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simonblack

2,318 karma · joined March 20, 2014

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simonblack··on Is humanity alone in the Universe? What scientists think
We are almost certainly not alone according to laws of probability.

However .... The likelihood of ever meeting another set of intelligent creatures is highly unlikely, as the distances between the little islands of intelligence in the universe(s) are just too large to ever allow intelligent interchange of communication between them.

As an analogy, think of the various empires on earth a thousand or two years ago. The Aztecs never met Egyptians because they just couldn't span those "impossibly large" Earthly distances for that era.

But whereas humans managed to go faster and faster on Earth to Egyptians to meet Americans, the Speed of Light is a barrier to us meeting the inhabitants of the nearest island of intelligence to Earth even if it's only a couple of hundred light-years away.

simonblack··on China's Bad, No Good Trillion-Dollar Trade Surplus
Sour grapes, Paul.

I didn't see the US's huge trade surpluses from 1940 to 1980 being a huge problem. Especially when one out of every two motor vehicles was being built in the US.

simonblack··on If you lost your home in a wildfire, what happens to your mortgage? [video]
You have to hope your insurance claim is higher than (or at least as high as) your mortgage payout cost.
simonblack··on Ask HN: What is your Monitor setup?
Samsung 43" 4K (Width:3840 Height:2160 Depth:24bpp) smart TV fed via HDMI

"Works for Me".

simonblack··on Ask HN: What is the 1 question you would ask your potential customer?
Can you pay me what I want?
simonblack··on Why Does U.S. Technology Rule? – By Paul Krugman
I think that "U.S. Technology Rules" is not correct.

Taiwan's microchip technology is better than the US's.

Several countries have hypersonic missile technology that's better.

China's space technology is better at present than the US's. (The current US space technology level is a far cry from the Apollo era of the 1960s-1970s.)

And the main reason for Europe's decline is the loss of cheap energy from Russia after 2022. If you can't compete price-wise, you go out of business. When your manufacturing companies go out of business, the country gets de-industrialised. That was a completely self-inflicted disaster. The US didn't stop importing important commodities from Russia in 2022, while Europe did. (A very dumb decision on Europe's part.)

simonblack··on Over 47? Have you gone through midlife transformation?
I got a new, better, improved wife out of mine. And I became a better person overall.

Also 47 seems a bit high. Women go through a midlife crisis around 35-38 years old, men tend to have theirs in the early 40s.

simonblack··on Ask HN: Why is everything an AI now?
Latest fad terminology. Up there with "User Friendly"* or "Fuzzy Logic" as meaningless waffle by Sales droids.

* Somebody on the Net said of 'User Friendly' that it could be replaced by 'Lemon Scented' with no loss of meaning whatsoever. "Powered by AI" is no different.

simonblack··on Ask HN: Why didn't 8-bit computers prohibit direct hardware access in apps?
Operating systems didn't have the large memory space which is necessary to do that. The maximum RAM with 16 bits is only 64K. Bank switching chunks of RAM in and out of that 64K can give you a little more, but the compromise is that the bank-switching code takes up RAM too.

In the 8-bit universe the CP/M OS took up somewhere around 6 - 8 KILObytes. My earliest DOS (North Star DOS) took up 0A00 H bytes (a mere 2560 bytes!)

The hardest thing in coming to Unix/Linux from the DOS world was that hardware is out of bounds for direct-access. You have to work with a hardware driver and the OS.

simonblack··on Why Stack Overflow Is Dying
Stack Overflow has been bad for a decade or more. Of course it's dying. When people don't get answers they go elsewhere. When enough have gone elsewhere there is no one left to keep the website alive.

I never go to Stack Overflow by choice unless specifically directed there via Google.

simonblack··on NASA Postpones Upcoming Mars Mission, Citing Delays with Bezos's Big Rocket
NASA is broke. There is no funding.

No way can NASA get to the Moon, much less Mars.

The era when NASA could get guys to the Moon and back is gone. It will never come back.

Sad but true.

simonblack··on Is marriage associated with happiness for men or for women? Or both? Or neither?
It depends on the couple. My first marriage was not a happy one. My second marriage was a happy one.
simonblack··on China War Is Good Business, Says White House-Linked Venture Capitalist
Yes it would be. At first.

Probably as good as it was for German armaments manufacturers pre-1945.

That China war might have been winnable if it had been started by 2020. Now, probably not.

simonblack··on How Smooth Is the Earth, Really?
Very. Compare the height of Everest to the size of the Earth and it's an exceedingly small difference. Probably like the thickness of a film of paint on a baseball.
simonblack··on Debraced C
Which bit?

The code without braces, or adding braces to debraced code?

For me the debraced code is very ugly. And there is a reason why indented code went out of fashion in the 70s in favor of freeform.

