El Salvador makes Bitcoin legal tender
bbc.com
bbc.com
[0] https://www.forbes.com/sites/tatianakoffman/2020/07/14/this-...
Among U.S. Hispanics and Salvadorans, the median annual personal earnings for those ages 16 and older was $25,000.
Salvadoran Americans, even those who are poor, have an incentive to send money to family and friends in El Salvador because a U.S. dollar buys much more there than in the States. In all, they send approximately $800 million back home per year—close to $1000 per person
1000 bucks per person is not some exorbitant amount, it's some people's yearly starbucks budget.
https://www.everyculture.com/multi/Pa-Sp/Salvadoran-American....
https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/fact-sheet/u-s-hispanic...
An anonymous donor gifted them a large amount of Bitcoin on the condition that they must learn how to use Bitcoin and advocate for the use of Bitcoin:
> After meeting with several philanthropies in the region, all of which wanted to take the funds and convert them into fiat to cover the community's immediate needs, the donor partnered with Michael Peterson, a San-Diego native that spends up to 9 months of the year volunteering in El Zonte. Michael was given the opportunity to administer the Bitcoin on one condition - he would not cash it out. Beneficiaries of the digital currency had to learn how to use the Bitcoin itself, creating a Bitcoin economy
In other words, a wealthy Bitcoin holder gifted Bitcoin to one of the poorest towns he could find on the condition that they don't cash it out.
They basically forced a poor town to use Bitcoin in exchange for free Bitcoin and now try to use it as an organic success story.
There are sick people everywhere, I simply said "No, thank you" but clearly I should have called the cops on him.
It's important to remember that WU's fees are so high in large part because WU is assuming risks (of identity fraud, of regulatory blockage, and of cash theft) that Bitcoin largely avoids.
Since their gross margins are consistently 40% and their operating margins are ~20% I think barriers to entry/international government regulations better explains the high fees.
[1] 2020 10-k (ctrl-f for 41.3)
The number one export of El Salvador is actually people. If they were concerned about remittance fees they could just set up a bank in the US with low fees, instead of getting kickbacks from OCGs and Western Union / Money Gram etc.
El Salvador is set to be a big climate change loser, and every joule spent on bitcoin is bringing them closer to disaster.
"El Salvador has seen a steady increase in extreme events (storms, floods and droughts) during the last 30 years. The Pacific coastline is already experiencing rising sea levels and it is expected that 10–28 percent of the country’s coastal zone territory will be lost by the end of the century. Coastal areas, home to over 30 percent of the population, are highly vulnerable to the combination of sea level rise and El Niño events."
https://www.climatelinks.org/resources/climate-risk-profile-...
Coastal flooding risk is significant due to loss of mangroves.
Her reasoning was: "what people need to understand is, 95% of money laundering with fiat currency already succeeds today without getting caught."
In other words, this won't really change much, it was already really hard to catch money laundering.
that said I wonder if having another path won't make them even more hungry.. i'm sure criminals are very creative when it comes to making more money
However, I think it's very easy to understand where it started and why it generally isn't in bad faith. Digital currencies (of which Bitcoin is the largest and most well known) make certain types of crimes easier (drugs by mail, ransomware). Those crimes (as they are understood) always involve a digital currency so they feel new (even if they aren't in many ways). Most people don't pay attention to digital currencies so it's not surprising that they associate them with new behavior that doesn't seem possible without them.
I also suspect that, if you were to break down digital currency activity, that most exchanges of goods and services (as opposed to investments) do choose to use a digital currency because it evades some regulatory processes or laws. With the transaction cost of Bitcoin at over $4[1] (down from over $50 recently), I really doubt that people are using it for many exchanges of goods or services where its digital qualities don't enable the transaction in some way.
[1] https://ycharts.com/indicators/bitcoin_average_transaction_f...
Edit: added a clarification about ransomware and drugs-by-mail. Ransomware and "darkweb markets" are based on older practices that, to an extent, are distinct because of digital currency. Corporate espionage and ransom demands are quite old, but we call generally call it "ransomware" when the extortion is based on holding digital assets and paying digitally as well.
The only thing that's actually public are the public keys of the transacting parties. Public keys can be anonymously generated for free. It only becomes possible to deanonymize transactions if the money actually touches a deanonymized terminus.
Even assuming all the fiat off-ramps are properly KYC'd, it still gives the criminal unilateral control to arbitrarily decide when and where to risk deanonymization. You can commit a crime, then wait years for the heat to let up and make sure you're in a safe country without extradition treaties.
