Right now all that's happening is the US is extracting that natural gas, and the middle east extracting that oil, and Europe is importing it. Which pollutes more and costs more. Just develop your domestic supplies.
I don't follow your logic.
17,081 karma · joined May 14, 2013
Right now all that's happening is the US is extracting that natural gas, and the middle east extracting that oil, and Europe is importing it. Which pollutes more and costs more. Just develop your domestic supplies.
I don't follow your logic.
Heck right now, Europe is still burning coal (and worse yet - lignite coal) for electricity. Natural gas would be a huge improvement on that.
Note that drilling for oil in the North Sea is a completely different subject, because that's not used for electricity generation, nor is electricity a substitute. EV market share in Europe is still far too low for that to be a conversation for a long time.
Your comment is wishful thinking and ignores the current reality of how Europe imports and uses energy.
But even if your best case scenario were somehow possible (and it really isn't) there's still money to be made exporting fossil fuels to the developing world. So your assertion "inefficient use of capital to support more fossil exploration" is just flat wrong.
I'm guessing you think otherwise? Why? Do you think the energy transition will be faster? What makes you think that?
You actually could find a reliable and cost effective source of ethical ranching, it typically requires buying e.g. a whole side of beef from a specific ranch.
Not very convenient, but if you worry so much about the conditions of the animal, that gives you a way to choose one that fits your standards.
It doesn't seem such a clear cut ethical decision to me. Certainly there are some forms of raising livestock that are terrible (broiler chickens come to mind), but there are other forms that actually seem quite pleasant for the animals most of the time (e.g. free-range cattle).
You will also add a markdown file to the changelog directory named with the current date and time `date -u +"%Y-%m-%dT%H-%M-%SZ"`, record the prompt, and a brief summary of what changes you made, this should be the same summary you gave the developer in the chat.
From that I get the prompt and the summary for each change. It's not perfect but it at least adds some context around the commit.
That ship has sailed, you're the one who has to adapt to the usage of the word in the world, not the world to you.
I'm a software engineer, and I don't write code anymore. I'm still coming to terms with that, grieving the loss of my old career and getting used to the new career which is more like a technical lead and product person than a computer programmer.
And there's always a chance things go wrong, even with inside information. It would be unwise to go all in.
I'm laughing a bit at Germany, but Europe in general has lost the plot when it comes to innovation.
Lets us evaluate people in real conditions and visa versa.
I expect the software market will change from lots of big kitchen sink included systems and services to many smaller more specialized solutions with small agile teams behind them.
Some engineers that lose their jobs are going to create new businesses and new jobs.
The question in my mind: is there enough feature and software demand out there to keep all of the engineers employed at 3x the productivity? Maybe. Software has been limited on the supply side by how expensive it was to produce. Now it may bump into limits on the demand side instead.
Meanwhile LLMs are better than junior devs, so nobody wants to hire a junior dev. No idea how we get senior devs then. How many people will be scared away from entering this career path?
The job has changed. How many software engineers will leave the career now that the job is more of a technically minded product person and code reviewer?
I can't predict how it all plays out, but I'm along for the ride. Grieving the loss of programming and trying to get used to this new world.
On the other hand there are lots of companies hiring still, so you could also keep working as a software engineer, if that's what you're good at.
The job has changed a lot though, it's not about writing code by hand anymore.
But arguing about the details is kind of missing the point. Microsoft's value is also inflated by the AI bubble and can't be used as a point of reference.
[1] https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/software...
Time will tell.
"but this time is different, it's not a bubble, there's real value there"
Economists use the term “bubble” to describe an asset price that has risen above the level justified by economic fundamentals, as measured by the discounted stream of expected future cash flows that will accrue to the owner of the asset.
I think there's little argument that is happening, the question is more about to what extent is it a bubble.
The entire global software industry is worth less than $1 trillion dollars. Or in other words smaller than the current valuation of just OpenAI + Anthropic.
Planned capital investment this year by the Magnificent 7 alone is $600B. More than 2/3 of the total global software industry. In one year. Good luck buying any computer hardware this year, there will be a shortage of everything, including electricity.
It's a bubble. But when does the music stop?
If something is expungable it probably shouldn't be public record. Otherwise it should be open and scrapable and ingested by both search engines and AI.
But SpaceX has lots of real engineers who are very smart. I’m certain they ran the math on it. Which is more than you or I have done.
If they say it can be done, I’m inclined to believe them.
Next week we'll find out if this was a buy on dip opportunity or if it marks a multi-year top in precious metals and the start of a deeper correction and real technical damage.
One day that will happen and the trend will reverse, but it's always more probable that a trend continues.
Don't be so quick to dismiss it, there could be a link.
I don't see it. Maybe at worst it's a temporary setback, not a permanent one.
It's not an extinction level event (not for humans anyway, it may well be for many other species.) It's not a candidate for the great filter.
There will be migration, but over centuries, not a sudden exodus. There may be wars, but what's new.
But it's also clear, it won't be enough. Emissions are not only still increasing, they likely won't stop increasing in my lifetime (in the next 50 years.)
We must adapt. The earth is going to get a lot warmer, and wetter in some parts, and drier in others, and sea levels will likely keep slowly rising for many centuries to come, if not millennia.
Adapt.
There’s no stopping this train.