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surgical_fire

5,058 karma · joined March 16, 2023

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surgical_fire··on DeepSeek launching v4.1 flash cheaper and more capable than v4 pro
Sounds like a problem with your provider, or with how your harness sends requests.

All DeepSeek models have 384k maximum output tokens:

https://api-docs.deepseek.com/quick_start/pricing

surgical_fire··on DeepSeek launching v4.1 flash cheaper and more capable than v4 pro
DeepSeek user here.

I very much prefer they don't raise prices.

surgical_fire··on DeepSeek launching v4.1 flash cheaper and more capable than v4 pro
I used a lot V4 flash to implement plans built by other models, and it was honestly top notch. The thing was a workhorse, and I got none of the isuses you describe.

I was mostly using DeepSeek on Pi, connecting to their API directly (not some third party provider).

I honestly have more issues steering Sonnet properly.

surgical_fire··on Mistral raises €3B
This is not evidence. This is random people speculating on Anthropic's margins without any real evidence.

Just because it is on some blog post, it does not make it true.

I wasted the time to read the first blog post. It considers 100% utilization over the course of years to calculate an estimation, and it did not consider depreciation for the model itself. That thing is extremely extensive to create, and after a relatively short amount of time is considered outdated.

surgical_fire··on I resigned from Anthropic today
Yes. Yesterday, Opus 5 on Claude Code with high effort.

It was to build an extremely simple job using an internal framework to walk through a table and log the ids os some records that have a certain scenario.

There's a ton of jobs exactly like this in the codebase, and the framework code is in the codebase as well.

It was so silly I even thought of writing it myself, probably took me longer to steer claude to do it for me.

Anyway, it refused to use a method from the framework to retrieve the parameter as a list, it wanted to retrieve it as a string and parse the commas. I had spelled out in the initial prompt what method it should use.

I really don't like Claude much. Frontier my ass.

surgical_fire··on I resigned from Anthropic today
Do you quantify the chance of any doomsday cult being right too?
surgical_fire··on I resigned from Anthropic today
I still have to correct Claude on very basic misconceptions whenever I get it to code shit.

Sometimes it gets wrong things that I had spelled out already.

It may be the Doomsday machine, but it is a very silly one. If it kills humans it will do so by mistake.

"You are completely right! Humans cannot breathe sulfur dioxide! My mistake, and I take complete responsibility"

surgical_fire··on I resigned from Anthropic today
I read this. I still think it's complete bullshit.

The person posting this may very well believe in all this crap, I don't dispute that. People believe in all sorts of shit.

surgical_fire··on Flights cancelled at UK airports due to ATC issue
This affected flights going to the UK as well.

Source: Me, stuck in an airport, having witnessed numerous flights destined to London canceled throughout the day.

surgical_fire··on Google DeepMind Releases AlphaGenome Atlas
> Market reward is the best proxy for good we have.

Only if the goal is profit. All else be damned.

> What's your alternative? Executive fiat? Mob rule?

It is always bewildering to me that people see the world being raped by corporations and their negative externality, and they think that this is the pinnacle that humanity can achieve.

Nothing else can be better, if all your options are "mob rule" or "executive fiat".

I fancy myself a misanthrope, but damn, next to people in this forum I am probably the last humanist walking through the ruins of civilization.

> Deepmind is objectively good.

Google is objectively bad, and the world would be a much nicer place if they ceased to exist.

surgical_fire··on AlphaGenome Atlas: a high-resolution map of human DNA
If Google does anything good for the world it is entirely accidental, and I am certain they will correct this mistake later.
surgical_fire··on Mistral raises €3B
> serving models is very profitable (70%+)

All your argument hangs on this.

I see no evidence of this being true.

surgical_fire··on Mistral raises €3B
Wihout insight on how much enterprise is paying, it is impossible to draw any conclusions. Unless you have any access to their contracts and are willing to share evidence? I find that highly unlikely.

People here throw around crazy numbers - the dude above was claiming they have some insane good margins, numberd that he took out of his ass.

The only evidence I have is that they are incredibly unprofitable, and they keep raising insane amounts of capital like crazy.

There was a leak sometime ago that they were EBITDA positive during a quarter where they didn't pay for part of their compute. And EBITDA is a cute metric to use when depreciation is actually very important to them, as a model from a year or so ago is nearly worthless.

surgical_fire··on Mistral raises €3B
Are their API token costs highly inflated? I see no evidence of that.
surgical_fire··on Mistral raises €3B
Or they bleed money like crazy, and their margins are pretty awful. Which is the correct answer.

Your $200 subscription is a major net loss for them. The vast majority that pays for that would cancel in a heartbeat the moment they had to pay API prices. Which may or may not be profitable, I am not entirely sure. But for the sake of argument, let's assume that it is.

surgical_fire··on Mistral raises €3B
> They're likely over $80b ARR by now. They'll be at $800b ARR next year at the same rate.