It's not that hard to imagine when you don't have to send anything physical.
Most trusted BTC exchanges are going KYC so even tax evaders have to start reconsidering.
Michael Morell, a former acting director of the CIA, has some things to say about the use of BTC in crime:
> Based on our research and discussions with industry experts, I have confidence in two conclusions: • The broad generalizations about the use of Bitcoin in illicit finance are significantly overstated. • The blockchain ledger on which Bitcoin transactions are recorded is an underutilized forensic tool that can be used more widely by law enforcement and the intelligence community to identify and disrupt illicit activities. Put simply, blockchain analysis is a highly effective crime fighting and intelligence gathering tool.
Source: https://casebitcoin.com/story/former-cia-director-finds-bitc...
There's also a strong (IMO) argument that energy-intensive crypto-mining can make renewable energy more competitive, by only mining when renewables are producing excess power. That lessens the problem of renewables creating excess energy (which can be damaging to power grids).
I'm not trying to downplay El Salvador's vulnerability to climate change. But actual solutions to climate change - or even just mitigating its effects - is going to require considerable capital and other resources. If using BTC gives El Salvador an economic advantage, then more power to them.
If this is true then the goal is to create a mining algorithm that focuses on being as wasteful as possible.
> by only mining when renewables are producing excess power.
This is simply not true. There is no such thing as excess power, whatever is not used should be stored or sold to other countries.
> (which can be damaging to power grids).
Excess energy production has always been a thing and there are mitigation efforts in place much better than "lets put a server farm that wastes energy"
> I'm not trying to downplay El Salvador's vulnerability to climate change. But actual solutions to climate change - or even just mitigating its effects - is going to require considerable capital and other resources. If using BTC gives El Salvador an economic advantage, then more power to them.
The problem here is El Salvador is basically burning its clothes to keep itself warm. any cryptocoin would've been a better solution. hell even dogecoin would've been a better choice.
This is where we are all headed.
https://www.rt.com/business/524923-iran-bans-crypto-mining-s...
The point about opening up a bank is interesting though. The amount of money WU is skimming off the top must be a non-negligible percentage of the country's GDP. There's gotta be a less pie-in-the-sky way to disrupt that without making El Salvador a money laundering haven, which will absolutely happen with this idea.
20% of El Salvador's GDP is remittances, and WU takes a 5-10% cut. I don't know how much of that business WU controls, so let's pick a range out of a hat: 75%.
That would imply that WU fees represent something in the neighborhood of 1% of the country's total GDP.
https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/rankings/remittances_percen...
Bitcoin mining is mostly a subsidy to renewable energy (fossil fuels are too expensive to make fossil-fueled bitcoin mining profitable), so although I could be wrong, I expect it to ameliorate global warming, not worsen it.
This is incoherent. Nothing ties these prices together. If tomorrow the price of BTC goes up 1000x, the price to buy a joule of energy via burning coal doesn't change at all.
It's true that rapid price changes can make fossil-fueled mining temporarily profitable, and things like burning off flare gas are also profitable, but bitcoin mining is already dominated by renewables and becoming progressively more so: https://hbr.org/2021/05/how-much-energy-does-bitcoin-actuall...
I'm sorry I abbreviated this whole explanation so much in my original post that you ended up so confused.
This bitcoin to dollars confluence is even more interesting in the case of El Salvador where the US Dollar is the official currency.
When you are in El Salvador you use actual, physical US Dollars for all cash transactions.
This is not a de facto standard as in some other countries - it is the official legal currency in the country.
So that's interesting in terms of geography, currency usage and the ability to wash bitcoins into (physical) dollars...
El Salvador has very strict cash regulations. Most transactions over $100 in cash require an ID. Even paying for a new laptop in cash would require you to fill a form stating source of income.
Use and El Salvador’s use has no influence on that
The hyperbole only marginalizes yourself
This news appears to have spiked the price of Bitcoin.
Presumably, if El Salvador actually implements this policy and starts using Bitcoin that would also increase demand for Bitcoin and increase its price.
Additionally, a full bitcoin block with high fees pays for more mining expenditure than an empty one. So if there is high demand for block space, that also can increase mining energy usage.
I said how it works
I wasn't commenting on whether use of the network makes it more attractive to compete for increasingly scarce bitcoin with sustained or greater use of energy
Its not that hard, just imagine you are taking a standardized test, the accurate answer is the one you choose
Can you elaborate? With remittance there is people with physical cash in tens of different local currencies and countries, and they need to transfer that value to some other (obscure) country. I don't see any scenario how "just set up a bank in the US" is going anywhere near in fixing that problem.
