HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

skmurphy

5,083 karma · joined February 27, 2007

http://www.twitter.com/skmurphy for "Quotes for Entrepreneurs"

http://www.bootstrappersbreakfast.com/ You buy your own breakfast and take part in a serious conversation with other bootstrapping entrepreneurs.

http://www.skmurphy.com/blog/

http://www.linkedin.com/in/skmurphy

submissionscomments
skmurphy··on Roundup of October 2026 Bootstrapper Events
This October 2026 roundup lists online events for bootstrappers including Bootstrappers Breakfast and Lean Culture.

There are also in-person Bootstrapper Breakfast meetings in Las Vegas, San Francisco, and Silicon Valley.

These events are for “entrepreneurs who eat problems for breakfast.”®

skmurphy··on US coal 'biggest contributor by far' to rise in global emissions
Estimates are tricky but it seems like there is a rough consensus that CCP cumulative carbon emissions will pass the US between 2035 and 2050. The calculation that matters for global impact is total emission levels. We only have one atmosphere. While decision making that affects the total is a mix of individual and governmental, in a totalitarian state government decisions outweigh individual ones by orders or magnitude.
skmurphy··on US coal 'biggest contributor by far' to rise in global emissions
I did not realize your primary concern was saving US consumers money. If that's the case then my question is irrelevant. The original article was focused on global carbon emissions, which was the context for my question.
skmurphy··on US coal 'biggest contributor by far' to rise in global emissions
what's your forecast for crossover point of total carbon emission from coal China vs. US?
skmurphy··on US coal 'biggest contributor by far' to rise in global emissions
Shouldn't it be more about absolute impact? Tell me when you think the crossover occurs and US exceed Chinese use?
skmurphy··on US coal 'biggest contributor by far' to rise in global emissions
Selene Law: "Make no mistake: China is still by far the biggest CO2 emitter in the world”

from https://www.visualcapitalist.com/the-countries-that-consume-... top 10 coal burning nations:

Consumption in exajoules ranked by 2025 use

   1 China 92.24 55.6%
   2 India 23.07 13.9%
   3 US     8.73  5.3%
   4 Indon  5.15 3.1%
   5 Japan  4.36 2.6%
   6 SA     3.65 2.2%
   7 Russia 3.56 2.1%
   8 S.Korea 2.86 1.7%
   9 Vietnam 2.57 1.5%
  10 Türkiye 1.79 1.1%
skmurphy··on Qwen 3.8 follows GPT-5.5 Pro reasoning prefills
Some jobs were not possible without the tool. Two examples:

Water filtration / sewage management in a city

Electric illumination transformed everyday life, improved working conditions, etc..

I think you are ignoring technology as infrastructure having a transformative impact on life expectancy and quality of life.

skmurphy··on Qwen 3.8 follows GPT-5.5 Pro reasoning prefills
No: here are a few examples

fire suppression: alarms, sprinklers, halon, fireproof and fire resistant materials

agricultural breakthroughs (e.g. Green Revolution)

life support (e.g. oxygen, anesthetic, NICU, insulin)

low cost clothing (compared to pre-Industrial Revolution) unlocked a lot of possibilities for people.

skmurphy··on Concentration Risk
Microsoft and Jane Street are paying for AI out of profits, so that cash flow looks more sustainable than investor dollars flowing to frontier labs via VC-backed startups. But it's a good point that some of Microsoft's spend may also be the result of VC investment in startups. I guess the fundamental questions is if either OpenAI or Anthropic can find a sustainable model. Probably, but not in their current configuration.

The "we help you fire your people" messaging has been a catastrophe but there have clearly been breakthroughs in code generation with more to be discovered.

I suspect AI becomes more like the steam engine, the railroads, or electricity, transforming society but leaving it fundamentally recognizable. Reasonable men may differ.

skmurphy··on Concentration Risk
I agree, the headline lacks the nuance of what Zitron includes in the footnotes. What is your estimate of concentration risk of AI use in VC-backed startups? Do you think there is more enterprise use that is not captured and it's more like 40% or 20%. I am not trying to be argumentative, I am trying to get a sense of other viable alternatives.
skmurphy··on Concentration Risk
Key points

Concentration risk is any single exposure or group of exposures with the potential to produce losses large enough (relative to capital, total assets, or overall risk level) to threaten a financial institution’s health or ability to maintain its core operations. (from https://ncua.gov/regulation-supervision/letters-credit-union...)

