34 karma · joined January 14, 2015
There's one important point that has been explicitly mentioned (if I'm not mistaken, by Medvedev)
"We got sanctions after operation in Georgia in 2008, but some time has passed and they started talking to us and working with us again"
Their expectation: an offence against a neighbouring country generates not more than some sanctions that would be removed soon.
It has worked like this in 2008. Why wouldn't it work now?
Historically, most of multi-national empires in Europe (Austria-Hungary; Germans; Osmans) has fallen in the beginning of 20th century, but this one has mostly survived. Poland and Finland were lucky enough to separate, some other countries (Baltics, Ukraine) were less successful and got reintegrated into the new, totalitarian XX century edition of the empire.
It's natural that any neighbouring country not willing to become a playground for now less totalitarian but still oppressive and oligarch-run empire of Russian Federation would unite with anyone who could help, especially NATO. For example NATO and US could be the only reason for Estonia still being independent and successful just 100 km away from st. Peteresburg
As mentioned in article 2, the High Contracting Parties shall respect each other′s territorial integrity and reaffirm the inviolability of the borders existing between them
.. signed in 1997, which fixed the principle of strategic partnership, the recognition of the inviolability of existing borders, and respect for territorial integrity and mutual commitment not to use its territory to harm the security of each other.