safog

And yet.. unemployment at 3.4%. Do you know any unemployed engineers?

And so it's a meaningless correlation. Telsa has a 30% margin too. Do you want to lump them along with Apple and MSFT?

Organic growth towards computing and digital does that. Time spent online is increasing, services are getting better, people are moving to the cloud from on-prem etc. etc.

It's not a zero sum game right now. The moment FAANGs are in a zero sum game trying to cannibalize each others' market shares I predict HN won't even have an argument around if tech firms are too big. That means tech has plateaued and has become a mature business like Coca cola or Kroger.

The cat's out of the bag now, it doesn't take a genius PM to work it out. Maybe a genius PM could've worked out how revolutionary generative AI is going to be pre- chat GPT release but I really doubt that a random MBA who knows nothing about AI can do that. Every single day there's a cool new AI application. The problem space is fairly fleshed out. It's a matter of executing.

How do you make enterprise tools better? (Photoshop + AI, Code + AI etc.) How do you make consumer tools better? (YT tools + AI) How do you make search better?

etc. etc.

It was never the happiest place on earth for a lot of the non-creative types. No idea how the creatives at Disney felt.

For instance, they used to have unpaid interns do full days at theme parks in-character and people would fly all the way from Australia for that privilege because, you know, you get to be Peter Pan for a summer.

It's sort of the same experience as Amazon. If you're a customer, it's the greatest thing ever. If you're an employee, not so much.

No I understand these, I'm curious about what you're referring to when you say there was a report that industry wide comps are down sharply.

> Meanwhile my employer is celebrating the latest salary comp data showing that industry-wide compensation has declined sharply.

Any pointers?

FWIW I worked at Amazon in one of these teams and it's not something I found very interesting. You get thrown a random binary that some ML researcher compiled with instructions to host-it. No sense of ownership over the product, you're just an Ops frontend for a researcher so they can do the fun stuff building models and you're dealing with the pagers.

Check out "unnatural selection" which covers DIY home CRISPR setups if you're interested in this topic.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unnatural_Selection_(TV_series...

I believe they cover the-odin.com as well.

tl;dr: Lots good, but lots scary.

There are no presubmits that prevent breaking changes from "going into live". If some shared infra updates are released, the merge from live breaks for multiple individual teams rather than preventing the code from getting submitted in the first place.

Thank you for being so candid. FWIW I think you are bang on with your assessment and I'm really hopeful that I can get back to using Medium again.

In general, generative models are taking publicly available content from creators and are monetizing them for big tech.

Same with stable diffusion, AI art. And it'll be the same with LLMs.

Eventually the whole internet would be flooded with cheap AI generated content and clearly AIs need human generated content to train on so it'll be the snake eats itself.

Yup you're right. It's more like Adani's lenders might threaten social stability if Adani becomes insolvent. But I'm pretty sure the govt will give SBI a cash injection and have them loan that amount to Adani in the event that things actually get bad.

He's too big to fail status in India, so it'll be interesting to see how their short position unfolds. They can keep the scam going for much longer than Hindenburg can keep their short I imagine.

Benefits costs add up quite significantly, not just the pay. Pay is made up of base pay + bonus + stock. The stock based comp is weird accounting tricks too where you dilute existing shareholders to pay employees. The direct cost to company there is buy backs but I don't think total buybacks == dilution through SBC.

So you have to take into account just the base pay + benefits.

There's no reason to view it as a pure tech-only thing. Every single company has hoarded talent in the past two years owing to the tight labor market. And it only needs some folks to signal before the flood gates open.

Finance is beginning now but a lot of layoffs will follow in H1 2023 IMO.

I don't attach any positive or negative moral value beyond everyone just working in their own self interest.

Yeah it's an interesting thought. Credit card scams, phishing, etc. have made new ways of stealing possible.

It's 'safer' as in I think you can claim muggings or burglaries (or losses to these) have reduced because people just don't carry as much cash anymore.

China and India both have declining fertility rates as well. It seems like fertility is incompatible with economic development.

Curious - why would it be unconstitutional?

There are plenty of laws forcing companies to engage in certain kinds of behavior. The latest I've seen is the beer manufacturing / distribution / sales breakup as a result of the post-prohibition policies. Manufacturers can't distribute, distributors can't sell to consumers and so-on.

I think people might not tolerate such govt interference, but assuming it's law I don't think it'll be unconstitutional.

Neutral observer, don't particularly care about lambda.

I think it's worse than average - lots of strong opinions being bandied about. If I had to make up a score it's somewhere slightly above Google shutting down Stadia and significantly below FB / Cambridge Analytica scandal.

Tesla comps are a good indication, he drives them pretty hard too. They aren't really that high.

(a) seems very likely to me. Didn't he already speak about making Twitter a "super-app"? super-apps are a bit new to the American audience but in China / India they are surprisingly commonplace.

I won't be surprised if he churns through a bunch of different ideas: Subscriptions, Deals with news companies, short form videos + creator tools, different kinds of ad experiences, the edit button, better spam filtering etc.

There's a lot of potential things Twitter could be doing if they didn't limit themselves to their core product.

I don't think (b) is unlikely. Their current product is already highly valuable. You don't need their short form video product to succeed in a way TikTok did but there's enough of an audience to capture there to improve the company's valuation.

Thanks, this is interesting. I wasn't aware that all land that's not explicitly zoned is agricultural.

Unlikely because there's basically no NIMBY-ism in India. Any developer can just acquire land, some air rights and plop up apartment complexes. And unlike in the US, apartments in India are designed for family life and aren't just for young / unmarried folks.

Yeah I think it's a wider design movement - everything's transitioning towards more neutral / no strong colors / accents vibe. Interiors, architecture, logos, fonts, furniture, what not.

Dunno if there's a name for this movement beyond "contemporary" design. It's not exactly minimalism I don't think.

Eventually there will be a reaction and something new will come up.

Has a technical recession ever not resulted in an actual recession as declared by NBER?

Yep we just throw both basmati + quinoa in the same pot and throw it in the rice cooker. Works well.

Yep, but there are a lot of environmental factors that the link above talks about. Stress, Sleep, Alcohol Consumption etc. all matter and the effect varies by individual.

What was incredible was how well the glucose level predicts cravings. I just ate as I usually do and almost every time I had a sugary snack (cookies etc.) I'd notice that my glucose level was low just prior to the snack.

The goal is to find out which food is tasty, provides satiety and keeps glucose from dropping too much.

I eat an Indian + Vegetarian diet with rice being the primary carb. Rice causes pretty sharp rise in glucose and a pretty steep crash after insulin is released leading to cravings etc. One behavioral change that was permanent was that we got rid of one variety of rice that's really bad (Sona Masoori) and replaced it with Basmati. We also mostly eat Quinoa or a mix of Quinoa + Basmati for our primary carb now.

Yep I used levels health for a month and it was extremely useful.

Beyond that, I mostly eat the same stuff all the time so I know what it's going to do to my glucose even without the CGM telling me about it.

I still would like to give it another few months to narrow down all the other environmental factors - sleep, exercise, stress, alcohol etc. and see how my blood glucose reacts.

Needle in the skin is a non-issue. You won't feel it at all. It's like keeping a bandaid on for a month.

Are there any apps that can read the NFC data from the FreeStyle libre? I don't want to deal with yet another device that you need to use to read data + upload.