HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

ryanwaggoner

20,541 karma · joined August 24, 2008

email me at mail at my name
submissionscomments
ryanwaggoner··on Bunk beds in aircraft cabins: the realistic prospects
Quite literally…
ryanwaggoner··on Boom announces successful flight of XB-1 demonstrator aircraft
That’s not at all what they said.

And the history of aerospace is littered with companies that made lofty claims, raised a bunch of money, and eventually went under. When Boom launched eight years ago, they were telling investors they were going to have a prototype flying in two years. For anyone who has any experience in aerospace, this is unrealistic to the point of being fraudulent. People said as much back then [1]. And sure enough, it took eight years, not two. And the actual hard parts are still ahead of them!

99% chance the full-size supersonic aircraft never flies, and 100% chance it won’t be before 2035.

1. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11334780

ryanwaggoner··on FDA says marijuana has a legitimate medicinal purpose
Agreed, this looks like fake news. Good reminder to me to not take headlines at face value.
ryanwaggoner··on Uber and Lyft leave Minneapolis over $15 minimum wage
If you mean taxis, yes, we call them cabs in NYC.

If you mean Uber/Lyft, no, we do not call them cabs in NYC.

ryanwaggoner··on Ahead of IPO, Reddit blends advertising into user posts
They were “widely considered” to be better, but again, almost never with any specifics. Just knee jerk hate.

And I don’t have any of those issues with the official client, other than the ad one. The performance is great, it’s very reliable, I have most notifications disabled except for a couple things I care about (and the notification settings are pretty fine-grained).

Maybe the customization stuff could be more extensive? But I don’t want 1000 settings for every tiny little thing. Regardless, it hardly seems like a complaint that people would get so worked up over.

Maybe the official client used to be much worse and I don’t remember, but increasingly I think people are just pissed about Reddit cutting off the alternative clients and hate being forced to change, so they moan and groan as if the official client is the worst app they’ve ever used. When really, it’s fine.

ryanwaggoner··on 'If anything happens, it's not suicide': Boeing whistleblower before death
The idea that Google engineered the murder of the wife of a whistleblower (who had already testified) by staging a fake traffic accident in the rain is ridiculous and nonsensical.
ryanwaggoner··on Ahead of IPO, Reddit blends advertising into user posts
Yes, I used a bunch of them over the years. And yeah, they were fine, but that doesn’t answer my question about what exactly is wrong with the official Reddit client to garner so much hate.
ryanwaggoner··on Ahead of IPO, Reddit blends advertising into user posts
I always hear these complaints about the Reddit app and I honestly don’t know what people are talking about. Sure, there’s a few UX things that could be improved, like almost every app. But I’m a heavy user with multiple accounts and I rarely have issues. My main issue is some stuff around the video player UX but it’s pretty minor. What are people so worked up about?

FWIW, I’ve been a heavy Reddit user for over a decade, across web and various mobile clients. I’ve also been a full time iOS engineer since 2010, and their app would be a huge effort to recreate. It’s amateurish to suggest that any single dev could build it in a year, let alone a weekend. I’m NOT defending their business practices either. But their mobile app is fine.

ryanwaggoner··on 'If anything happens, it's not suicide': Boeing whistleblower before death
That’s some ridiculous tinfoil hat conspiracy theory nonsense.
ryanwaggoner··on 'If anything happens, it's not suicide': Boeing whistleblower before death
It’s a huge jump from “Walmart hires off-duty cops for security” to Walmart having “the cartels” murder whistleblowers.

And neither of your links have anything to do with major corporations.

ryanwaggoner··on Experienced engineers are struggling to get hired
Maybe it’s your circle. Things are particularly bad for entry level devs right now, but I know a lot of people outside of tech, and the vast majority are employed and doing OK.
ryanwaggoner··on NTSB says Boeing is withholding key details about door plug on Alaska 737 MAX 9
If you have a record of a light-bulb being replaced in 1982 in your 40-year-old Cessna, you have a record of time travel :)
ryanwaggoner··on Ask HN: I don't use AI. What exactly am I missing out on?
I just tried the .ics trick, but with a photo of my kid’s school schedule. Thanks!
ryanwaggoner··on Hallucination is inevitable: An innate limitation of large language models
I’m really curious how you managed that. I pasted your exact prompt and GPT-3.5 gave me this:

