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scottmsul

568 karma · joined July 20, 2015

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scottmsul··on Mission to reach and operate at the focal region of the solar gravitational lens
The fastest way there would probably be with a nuclear propulsion engine, as researched in Project Orion.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Orion_(nuclear_propuls...

scottmsul··on Against Food
I've been cooking a lot more recently and it's one of the most enjoyable parts of my day. There's nothing more satisfying than grilling a steak to the perfect amount of doneness, or tossing a bunch of aromatic spices into a pasta sauce whose scent fills the room. At the end of it I feel like I accomplished something productive and I get to eat something delicious that I crafted to my own taste. I've also had way more energy since I've stopped eating processed junk and take-out food.
scottmsul··on Ask HN: How are pull requests integrated in a repo with high commit frequency?
Wait, is it 10 other commits, or 10 other pull requests? For medium-sized projects (5-10 devs) it's generally good practice for devs to make a separate branch per feature, make lots of commits on the side branch, then merge the side branch into master in a single PR once the feature is ready.
scottmsul··on Show HN: A new daily word puzzle
You should make a leaderboard where you can see everyone else's words and scores!
scottmsul··on Finding a Creature in Ethereum's Dark Forest
One thing I would point out is that when calculating r, the equation r=k*G mod N is somewhat misleading. G is not a number, but rather an (X,Y) point on an elliptic curve. There is a way to "add" two points on an elliptic curve but it is a group operation which is very unlike normal addition. "Multiplication" still exists between a scalar and a point but refers to a number of point self-additions.

So really R=k*G generates a new point R, where k is the nonce and G is a point that is part of the ECDSA standard. Then r is taken as the x-coordinate of R.

It is easy to derive k in b=k*a mod N if you know a and b, but nearly impossible to derive k in B=k*A if B is k self additions of A on an elliptic curve.

scottmsul··on Ask HN: Where are you getting your money's worth?
Factorio. Cost me $30, played around 1500 hours.
scottmsul··on Ask HN: Anyone here built successful SaaS/startup just for money?
Making money is a good thing. Money can give you freedom and let you live the life you want to live. But to make the most money, you should focus not on the money itself, but rather on providing value. I highly recommend MJ DeMarco's book The Millionaire Fastlane for some insights on this.
scottmsul··on Doge Branded as Ponzi by Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President
Yes, people misuse the terminology to make it sound more negative than it is
scottmsul··on US’ First Crypto Bank Reveals Date of Commencement
I personally only own bitcoin, but obviously there's other opinions out there. The way I see it, the goal of bitcoin is to store value, whereas the goal of other projects is to achieve some non-SoV utility (payments, smart contracts, etc). First, solving the money problem is a much bigger deal than solving utility problems. Second, as the bitcoin ecosystem evolves, I believe technological solutions will be developed on top of bitcoin for those utilities, negating the need for separate tokens.
scottmsul··on US’ First Crypto Bank Reveals Date of Commencement
We're still insanely early. Given bitcoin's monetary properties, a $1T market cap is ridiculously small.
scottmsul··on US’ First Crypto Bank Reveals Date of Commencement
>The majority of that group can't even easily come up with $1,000 in the case of an unexpected financial emergency.

They could if they had been saving in bitcoin :)

scottmsul··on US’ First Crypto Bank Reveals Date of Commencement
This is great news. As a major bitcoin holder, I still have to keep some cash in a traditional bank to write checks, receive payroll, and use a debit card. A bitcoin bank would allow me to store that last remaining % in BTC.
scottmsul··on El Salvador makes Bitcoin legal tender
On HN if you try to post anything even remotely positive about bitcoin you get downvoted to oblivion, so it usually doesn't feel worth posting. For an introduction about El Salvador I highly recommend Jack Maller's talk where he made the announcement.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=_59hrgTiRJU

scottmsul··on El Salvador makes Bitcoin legal tender
Haha as someone who listened to the entire Twitter spaces chat last night, it's amazing how ignorant HN is about what's actually happening on the ground in El Salvador.
scottmsul··on Tesla Q1 2021 Results
This is interesting, I would have expected a loss. I recall MSTR had to report a loss in 2020 even though it went up a lot, due to how GAAP works with bitcoin. Basically if you buy bitcoin (or any property) at $X, then it dips to $Y, then goes back up to $Z, you have to report the difference between X and Y (purchase price - lowest point) as a GAAP loss.
scottmsul··on Bitcoin as a Battery
Bitcoin enthusiast here. Pretty surprising how antagonistic the HN crowd is to bitcoin.
scottmsul··on Ask HN: How to think about crypto lending?
Overcollaterization and multi-sig. For example on HodlHodl you can lend USDC where the borrow posts more collateral than the loan. The lender, borrower, and HodlHodl each own one key in a 2-of-3 multi-sig. If there's a dispute then HodlHodl will resolve it.
scottmsul··on Tesla buys $1.5B in Bitcoin, may accept it as payment in the future
The way I see it, dollars and bitcoin are two competing forms of money. To calculate the equilibrium market cap of bitcoin, multiply each person's net worth by the fraction they wish to allocate to bitcoin and sum over the population. For example if the total value of all goods is 200T and the net-worth weighted allocation fraction is 1%, then the equilibrium market cap would be 2T. You don't need "greater fools" because people are constantly buying and selling in equilibrium, not just selling, similar to how gold maintains a pretty steady 10T market cap.

