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sumeno

4,146 karma · joined November 19, 2009

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sumeno··on We Think the SpaceX IPO Is Overvalued
Half a billion in JUST the rocket launches, you've still got to build the actual data center too.

That's assuming he can get launches down to $10 million which I'm sure will be right behind his flying roadster and cybertruck boat

sumeno··on We Think the SpaceX IPO Is Overvalued
He has never faced an actual meaningful consequence, of course he isn't afraid of them.
sumeno··on We Think the SpaceX IPO Is Overvalued
Look at Tesla stock and you have your answer. This will be another meme stock
sumeno··on AI is slowing down
He is not writing his blog to convince people, his primary audience already agrees.

That doesn't make him wrong.

sumeno··on AI is slowing down
Radiology isn't using chat bots
sumeno··on AI is slowing down
5-6 years is wildly optimistic for GPUs in an AI data center

Try 1-2: https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/gpus/datacenter-g...

sumeno··on AI is slowing down
It doesn't miss the point because if we get to some AI post-scarcity utopia then the companies pouring trillions into it now are never going to make their money back on that investment.

The only way they make their money back is if everyone pays them tons of money for it.

sumeno··on AI is slowing down
They don't immediately become worthless, but they don't last all that long either

https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/gpus/datacenter-g...

sumeno··on AI is slowing down
Ed's posts are peak preaching to the choir, they're usually factually correct but he is really bad at convincing anyone who doesn't already strongly agree with him.
sumeno··on S&P 500 rejects SpaceX, also blocking entry for OpenAI and Anthropic
Yes, every time there was discussion about Amazon not being profitable it was discussed.
sumeno··on Google to pay SpaceX $920M a month for compute capacity at xAI data centers
In the way that Michael Jordan and myself are both basketball players
sumeno··on Microsoft Wants to 'Make People Addicted' to Its New AI Assistant
He's lying or incompetent, your choice
sumeno··on Please Use AI
Most people did not rent houses on trips before airbnb
sumeno··on Blue Origin's New Glenn blows up during static fire test
Reading facts about Elon Musk and making reasonable conclusions about him based on those facts is just anti-Elon bias!

The only way to not be biased is to unthinkingly accept everything he says as truth

sumeno··on Blue Origin's New Glenn blows up during static fire test
The people I know who have worked for him would not call him a competent manager
sumeno··on The $500K AI Film That "Premiered at Cannes" Was Not in the Official Festival
It's a pathetic outlook to just roll over and let everyone screw you over constantly
sumeno··on Sam Altman and Dario Amodei are both walking back AI jobs apocalypse predictions
I seriously doubt their actual beliefs* have changed in the slightest. They just see which way the wind is blowing with public sentiment and are trying to do damage control.

*I doubt they HAVE actual beliefs. Their entire job is managing PR and convincing investors.

sumeno··on All of human cooking compressed into 2 megabytes
It makes me take the paper less seriously when one of the authors is submitting it with an inaccurate clickbait title.
sumeno··on Greg Brockman interview [video]
I haven't said anything about my own morality other than that I don't want a billion dollars.

If you really want to know, I give away more than 10% of my income every year to charity. In just the past decade I've given away about 20% of my net worth, and I'm not even close to set for life. That's more than all but a few billionaires will give away in their lifetimes, and I promise you that I need that 20% much more than any billionaire needs 90% of theirs. If I lose my job I'm fucked, if they never make another dollar they can live thousands of lifetimes without changing their standard of living in any meaningful way.

Does that make me a good person? No. It absolutely makes them bad people though.

Giving away money doesn't make you a good person, but hoarding it makes you a bad person.

sumeno··on Greg Brockman interview [video]
Regardless of what else they did, they hoarded enough wealth to live hundreds of lifetime without ever wanting for anything while there are people on this planet who are starving, homeless, or can't afford basic medical care.

Being a billionaire itself is unethical. They are excessively greedy to the point of evil. If they weren't they would have stopped hoarding wealth hundreds of millions of dollars sooner.

If I had enough food to feed a hundred thousand people for the rest of their lives, more than anyone could ever eat in thousands of lifetimes, and I kept hoarding more and more food while people were starving you would ask what the fuck is wrong with me, there's no way I'll ever need all that food. I would rightly be called obsessive, greedy, and a sociopath. Add one layer of abstraction and we hold these monsters up as heroes.

sumeno··on Greg Brockman interview [video]
I do not want a billion dollars, there is no ethical way to get a billion dollars. If I accidentally had a billion dollars I would get rid of the billion dollars as quickly as possible.

The op thinks that I, as well as most of the other responses to them, are liars

sumeno··on Greg Brockman interview [video]
It's a direct response to the person I was replying to, that's how posts work.
sumeno··on Greg Brockman interview [video]
I would be a billionaire for about 5 minutes because I'd spend 95% of it making the lives of others better and still have enough left over that neither me nor any of my immediate family ever has to work again instead of hoarding it like the monsters who end up actually having a billion dollars.
sumeno··on Bun's unreleased Rust port has 13,365 unsafe blocks
Nobody knows if it is less safe than the Zig version because nobody has ever read the code. Maintainers included
sumeno··on The Companies Cutting Headcount for AI Will Lose to the Ones Who Didn't
In 20 years I have never been on a team that didn't have twice as much work as we had people to do it.

Businesses are not magically efficient

sumeno··on Waymo pauses Atlanta service as its robotaxis keep driving into floods
Just because there are real world failures doesn't mean they didn't do simulations. It could just mean the simulation didn't account for something different in the real world.

The website for software engineers is assuming that a production failure means nobody did any testing before prod...

sumeno··on Steve Wozniak cheered after telling students they have AI – actual intelligence
The actual headline is not ambiguous at all

> Apple cofounder Steve Wozniak got cheers, not boos, after telling students they 'all have AI — actual intelligence'

Modern journalism deserves a lot of criticism, but this headline is not one of those cases

sumeno··on AI is just unauthorised plagiarism at a bigger scale
Ok, AI companies first then since they are some of the biggest offenders
sumeno··on Anthropic is expanding to Colossus2. Will use GB200
They have neither the most resources nor the best models. They are mediocre at everything except the CSAM generation market, they've got that one cornered
sumeno··on An OpenAI model has disproved a central conjecture in discrete geometry
How are you going to train a frontier level llm with no references to post 1700 mathematics?
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