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somewhereoutth

2,095 karma · joined March 24, 2017

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somewhereoutth··on The Big TDD Misunderstanding
I would add that human interfaces need to be tested by humans (preferably not your paying customers), machine interfaces by machines.
somewhereoutth··on Claude Sonnet 4.6
Uber's genius was getting their workers (sorry, 'contractors') to carry the capital costs of providing the fleet of vehicles they use.
somewhereoutth··on Semantic ablation: Why AI writing is generic and boring
> What began as a jagged, precise Romanesque structure of stone is eroded into a polished, Baroque plastic shell

Not to detract from the overall message, but I think the author doesn't really understand Romanesque and Baroque.

(as an aside, I'd most likely associate Post-Modernism as an architectural style with the output of LLMs - bland, regurgitative, and somewhat incongruous)

somewhereoutth··on Ask HN: Why is my Claude experience so bad? What am I doing wrong?
Agreed. Many of the suggestions are pretty much code it yourself, but without actually tapping the individual keys.

Furthermore, and more generally, one of the great things about (traditional) coding is that it allows 'thinking through making' - by building something you learn more about the problem and thus how best to solve it. Code generation just leaves you with reviewing, which is less powerful in this way I believe. See also 'thinking through writing [prose]'.

somewhereoutth··on How often do full-body MRIs find cancer?
No.

When there is low prevalence of a condition, but a non-zero false positive rate of a test, the false positives generated by universal testing can in fact be a net dis-benefit (worry, invasive further procedures, etc) to the patient population as a whole, regardless of cost. This is a well understood statistical phenomenon, and is carefully considered by healthcare systems when advising on testing.

somewhereoutth··on Breaking the spell of vibe coding
"Hell is other people's code"

Not sure why we'd want a tool that generates so much of this for us.

somewhereoutth··on The EU moves to kill infinite scrolling
Infinite scrolling combined with the algorithmic feed is the real nasty.

Feeds should be heavily regulated, effectively they are a (personalized!) broadcast, and maybe the same strictures should apply. Definitely they should be transparent (e.g. chronological from subscribed topics), and things like veering more extreme in order to drive engagement should be outlawed.

somewhereoutth··on Anthropic raises $30B in Series G funding at $380B post-money valuation
> based on multiple public statements from people like Dario

> clear picture of the finances of these companies

Since they are not publicly traded companies, presumably there is no legal duty for the officers to be clear or even honest about these numbers?

But even assuming good faith, my understanding is that the scale of the current build out is so huge that revenues would need to exceed the size of many entire industries to have a chance to turn a profit.

somewhereoutth··on Anthropic raises $30B in Series G funding at $380B post-money valuation
Sorry - if a model costs (say) 20B to train, lasts 12 months before it becomes obsolete, generates 2B/month revenue, but with 1B/month inference costs, then it has lost 8B.

Or are you suggesting that in fact each model comes out ahead over its lifespan, and all this extra cash is needed because the next model is so much more costly to train that it is sucking up all the profits from the current, but this is ok because revenue is expected to also scale?

somewhereoutth··on Claude Code is being dumbed down?
Apple was built on a product manager shouting at engineers until they got it right.
somewhereoutth··on Luce: First Electric Ferrari
"we don't want your electric car, we want your car, but electric!"
somewhereoutth··on Why is Singapore no longer "cool"?
Indeed. And this burden of a top heavy population pyramid is a major reason for not having [more] kids - a vicious circle, which, if left to continue, will result in humanity simply evaporating.

A pretty depressing place, with whole towns and cities abandoned, as the dwindling population huddles closer together. Not just geography though, there would also be a retreat in the arts, sciences, etc as there are simply not enough people to maintain let alone advance these endeavours. Life would be about eking the last out of what was left over from the 'glory days', a sort of slow motion apocalypse.