However bitcoin has superior intrinsic monetary properties to all other stores of value, including gold, so the equilibrium market cap might be extremely high.

scottmsul··on Tesla buys $1.5B in Bitcoin, may accept it as payment in the future
Michael Saylor pulled the same move six months ago and explains it really well. Highly recommend watching any of his interviews. The one with Preston Pysh is particularly enlightening.

Essentially bitcoin is a really good store of value with superior monetary properties to all other assets. If you want to store wealth for a hundred years there's nothing better. Even gold has 2% devaluation per year and has custodial risk, whereas bitcoin has no devaluation (21M supply cap), is easy to self-custody, and is very secure (high energy use/decentralized).

scottmsul··on MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Debt Bet
As a bitcoiner myself, I like to think of dollars and BTC as just two currencies. Buying BTC is equivalent to selling dollars. If you think that BTC is the better money, it makes sense to move into it and stay there perpetually.
scottmsul··on Kraken Wins Bank Charter Approval
Will Kraken provide bitcoin savings accounts? I'm thinking something where you deposit some BTC, it gets loaned out for several months to a year (and you're not allowed to withdraw during that time), and you get paid an interest rate denominated in BTC. Would be nice to get a positive real rate given the 21M supply cap.
scottmsul··on New GitHub repos to have default branches named “main” instead of “master”
I disagree. Renaming "pull requests" to "merge requests" isn't politically motivated, whereas this is a top-down change from political activists. I'm worried that society might go down a path where people can't push back out of fear of one's career or safety.
scottmsul··on Banks create money, but it's less impressive than it sounds
This article misrepresents just how much of the economy it's made up of these IOUs. If you deposit $100 and there's a 10% reserve requirement, that doesn't mean the bank can loan out $90. Rather, they can loan out $1000 since the $100 is 10% of that.
scottmsul··on Ask HN: I have $450K cash, what should I do to maximize my return?
I agree, and I've put quite a lot into bitcoin recently due to the halving. But that was only after reading and understanding everything I could about the bitcoin markets. From the outside it definitely seems like a crazy speculation.

I would never recommend someone invest in bitcoin unless they've done a lot of research, are ready to hold through drops of 50% or more, and are prepared to hold for many years. Investors who haven't done the due diligence could be tempted to sell after a huge drop, and it's probably not for most people.

That being said, to outsiders it could be argued that bitcoin is at least a decent asymmetrical bet, and worth throwing a couple percent at. But only as much as someone is willing to lose.

scottmsul··on The Guns of Bitcoin (2017)
What's going to stop me from using bitcoin for everything, and then exchanging some into dollars at the last second to pay my taxes?
scottmsul··on How to Gradually Exit Twitter
The technology should exist by now for a decentralized twitter right? Resorting to email newsletters seems very clunky. Couldn't there be something that uses a bittorrent-like protocol, where the followers support the network for whomever they're following?
scottmsul··on Bitcoin is more like ham radio than the early internet
We don't need the entire system to collapse for bitcoin to become mainstream. This can occur with slow integration. It's probably a good thing the halvings occur every 4 years since these tend to drive bull cycles, and are spaced out enough to give time for the technology to catch up with the market cap.
scottmsul··on France, Italy, Belgium stop hydroxychloroquine use for Covid-19 on safety fears
A cardiotoxicity paper from the WHO in 2017 said the following:

"Despite hundreds of millions of doses administered in the treatment of malaria, there have been no reports of sudden unexplained death associated with quinine, chloroquine or amodiaquine, although each drug causes QT/QTcinterval prolongation. Unfortunately, there are relatively few prospective studies of the electrocardiographic effects of these drugs."

Link to paper: https://www.who.int/malaria/mpac/mpac-mar2017-erg-cardiotoxi...

Link to Chris Martenson's video where I first heard about the 2017 paper: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rN_YpFhdii4

Chris Martenson is doing an awesome job staying on top of the science in an apolitical manner.

scottmsul··on Bitcoin Halving Just Occured
HN discussions from past halvings:

2012 - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4842947

2016 - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12061618

scottmsul··on The Bitcoin Halving, Explained
I think the stock to flow model is a little silly. S2F and price are both coincidentally exponential, it's like the old pirates vs global warming joke. That being said I do believe there's a chance the halvening isn't fully priced in since this will fundamentally disrupt the amount of sell volume.
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