sterlingcrispin

it avoids sports bets because "Who will win game 6 of XYZ" is formatted on the polymarket backend as a Yes/No bet. There's a lot of markets with Yes/No plumbing even though you wouldn't interpret them as such

for the lulz obviously

you wouldn't get it

In your scenario you're assuming the dice rolls are all independent. If polymarket bets were all pure dice rolls the 60% odds you quoted would be true.

But they aren't independent there are a lot of correlations. Global geopolitics for example.

The way the math works out, 73% of markets resolve to No, If you buy No at 0.73 each time you would break even.

Not financial advice of course

this is a good dataset

https://huggingface.co/datasets/SII-WANGZJ/Polymarket_data

"A comprehensive dataset of 1.9 billion trading records from Polymarket, processed into multiple analysis-ready formats. Features cleaned data, unified token perspectives, and user-level transformations — ready for market research, behavioral studies, and quantitative analysis."

I love heroku, death to vercel

Yes exactly.

The bot has zero risk management and I have a strong disclaimer on the github it is essentially a meme.

73% of all polymarkets do resolve to No though.

There's a good dataset on huggingface if you wanted to do some data science

https://huggingface.co/datasets/SII-WANGZJ/Polymarket_data

a few entry points:

Call some of the phone numbers

Register for a visitor pass

Log in to the Intranet

Apply for a job through the onboarding portal

Also, the "merch" is a regulatory requirement. All property owned by Del Complex that has been declared as surplus is required to be sold and dispersed by the Del Complex Property Office to government agencies, qualified non-profit entities, and the public.

Ironically, not paying the producers and maintainers of the code is classic capitalism.

I don't want to speak for anyone else. But yes it's something we should take seriously and be responsible with.

I'm more concerned with ad tech that's already out there and having massive impacts on society.

Hah! This is very quirky and interesting, connecting it so close to the metal is an odd choice but cool.

bro I am not worth millions I'd delete my twitter account and go enjoy my life if I was

Hey I appreciate the general lack of cruelty so far in the comments, sometimes HN can be pretty rough.

The weird phrasing in the tweet is because I can't talk about any of the work I did due to NDA's besides my job description and those patents. But I had a pretty unusual role all things considered. I was also trying to clarify in the tweet that these aren't meant to be interpreted as unannounced existing features or capabilities of the product. But rather, research I did and contributed to, that was made public through patents.

There's a ton of interesting preexisting research literature about neurotechnology research for VR. Both in terms of using it for biofeedback, and using it as a device just for studying the brain. If that sounds interesting browse through what's out there via google scholar.

Also I said I spent 10% of my life working on it, realizing that was a goofy way of putting it. But it's a standout thing in my life and it was mostly a self reflection on what a trip being alive is, not trying to brag about it, mostly just sharing what I did. It's an unusual product and I had an unusual role

Anyway it's a cool device and hopefully people enjoy it.

I know its not in plain sight but if you RTFA there's a diagram at the bottom that mentions them.

http://sterlingcrispin.com/data-masks/map_of_attempts.png

Thanks, but btw someone else submitted this to HN I hadn't planned on fully publishing the project until a few weeks from now when my thesis is due but it was posted to medium.com so I quickly put some documentation together

There are more technical details at the bottom of that page in the form of diagrams

Thank you please recheck my site in a few weeks for my full thesis

His project is pure poetics/politics and has no direct relationship to computer vision

Its as much anti facial recognition as a paper bag

That's not what I did.

I used a genetic algorithm with facial detection/recognition algorithms as fitness functions

Recognition algorithms like eigenfaces, fischerfaces will reproduce one individual.

More general detection algorithms like YEF realtime object detection as a fitness function will result in more general faces which represent some of the learned features from the LFW database. I'm not just combining images, there's lots of machine learning involved.

Recheck my site in two weeks or so I'll be posting my MS thesis about the subject with more technical details.

(Wrote this on my phone excuse the brevity)