80% Of OpenAI And Anthropic’s Enterprise Revenues Come From 1% Of Its Customers, Which Skew Heavily Toward AI Startups Subsidized By Venture Capital

Anthropic and OpenAI Are Dependent On Artificial Revenue Driven By Unprofitable Venture-Backed AI Startups For Billions Of Dollars Of Revenue

skmurphy··on The American Worker vs. the Most Qualified
“If Something Cannot Go on Forever, It Will Stop.“ Stein's Law
skmurphy··on The American Worker vs. the Most Qualified
Conclusion:

"There is plenty of international talent that can and should be leveraged in the appropriate places and the proper ways. There are many instances where you’re going to want to hire a leading expert in a technical field. But most jobs, the qualifications are a core technical and subject competency combined with diligence and a willingness to learn. [..]

We need to encourage a corporate mindset that believes in the importance of building up the American talent pool to tackle not only the challenge in front of them but the array of challenges that the future will bring."

Related earlier post by Mark Atwood: https://markatwood.substack.com/p/america-is-an-idea-not-an-...

skmurphy··on Roundup of September 2026 Bootstrapper Events
This September 2026 roundup lists online events for bootstrappers including Bootstrappers Breakfast and Lean Culture.

There are also in-person Bootstrapper Breakfast meetings in Las Vegas, San Francisco, and Silicon Valley.

These events are for “entrepreneurs who eat problems for breakfast.”®

skmurphy··on US officials slam Indian-origin entrepreneur Ankit Gupta over H-1B comments
Key comments reported in article:

Gupta, a distinguished computer scientist from Harvard, is a serial entrepreneur and currently a partner of Y Combinator. Before joining YC, he was the co-founder and CTO of Reveries Labs. The controversy that he landed in stemmed from his comment on JD Vance's post."If an American corporation needs workers, it should hire and train Americans," Vice President JD Vance wrote on X, reacting to the Donald Trump administration's new H-1B visa fee.

"in a win for the woke left DEI is back," Ankit Gupta commented, suggesting that if Americans have to be hired because they are Americans and not because of their skill, then it is DEI (Diversity, Equity and Inlcusion) only.

As Gupta defended the H-1B hiring by Silicon Valley, he asked one commentator: 'what elements of H-1B immigrant culture do you not like? is it the willingness to work long hours? Or perhaps the education focus of their children?"

Gupta has locked down his tweets so the his remarks and the replies are no longer available.

skmurphy··on Treat Meetings as Crucibles
Key takeaways: Founders should treat meetings as crucibles for getting facts, perspectives, and potential courses of action on the table for a full and frank discussion that results in a working consensus. Some advice bootstrapping founders managing the dynamics of a team meeting with four to sixteen people. A two- or three-person conversation will also benefit, but there is a phase transition that seems to occur at four to five people up to about 16 for dealing with significant decisions.

+ Address issues promptly but prepare: sleeping on it and putting your thoughts in writing can often make for a more productive conversation.

+ Listen and check understanding: ask clarifying questions and accurately summarize what you heard to confirm shared understanding.

+ Stay calm and respectful, and avoid defensive responses. Take a break to maintain equanimity.

+ Keep your statements brief and on point. Don’t interrupt, and don’t repeat yourself unless asked to clarify.

+ Don’t suggest solutions until you have a rough consensus on a problem or need.

+ Don’t select a solution until you have evaluated at least two alternatives to the status quo.

+ It’s OK to disagree on the situation or a course of action in any one conversation or sequence of conversations: commit to finding a workable solution.

skmurphy··on 2x, not 10x: coding with LLMs in 2026
I can accept the author's premise that LLMs double coding productivity today.

Semiconductors following Moore's Law increased their density, which is a reasonable metric for effectiveness, by 40% a year for several decades. Leaving aside projections of AGI in two years, it's still a substantial impact if we can figure out how to increase coding productivity by 40% a year for two or three decades. I don't think that gets us to AGI or the Singularity, but it's similar to the impact of the steam engine, steel, or electricity.

These are "normal technologies" that were transformational, and that may be the path we are on with LLMs.

skmurphy··on Roundup of August 2026 Bootstrapper Events
This August 2026 roundup lists online events for bootstrappers including Bootstrappers Breakfast and Lean Culture.

There are also in-person Bootstrapper Breakfast meetings in Las Vegas, San Francisco, and Silicon Valley.

