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sempron64

721 karma · joined October 10, 2017

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sempron64··on What Happens When Everything Becomes TikTok?
Use an iphone and don’t give the app any permissions.
sempron64··on Jack Dorsey Unveils Bluesky Social, the Decentralized Twitter
You absolutely can have sub-second responses to search queries for publically accessible decentralized content, if it is indexed by a regular search engine. That is what the web is.

Privately accessible content tends to be much smaller so local caching works. And if communication is not meant to be instant, email proves that a decentralized system works.

What gets a little more difficult is content that is widely available but behind login. Facebook has this but twitter and mastodon tend to not be this way.

In fact mastodon is a workable system for decentralized social networking, so I think the skepticism is unwarranted.

The only question in my mind is whether a popular social network can be effectively bootstrapped without a core capital incentive.

sempron64··on New York state to adopt California 2035 EV rules
There can't be sufficient public charging in NYC in 2035. Most cars are parked on the street and parking lots where chargers could be installed are scant. Those who have to commute to work by car usually park on the street. NYC is the (slim) majority of NY State's population and a large chunk of the vehicle fleet. That said I could imagine a scenario where private parking garages become de-facto gas stations.
sempron64··on New York state to adopt California 2035 EV rules
Per the article they are limited to 20% of the total market, which seems like it may not be enough.
sempron64··on Charging cars at home at night is not the way to go: study
The article predicts that even with the proposed changes, 4.2 GW of storage or other generation capacity will be necessary, as opposed to 5.2 GW without the changes. I'd advocate getting on the power supply or storage solution immediately rather than trying to change consumer habits by e.g. funding or legislating power station installations in workplaces (a nice convenience, but not one that will solve this problem).

Tesla has already built a very large power storage station in Australia https://www.pv-magazine.com/2022/07/27/tesla-big-battery-beg...

Obviously the notion of building >5GW of generation capacity on fossil fuels or nuclear in under 10 years seems wild. So it's probably going to have to be solar + storage.

sempron64··on France is now offering a €4k e-bike subsidy to people who trade in their car
You know that before cars people used horses, which are wildly more inefficient than a car, and disgusting en masse, to the point where there were concerns in the 1800s that London streets would be entirely rivers of horse manure. Bring back the beasts of burden! An ass for every home!
sempron64··on More than 10k Canadians received a medically-assisted death in 2021
Studies have found that suicide prevention systems at common locations prevent suicides and that people do not seek alternatives. Most regret suicide attempts.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2610560/

It’s likely that interventions to prevent suicide via the medical system would be effective and offering counseling would help. It’s unlikely that those seeking assisted suicide would walk in front of a car or jump off a bridge.

sempron64··on W4 Games formed to strengthen Godot ecosystem
Wrought Flesh https://store.steampowered.com/app/1762010/Wrought_Flesh/
sempron64··on Post-Apocalyptic Programming
The most important book in my opinion for post-apocalyptic programming is Charles Petzold’s Code https://www.charlespetzold.com/code/

It details how to build a working computer starting from relays. The greatest moment for me as a teenager reading this book was figuring out how a flip flop worked. Having information stored in a dynamic system’s state seemed like the most magical thing I had ever seen.

sempron64··on Manhattan rents cross $5k threshold for first time
This is a little excessive, you are not taking into account the standard deduction, and taxing the entire income at the highest bracket.

Edit: I take that back, I see you used an effective tax rate including the standard deduction for a single filer instead of the marginal rate. This would be slightly better if you’re married filing jointly or have other deductions.

sempron64··on Unity merges with IronSource
Some folks in this thread are characterizing this as a one-sided acquisition but what I did not realize was that ironSource is a public company

ironSource ltd: mkt cap ~3bn Unity ltd: mkt cap 10bn

This is an all-stock deal https://seekingalpha.com/news/3856307-ironsource-surges-afte...

Ironsource also has 30-50% the number of employees as Unity:

https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/ironsource https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/unity-technologies

So this definitely can be characterized as a merger.

sempron64··on Alright, amigo, let's build some affordable housing
Define “significantly impose”. That’s the basic problem, existing near someone can have effects that are easy to justify in court unless you legislate that e.g. decreasing or limiting increase on future land values cannot be considered to be civil damages.
sempron64··on Israel passes law denying naturalization to Palestinian spouses
Also, in reference to Black September, the whole point of the Black September war was that the Palestinians considered themselves the rightful rulers of Jordan/Palestine rather than the British-installed Hashemite monarchy, and Israel has no contention to this, besides that the monarchy is not inclined to war with Israel. Still, “Palestinians living in Jordan” to them _are_ Jordanians, and Jordan is in fact the Palestinian state, which was the whole point of the British partition. The British making awful partition plans is not unique to the Levant, by the way.
sempron64··on Israel passes law denying naturalization to Palestinian spouses
My family is from Ukraine and I speak Russian as a first language, and do not know Ukrainian, and yes it seems fine to me. I’m not a huge fan of Ukrainian nationalists but I’m cognizant that Russia is trying to wipe Ukraine out and they are trying to assert their statehood.
sempron64··on Israel passes law denying naturalization to Palestinian spouses
Also, it’s important to note that I’m comparing the situation in Ukraine to that region in the late 60s, the height of Pan Arabism and the United Arab Republic. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Arab_Republic

The Israeli right still largely views the context in this lens, as does the Muslim Brotherhood, which backs both a significant amount of terror groups in and around Israel, and Israeli Arab political parties https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muslim_Brotherhood

sempron64··on Israel passes law denying naturalization to Palestinian spouses
I’m not saying it’s right, I’m just saying that this law needs to be viewed in the lens of national conflict rather than racism. The Israeli right wing does in fact consider the Palestinians in the West Bank Jordanian or generally “Arab” even though Jordan and the Palestinians themselves may not.
sempron64··on Israel passes law denying naturalization to Palestinian spouses
I’m not saying they have equivalent claims to legitimacy, or that siding with one equals siding with the other. I’m saying that the Israeli right wing views the PA as illegitimate.
sempron64··on Israel passes law denying naturalization to Palestinian spouses
Thank you, this is my point. The Israeli right wing views the Palestinian state as an extension of Jordan and other Arab states surrounding Israel, and while they are not currently shooting at each other, they are most definitely not at peace with them.
sempron64··on Israel passes law denying naturalization to Palestinian spouses
Ukraine passed laws banning the Russian language, which was one of the excuses made by Russia to begin this conflict.
sempron64··on Israel passes law denying naturalization to Palestinian spouses
Consider the following word replacements.

