11 karma · joined July 26, 2020
India in 1947 invested in freedom of thought, democracy, and gradual donning away with archaic customs (only) wherever needed, with overall gentleness. Or should I say, this has been nothing new with India, happening since eternity. Without mega turbulence, maybe with intermediate evolution-revolutions as needed like the freedom movement till 1947. Business as usual.
This is clearly an unclosed chapter at this point. Many alternative futures could work out. Say, with machines doing more and more work including that of building machines, that part hopefully will get commoditised, along with the core science and infra behind that. And innovative controlled employment of those advances for societal benefits will become the need. Grassroot level, day-to-day creativity and innovation will be the mantra. Who could tell? All analysis is in hindsight anyways.
Even the current fear around India moving towards some authoritarian regimented society is nonsense. Society will not let it happen. They have tasted the blood of freedom. Often at the cost of discipline, progress, economy, basic survival.
They do seem to cling hard their religion, gods, spirituality though!
For a while, have been finding an affinity with MN Roy with his “cultural prerequisites of freedom” and “radical humanism”. But yes, completely agree that modeling all the world’s complexity into a any grand ism is being foolishly ambitious.
Just that, capital translating to power is not a universal truth. Historically too, various recipes have tasted success to move up power ladders. Be it high moral values, smart statecraft, peaceful bottom-up people movements-art-science, or worse like violence, anarchy, barbarism; or a hotch-potch of all those!
Will be fun to watch how things pan out today!
2. Socialism: Bureaucratic and slow, no private enterprise, finally poverty. Unless it is the special form of global efficient state capitalism (same as capitalism then); just that commonfolk of the state-capitalist nation can be happy overall, at the expense of many more unhappy citizens of countries exploited by the bully country.
3. Capitalist with Minimum-basic-services: Let anyone with strength do anything they wish as long basic needs of food, health, education, safety, etc are handled. Will lead to pacified but meek, non-interfering masses and those at the helm take care of development and throw additional goodies to the basic-service pool as per their gains/wishes (plus doors of fashion are always open for philanthropy). Latest trends seems be toward this.
4. Ideal, Private enterprise with strong oversight by democratic state: Private enterprise, be it for profit or anything else, who cares. Just have enough knobs (taxation, holidays, freebies, policy, force, etc.) in place such that development happens where needed (balance parity, environment, nex-gen research etc. dimensions) wholesomely. This is ideal, should have worked, but alas, since all elections are funded by big money, the patrons will definitely expect returns in the form of favoritism during policy formation (including a big no to state-funded elections, or big yes to curbing public agitations by weapons and state force).
In short, masses are doomed, and tech progress will expedite it!
Given the current state of affairs, the objective of UBI/UBS seems to be governments (aka representatives elected to office due to funding by those seeking serious ROI) and their political patrons to pacify agitated masses moving out of the workforce due to hyper-automation. At most, UBI plus clear net-zero work like digging and filling back holes in the ground.
Else, more and more useful enterprises are moving toward being handled by private players (political patrons), and governments stay out of it more and more. Not just public education, health, infra, but slowly, even defence and public security. And the roads are to be cleared for private enterprise to pick up because they are supposed to be more efficient at growth than governments. And roads cleared with much more than classical 'laissez faire'. Via policies that spur 'fast and efficient growth', subsidies in natural resource usage, favorable labor laws, tax holidays, and more.
Private players will try to grow, spread, takeover over earth as much as they can, with all the automation that can be used, on the other hand plucking the minimal needed labor from this residual workforce. At terms that are in line with "market demand-supply dynamics".
The remaining ones have will have lost the right (worse, even the will) to complain because they are well fed without needing to do work! It is expected they will not intrude into or complain about the subsidies given to those players running the show. Not complain about the reducing per-capita-resource restrictions they would be slowly cordoned/quarantined to.
They would be expected to patiently wait for development to continue and some of its fruits (mainly numbing entertainment like politics/sports/games/media) to be thrown to them. Occasionally get chances to participate in ceremonies to express gratitude to the generous govt-business society leaders for taking care of them. Otherwise fighting against each other to grab the limited fruits, never organize, continue being vulnerable to society bosses who prefer servile in-fighting masses.
E.g. OS exploits were targeted towards Windows, not so much for so many of those Linux distros.