The idea of increased remittances is interesting but the logistics of doing that on the ground might be challenging for the unbanked.
And most importantly, withholding blockchain technology is not a solution to money laundering - it is happening already with legacy systems.
Fixing money laundering is not the priority here - we can look at fixing this later in our journey.
The amazing thing about all this is that everyone can become a BTC "bank". You need a bit of capital but orders of magnitude less than a normal bank would require, maybe 2k$ to get started of which you might spend 400$ on hardware and fees to open some channels. The trustless nature of lightning lets you and your users then join the global payment network without asking for permission from anyone and you can engage in commerce internationally.
I think, while we are still early, that this is an awesome experiment. It will highlight the UX problems so we can fix them. Hopefully at some point all this will make sense to the average westerner too, so we can finally have a money not controlled by anyone (states, incumbent banks) again. But that might take a long time.
[1] https://github.com/GaloyMoney/galoy#status-of-the-project
This is a great step in that direction.
Bitcoin becomes Legal Tender in El Salvador - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27445119 - June 2021 (134 comments, ongoing)
El Salvador to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27408683 - June 2021 (398 comments)
El Salvador Congress Approves Bitcoin As Legal Currency - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27444718 - June 2021 (48 comments)
Bitcoin is a legal tender in El Salvador for all transactions and tax payments - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27444400 - June 2021 (8 comments)
El Salvador Bitcoin legal tender is much bigger news than most realize - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27421705 - June 2021 (7 comments)
Bitcoin: El Salvador plans to make cryptocurrency legal tender - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27416409 - June 2021 (8 comments)
El Salvador to offer residence and no capital gains tax to Bitcoin investors - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27416068 - June 2021 (6 comments)
El Salvador President: 1% of BTC invested would increase GDP by 25% - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27414667 - June 2021 (14 comments)
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I guess we'll leave this one up and then downweight follow-ups [1], unless significant new information [2] arises.
[1] https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&sor...
[2] https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&so...
Right. People who can't even afford a bank account would now all be using financial services by paying 10 dollars per transaction.
For buying and selling Bitcoin, possibly. Transactions with Bitcoin will still have the usual transaction fees, as you still need to pay the miners verifying/realizing them.
Unless if you’re going to do a bunch of off chain stuff, which seems pointless.
The word “but” implies some kind of contrast with what is to follow; there is none. Your support to lack thereof is orthogonal to the next point.
Think of how often online bank accounts get hacked in the US, except the difference now is that your money is gone, permanently.
Or are you saying some other entity (a bank) will help them with it?
And if the latter, why would bitcoin be of help at all? A normal bank account would be simpler and less worrisome.
But hey whatever works.
I think this will work as well as Petro worked for Venezuela.
Could a more "conventional" system do the same job? Probably, but I won't begrudge people a working solution.
If you aren’t holding the keys that control your funds the entire time, it’s a custodial service. If USD is involved in any form besides paper cash in your own hands, it’s a custodial service.
In fact in my whole life (I'm 65 so about 50 years of having bank accounts) I have never paid transaction fees for ordinary transactions (in the UK and Norway).
I wonder if you could just fudge it with Photoshop (Gimp)? Could you get in trouble for forging a cheque to yourself?
If the above doesn't sound correct to a reader here, then either you've never lived outside of the US or, please tell me how to transfer money via banks and not get fleeced.
Additionally, my parents wanted to send me some money from another country and the cheapest fee they could find was $10.5 (Wise) most other options were from $30 to $100. This was for transferring roughly $2000.
I can agree that for a simple in country tx I've not had to pay living in Germany, that is largely because of smaller banks challenging and whittling down fees.
You mean that a transfer from your Greek bank account to another Greek bank account would cost you 3 EUR?
What happens if you get a bank account in another EU / SEPA country (e.g. via n26) and use it instead of a Greek bank account? Would there be any downside? Would a Greek company paying you a salary refuse to transfer the money there rather than a Greek bank account?
I got a free Tangerine account for free unlimited debit transactions. As a bonus I can withdraw cash with no fees at Scotiabank ATMs in addition to my normal bank. They also give you a VISA debit card that can be useful as a backup card for important online services (as long as you keep some money in it).
I also got a free (prepaid) Stack Mastercard. They give you a virtual credit card number you can use online plus a physical card. The main benefit though is 0% (or near 0%) foreign exchange fees. Most online services bill in USD and my normal bank charges around 2% extra in fees for the foreign currency conversion.