somewhereoutth··on The silent death of good code
However a lot of the modern world is carried by 'pride of workmanship' - and not just by those who 'make'. It's an extension of the 'planting trees' parable, to care about things even though you are not immediately (or ever) rewarded.
somewhereoutth··on The silent death of good code
However if the 'non determinism and inaccuracy' of LLMs is more pathogenic than that of humans, then we have a problem. Pathogenesis is inherently a system level effect, so it may take a little time (and money!) to become evident.
somewhereoutth··on Big Tech's AI Push Is Costing More Than the Moon Landing
specifically to keep up with the Soviet Union. Sputnik 'concentrated a lot of minds' as they say.
somewhereoutth··on The AI boom is causing shortages everywhere else
I suspect a lot of this is due to large amounts of liquidity sloshing around looking for returns. We are still dealing with the consequences of the ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) and QE (Quantitative Easing) where money to support the economy through the Great Financial Crisis and Covid was largely funneled in to the top, causing the 'everything bubble'. The rich got (a lot) richer, and now have to find something to do with that wealth. The immeasurable returns promised by LLMs (in return for biblical amounts of investment) fits that bill very well.
somewhereoutth··on The next steps for Airbus' big bet on open rotor engines
The cowling is its own structural support, so needs to be strong all around, otherwise it would fail on the other side and you'd get blade+cowling approaching the fuselage at high velocity.
somewhereoutth··on The next steps for Airbus' big bet on open rotor engines
I think it is the stators fixed to the engine nacelle, judging by the article image.
somewhereoutth··on Anthropic is Down
In other news: https://fortune.com/2026/01/29/100-percent-of-code-at-anthro...
somewhereoutth··on English professors double down on requiring printed copies of readings
'ability to reason' implies that LLMs are building a semantic model from their training data, whereas the simplest explanation for their behavior is that they are building a syntactic model (see Plato's Cave). Thus without new training they cannot 'learn', RAG or no RAG.
somewhereoutth··on English professors double down on requiring printed copies of readings
without training new models, existing models will become more and more out of date, until they are no longer useful - regardless of how cheap inference is. Training new models is part of the cost basis, and can't be hand waved away.
somewhereoutth··on English professors double down on requiring printed copies of readings
LLMs will stop being trained, as that enormous upfront investment will have been found to not produce the required return. People will continue to use the existing models for inference, not least as the (now bankrupt) LLM labs attempt to squeeze the last juice out of their remaining assets (trained LLMs). However these models will become more and more outdated, less and less useful, until they are not worth the electricity to do the inference anymore. Thus it will end.
somewhereoutth··on How I estimate work
Features : Quality : Timeline

Choose 2. For example a large feature set can be made quickly, but it will be of poor quality.

Note that cost is somewhat orthogonal, throwing money at a problem does not necessarily improve the tradeoff, indeed sometimes it can make things worse.

somewhereoutth··on OpenAI could reportedly run out of cash by mid-2027
> Investors were briefly spooked last July when an M.I.T. study suggested that almost none of this is useful to businesses. Corporations had poured tens of billions of dollars into A.I., yet only one in 20 projects had succeeded, the study reported. But a Wharton study in October delivered the opposite verdict. After interviewing 801 leaders at U.S. companies, Wharton concluded that three-quarters of the businesses were getting a positive return on their A.I. investments.

MIT actually carried out a study. Wharton just asked some execs, who of course parroted the party line. Winter is coming.

somewhereoutth··on Dev-owned testing: Why it fails in practice and succeeds in theory
If your product interface is with humans, you test it firstly with devs, then QA, then your customers.

Devs are a bit leaky for bugs/non-conformance, so if you skip the QA, then your customer is exposed. For some industries this is fine - for others, not so much.

somewhereoutth··on Google removes AI health summaries
depends if the cost of training can be recouped (with profit) from the proceeds of usage. Plenty of inventions prove themselves to be uneconomic.
somewhereoutth··on Don't fall into the anti-AI hype
However, as you point out, anti-AI people are pushing back against hype, not indulging in hype themselves - not least as nobody is trying to sell 'not-AI'.

I for one look forward to the next AI winter, which I hope will be long, deep, and savage.

somewhereoutth··on Code Is Clay
I feel that this article (like many other endeavors) has been derailed by the whole AI thing. Let's ignore that part.

The major point is that yes both clay and code are mediums for expression and they have advantages and drawbacks - for expression, for monetization, for utility and so on. I myself are quite interested in how these (and other) different mediums affect the author (artist/designer/potter/coder etc) in how they think, what they think about, and how that mediates their relation with the world around them - and indeed the consequent cultures emerging therein.

somewhereoutth··on Circumcision classed as possible child abuse in draft CPS document
As it should be.

However this practice has become deeply culturally ingrained, whether through religion or other custom, so it is going to be a hard slog to eradicate it worldwide.

somewhereoutth··on Eulogy for Dark Sky, a data visualization masterpiece (2023)
Rain radar is something I'm always looking at online, it's easy to fast forward from an hour back and see whats about to hit you.

I think that would make a great single purpose mobile app - automatically knows where the sources of information are and shows you the rain - where it was, and where it is going.

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