sailfast

It's not right a lot of the time (yes, even the latest models) based on the problem you're trying to solve for your users. (That's one thing we can keep doing).

It doesn't always know the right thing to fit the need, so you can now figure out what that looks like and design it appropriately (and try 10 options in production and see which one wins!)

But also you can just do a lot more work. If the prompt can replicate 95% of your work, now you can do keep moving forward faster and do a lot more work.

This does mean, of course, that there will be less of a need for software engineers that are only capable of reasoning about the edges of applications or one narrow part of the whole discipline will get squeezed out. If a computer can do the job, it's now less valuable of a skillset than it used to be in the market, and that hits wages hard if your only contribution to the market was "I know how to create React components when someone tells me what is in them, and how they need to interact with other components"

Happily, despite the amazing productivity of AI, there is still so much absolute CRAP software out there, and so many different places we can apply better options. Bureaucracy and poor management will continue to create new opportunities.

P2P > B2B. Grow strong relationship pipelines through human interaction and in-person thought leadership. Sponsored by [Conference Facility]

And yet... the author just posted the same sloppy content here too! Nowhere is immune :)

What the heck? Author just did the same thing they absolutely hate about LinkedIn, but posted it to their blog and hacker news. GTF outta here man.

It’s true - but then where do folks get money to buy from the businesses?

Eventually this merry-go-round runs into some issues if we don’t figure out a way to make this huge productivity boom work.

Parlay?

Is this a useful model or just an ad for Fireworks runtime? I can’t really tell…

I don’t think that an AI misinterpreting your results is weird, tbh.

Most of the time their AI results are pretty good - I’d prefer not to get it shoved down my throat but I can forgive the occasional misfire.

Reminds me of when certain string classification problems were still a big deal… we’ve come a long way.

Ooh didn’t know about the OnStar fuse - good tip!!

The best evidence will undoubtedly be classified so we can’t see it, but trust us, it’s there. Ignore all the other evidence.

Let me verify before I come back to you with an answer that is incorrect.

This isn’t awesome generally but I don’t understand how this study is novel in the slightest?

Ban goods or expect advertising for them, full stop.

Seems like a perfect useless academic exercise to watch the World Cup and say you’re working.

Bonus points for judgment on the health of the goods just for giggles.

Modern tech companies are not managed well at all in my experience! They’re rife with waste.

Management often makes terribly unprofitable decisions and often work to protect their slices of the pie rather than the org.

Tech companies are saved by their margins, their aura, and low interest rates.

Better examples might be grocery stores or other low margin businesses that require some fairly ruthless prioritization (at least that is what I’m to understand)

To your care / profitability argument: that is good news! However, I do believe that concern for profitability will always outweigh a care quality argument so there is a misalignment of incentives in that case. I would look to insurers to demonstrate this, generally, but can imagine a PE-owned hospital system might attempt similar measures.

Ideal outcome is a great manager that also cares and ends up paying doctors more and providing excellent care while driving down costs using better processes and negotiating with suppliers. But, uh… not sure how often the benevolent PE firm actually shows up historically.

Apple is not a PE firm. They are a public consumer goods company with a ton of different business lines. Their duty is shareholder value and making good products that sell is one way to do that.

Value extraction is a short term play. It’s usable by most companies in a pinch, but normally only happens before their death or slow decay into zombie-dom. At least, that’s what my anecdata tells me.

Remove “more intelligent” here and I’ll give you some benefit.

The problem with healthcare “economics” is that providing high quality care is likely not as profitable as middling care, or sub-standard care.

You say that economics is meant to deliver cheap quality goods, but in reality here economics for PE is value extraction and has nothing to do with consumer good at all - unless of course there’s more profit there. Most of the time, there isn’t.

How does one move power plant pollution offshore to China?

/s you should see how much private schools cost!

What happens when you ask it to play chess against you if the chess game has an API? Are you measuring chess or multi-tasking skill?

Also what harness? If you’re using a general harness of course it’s going to try and give you commentary.

I say this not because I’m an LLM shill but because false equivalence is all over the place in the space and maybe it’s a fine heuristic for you but probably not a real outcome when it comes to the capability of LLMs.

If I’m Canada I look for a trade agreement rather than associate membership - no reason to put your eggs in one basket.

As an American, I continue to be sad and tired that our current president is somehow allowed to unilaterally destroy a very successful and thriving trade partner via arbitrary tariffs that have already been ruled illegal and while it doesn’t make a damned bit of difference I’m sorry about it.

Don’t give them any ideas.

I just happen to have an extra Pi and an e-ink display sitting around and I LOVE this idea. Going to try it on my screened in porch - we typically get 10-20 Merlin detections on a decent day so this could be fun!

Not a kid - I wish. My point was that (admittedly some not all) societies if faced with a loss of a major utility and supply chains that were dependent on would start to devolve pretty quickly into chaos.

That to me is the greater threat than annihilation due to autonomous weapons, etc.

Yeah it was just one of many potential reasons I listed as a hypothetical - nothing specific to Oracle.

Depends on how many employees are on visas that depend on them working for Oracle I guess...

It might have helped draw out the layoff process, potentially. Still not convinced unions would optimize overall outcomes for employees _while_ employed.

Maybe a better conversation to have as we keep moving through this AI Engineering era and a bunch of new companies are created. If you are considering founding a company, would you start it as a union shop? If not, why?

> We are grateful for your dedication, hard work, and the impact you have made during your time with us.

Why do companies bother with this horse excrement? Does a sentence like this make anyone feel better?

Most times, I wish they'd just send the honest truth. "Hey, we screwed up. We over-hired and ran out of funds so we had to let you go to make payroll" or "Our M&A strategists overpaid for an over-leveraged company and now we have to figure out how to pay down the debt. Your position was cut as a result."

Obviously corporations owe nothing to nobody (apparently) but I'd love it if the patronizing language stopped.

This would be totally doable except for a couple of recent changes during the DOGE take-over where federal agencies mandated communication on X as their primary means.

This is clearly illegal as all comms need to be posted in different accessible places as well as the federal register - but that never stopped anybody in this administration from a bit of grifting to drive users to their own platform.

I’m bummed about this service being taken down. I will now just not be able to see updates from folks in the AI field that choose to post there and I’ll rely on aggregators instead.

Have you ever lived through a power outage longer than 48 hours?

Did you see what it did to people in your neighborhood?

That’s the path.

This is the correct approach. I think we can do both things - try to add some controls while also ensuring it’s not a complete giveaway to entrenched interests and investors.

The problem with that hope and approach is regulatory capture. Big money is now the only thing that apparently matters in shaping policy, and changing that will require a lot of very sweeping vote and policy changes that may not ever have the momentum to succeed.

Would love to see this tested on some of the newer cybersecurity models so we could actually defend ourselves instead of getting cut off at the knees by silly regular expressions.

Hope this approach gets well tested and sees good results so we have a shot at human governance.