Then I reduced my normal bank account to the bare minimum $4 per month plan. So instead of squeezing an extra $12 per year from me, my bank gets $132 less per year now. However, that shows you why it works. Even if 9% of their customers do what I did they still make more money and I'd bet a ton that barely anyone reevaluates their banking because of a $1 per month increase in prices.
You have, just not in a way that’s obvious to you.
I think an equilibrium would be reached. For example, the US is probably OK with Russia having 10% of hash power if the US has 10%, and so on.
However, that particular example may be unrealistic, because the US would probably choose poverty over accepting bitcoin.
(Fees are a little more than 10% of miner's reward)
The country has a population of >6 million.
Bitcoin beach is a philanthropy run by one adult coordinator, 4 university students and 4 high school students.
The country is not using the lightning network. Maybe some have intentions for them to. But this is not something widely used by any means.
The problem of the unbanked isn’t that they don’t have access to financial services, it’s that they don’t have enough money. They live paycheck-to-check, if that. There’s no point in converting what little they have to Bitcoin and paying fees on the conversion, and then more fees when spending it.
I really wish comments would be more focused on telling the whole story rather than focusing on outdated information.
Lightning transactions are cheap and fast - so this argument is misinformed.
A core reason for El Salvador to adopt Bitcoin might be related to remittance - big part of their GDP is based on remittance and this will save people money.
Source: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS?lo...
The phony "fees are $1,000 a tx line" and $10 hyperbole simply show you have no clue what you're talking about when speaking about Bitcoin. Even on chain the past solid week you could send free BTC transactions, or for a couple of cents.
Why was that? Didn't miners charge for that service?
Not just there. Also here. Banks, PayPal, all the same shit in terms of exclusion and power imbalance
The average person isn't going to use bitcoin and the average merchant will likely never be paid in it.
main chain fees is $1 right now, and lightning tx are almost free: https://mempool.space/
It is meant more for people that are ousted from banking or traditional payments, like pornhub or Trump, or Loomer.
If people use Bitcoin to store their life savings instead of banks, expect gangs to run around robbing people for their bitcoin because all it takes is one unscrupulous vendor to inform the gangs of your net worth.
[0] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/strike-launches-bitcoin-light...
Furthermore, the system in question is not Layer 1 Bitcoin, but Layer 2 Lightning. To use Lightning, one must perform a Bitcoin transaction to open a channel– akin to opening a bank account– which provides access to the entire lightning network.
I find opening a bank account for less than a dollar very attractive.
That being said, layer 2 fees exist as well– you must pay someone, usually a hub, to securely lock some amount of Bitcoin to a channel so that you may transact. (Note that the secure lock isn't a security deposit; a channel be closed with funds returned without any third-party trust.)
Fees are currently $1.17 and were as low as $0.30 recently.
If you make one legal tender, suddenly they all are more useful there.
Doge transactions outside of their system for small things, their corpo BTC chain for larger things? Maybe.
BTC is not cash anymore, it won't work as such. There are other cryptos that could work, we'll have to see how broadly 'bitcoin' is interpreted.
The CGT exemption will be of interest to crypto whales and entrepreneurs and may attract some, but organized crime is a concern given the nature of the asset.
Apparently they are using Lightning and a service LN Strike that recently launched.
https://twitter.com/starkness/status/1402635954653904902?s=2...
Channel factories will bundle channel open/closes into a single transaction, so it won't be burdensome on the main chain.
1. You can easily support billions of bitcoin transactions a second since the transactions only change centralized database entries.
2. Users can send and receive funds using a website. You could even issue tokens that user could use to authorize fund transfers at Point of Sale (see Credit Cards).
If you want to ensure that this trusted party isn't hacked, you can have five trusted parties instead of one and use multisig so that 4 of 5 of them must consent and sign to do an on-chain transaction. You can something similar for the internal ledger maintained by the trusted parties to ensure that one of them doesn't maliciously alter user balances.
The typical rejoiner to this is: Why do you need Bitcoin to do this? Why not do it with fiat? They aren't wrong per se, you could do this with fiat and it would work pretty well. However building a system like this with Bitcoin does have some advantages:
1. User's can withdraw funds on-chain,
2. there is a clearly defined on-chain layer for settling large balances between institutions,
3. bitcoin isn't created by fiat from a government bank. This removes the risk of inflation in longterm international contracts, etc...