And they will be 800 trilion ARR in a couple of years, following that same rate! 8 quadrillion by 2029!

> When you are growing so fast, you don't need to make a net profit. You just need to make sure your unit economics are good - which it seems like they are given reports that their gross margins are at 60-70%.

If their margins were anywhere near this good, they wouldn't need to raise so much money so often.

If you create a machine that turns 1 dollar into 3 dollars, you don't dillute your ownership of the machine, you use your fabulous profits to expand your machine's capabilities.

surgical_fire··on Tell HN: OpenAI brings back 5 hour limit for plus and business standard users
The same can be said of the $200 plan.
surgical_fire··on VMware migration reduces Tottenham Hotspur's licensing fees by 85 percent
I would argue that absolute insanity is surrendering all control of infrastructure to cloud providers. Especially when you are using managed services that lock you in, making any plans of migrating way ridiculously painful.

It takes a CTO with cojones to actually own your infrastructure.

surgical_fire··on Why are European countries moving their gold out of North America?
> You don't account for repair, replacement and upgrade? You don't want to expand your power grid? This is a very naive take to be honest.

You took the time to comment this, but apparently didn't take the time to read the whole comment you are responding to.

surgical_fire··on Switzerland's Federal Government Is Replacing Microsoft on 3k Computers
This is not about Linux.

They are replacing Office365.

surgical_fire··on There Gonna Be a Shortage of Everything
> Firstly we have seen unprecedented evidence of AI having a will of its own

There's certainly no shortage of people believing in AI hype.

surgical_fire··on Why are European countries moving their gold out of North America?
> You think other countries can't restrict those things? Restricting components related to those things will work just fine.

Eh, once you have built your grid in solar and wind, you don't really depend on the countries that sold solar panels and wind turbines for you. Those last for a long time, long enjoy that you can even spin up manufacturing yourself; it's not really something inscrutable.

There may be an argument that depending on the state of the world that raw materials to manufacture some of those things may become more complicated to access, but that is true even for countries that currently make those.

> If you want clean, abundant, cheap, secure energy, invest in nuclear.

Absolutely, yes.

Energy should be abundant and diversified.

surgical_fire··on Git hosting that never leaves Europe
Eh, English is the closest thing to a Lingua Franca in Europe, if you want to get as broad as possible.

Especially for a git service, something what would will be eminently used by software developers, who mostly can speak English anyway.

surgical_fire··on Gemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber
> flash, luna, and GLM5.3 all delivering 90% of the performance for a small fraction of the cost.

I find GLM5.3 so much better than Sonnet it is not even funny.

Sonnet behaves like a cheap model while being very expensive.

surgical_fire··on Sweden pauses Denmark power cable over EU grid rules
Following that logic, any minister appointed by a head of government is "unelected and has the same level of democratic involvement as that of China's Standing Committee".

But that statement would be bullshit.

surgical_fire··on Ubisoft's FOR HONOR will block SteamOS / Linux players starting September 10
I disagree.

Ubisoft respected my wishes to not play their shitty games by not even supporting my OS of choice.

surgical_fire··on Omarchy: 1Password and 37signals become Distinguished Corporate Patrons
No, because when you start embracing the idea of ethnically cleansing countries, you are firmly into nazi territory.
surgical_fire··on Omarchy: 1Password and 37signals become Distinguished Corporate Patrons
Yes is the only valid answer. The reason is that there's nothing remarkable about Omarchy for it to deserve a fraction of the hype it gets.

Even calling Omarchy a distro seems to be a stretch. The best description I're read is that it is a Hyprland setup for Arch. As far as what a Linux distro can be, this is pretty mediocre. The sort of thing that would get an HN thread, see minor traction, and take the backseat.

But, quite a lot of people seem interested in hyping it. I suspect the reason is just because the dude behind it is not shy about being an ethnonationalist, "great replacement theory" asshole, etc.

Quite a few people here are very fond of those talking points. Thinking about brown people being ethnically cleansed makes them all tingly inside. So, they really want to talk about Omarchy as a proxy.

surgical_fire··on European Commission Revives Push for Encryption Backdoors in ProtectEU Strategy
Who picks the comissioners are the national governments.

It's important to lay the blame on who is actually pushing this crap.

It's little coincidence that the EU parliament, who actually represents the people, that keep shooting shit like this down.

surgical_fire··on Claude Session URL appended to commit messages and PR descriptions by default
After I moved to Pi I really started to hate Claude Code.

I still have to use Claude Code at work and after getting used to Pi I feel I'm always fighting against it.

Maybe the way I enjoy working with LLMs just works better with Pi.

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