90% of their labor from Eastern Europe or elsewhere and everyone had visa issues and would take 2-4 months to start. I also think the company will get a rude awakening in a few years when they realize they can’t just fire everyone or do layoffs like they were in the US.
swimorsinka··on IT Unemployment Rises to 5.7% as AI Hits Tech Jobs
I can confirm this. Former Senior Manager from Big Tech Co here (I just resigned 2 weeks ago). When I left, we were in the middle of offshoring all of my groups to Amsterdam. No stock compensation in Europe = cheaper devs. There was no real talk of replacing anyone with AI. We all used copilot and the other LLMs as tools, but you still needed devs who understood the systems and how to debug the generated code.
swimorsinka··on Is "Rich Dad Poor Dad" a Fraud?
+100 to this. There's no better successful enterprise than becoming a guru - assuming you have the personality to pull it off.
swimorsinka··on Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps
1978. In reality the worst months are $300+ and the others are less, so the average isn’t really $300 - probably more like $200 or $250.

But yes, this is another reason I want to move. I’ve done all the insulating I can easily do without tearing everything down and starting again.

70 kWh a day sounds about right. That’s what I calculated for a max load when I was sizing solar systems.

swimorsinka··on Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps
Xcel Energy. I'm usually at $300/month for electricity from November-March. A comparably sized house with an efficient furnace would be $100/month in this area (or so I've been told). My non-heat electric usage works out to something like $50-$75/ month. Our electric rates average 13-14 cents per KWH, but we just moved to timed metering, so that can vary a lot depending on peak hours.
swimorsinka··on Nine US states are teaming up to accelerate the adoption of heat pumps
I live in Colorado, so I'm in one of the colder climates with a decent amount of time spent below freezing each year.

I've had a Mitsubishi Hyper Heat mini-split system with 2 outdoor units and 3 indoor heads for ~7 years now. I'm trying to move houses to get away from it. It's crazy noisy during the winter, the temperature control is whacky, and it's 2-3X the price to run than a gas furnace with electric vs gas rates around here. Not only that, with new 95% or 96% efficient furnaces, I'm not sure heat pumps are any greener.

Don't get me started on the install costs and the fact that your average mini split unit is barely sized to heat a room, let alone a full house. For me, it was better than the electric baseboards I replaced, but I'd still prefer a standard furnace.

I think we need to be very careful forcing everyone to convert to these until the tech is more mature, especially in the Northern states and places like Colorado. I looked on forums recently to see if the tech has evolved in the last 10 years, but many of the recent buyers still had the exact complaints I listed here.

swimorsinka··on Ask HN: How do you know it's time for you to quit your FAANG job?
Both at the time. In retrospect, I was extremely naive, and I was building something I thought was "cool" instead of something that people would really want.
swimorsinka··on Ask HN: How do you know it's time for you to quit your FAANG job?
Yep. I did the exact same thing ~10ish years ago - leaving my job at Google to run my own startup for 2.5 years. I burned through most of my savings. In the meantime, I watched as my former colleagues got numerous promotions and made more and more money.

I wouldn't trade the perspective I got from the experience, but it was extremely emotionally painful.

swimorsinka··on How Hinge's algorithm decides who you date
I definitely fell into this category. None of my messages ever seemed to go through. I tried everything to fix it. The only thing that worked was getting a new phone, new number, and never connecting to my wifi. I have no idea what I did to get my account into that state but it really sucks. It damages your self esteem, but this is modern dating I guess. Talking to people in real life is quite a bit better.
swimorsinka··on Twitter’s U.S. Ad Sales Plunge 59% as Woes Continue
Given that 2/3rds of the employees are now gone, doesn’t this mean that the business is still viable?
swimorsinka··on Why Frenemies May Be Hazardous to Your Health
For me, it's been more useful to look at these relationships through the lens of reciprocity. Am I in a reciprocal relationship with this friend/coworker or not?

In my friendships, am I doing most of the work to text, call, or hangout or is it relatively equal? At work, if I do something that helps you, do you help me in return, or do you turn around and screw me over?

