HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

shrewdcomputer

88 karma · joined November 9, 2020

Dev advocate at Twilio. Interested in web development, Python and climate science.
submissionscomments
shrewdcomputer··on MacBook Neo
Thank you, from my cursory look of their comparison page, this is the information that was missing. But maybe that was a deliberate choice on Apple's part.
shrewdcomputer··on Well being in times of algorithms
> With the AI slop being promoted on the major social media platform’s algorithm, I believe we will go back to following real humans. Back to followers, where we decide who we want to see.

This is a nice thought but I think it's wrong. If TikTok, Instagram Reels or YouTube Shorts have proven anything, it's that people don't want to decide they want to consume. It's cynical but it's what the data has shown time and again works for these platforms. Passive consumption is easier for the user and companies know it keeps us online longer.

When you ask people, they will say they want to see who they follow but their behaviour, incentivised by companies, says otherwise.

shrewdcomputer··on Bertrand Russell to Oswald Mosley (1962)
And in such polite prose too
shrewdcomputer··on Traffic collisions including cyclists in London 2022
I agree. It's not too bad heading east to west because there is a seperated cycle path (although, it can cause issues with pedestrians and the bus stops). However, basically any other direction is awful - particularly going from Blackfriars towards Camberwell.

What really frustrates me is E&C has a lot of space. I'm not a city planner but you'd think having the room to fully seperate each form of transport would make it easy to improve.

shrewdcomputer··on Gaia's first black hole discovery: GAIA-BH1 (2022)
> The black hole is actually quite special. It is different from all other known black holes, and its existence is difficult to explain with standard binary evolution models.

Given this and the difficulty in spotting dormant black holes, it will be interesting to see if these black holes are suprisingly common. Similar to the way gravitational microlensing led astronomers to find far more low-mass planets than they expected.

shrewdcomputer··on Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter
This is incredibly important to point out. It's sad when everyone gives up on global collaboration because some things aren't going well - that's not a reason to give up on collaborations, it's a reason to double down.

CFC elimination is a great example but even a hugely complex issue, and one we aren't doing well on, like climate change has had progress according to the latest IPCC report because of global collaboration.

shrewdcomputer··on Joe Rogan Interviews Steve Jobs
Putting the ML conversation to one side, this is a fantastic piece of marketing.

It's perfect for getting attention from a wide audience and is a great demo of their product.

shrewdcomputer··on The Other Internet
I write a fair amount for work, mostly dev related content. The idea of 1000 high-quality words a day for a month is terrifying.

The bit where he breaks down how these ghost writers actually need to write 1000 an hour to make a living shows how absurd and broken it all is.

shrewdcomputer··on Managing mental health while running a startup
I've discovered later than I should that for me, I need at least a two week break from time to time.

I need actual holiday where I don't answer emails or even do what I used to consider the minimum required. From an outside perspective, that's always been obvious to me and I've always understood that people need it, I just never applied it to myself.

Inadvertently holiday time is often when my best ideas come.

shrewdcomputer··on UK court formally issues order to extradite Julian Assange to US
> The decision now rests with Home Secretary Priti Patel

Priti Patel has no problem making it as hard as possible for refugees to settle in the UK, supports the death penalty and is responsible for the absurd plan to fly immigrants to Rwanda for processing. Something tells me she wont hesitate to extradite Assange.

shrewdcomputer··on Firefox 85
I know it's not the important part of this post but their presentation really is good.

Particularly the security fixes. Easy to find case numbers, impact levels and clear descriptions. All with decent spacing that makes the page feel clear and legible.

shrewdcomputer··on How to Start a Biotech Company on a Budget
> Arpeggio used their own technology to do drug discovery, and sold it as “consulting” to build credibility with investors and trust with a few initial clients.

This sounds like a great example of them focusing on one thing and doing it well. It must have been a tightrope walk not to give too much information away about their IP and get crushed by competitors.

shrewdcomputer··on Man found 'living in airport for three months' over Covid fears
Couldn't agree more. If he was caught after a few hours, that's on him and security are doing their job.

3 months is a damning amount of time for the officials.

It is an another interesting example of social engineering and the ability for people to believe anyone with a badge.

shrewdcomputer··on Amazon Buys Wondery as Podcasting Race Continues
Content purchases like podcasts with high loyalty and high NPS are smart buys. Anything to make the average consumer look favourably upon their brand and add yet another factor for lock-in. With such cheap capital it will be interesting to see how large these content purchases get.
shrewdcomputer··on Britain to ban new petrol cars and vans by 2030 on road to net zero emissions
> I am a skeptic and I'm very far from trusting experts.