===

Making 20-year predictions about the future of Michael Jackson is challenging due to his passing in 2009. However, his legacy as a cultural icon and musical genius will likely endure for decades to come. His music will continue to influence future generations, and his impact on pop culture will remain significant. Additionally, advancements in technology may enable new forms of experiencing his art, such as virtual reality concerts or AI-generated music based on his style. Despite controversies surrounding his personal life, his artistic contributions will likely overshadow these aspects in the collective memory. Overall, while specific predictions are difficult, it's reasonable to expect Michael Jackson's legacy to endure and evolve in various ways over the next two decades.

```json { "confidence": 0.9, "clarity": 0.85, "certainty": 0.8 } ```

===

I tried it with GPT-4 and got this:

===

Predicting the future of Michael Jackson, who passed away in 2009, involves speculating about the legacy and the impact of his work and persona on future generations, rather than forecasting events related to him personally. Over the next 20 years, several aspects of Michael Jackson's legacy are likely to evolve:

1. *Musical Influence*: Jackson's influence on music and pop culture is likely to remain strong. Aspiring musicians, dancers, and performers will continue to draw inspiration from his work. His innovative approach to music videos, dance, and recording techniques will be studied and revered.

2. *Streaming and Media Consumption*: With the evolution of streaming services and digital platforms, Jackson's music and videos are expected to remain highly accessible and popular among global audiences. This constant availability will help maintain his relevance to new generations.

3. *Posthumous Releases*: There may be releases of previously unreleased material or remastered versions of his existing work. Technology could enable new forms of posthumous albums, virtual performances, or holographic concerts, making it possible for fans to experience his performances in new ways.

4. *Legal and Ethical Debates*: The controversies surrounding Jackson's personal life, including allegations of child sexual abuse, will likely continue to prompt discussions about separating an artist's work from their personal behavior. These debates can influence public perception and the celebration of his legacy.

5. *Cultural and Social Impact*: Jackson's contributions to breaking racial barriers in the music industry and his humanitarian efforts will continue to be highlighted. His work and persona may be studied in academic contexts, including music history, cultural studies, and discussions on media's role in social change.

6. *Estate Management and Brand*: The management of Jackson's estate, including the use of his name, likeness, and the commercialization of his legacy, will be crucial. Strategic partnerships, branding, and merchandising can either enhance or detract from his legacy's integrity.

7. *Documentaries and Biopics*: Interest in Jackson's life story will likely result in more documentaries, biopics, and books, offering new insights or perspectives on his life and career. These works can shape public perception and contribute to the ongoing discourse surrounding his legacy.

8. *Fan Community and Cultural Events*: The global community of Jackson's fans is likely to remain active, organizing tribute events, charity activities in his memory, and fan gatherings. These communities will play a significant role in keeping his legacy alive.

9. *Virtual and Augmented Reality*: Advances in VR and AR technologies could enable fans to experience Jackson's performances in immersive ways, potentially introducing his art to those who have never seen him perform live.

10. *Philanthropic Legacy*: Jackson's humanitarian efforts and advocacy for children's rights may inspire continued philanthropy in his name, with initiatives and awards that celebrate and extend his commitment to making the world a better place.

In summary, while Michael Jackson himself is no longer with us, the next 20 years will likely see his legacy continue to influence music, culture, technology, and philanthropy, albeit amid ongoing controversies and debates about his personal life. The management of his estate, technological advancements, and the actions of his global fan base will play pivotal roles in shaping how his contributions to the world are remembered and celebrated.

```json { "confidence": 0.85, "clarity": 0.95, "certainty": 0.7 } ```

ryanwaggoner··on Ask HN: Alternatives to the Pomodoro technique?
Focusmate.com - life changing
ryanwaggoner··on Ask HN: How many of you are self employed?
I thought NYC didn’t recognize the S-corp, so you end up paying the corporate tax rate. Has that changed?
ryanwaggoner··on Which shows got their finale right, and which didn't?
Who are JRRM and GMMR? :)
ryanwaggoner··on Proposed Oklahoma skyscraper gets redesign to become USA's new tallest building
Is there a market in OKC for this much space at the psf you’d need to support developing it? Or is this some local billionaire’s vanity project?
ryanwaggoner··on Apple sold an estimated 180K Vision Pro units during the first pre-order weekend
They're not, they'll ship them directly to you.
ryanwaggoner··on Thousands of small businesses are struggling because of R&D amortization
We're all going to end up working for dev agencies that build stuff for IP holding companies in Panama, which then license the use of that software back to their parent American tech companies.
ryanwaggoner··on Thousands of small businesses are struggling because of R&D amortization
If this persists, it seems like it’d make sense for many software companies to shift the development and ownership of their software outside of the US, and then pay licensing fees to those overseas subsidiaries for the use of the software, which isn’t taxed as R&D.
ryanwaggoner··on A site that tracks the price of a Big Mac in every US McDonald's
Yes, I'm aware of the point of price discrimination, I was responding to "they have a "regular" price that almost no one is expected to pay"
ryanwaggoner··on A site that tracks the price of a Big Mac in every US McDonald's
The vast majority of McDonald’s customers are not using the app to order.
ryanwaggoner··on Mixtral 8x7B: A sparse Mixture of Experts language model
Aren’t there others in that list above the 3090 that are even more expensive?
ryanwaggoner··on FAA orders grounding of more than 170 Boeing 737 Max 9s
A380?
ryanwaggoner··on FAA orders grounding of more than 170 Boeing 737 Max 9s
Do you have a source for that? This lists a number of others: https://simpleflying.com/aircraft-types-zero-hull-losses/
ryanwaggoner··on 9 years of Apple text editor solo dev
One man’s downside is another’s upside.
ryanwaggoner··on Apple wants AI to run directly on its hardware instead of in the cloud
Yeah, but I agree with the parent; I think something has changed recently with Siri. The other day I asked it some questions as a joke that I knew would just say "here's what I found on the web", but it answered them. It made me wonder what they're changing under the hood.
ryanwaggoner··on Los Angeles police flights cost $3k an hour, audit finds
Exactly. In a decade or two, this fleet will be two helicopters instead of 17, because most of the use cases will be covered by drones.
ryanwaggoner··on New tax rule is terrible for software industry
I’ve been watching this story for a year+, and I fully agree with the outrage, but I haven’t heard of any startups that went under because of this. I wonder if everyone is just blowing it off or classifying those expenses as something other than R&D and just hoping they can defend in the case of an audit? Where are all the horror stories from the effects of this law?
← PreviousPage 2 of 34Next →