Getting away from the relationships which are non reciprocal has given me a lot of mental peace over the past few years. Most people are not like this, but something like 1/5 to 1/10 of people are.

swimorsinka··on One million cancel broadband as living costs rise
Some of the people on my team had to switch back to Comcast after trying it for a few months. Video calls were laggy and would drop packets constantly. This was in Colorado fwiw.
swimorsinka··on New York set to ban gas furnaces, stoves in new buildings
Looks like you’re right. This https://insideenergy.org/2015/11/06/lost-in-transmission-how... claims it’s only 7%. I’ve updated the original comment. You still have the problem of non green generation sources, and you could still do better with a high efficiency gas furnace on-site, although I think most people go with low efficiency (~80 or 85%) units.
swimorsinka··on New York set to ban gas furnaces, stoves in new buildings
You might be thinking for the non hyper heat modules. The ones I’ve got still heat down to -13 F. I remember thinking the same when I was originally pricing out the units. But when you actually get them through a reputable installer with a warranty, that roughly doubled the price. I quoted 3 installers at the time and they all came in at roughly the same price.

I started with a 30,000 BTU unit in 2 of the bedrooms and then added another 18,000 BTU unit later. My house is a split level which makes it a huge pain to heat. The price of the first units was ~$15,000 and the second one was ~$10,000. Nothing special as part of the installs.

swimorsinka··on New York set to ban gas furnaces, stoves in new buildings
Ugh, I think this is a terrible idea for heating.

I've installed 2 Mitsubishi hyper heat pumps in the past 5 years with 3 indoor heads totaling ~48,000 BTUs of heat capacity. I don't think people understand how much more expensive heat pumps are than a traditional natural gas furnace. I paid $25,000, and that was 5 years ago. This is for a small house of 1500 square feet. If you had a larger 3 or 4,000 square foot house, you can double or triple that price. In contrast, I know you can get a 250,000 BTU gas boiler for ~$20,000 with install.

Plus, electricity is still way more expensive than gas, even with the price shocks over the past year and even with the high efficiency of modern heat pumps. And it's not that green, given that you lose ~7% in transmission, and usually it's coming from a coal or natural gas plant. If you had solar to offset some of it, that would be great, but usually there isn't enough sun in the winter to account for all of your heating needs, at least without a gigantic array.

I think this is pretty impractical and misguided. I've tried to be green, but next time I buy a house, I'm going to try to go back to a gas furnace.

swimorsinka··on Failed for the past 12 years as an tech entrepreneur
I did this for a couple of years as well.

I think the experience was invaluable, and I don't regret it, but I arrived at the conclusion that doing a startup is largely overrated.

Why stress out for 60 hours a week for years on end watching your savings dwindle when you could have been making great money at a medium or a big company with great benefits that doesn't force you to work on the weekends and allows you to take paid time off? If you land at FAANG or similar, you'll make more money than most startup people ever do anyway.

The startup community loves to talk trash about regular corporations, but for me the work/life/stress balance has been a great trade off.

swimorsinka··on Ask HN: Those who quit their jobs without anything planned. How did it go?
Lol, not on the same team, just the same company.
swimorsinka··on Ask HN: Those who quit their jobs without anything planned. How did it go?
I'll add another cautionary tale....

At the start of my career, I worked as a SWE at one of the FAANGs. After 3 years, I couldn't take it anymore. I hated everything I worked on, nothing was meeting my lofty expectations, and I thought about quitting constantly.

Eventually I pulled the trigger to go and "do my own thing." I didn't have a backup job - instead I worked on my own projects with a cofounder and tried to turn them into a startup. We struggled mightily. We didn't raise money, and we couldn't find product market fit. Every month I was watching my bank account drain, and I wasn't drawing a salary from anywhere. The stock in my own startup was worthless.

This continued for 2.5 years. Eventually, I had had enough, and I knew something had to change. I went and tried to get my old FAANG job back, but couldn't - probably due to my entitled attitude when I was there. I struggled with interviews for a couple of months, and eventually landed at a company several steps down from my old position, making about half of what I had at FAANG.

About a year ago, I switched back to a different FAANG after having been at that other company for 6.5 years. Why I stayed for so many years is a long story.

So ironically I'm back to where I started, but wow did I cause myself a lot of trouble. I watched for years as my old friends went on to make double and triple what I did, for doing the exact same job. In the meantime, I was more stressed out, dealing with a worse bureaucracy at a company that didn't value engineering.

Leaving FAANG was something I had to do. I had to get the startup out of my system, and I couldn't continue at my original job the way that I was. You can't buy perspective, but I probably cost myself something like 1-2 million dollars in the process. Many times over the years I've questioned "Why couldn't I have just stayed at that cushy job like so many of the people that I knew?" I know there's no way that I could have given my emotional state at the time, but I can't help thinking about it.