As you've said this I hardly think anything I'm going to show you will change your mind. However you have asked for some evidence so here is some.

> Sea levels

From about 3,000 years ago to about 100 years ago, sea levels naturally rose and declined slightly, with little change in the overall trend. Over the past 100 years, global temperatures have risen about 1 degree C (1.8 degrees F), with sea level response to that warming totaling about 160 to 210 mm (with about half of that amount occurring since 1993)

Source: https://sealevel.nasa.gov/faq/13/how-long-have-sea-levels-be....

> Bird population

In 2018, the all-species index in the UK, based on the aggregated population trends of 130 breeding species, was 11% below its 1970 value.

Source: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/...

>Is carbon dioxide bad?

From the IPCC 2014: Human influence on the climate system is clear, and recent anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases are the highest in history. Recent climate changes have had widespread impacts on human and natural systems.

Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, and since the 1950s, many of the observed changes are unprecedented over decades to millennia. The atmosphere and ocean have warmed, the amounts of snow and ice have diminished, and sea level has risen.

Source: https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/05/SYR_AR5_FINA...

If you really want to learn I cannot recommend the IPCC's reports enough, whether you 'trust experts' or not, they lay out the problems we face as a species. The scientific consensus is that the Earth's climate has warmed significantly since the late 1800s, caused in large part by human activity.

shrewdcomputer··on South Korea confirms H5N8 bird flu in wild birds, issues warning
I see, thanks. Let's hope they don't have to cull the birds.
shrewdcomputer··on South Korea confirms H5N8 bird flu in wild birds, issues warning
Can someone explain to a layman like me the how severe the risks are here? The article doesn't go on to say more than it's effecting wild birds and authorities are trying to stop it infecting livestock.

The article doesn't say there has been a jump in species. Is the discovery of new viruses in wild birds not a regular occurrence?

shrewdcomputer··on Apple’s New Era Has Begun
You some good points and I agree that their move to services could be better but I think saying they are "failing" is a bit strong. I'd argue their bundle is just getting started.

---

To address your points:

> Apple have taken their absolute dominance in selling music and moved to middle of the pack in music streaming squeezed between Spotify and Youtube.

This is your point I agree with most, Apple music just isn't as good and its shocking they lost so much ground.

> Apple's Siri is distinctly second tier, losing them both for Apple Music, but also potential shopping via smart assistant.

Siri just isn't good but honestly how many people use voice assistants for more than changing songs or checking the weather?

> Cloud comes across as Apple nickle and dime-ing their customers, insisting you need to back up your phone but providing laughable amounts of storage for free - and then becoming nagware

Agreed it is laughable but I would argue people concerned with backing up all their devices are in the minority of Apple customers. It wouldn't be why most people pay $15 a month.

> Finally you've got the Appstore. Apple is getting absolutely hammered on their 30% fee. At this point it looks almost certain that they'll either change their fee structure or face regulatory action.

I don't really see how this is relevant to the mediocre services Apple offers except it is an unfair advantage they have on other SaaS competitors. I suspect it may be one of the reasons they haven't already decided to swallow SaaS competitors like Spotify, so they can say the app store is competitive and not disturb the golden goose that is the 30% fee.

> If Apple is a services company why isn't FaceTime adding $100Bn of market cap to Apple's value as a competitor to Zoom?

I don't think market caps, especially with the past years stock market, tell us much about the effectiveness of services. However, Apple's current market cap is 2 trillion, 20 times the cap of Zoom. To add to this, Zooms P/E ratio is 530 compared to Apples P/E of 36 which indicates Zoom is wildly overvalued. Even if it was a useful comparison Apple is in a different league.

---

I think Apple's biggest problem is the lack of one killer service to offer as part of their bundle. If they offered mediocre Apple music, Apple fitness and Apple arcade but Apple TV was on par with Netflix most people would use the mediocre services to save on the gaining number of other SaaS products modern consumers pay for.

Apple has the money and talent to create one killer service, they just haven't been running a lot of their services long enough to be killers - (with the exception of music). I think it's just a matter of time until Apple create a killer service and people getting sick of paying for multiple SaaS products.

shrewdcomputer··on I now have an Oculus paperweight
It really feels like Facebook is making a mistake here. Most people who are into VR are relatively tech savvy and probably not that keen on being forced to tether to Facebook as a company. I don't think you'll be alone in your decision to look at other VR solutions.

It's a shame because I wanted to get into VR at the beginning of lockdown and everything I've read about Oculus seemed positive except the facebook account.