Based on my understanding the elected government was well within it’s rights to replace these judges under the constitution of the country. Also to echo the sister comment here, many of these judges were highly politically active oponents of the newly elected government.
Here is another good read if you want to understand the historical context in which El Salvador is operating [1]
In short, one of the primary reasons that El Salvador is in a difficult position financially and politically at all is the history of war crimes committed against them by foreign governments such as the United States.
In the 1980’s the US Government spent $1-2 million US dollars per day to fund a 12 year long proxy civil war to defend US imperial interests. This resulted in the US Government directly funding the training and recruitment of an army of child soldiers. The country is still dealing with the ramifications of this war today.
I see your claims that new El Salvador government is evil and raise you 1 US Government with a history of war crimes against the country.
People want ARENA and FMLN out of the country for good.
Even the most enterprising enthusiasts have barely gotten back home from the bitcoin conference in Miami
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Salvadoran_political_cris...
He is not a friend of democracy, except the performative "chatting with laser-eyed crypto stans on Twitter" kind.
He has 90% approval rate on the opposition owned polls, and he has supermajority of the assembly for a reason, 30 years of pure corruption without any consequences by the previous governments, you'll not find enough people to oppose him to fill a boulevard.
The new assembly just passed a bill finally allowing Salvadorans in other countries to vote in all future elections, if that's not democracy I don't know what is, if the opposition is against the overwhelming support he has, maybe they should've done things right by the people in those 30 years, but they didn't and they're finally out.
And it was done democratically, by the people without a single protest.
Read into what the traditional parties did to try to block Bukele for running for president, they closed a political party overnight with a congressman from that party still in the assembly, which was unconstitutional, but nobody said a word there.
They are both tapping the same deep vein of authoritarian populism, although nominally at opposite ends of the political spectrum.
The level of condescension elsewhere in this thread combined with total ignorance of the actual events taking place is stunning.
What % of the people on the call were from El Salvador? What % of the folks that spoke or asked questions? And what % were unbanked?
From listening to the call for a while, I'd guess a low single-digit number.
Even if it doesn't last, it does force remittance companies to become competitive, which will benefit El Salvador for years to come.
[1] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS?lo...
1: https://www.forbes.com/sites/tatianakoffman/2020/07/14/this-...
> Transfers of $35/family are made to 600 families every 3 weeks, which covers 50% of basic needs per household.
$35? Or $35 equivalent in Bitcoin? The article never really explains why giving them bitcoin is better than just giving them $35 in paper bills and coins. Just that the person giving the money will only do so as BTC, it doesn't sound like the townsfolk have any say in it.
> At the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin is $9226.56.
So anyone who paid their utility bill with Bitcoin at the time of the article overpaid by 4x compared to current bitcoin prices, or about 6x compared to the peak.
How realistic is it for this to continue when delaying a utility bill by a month could possibly make the value of that bill half, or double. I don't see how this can scale, and it sounds like the El Zonte situation only works because of the guaranteed BTC income by a benefactor.
You just have to look around and you'll see that millions of people are using it on a regular basis. Pure speculation can't make something become worth as much as Bitcoin is worth right now.
If that doesn't happen will you revise your opinion on bitcoin?
I don't particularly believe in bitcoin anymore, but that's only relative to other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum.
El Salvador picked BTC because of it's popularity, the problem is BTC is a terrible currency to actually use for something like this because of slow transaction speeds and high fees, so to get around that they augment it with Stike, which takes the decentralization out of the transactions, which makes the whole thing moot in my mind.
Announces it's legal tender
Price increases to $40k/coin
Government sells
Government makes $100m it no longer needs to raise in tax
Government investigates Government for illegal pump & dump scheme.
Bitcoin value drops.
Citizen held Bitcoin is worth less.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Salvadoran_political_cr...
If everyone has and knows how to use Bitcoin then they can transfer as much as they like for <$1 ATM, and it'd be a much easier process.
Sorry, but no that's an extraordinarily privileged take. $10 is a lot of money for just transmitting some USD. And it goes a long way in El Salvador. I highly doubt the average remitter is sending more than $500/month, so it represents a 2% tax. I only consider $10 an acceptable fee if I'm sending tens of thousands of dollars.
There isn't any currency conversion because El Salvador's official currency is USD. Assuming it's WU on both ends there's no settlement risk. It sounds like pure greed.
I can't imagine what an enormous pain in the ass this is going to be for businesses, given the volatility of BTC.
They are mandating that merchants must accept it as a means of transaction though.
