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sanp

486 karma · joined April 13, 2015

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sanp··on Suspension of the de minimis administrative exemption for imports $800 or less
Assuming there is no chicanery
sanp··on Google Has Removed MV2 Extensions from the Chrome Web Store, Including UBO
How about Brave? Any thoughts?
sanp··on AI Is Threatening Natural Resources for Billions
Almonds are tasty. AI on the other hand….
sanp··on What happens if an entire class of workers loses faith in their careers
Here’s a counterpoint

https://americancompass.org/2023-cost-of-thriving-index/

sanp··on SpaceX to buy Cursor for $60B
Could you clarify what you mean by “…will be over in a year or so”. Genuine question. Is it that models will be so good that none of this matters or we will need to go back to older ways?
sanp··on WSL 2 is getting faster Windows file system access
Hasn’t this always been the case? I have always run builds under WSL2 in Windows because of this.
sanp··on Facing life-threatening miscarriage in Arkansas, calls to governor didn't help
The doctors would be putting more than their jobs on the line.
sanp··on The real cost of owning a home
Is the author accounting for the equity built up? Cash has to go out whether it’s a mortgage or rent. With a mortgage you are building equity. This changes the true math when you sell (leaving aside your ability to now get a HELOC).
sanp··on Frontier AI agents violate ethical constraints 30–50% of time, pressured by KPIs
So, better than people?
sanp··on Trillions spent and big software projects are still failing
AI will fix this
sanp··on Former US Vice-President Cheney Dies
Really? The VC ecosystem and most of tech leadership is pretty alt to hard right now.
sanp··on Tesla influencers tried coast-to-coast self-driving, hit debris before 60 miles
Question - isn't P(Hitting | Human Driving) still less than P(Hitting | Tesla FSD) in this particular case [given that if this particular situation comes up - Tesla will fail always whereas some / many humans would not]?
sanp··on Airbnb allowed rampant price gouging following L.A. fires, city attorney alleges
Well that assumes that there are more suppliers available (within the time period under consideration). Over what time period do we assume that more suppliers will be drawn out? An hour? A day? A month?
sanp··on Airbnb allowed rampant price gouging following L.A. fires, city attorney alleges
Isn’t the underlying assumption here that supply is essentially infinite (or at least comparable to demand)? I think is the underlying assumption with any such statement. If the assumption doesn’t hold true then I am not sure the statement holds true (perhaps only till there is some supply).
sanp··on East Asian aerosol cleanup has likely contributed to global warming
This is a case of China trying to reduce pollution. Reduce aerosol emissions. The impact of this is lower cooling (aerosol interaction results in atmospheric cooling)
sanp··on Alphabet Q1 2025 Earnings [pdf]
What’s a multi-turn prompt?
sanp··on Bond rout starting to sound market alarm bells
He has bankrupted a few casinos. So, he is pretty good at poker.
sanp··on Zelensky leaves White House after angry meeting
Do you have evidence for NC disaster services being worse than CA disaster services (as provided by the Federal government)?
sanp··on Archivists work to save disappearing data.gov datasets
We wouldn’t know this if the information isn’t shared? So, aren’t you making a case for not removing this information?
sanp··on Why America's economy is soaring ahead of its rivals
GDP PPP is based on assumptions that - 1) People indifferent countries have the same basket of goods - probably not true for someone living in US vs Chine vs India 2) Accurate pricing data is available (which is not true for big categories like real estate in India and China - a large part of the price is under the table and unaccounted)
sanp··on Trump wins presidency for second time
All this handwringing about inflation, economy etc. I think it is lot simpler:

Most people are already set on who they will vote for. Perhaps Trump supporters more so than Democrats. So, it all boils down to turnout:

1. Kamala wasn't the candidate to bring out Democrats (no primary, not a popular choice even among Democrats, selected by the DNC)

2. Trump can bring out his voters. The added advantage was a female opponent. A number of his supporter (male and female) have a pretty strong misogynistic streak. They will turn out to vote against a female opponent just because of that. I suspect a male Democratic candidate (even Biden) would have done much better (entirely driven by lower turnout of Trump supporters as they would not have been so committed against a male opponent)

This is further supported by the results of 2018 /2022 mid-terms. Trump was not on the ballot. So, Republican turnout (especially the kind that is in the cult) was impacted and Democrats had a good showing. We will see the same in 2026 (even more so as the economy will tank over the next 2 years and Democrats will come out in force). I predict a clean sweep by Democrats in 2026 perhaps even 60 Senate seats (yes, the economy will be that bad) and then the impeachment will start.

sanp··on US probes Tesla's Full Self-Driving software after fatal crash
This will go away once Trump wins
sanp··on Show HN: I'm building a Product Hunt alternative, it's 4 days old
Is it on Product Hunt?
sanp··on Canvas is a new way to write and code with ChatGPT
I think in 4-5 years’ time there will be huge demand for fixing / maintaining these LLM-built apps. Perhaps the LLMs that follow can do it.
sanp··on Behind OpenAI's plan to make A.I. flow like electricity
All these Libertarians asking for government handouts…
sanp··on Hollywood Can't Ditch Its Teslas Fast Enough:"They're Destroying Their Leases.."
I have had a great experience with Ioniq 5 and the real world range is better than Model Y (similar price point model).
sanp··on Lazarus Group laundered $200M from 25 crypto hacks to fiat
And how many VCs heavily invested in Crypto startups?
sanp··on Unconditional Cash Study: first findings available
I think UBI without regulations on pricing will result in inflation that will negate the benefits of UBI.

Regulating prices will have unintended consequences (outside of a specific set of goods).

Perhaps the Govt needs to take over the provisioning of these basics (production and distribution) and anything outside the basics will be market driven.

I know this has been tried in the past and has failed miserably. But, we now have better ways to track these things. So, maybe time to give it another try?

sanp··on Unconditional Cash Study: first findings available
The problem is rent will go up when everyone can afford that extra 1000. Unless you build more housing UBI will just inflate housing costs
sanp··on The Ticketmaster Data Breach May Be Just the Beginning
Sure. But this still has to be decided by a court of law - did the defendant follow all the regulations? That is what most of these cases come down to anyway - did the defendant do a reasonable job of following established norms (and regulations) to prevent harm? Are we saying that the courts should not decide this and it should be left to the government to just certify and that should be sufficient to throw the plaintiff’s cases out in all scenarios?
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