sekai

> It becomes clearer to more people that it's impossible to predict the future shape of the global economy due to AI.

You mean due to Trump? Tariffs and Iran war caused this.

AI psychosis is still at all time high

> I’d like somebody to explain to me how the endless comments of "bleeding edge labs are subsidizing the inference at an insane rate" make sense in light of a humongous model like v4 pro being $4 per 1M. I’d bet even the subscriptions are profitable, much less the API prices.

One answer - Chinese Communist Party. They are being subsidized by the state.

> Instead of fixing the UI they lowered the default reasoning effort parameter from high to medium? And they "traced this back" because they "take reports about degradation very seriously"? Extremely hard to give them the benefit of doubt here.

They had droves of Claude devs vehemently defending and gaslighting users when this started happening

The same company that claims they have models that are too "dangerous" to release btw.

> I've been increasingly "freaking out" since about 3 - 4 years ago and it seems that the pessimistic scenario is materializing. It looks like it will be over for software engineers in a not so distant future. In January 2025 I said that I expect software engineers to be replaced in 2 years (pessimistic) to 5 years (optimistic). Right now I'm guessing 1 to 3 years.

Tell me how this will replace Jira, planning, convincing PM's about viability. Programming is only a part of the job devs are doing.

AI psychosis is truly next level in these threads.

> That people thought the sovereign waters of a nation were not their sovereign waters absolutely blows my mind. Is it poor schooling, some kind of warped world view?

Because they are not? Oman clearly shares a part of it.

Just more Microslop, amazing...

> China is copying them though. They are still behind, but they are catching up.

They have been "catching up" for the past 20 years.

> Did you miss the absolute massive amounts of aid US has given ukraine?

I missed US bombing Moscow, like they are bombing Tehran at this moment.

> Tell that to the 30k+ iranian protestors that were killed. > Are you actually using "in good faith" and the current horrendous iranian regime in the same sentence?

If US needs to intervene, why are they are not intervening in Ukraine? Far worse things has been happening there for 4 years.

> The previous campaign lasted a whole 13 days and WW3 didn't start. I'm not sure why anybody thinks it'll be different now or why Russia or China would bother going to war for Iran. That makes zero sense.

We did not move 1/3 of operational USAF capacity and 33% of our deployable Navy for limited strikes.

> However i would say that yes, humanitarian intervention is one of the only non self-defense justifications for war that anyone has ever accepted in the post-ww2 era

So when is the US intervening in Ukraine then? Russia is literally doing human safari with drones hunting down civilians in Kherson.

> Otoh, what russia desperately needs in the short term is oil prices to go up, so there is probably a major silver lining for them.

And they will again appear weak and incapable, unable to help their allies

Just now:

Trump: "The lives of American heroes may be lost, and we may have casualties - that often happens in war."

Another republican president starting a war in the middle east, once again sacrificing American lives.

> It can also backfire. AI slop ads and marketing material imply cut corners and poor quality products. If a bakery isn’t going to bother touching up its AI slop banner, I don’t expect their cookies to be great either.

Average person won't notice, and would not care either way.

> Soon many real OF models will be out of job when everyone will be able to produce content to their personal taste from a few prompts.

net positive to society

> This is coming from an insane demand spike, not some nefarious plot by the RAM manufacturers.

Something something, 2000 dot-com bubble, something

> Don't worry, China is coming out pretty far ahead so I'm sure we'll still be in a unipolar world when this is all over, and you can sleep safe at night. I imagine you didn't know.

With their current demographics? Doubt it.

> dead on the streets.

Iran regime already does that, they gunned-down thousands just last month, including 100's of public hangings.

> well, it's basically existential, so the incentive is there to not only get it very right but also to limit the delta with how right anyone else gets it. The same can't really be said of the long tail of products Google have done.

I've yet to see anything that threatens Google's ad monopoly.

> I don’t think it’s hyperbolic to say that we may be only a single digit number of years away from the singularity.

We're back to singularity hype, but let's be real: benchmark gains are meaningless in the real world when the primary focus has shifted to gaming the metrics

> We’ve had autonomous trains for decades

Trains need tracks, cars - already have the infrastructure to drive on.

> Self driving cars is a dead end technology, that will introduce a whole host of new problems which are already solved with public transit, better urban planning, etc.

Self driving cars will literally become a part of public transit

> What's going to happen to all the millions of drivers who will lose their job overnight? In a country with 100 million guns, are we really sure we've thought this through?

Same was said about electricity, or the internet.

> Ideally, trying to pass anything AI-generated as human-made content would be illegal, not just news, but it's a good start.

Does photoshop fall under this category?

> Educate us, tell us when did we vote for the commission and the likes of von der Leyen. (If your answer is "you didn't vote for it, but you voted for someone who voted for someone who voted for it in a secret ballot" I am going to chuckle)

Voters place their trust in representatives who then act on their behalf during the EP voting process and other legislative matters, such as electing the President of the European Commission

Or in this case, pulling the plug.

The most successful meme stock in history, all driven by - "coming soon"

> That would never happen until the US Navy ceases to be effective globally.

US Navy would have have no parking spots left in Europe if they try to annex Greenland.

> The EU can't mend ties with China without giving up on Ukraine as China's FM Wang Yi has stated [0]

At the end of the day China cares more about Europe than Russia. Because that's where the real money is.