These events are for “entrepreneurs who eat problems for breakfast.”®

skmurphy··on Information to Atoms: DeepEvolve Substrate's lithography speed by 6.8X
tl;dr: Google DeepMind's AlphaEvolve improved the speed of Substrate's computational lithography stack by 680% and reduced compute costs by 97%, enabling the simulation and printing of the most demanding layers in advanced semiconductor devices.
skmurphy··on LLMs Reward Expertise
Key take-away: "Domain knowledge makes you better at using LLMs. [...] Human expertise will continue to be useful even as models get stronger. The human is the bottleneck for many tasks,not the model: the difficult part is communicating to the model exactly what kind of solution the human wants. The information is “in the model” already, but it takes a very smart human to pull it out."
skmurphy··on Five Signs Your Startup May Be a Hobby
tldr; Here are five signs your startup may still be a hobby:

1. You are not making real offers that include a price, delivery date, and a promised result.

2. You rely on a spouse, significant other, inheritance, savings, or a tolerable day job for support, but you have not shared a credible plan for reaching break-even and then profitability.

3. You have not defined working hours, milestones, and what you expect to accomplish in a specific timeframe.

4. You are only getting feedback from people you already know.

5. You have not set up a separate bank account, business structure, and expense log.

skmurphy··on A Physics Giant (Max Planck) Had Two Papers Retracted Decades After His Death
"While reviewing a list titled “Retractions by Nobel Prize winners” (https://retractionwatch.com/retractions-by-nobel-prize-winne...) compiled by the industry watchdog Retraction Watch, historian Yves Gingras found that two essays by physics pioneer Max Planck had been retracted. Gingras, a historian at the Université du Québec à Montréal, found that the papers were retracted decades after their publication in 1940 and 1942 in Die Naturwissenschaften. [...]

Tim Kersjes, the publisher’s head of research integrity, explained that the “decision to retract the papers was a human error and we can confirm that no software or ‘bot’ would have been involved in the process. Unfortunately, our records are limited, as the retractions occurred in 2011, the individuals involved have mostly left the company and the systems by which we record integrity matters have since changed.”"

related https://www.science.org/content/article/why-have-papers-one-...

skmurphy··on The Enemy You Declared (Consequences of SciAm Endorsing Joe Biden)
Interesting analysis of the consequences for Scientific American breaking with tradition and endorsing Joe Biden in 2020 https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/scientific-americ... and Kamala Harris in 2024 https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/vote-for-kamala-h...
skmurphy··on Roundup of July 2026 Bootstrapper Events
This July 2026 roundup lists online events for bootstrappers including Bootstrappers Breakfast and Lean Culture.

There are also in-person Bootstrapper Breakfast meetings in Las Vegas, San Francisco, and Silicon Valley.

These events are for “entrepreneurs who eat problems for breakfast.”®

skmurphy··on The UK's Teen Social Media Ban Is Political Theater, Not Child Safety Policy
I don't care if it's trivial to implement and impossible to bypass: it's an effort to eliminate anonymous Internet browsing/commenting because everyone over 16 has to submit ID as well. Its the end of free speech on the part of the Internet the UK controls.
skmurphy··on Kagi Magic
That was my experience as well. Paid for it for a year, it was a clean presentation of a subset of Google results, but when I was really looking for something I would fall back on Google. It's a shame their execution does not match their brand promise.
skmurphy··on Doing nothing at work
And start to build a relationship with sales that, at least in a B2B firm, can be of significant benefit.
skmurphy··on A Post-Quantum Future for Let's Encrypt
From Chapter 8, available online at https://deepness.trmm.net/c08b/

"Our main cargo is a one-time cryptographic pad. The source is Commercial Security at Sjandra Kei; the destination is the certificants' High colony. It was the usual arrangement: We're carrying a one-third xor of the pad. Independent shippers are carrying the others. At the destination, the three parts would be xor'd together. The result could supply a dozen worlds' crypto needs on the Net for --"

skmurphy··on The Public Should Own Half of the Big A.I. Companies
I agree: a "state of nature" leads to lives that are "nasty, brutish and short." How do we find legislators who are good stewards for the public trust and welfare. We subject public companies to transparency regulations, perhaps legislator would benefit from more transparency. I am not sure where to draw the line to prevent mob rule or other undesirable outcomes, but legislators manage enormous budgets. Arnold Kling looks at ways to reorganize to create tighter accountability in https://arnoldkling.substack.com/p/the-unbalance-of-power
skmurphy··on The Public Should Own Half of the Big A.I. Companies
"No man's life, liberty, or property is safe while the legislature is in session." Gideon J. Tucker
Page 1 of 34Next →