As years go by some new guy thinks he has invented something new and wonderful, but that 'something new' is very often something that was tried before and was found wanting.

simonblack··on Can Starlink Satellites Be Lawfully Targeted?
Yes. Anything that's useful as a weapon, or as an adjunct to a weapon, can be targeted.

That's why radar stations, or AWACS, can be targeted too. They are not offensive weapons in themselves, but they work as adjuncts to bombs, missiles, or guns.

simonblack··on Looking for early adopters for personal project
Translation: I want paying customers before I have a working product.

Definitely a very good business model. I hope it works out.

simonblack··on Why do Australians live so long?
I answered this, the last time this article was submitted, yesterday.

The Australian health care system which is a mix of government-funded care for everybody, including the rich. And privately-funded healthcare for those that can afford more convenience.

Which means that everybody can receive free healthcare from doctors and hospitals. And your private health insurance can cut queue times for elective surgeries.

I made the point that my cardiac bypass surgery 19 years ago which entailed the surgery itself, the two days in ICU, and another 3-4 days in a private room cost me absolutely nothing 'out of pocket'. Total cost was of the order of about $120,000 which was borne both by the government-funded part of the healthcare system and also by my private health insurance.

Yes I paid for some of that, with a health-levy on my taxes, and my private insurance premiums which covered both my wife and me and cost (then) about $3000 per year.

simonblack··on Canada, following US lead, to impose 100% tariff on Chinese EVs
Tariff wars never end well. Go at it!
simonblack··on US Officials Ask How Isis Got So Many Toyota Trucks (2015)
That just signifies that HiLux trucks are very common, not how ISIS got lots of them.

Those US Officials should be asking other US (Intel) Officials.

simonblack··on Ask HN: Do you use a non-mainstream distro/OS? If so, which and why?
Non-mainstream OS is Linux.

But Linux distro is very mainstream: Linux Mint MATE

simonblack··on IBM Shuts China R&D Operations in Latest Retreat by U.S. Companies
It's all very well to shut the China R&D operations, but is the domestic R&D growing by an equivalent amount? Or is IBM's total R&D declining by the amount of that lost China R&D?
simonblack··on Why do Australians live so long?
The single-payer health system. That covers everybody with a basic but high-quality level of health care. The rich can afford a (slightly) better health care using Private Health Insurance, but that generally only allows short-circuiting the length of time one waits for elective surgery. However, even the rich can get absolutely free medical care from doctors and hospitals.

When I went into hospital for triple-bypass cardiac surgery, my queue-time was about 14 days from "We're not sure if we'll let you go home tonight" to "Welcome to the Theatre Suite" using the public no-charge part of the health care system. The "routine bypass surgery" (according to my medical records) was performed under the public, no-charge system. Thank-you to my Iranian-immigrant cardiac surgeon.

That was followed by two days in ICU, again using the public, no charge part of the health care system.

From there I went into a Private Single-bed room for the next 3 or four days, using the Private Health Insurance part of the health care system.

After I went home, I had six weeks of Cardiac Rehab, again being paid for the Private Health Insurance part of the health care system.

My out of pocket expenses: Zilch, nada, nuffink.

The Australian public health care system is paid for by a taxation levy: the rich subsidise the poor. It's a win-win system. We all benefit. Without the system in place, the rich would miss out too, as the system would otherwise be too expensive even for most of them, if available at all that is.

Without it, I almost certainly would have died 19 years ago.

simonblack··on It's time to return to the roots, to the C programming language
Some of us just can't return to the C programming language. We never left it.

"If it works, don't fix it."

simonblack··on Amazon Cloud CEO Says Human Developers Will Soon Be a Thing of the Past
That's very true. But ... there has to be a change somewhere to get a different outcome. There has been no change, so there is no different outcome.
simonblack··on China Is Starting a New Trade War
Faced with stagnating growth, Xi Jinping decided to go all in on manufacturing—and much of that production is destined for export

So what has changed since the early 1990s? This is a 35-year-old policy. There's nothing 'New' about it.

Some countries make stuff and export it to make lots of money. Some other countries are too lazy or too dumb to do the same, and end up going broke.

simonblack··on Navy Could Sideline 17 Support Ships Due to Manpower Issues
Poor thinking. Better to reduce combat ships than support ships.

Q: What do you call a destroyer that's out of ammo?

A: A paperweight.

simonblack··on Amazon Cloud CEO Says Human Developers Will Soon Be a Thing of the Past
I've been a programmer since the 1970s. This bullshit theory gets trotted out every few years. 50 years in, and there are more and more programmers, not less and less.
simonblack··on Linux desktop market share climbs to 4.45%
Ho, hum. Linux has been on my desktop for 23 years.
simonblack··on A Chinese man nicknamed "Blyat" built a tank to play World of Tanks
IIRC 'blyat' means 'fuck' (or similar) in Russian. :)
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