I fully expect people to keep USD on the side, it's already part of the culture all over Central America
People tend to forget this but no other asset is safer in the short-term than the dollar, euro, etc. Why? Because no other asset has a powerful central entity whose job is to prevent loss of value above the 2% inflation target.
Its the same in Europe. Russian Oligarchs bought British Soccer Clubs so that they could become public personalities and avoid being assassinated by the Russian Government or other oligarchs.
The political class in South America exists in a different sphere. They are ancestrally directly European, whereas the working classes of the country are ancestrally native American or mestizo. The concern for the every day worker is minimal as is the overlap between the worlds of these groups.
But smart move. Even the poorest of the poor have smartphones with a (limited) internet subscription.
So a web based wallet like www.coins.io will work wonderfully for them.
But the reason El Salvador is working together with Strike.me is because they have a service where someone pays you in bitcoin but you can choose to receive all or part of the payment in dollars or another currency.
It's a fair point, but I don't honestly think that most people who've studied Bitcoin for more than a minute wants to use it for transactions. More and more people are seeing Bitcoin as either a store of wealth or a money making scheme. In either of those cases, the transaction fees really don't matter as much.
Incessantly bringing up the transaction fees seems to be missing the contemporary vision of BTC. The original intent of BTC is pretty much dead outside of black markets, and even then BTC wouldn't be a first choice.
Lightning might not be at the scale it needs to be now but it will improve greatly. maybe it is good enough already? Like Ruby on Rails. People keep talking about it being slow while massive web applications are being built with and billions of dollars being processed.
I bet if it was Ethereum that El Salvador had chosen, the opinion wouldn't be as harsh. Proof of stake doesn't have the same energy consumption concerns.
imo this is still a great development for all of crypto and DeFi. It will also help protect people who aren't connected and wealthy from losing their value due to ever higher levels of inflation (it is currently much higher than 3%) http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts
The only reason the vast majority of people advocating for Bitcoin are advocating for Bitcoin specifically is because they have invested in Bitcoin specifically, and they want the price of Bitcoin specifically to go up. Seeing people advocate for us all to be stuck with inferior technology forever because they have a financial stake in the inferior technology is exactly the sort of thing you should expect negativity about on HN.
How does this work out for individuals running small businesses, who may not have the technical expertise to adapt well to Bitcoin? I fear they're quickly going to become the targets of phishing attacks.
The folks behind tether will probably "loan" them a reserve to start with. It costs them nothing to create so they "loan" them out like candy and the price stays fixed at or near 1 USD.
Amazing!!!
Re people below: I don't have any sources to back up my claim, sorry. I should have put more emphasis that what I wrote is mostly based on my beliefs and observation over years. You will only hear the news after a government has acquired amount of BTC they're satisfied with. If I wanted to acquire large amounts of BTC for the best price, I would do so quietly, while enjoying prices lowered by the Korea/electricity/whatever FUD (not saying these arguments against BTC are invalid but they would serve my goal). Feel free to dispute or downvote, whatever suits you.
how easy is it for businesses to incorporate tech like this?
As a world, we shouldn't be encouraging the use of a currency which is literally churning out CO2 into the air when there's so many less wasteful cryptos out there
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Salvadoran_political_cr...
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Salvadoran_political_cr...
Key points:
- 0.34% of tx in 2020 were illicit - Of that 0.34% it is almost all scams and darknet market tx
In 2021, the large darknet markets either only accept Monero or accept BTC and Monero. Large ransomware gangs like DarkSide prefer Monero (they offer discounts for it). It's reasonable to assume that the percentage of BTC tx that are illicit are even lower as Monero assumes more of the activity.
BTC is not a 'currency' of the black markets.
- https://blog.chainalysis.com/reports/2021-crypto-crime-repor...
Drug dealers making $1m a month can go directly to the bank and have it laundered haven't you read the news?
El Salvador courts?
Algo glitch ? Penalty for mentioning Bitcoin much ?
Let me try to displace some of the content-free flaming with real information.
I'm not in El Salvador, but I do have some experience with how Bitcoin gets used in practice in low- and middle-income countries, despite the transaction fees sometimes being high. I don't have experience with Strike or Lightning in general, so while in theory they should help a lot with the transaction-fee issue, I don't know how they work out in practice.
