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stetrain

6,464 karma · joined November 17, 2017

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stetrain··on Apple Watch Ultra 4
That does diminish the sleep tracking benefits. It's still doable, but now it becomes "remember to charge your watch at least an hour before bedtime" which isn't as simple of a routine.
stetrain··on Apple Watch Ultra 4
Check out Pedometer++
stetrain··on iPhone Duo
This is partly why iPhones have a feature to disable biometric unlock by holding the lock + volume button (same gesture as emergency mode).
stetrain··on Apple Watch Series 12
I think they really need a separate product that can have no screen or a minimal screen and ditches the need for app compatibility. Just selling the Apple Fitness features without the screen for apps would provide a lot of value and let them play with form factors and lower price points.
stetrain··on Sony makes bold claim about game ownership
Yes, some people are trying to achieve this by arguing that physical media should stick around forever. I think the real solution is providing the same protections and rights for digital purchases as we had with physical media.

That would be a real win for consumers since we get the advantages of digital media with the ownership and transference rights of physical media.

Of course this would be a great inconvenience to those who wish to charge the same price for a temporary revocable license to the content, and they have deep lobbying pockets to fight against it.

stetrain··on Florida revokes permits for license plate readers on state highways
Fundamentally we need controls on how both the state and private industry can store, use, and share such data.

Playing whack-a-mole with each specific type of surveillance and company involved isn't really fixing the issue.

stetrain··on Apple caught off guard by AI demand for Mac Mini and Mac Studio
The part where people starting buying Mac minis just to run OpenClaw was a pretty sudden movement in the market. These computers aren't powerful enough to run big local LLMs but are still being purchased for AI workflows.

A year ago you could get an M4 Mac mini for $399 on sale and now the same one used goes for over $700. The general AI RAM/SSD spike is part of that but there was also a huge demand spike for small, powerful, desktop machines that could be easily configured with these workflow tools.

stetrain··on Apple caught off guard by AI demand for Mac Mini and Mac Studio
At this point it's basically like car models years. They rev them annually and make a few improvements but they're actually going longer between major redesigns. If they didn't bump the numbers every year people walking into stores would be worried about paying lots of money for an old phone that will soon be replaced by a much newer model.
stetrain··on Early 2000s were peak of humanity
> Which is why the Matrix was redesigned to this: the peak of your civilization. I say your civilization, because as soon as we started thinking for you it really became our civilization, which is of course what this is all about.
stetrain··on Credit Card Rewards Became a $9.2B Wealth Transfer
If you shop at places where many customers user credit cards, and those places don't change an extra credit card processing fee to customers, then you are effectively paying for those credit card fees whether or not you use one.

Opting out doesn't save you from those costs.

stetrain··on Fairphone is now officially available in the United States
This is only true if you consider those who write corporate press releases and post on LinkedIn to be real people. /s

Personally I find writing of this type grating whether the source was AI or the amalgamated output of a committee of humans in a PR department.

stetrain··on People are worried about America's solvency
And when Republicans were in power they cut taxes and spent $2T on a war in Iraq.

Cutting taxes without cutting spending raises the deficit and seems to be the GOP's most common fiscal policy.

stetrain··on Incident with Github.com
> as their usage increased something like 50x due to LLM sloppers pushing large amounts of trash code

Github and their parent company are active participants in pushing LLM-driven coding.

stetrain··on Tell HN: GitHub Is Experiencing Degraded Performance
githubstatus.com has been updated with an incident now:

> Update - We are seeing an approximate 20% error rate across numerous experiences including Pull Requests, Issues, and others. Investigations are currently under way and we will be posting updates as they become available Aug 17, 2026 - 13:45 UTC

stetrain··on People are worried about America's solvency
The GOP was not fiscally conservative before Trump either.
stetrain··on GM Backs Sodium Ion Batteries for U.S. Grid Storage
The constraints and priorities for EVs and grid storage are very different.

In a car it’s worth paying more for higher volumetric and gravitational density. For aircraft even more so.

For grid storage, physical space is usually not the largest issue. Cost of deployment, stability, and cycle life are bigger factors.

stetrain··on CarPlay Is Additive
I find Tesla’s interface to be inferior as soon as you want to use an app they haven’t built. Like my podcasts app. Or receiving / replying to a WhatsApp message. Even the built-in text message support can’t handle replying to a group text.

Personally I’d stick with Tesla’s nav and use CarPlay for media and messaging, and that’s the optionality and user choice I think this post is trying to get at.

stetrain··on OpenAI ‘in early talks to give 5% stake to US government’
Have any CEOs been held criminally liable for bribing government officials lately?
stetrain··on Sixty percent of US consumers say 'AI' in brand messaging is a turnoff
The positive viewpoint is basically like the Industrial Revolution or the post-WWII consumer/convenience boom.

If productivity can increase significantly per worker, the result will be major overall economic growth.

It might be sold to consumers the way vacuums and washing machines were. With these automated modern conveniences you'll spend less time working and have more time for leisure.

