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satyrun

44 karma · joined July 3, 2025

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satyrun··on Being too ambitious is a clever form of self-sabotage
Exactly. It is such a stupid debate when Belichick coached and molded Brady into what he became.

Everyone has always said Belichick is basically an encyclopedia of football knowledge.

satyrun··on Being too ambitious is a clever form of self-sabotage
Rubin was also in the right place at the right time.

Putting out Run-DMC – Raising Hell, Slayer – Reign in Blood and Beastie Boys – Licensed to Ill in the same year is completely insane but things are probably much different if he is 20 years older or 20 years younger. '

He was in the perfect place as hip hop and metal were taking off.

satyrun··on The Rise of Whatever
I know the writings of Jaron on this and I think he is mostly wrong.

What he is comparing was a brief time in history that the music industry was at the absolute peak.

We have just gone back to normal that most people can't make money being a musician just like being an actor is not really a viable middle class career option.

Sure, when I graduated high school you could have just made a living in a local rock band because everyone wanted to be in a band to be the next Guns n Roses.

To me, it is like how even Hitler wanted to be a painter because everyone wanted to be a painter at that time. The way everyone wanted to be a rock star when i was a teenager.

Times change and the collective artistic taste change with them. So many musicians are doing better than ever before because of youtube too.

I play the baroque lute and I can tell you that it is much tougher to get a gig in a bar today than it was in 1650 in France.

The best lutenist though are killing it on youtube with Bach videos.

satyrun··on Everything around LLMs is still magical and wishful thinking
We haven't even come up with different methodology yet to leverage these tools that well.

At some point one would have to think the idea of coming up with one design will seem outdated if the model is producing a 1000 different versions at once and then testing to find the best design. Then working on improving and tightening the design 24/7 365.

Most of what I read on here seems like knocking the automobile while proclaiming the virtues of the horse. It only makes sense because we can't see all the paved roads, gas stations and highways yet that make the horse a complete relic for travel.

At some point, it will make as much sense to pay a human to write code as it does to take a horse on the interstate.

satyrun··on Everything around LLMs is still magical and wishful thinking
People are also incredibly accurate at doing this kind of manual data piping all day.

There is also a reason that these jobs are already not automated. Many of these jobs you don't need language models. We could have automated them already but it is not worth someone to sign off on. I have been in this situation at a bank. I could have automated a process rather easily but the upside for me was a smaller team and no real gain while the downside was getting fired for a massive automated mistake if something went wrong.

satyrun··on Fei-Fei Li: Spatial intelligence is the next frontier in AI [video]
Francois Chollet's observation is that LLMs have sucked the air out of the entirety of AI research.

On the other hand I just chatted with Opus 4 for the first time a few minutes ago and I am completely blown away.

satyrun··on Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations of 100k increase
The mistake you are making is believing people are interested in the truth and the assumption that humans are rational truth seeking agents.

People mostly consume news as a form of entertainment with a dopamine hit from having their prior beliefs confirmed or for gossip. It is why the "news" is so popular.

I have thought quite a bit about building "real" news outlets but it is hard to not conclude it is a waste of time.

Reinforcing priors and gossiping is just what humans do. In the west, we really get off on a simulation of truth seeking even when the slightest bit of analysis can show the simulation is ridiculous.

The Titan submersible news event is really a great lens to grasp this in retrospect considering anyone with domain knowledge knew right away the truth that the Titan had imploded.

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