I’ve been using Bitcoin to get paid for a couple of years at this point where I live here in Argentina. It’s currently 13 years after Bitcoin’s invention, and some people think it’s regressing instead of progressing. Well, 13 years after the internet’s invention was 01982; not only couldn’t you get so much as a weather report online, much less IRC, but many of the early interesting experiments like NLS at SRI had shut down, and more and more places were disabling guest access to their hosts—you couldn’t run so much as a game of ADVENT without getting a username. And a password. Things were seriously regressing. The only people you could talk to on the internet were other people who really bought into the subculture.
If you live in a country with a highly functional banking system and no kleptocracy, Bitcoin is probably a bit puzzling unless you have family in Cuba. But it’s not puzzling at all for those of us who live somewhere in the middle of the broad spectrum between Switzerland and Somalia, because most places have a little kleptocracy. Argentina is a stable democracy, far from being “a failed state,”† but if you want to send US$500 abroad via non-Bitcoin means it’s basically impossible, and the only broadly available savings vehicle is real estate (“ahorrar en ladrillos”), which of course grossly inflates real-estate prices, with a substantial part of the capital city occupied by empty apartments someone bought “as an investment”. Historically, Argentines have saved by buying dollars, but that’s limited to US$200 a month now, and then only if you have a non-under-the-table job (about a third of total employment is under the table):
https://www.ambito.com/finanzas/dolares/cronologia-del-cepo-...
You can see that in September 02019 when this measure was imposed the price of a dollar was AR$63.50; now it’s AR$155. So whatever savings you had in pesos in 02019 have lost 59% of their value to peso devaluation.
In 02001 a lot of Argentines had saved dollars in their dollar-denominated bank accounts. This did not preserve their savings through the financial crisis that year; the cash-strapped government limited withdrawals to a trickle, then converted dollar deposits to pesos at a one-to-one rate, then released the exchange-rate peg, at which point peso went overnight from being worth US$1 to being worth US$0.25 before settling at about US$0.31 for the next few years. The US did something similar in 01933.
Some might suggest using “alternatives to banks like credit unions where customers—as owners—hold more power,” but Credicoop depositors suffered the same two-thirds confiscation of savings as depositors in for-profit banks. And they pay the same 3% tax on bank transactions including checks. That’s more than a fast Bitcoin transaction fee of US$15 for transactions over US$500.
But we’re not a failed state. There are no gangs of bandits roving the streets in Argentine cities (though there are some pretty bad slums where you’ll get robbed if you wander in without knowing anybody). Courts, free public hospitals, and roads continue to function, though there are more potholes than a year ago. Argentine infant mortality is 10 per 1000 live births, down from almost 20 in the late 01990s and the same as the late 01980s in the US; life expectancy at birth is 77 years, worse than Switzerland’s 84, but the same as China and Hungary, and better than Saudi or Mexico. (Somalia is 54.)
Most of the world, and notably El Salvador, is worse off than Argentina, although not necessarily in such a statistically transparent fashion. About one fourth of the people in the world are unbanked, 51% here in Argentina, 70% in El Salvador; even advanced countries like Russia, Hungary, and Uruguay have roughly a quarter of the population unbanked:
https://www.gfmag.com/global-data/economic-data/worlds-most-...
And if your family lives in a country like Iran or Venezuela subject to US sanctions, and you live in the US? Good luck sending them an ACH, instant or otherwise!‡ It’s well known that Bitcoin is very popular in Venezuela, which kind of is a failed state, so one of the Venezuelan governments is trying to tax Bitcoin remittances at 15%.
Bitcoin handles a few billion dollars per year in such remittances, which are the lifeblood of the Salvadoran economy. A few billion dollars a year might seem like a trivial amount of money to someone in a rich country, but in poor countries, it’s enough to keep several million people alive.
Even in the US, it’s common for the police to confiscate large amounts of paper currency just because they can (“civil forfeiture”); US bank accounts are probably fine for US$100K but probably somewhat risky for US$10M if the bank thinks you don’t seem like the kind of person who ought to have it. US$10M in US$100 bills fits in a box you can wheel around on a dolly, but Bitcoin is a lot more practical. (And of course US$10M in dollar bills loses about US$200k per year to inflation.) The problems with official corruption in El Salvador are reputed to be dramatically worse than in the US, and Bitcoin should help a lot with that.
Transaction fees are usually high enough that you wouldn’t want to use Bitcoin to pay for a can of Red Bull or even a restaurant dinner. But it’s extremely practical as an alternative to Western Union or US$100 bills or gold, even with the current very high transaction fees. At the moment, the Bitcoin transaction fee is very low—the median Bitcoin transaction fee in the last block was 0.0495 millibitcoins, which is US$1.72:
https://btc.com/0000000000000000000c28aea6e8c073e44e249460e8...