Of course the reality for the actual workers on the line is that their job and industry may be disrupted and the overall benefits of that economic growth may not reach them during their lifetime. The Industrial Revolution was followed by a century of major and sometimes violent disputes over the relationship between corporations and labor and the rights of workers.

The post-WWII promises of convenience and leisure were replaced by the reality of the baseline adjusting and households needing to work the same or even more combined hours to make ends meet.

Even if the optimistic levels of economic growth occur, the benefits are unlikely to be evenly distributed.

stetrain··on Sixty percent of US consumers say 'AI' in brand messaging is a turnoff
Sure, so the economic anxiety from people with careers in the horse and cart industry was fully justified.
stetrain··on Sixty percent of US consumers say 'AI' in brand messaging is a turnoff
> Rich people are stealing all the jobs.

The AI promoters are themselves saying these things because it is the positive case for their business, that other businesses can pay them for AI services that are cheaper and better than keeping existing jobs.

> Speaking at the Capital Framework for Large Banks conference at the Federal Reserve board of governors, Altman told the crowd that certain job categories would be completely eliminated by AI advancement.

> “Some areas, again, I think just like totally, totally gone,” he said, singling out customer support roles. “That’s a category where I just say, you know what, when you call customer support, you’re on target and AI, and that’s fine.”

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/jul/22/openai-sa...

stetrain··on SpaceX to buy Cursor for $60B
The current market cap of SPCX and TSLA combined (~$3.8T) is about 3 times the total value of all BTC (~$1.3T).
stetrain··on Hetzner Price Adjustment
You can't shift productivity by 10X and expect the rest of the supply/demand equilibrium to stay the same, with you working 10% of the time and sipping drinks on the beach while retaining the same job opportunities and expected salaries.

There will be increased competition for job openings, reductions in real wages, or increased expectations of productivity. Probably some combination of all three.

stetrain··on Amazon Says Its Data Centers Use 2.5B Gallons of Water
And some foods are a lot more water efficient than others to produce.
stetrain··on Why SpaceX 2040 Revenue FCST $4.3T in highly unlikely
> it's "when," not "if."

That has always been the question since Elon started making self-driving claims back in 2016. If you believed him any time up until now you'd have been wrong and potentially own a car that will never drive without a responsible human in the driver's seat.

Another question is how many resources each "self-driving" car needs to complete its task. All of the major self-driving taxi providers do have monitoring staff who need to intervene occasionally to get the car unstuck from some situations.

If you need to pay one monitor per 10 cars you can run a taxi service in specific markets but it's pretty hard to roll that out to a fleet of millions of personally-owned cars.

stetrain··on Why SpaceX 2040 Revenue FCST $4.3T in highly unlikely
Tesla's own expectation six years ago was that they would be selling 20 million cars annually by 2030:

https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-...

Tesla's recent annual car sales:

2023: 1.81M

2024: 1.79M

2025: 1.64M

Elon's failed timeline predictions about self-driving and Robotaxi fleets are too numerous to attempt to cite here.

What has mostly exceeded expectations about Tesla is their stock price compared to actual productivity.

stetrain··on Wind and solar generated more power than gas globally in April 2026
We have already reached the point where solar and wind produce new MW of power cheaper than any other power source you can build.

Of course that energy generation comes with the caveat of being variable with sun and wind. It can still be a net benefit to the grid but the variability means alternative energy sources are still needed.

The cost trend of installing solar/wind plus enough storage capacity to provide steady grid power will eventually cross over to also being cheaper than other sources of energy. At which point the only reason to be against it is if you prefer artificially subsidizing another energy source.

stetrain··on Gmail thinks I'm stupid, so I left
A big question about this push for AI/LLM features in products, and I think very related to public sentiment on AI, is that if these features were so desirable and useful why do they need to be so forcefully promoted?

If these features were so useful, the internet would be full of articles and viral videos about how to turn them on and use them.

Instead, every single software service you sign in to now has to stop you with popups, chat windows, and sparkle animations to show you all of the shiny new AI features they have added, like they're all Microsoft trying to convince you to switch your browser to Edge.

stetrain··on Microsoft builds MacBook Pro rival with NVIDIA-powered Surface Laptop Ultra
ARM Windows laptops are a pretty different scenario now than when the Surface came out. They have pretty seamless x86/64 emulation built in similar to when Apple started their Mac transition to ARM. In contrast the OG ARM Surface didn't run any existing Windows software.

Most people could pick up a modern Windows ARM laptop and everything they do would work just fine, just potentially with less heat and longer battery life than their older Windows laptop.

The primary annoyances would be Windows itself and its ad and engagement driven UI reminding you about Copilot and Edge every chance it gets.

stetrain··on Spain blocks prediction markets Polymarket, Kalshi over lack of gambling licence
They've discovered that it's more efficient if the money flows directly from the private enterprise to the politicians without going through tax revenue.
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