So I could tell you a bunch of lessons from my experiences, but unfortunately they're probably best learned yourself. You have to follow whatever you think is right and hope that things will work out for you. Usually they will in the long run - but the short term might be painful.

swimorsinka··on Show HN: Should I Get a House? a better rent vs. buy calculator
Huge +1 to this. Don't get me wrong, I've been in my house for 10 years, and I probably won't go back to renting, but I think most people wildly underestimate these things.

In the first couple of years I remember getting so irritated by all the time it took to take care of the house and yard. Nowadays, I've gotten used to it, and I view it as a welcome distraction from work, but that definitely wasn't true in the beginning. Even paying someone to do all these things is a large hassle. You have to be at the house to meet contractors, get competing bids, worry about the contractors doing stuff wrong, etc.

I also think people wildly underestimate maintenance costs. I bought a 50 year old house, 10 years ago. I don't think I've had a single year where I didn't have to spend 10K on maintenance. I always wonder how most people handle these expenses - and then I realize that most people just don't take care of their houses.

swimorsinka··on Why I Prefer Makefiles over Package.json Scripts
Yikes. Say what you will about package.json files and all their associated problems, but Make? Really?

I've written multi-thousand line Makefile build systems across multiple directories and multiple platforms, from scratch.

I must say Make is the most non-intuitive language I've ever had to work with. It's been near impossible for other engineers to pick up the build systems I've written. They still come back to me to ask questions years later.

And most importantly, you have to use tabs instead of spaces. ::sigh::

It's a great tool for some things, just like anything else. But I'd be careful about using it as your default.

swimorsinka··on Every thought about personal finance I've ever had, as concisely as possible
I have a knee jerk reaction against posts like this, mostly because of the reference to $4 cups of coffee.

While the point is true, I think your time is best spent worrying about other things.

90% of money problems seem to come from a few things: * Expensive cars - bought with debt. * Expensive housing - again bought with debt. * Expensive schooling - even more debt.

I've never bought (pun intended) the argument that dining out in any form (including coffee) even comes close to these other items. Even if you're eating out 3-5 nights per week, it's just not expensive enough. I guess if you're always feeding a family of 5 and buying expensive bottles of wine while you eat, then maybe.

I also think that time spent worrying about trivial stuff like coffee would be better spent trying to make more money.

swimorsinka··on High-Density Housing Near Public Transit Is Aim of San Diego Code Change
In a word, it's time. If I want to drive somewhere in my town, it takes at most 15 minutes. A bus is easily 30-45. I think over long distances rail allows you to save time, or at least break even.
swimorsinka··on Are We in the Middle of a Programming Bubble?
Early employees who cash out are a bit different than the rank and file.
swimorsinka··on Data Warehouse Benchmark: Redshift, Snowflake, Azure, Presto, BigQuery
Hmm, I use Redshift every day and I've also used BigQuery. You can't have a valid benchmark without adding sort keys and dist keys to Redshift. It really isn't meant to work without them.

I understand it's more work that way, which is why BigQuery is so nice. But if you're trying to do lots of queries, BigQuery is also more expensive.

swimorsinka··on Ask HN: Pros and cons of working at a startup in 2018?
I agree with this too. There is a tier of engineers that are good, but for whatever reason, can't get into the big 5. They're bad at white-boarding or maybe they don't live in an area where the big 5 have offices.

In those cases, maybe a startup makes more sense.

swimorsinka··on Ask HN: Pros and cons of working at a startup in 2018?
+1 to this. 10 years ago you couldn't make 400K at Google, Facebook, Microsoft, etc. Now you can.

Startups made a lot more sense when your opportunity cost was 50-150K per year.

swimorsinka··on Advice for Coding Bootcamp Graduates
Hiring someone who doesn't work out is unbelievably expensive. It can be a disaster for your team.

When we hire someone, we have no way of knowing if they'll be the life-long learner type who will aggressively consume new knowledge and learn as much as they possibly can. In other words, we have no way of knowing if we can effectively train them, and it's crazy expensive if we can't.

We've tried to hire 1 or 2 of them as interns, but usually they're not interested in being interns.

swimorsinka··on Advice for Coding Bootcamp Graduates
Author here: I don't believe anyone is inherently inferior. Given the same amount of time invested, I think everyone has a shot at performing well.

But a computer science graduate typically has 4 years under his or her belt in an engineering heavy curriculum, and because of that time invested, they seem to be stronger in problem solving.

We use Big-O as a signal for problem solving ability. Whether or not that signal is problematic is another question - you could argue that it is.

So yes, I would say that someone who has invested 4 years into problem solving is going to have an advantage over someone who has only put in 6 months, even if those 6 months are dedicated.

But the bootcamp graduate could equal the C.S. graduate with a little more investment.

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