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scarecrowboat

9 karma · joined November 16, 2017

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scarecrowboat··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
What if the followup procedure is invasive and expensive? It's possible that this procedure could be net negative in aggregate depending on the % of false positives and # of resulting needless followup procedures. Not to mention the emotional stress.
scarecrowboat··on Surface Laptop 4
I'd still expect the AMD version to have better battery life because the numbers are probably 30% lower across the board right?
scarecrowboat··on Airbnb to halt all marketing, most hiring as losses mount
> While I'm ranting, why do they let basements or single floors of a shared house count as an 'entire place'? It's really weird to turn up and see you're actually in a basement in the owners house with their kids stomping around upstairs.

Would you describe a room in a hotel as an "entire place" or a "shared space"?

scarecrowboat··on Dealing with China Isn’t Worth the Moral Cost
Genuinely curious -- do you have a source for this?
scarecrowboat··on Ahead of IPO, Airbnb achieves profitability for second year in a row
Do you have any sources on that? I have family in the hotel industry and anecdotally the entire industry in my area took a nose dive in the last recession. Not quite the same as general demand for travel but it's more relevant to how Airbnb would perform in a recession.
scarecrowboat··on Endocrine-disrupting chemical exposure in US: disease burden and cost analysis
Have you been making a (literal) apples to apples comparison though? I find that farmer's markets in my area (Seattle) can be cheaper than Whole Foods for organic locally sourced things in season but definitely more expensive than going to a regular grocery store.
scarecrowboat··on Nassim Taleb, Absorbent Barriers and House Money
>> No one sane plays a game like that with all their money on the line.

Already mentioned in another comment, see LTCM as a prime example:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long-Term_Capital_Management

scarecrowboat··on Things Many People Find Too Obvious to Have Told You Already
I think it's that the goal posts have shifted, i.e. distribution used to be the bottleneck for alot of people but now that it's easy (for internet businesses) there's a new bottleneck.

There's so much stuff on the internet that it's a problem of discovery, which is why Google became so dominant.