When I last checked a week ago, it was 0.00678 millibitcoins, which is US$0.25:
https://btc.com/0000000000000000000778ef382c1697706e34634696...
Three months ago it was at what I think of as a more normal rate of 0.31 millibitcoins, US$11, which is lower than the 3.4% spread you’d pay to a jeweler or black-market money changer for transactions over US$350:
https://btc.com/00000000000000000000476ab57eea9be8ada36e2680...
So, Bitcoin doesn’t have to be a cypherpunk utopia to be a big improvement on the status quo ante. For those of you living in stable countries where your worries are things like “instant and extremely low-fee ACHs” and “decentralized utopia”, this may be very confusing, but try to remember that most of the world lives in places with much more pressing concerns, concerns that Bitcoin helps a lot with. And you may live there too, soon—the loyal subjects of Kaiser Wilhelm in 01913 certainly didn’t expect that in 15 years they’d be in the middle of a hyperinflation episode that remains legendary a century later.
I think that, by providing workarounds to the people who need them, cryptocurrencies probably not only ameliorate the most immediate and pressing concerns of poor parts of the population like Venezuelan immigrants and MS-13 victims, but probably also adjust the power balance in a more liberal and democratic direction. This will improve the chance of those concerns being ameliorated by public policy over the next decades as well. But it’s hard to tell what will really happen. The potential disaster scenario is that, by making most taxation impossible, cryptocurrencies destroy the modern welfare state without providing anything to replace it. So the public hospitals close, the enormous police force starts to support itself by extracting tribute, and the infrastructure decays. Pretty similar to what’s happened in the US over the last 50 years, in fact, only more so.
However, at this point I think the modern welfare state is already doing a good enough job of destroying itself without any significant help from cryptocurrencies—as evidence, I can point to Maduro, Macri, Bolsonaro, Trump, and Brexit, and metonymically to the social changes they betoken. So at this point I’m more worried about cushioning the collapse than preventing it.
(I posted an earlier version of this comment at https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27337189.)
____
† We’ve remained democratic since 01983, electing presidents from three different political parties (UCR, PJ, and PRO), and there’s no serious insurgency. It’s the economy and government policy that are ruinously unstable, to a point that seems satirical to anyone accustomed to the US, but is lamentably common worldwide. Rich people sometimes say they don’t know of legitimate uses of Bitcoin outside of “failed states”.
‡ Family remittances are specifically exempted from the US sanctions on Iran, but good luck finding a US bank that’s willing and able to take that risk: https://www.wiggin.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/26580_advi...
Why does it make most taxation impossible? Goods and services still change hands.
Can you explain how this is better than e.g. Wise (formerly Transferwise), PayPal, or some other international money transmitter?
And in the case of El Salvador, I think Western Union is popular for remittance because people without a bank account can get cash. Bitcoin does not solve the “cash to people without a bank account”. If the idea is, that people should instead transfer money to each other via the Strike app, when they pay for things, I fail to see how this is different from e.g. sending money to each other with PayPal.
Now a country has BTC as legal tender, add to that the 700 B marketcap and the fact that it cannot be banned because nobody has enough political capital to piss off millions of holders.
We are in a new era. The social messaging out there is BTC vs Central Banks and maybe we'll get to that fight someday in the future, but in the meantime BTC is cannibalising Gold which was always the go to option for Libertarians, Government haters and Central Bank critics and opponents.
In my opinion Central Banks have nothing to worry, at least with regards to BTC. By the time BTC takes all of gold marketcap it won't post the outsized returns that it has up to now (regardless of the deflationary protocol) and so people will stop rushing in.
.It looks (from the news articles) that it has a broader definition in El Salvador, but unless one is an expert in that country's law, it would be best not to make claims about it. If someone is an expert, I'd love to hear what the actual facts are.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_companies_involved_in_...
I'm so surprised.
Most payments over US$ 100 require and ID, and every bank deposit, require an ID or Passport.
Elon Musk sold his bitcoins, Bill Gates was against it, Warren Buffet mocked it.
One could easily make a fun documentary about all the disappointments of bitcoin. The MtGox theft was a wakeup call.
Buffett has also said that he does not understand technology.
https://twitter.com/neiman30/status/1401592760084336648
Editing: sorry for sharing the tweet instead of rewriting the content here, it was a lazy move on my side.
Wasn't there a vote?