[Ukraine/Israel] is established as an ethnic state after the end of the [Soviet/British] regime.

[Ukraine/Israel] passes laws to protect its language and national identity in the face of its neighboring [Russia/Arab states]

[Ukraine/Israel] is persecuting its [Russian/Arab] minorities by enacting discriminatory laws.

[Ukraine/Israel] does not recognize [DNR/Palestinian] statehood.

Obviously the parallels are not perfect, but the key is to understand that the Israeli right wing views Palestinians as Arabs, not as an independent nation, and views the establishment of the West Bank as a Jordanian/Arab land grab.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Arab_Republic

I’m not trying to assign right or wrong here, but trying to say that these sort of actions are not about pure evil racism than the outcome of regional conflict, and are much less one-dimensional than they are made out to be. As essentially all conflicts are. Racism/apartheid is one-dimensional, and this is not the same.

In other news, Israel appointed the first Muslim justice to its Supreme Court.

https://m.jpost.com/israel-news/article-698154/amp

Racism exists in Israel just as it does in America even though Barack Obama was elected president, and as it does in almost all countries. But its disingenuous to call Israel an apartheid state.

sempron64··on Israel passes law denying naturalization to Palestinian spouses
“Ukraine passes law barring spouses who are from Russia from becoming citizens”

Seems fine to me.

sempron64··on Israel passes law denying naturalization to Palestinian spouses
Israeli right-wingers don’t see Palestinians as a persecuted minority in a vacuum. They see them as members of the Arab ethnicity of the surrounding states which are much larger in size and population. In the late 1960s Syria and Egypt actually formed into one state and tried to annihilate and absorb Israel in a pincer movement. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Arab_Republic
sempron64··on What happened after these unhoused people got monthly $500 checks?
Salient caveats for those who don’t have patience to read past the headline (especially policymakers):

> Cash might not help everyone experiencing homelessness. The pilot group was very small, and recipients were carefully selected based on factors such as how much the money was likely to help them, how engaged they were with their “buddy,” and whether they were currently facing challenges like addiction. But the study suggests that even a small amount of money can make a meaningful difference for some people.

sempron64··on Rotterdam bridge to be dismantled for Oceanco's 127m sailing yacht Y721
It costs money to maintain a specialized skilled labor force. The capital investments (human capital and infrastructure) to maintain and run the shipyard would not be required to dig holes.

What needs be recognized is that "allowing" Bezos to do this is not an ideological or engineering question between what is optimal or suboptimal. It's a question of how much confidence do we have in our interventions. Humans naturally engage in trade and acquisitive behaviors. There have been rich and powerful men for many millenia before Adam Smith wrote Wealth of Nations and capitalism became a philosophy. Commerce is a default, not an imposition.

The question is whether armchair hot takes, politicians, bureaucrats, economists, and ideologues are qualified to make confiscatory decisions against "the wealthy" that will not do more harm than good to society as a result. Our world is a system that is too complex to understand easily, or sometimes at all. If it ain't broke, don't fix it. There isn't mass human misery resulting from this yacht, but preventing the order could lose people their jobs and have who-knows-what consequences. So maybe we should chill.

sempron64··on It’s cheaper to stop emitting now than to pull carbon from the air later
The article is totally unconvincing. It estimates 2% higher GDP in 80 years, with initial effects in 50 years. 2% over 80 years is ridiculously low ROI, spending money on literally any other kind of infrastructure will have better returns. That's disregarding that it's a very long term economic prediction, which makes it ridiculously unlikely to be correct.
sempron64··on Citizen App Workers Vote to Unionize
https://archive.md/KXkwp
sempron64··on “Click to subscribe, call to cancel” is illegal, FTC says
I subscribed to Verizon Fios service entirely online but when moving I found out there was no way to cancel except to call their support and bounce through several numbers. Quite annoying. However, because when signing up you do need to have a technician come to your residence, so there is some non-online interaction, it might not be against the rules.
sempron64··on Advice to New Managers: Don't Joke About Firing People (2020)
Related marriage advice: don't joke about divorce.
sempron64··on Tech-savvy audiences block Google Analytics
Predicting exactly this was the premise of the famous Netflix Prize, one of the first open machine learning challenges https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netflix_Prize
sempron64··on “Does induced demand apply to bike lanes?” and other questions
The bridge serves a large swath of NYC (south Brooklyn, Staten island, the Rockaways) and Long Island. Dumbo and downtown manhattan are upscale areas.

Were the city willing to invest in the project in a sane way, such as making a separate bike path like the one on the Manhattan Bridge or another tier, obviously it would add value. But as it is as a lane removal it's a lazy and badly planned move that snarls the middle class in traffic (which is already regularly backed-up onto the collapsing BQE) to allow the upper class to "enjoy" a "scenic" ride next to a bunch of smog blasting trucks. And maybe help a couple of door dash drivers I guess.

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