HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

ryanmahoski

246 karma · joined April 21, 2007

submissionscomments
ryanmahoski··on Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one thousand
By the end of [election] night, Mr. Silver had predicted the popular vote within one percentage point, predicted 49 of 50 states’ results correctly, and predicted all of the resolved Senate races correctly.

From his posted predictions back in March? W-o-w.

ryanmahoski··on Ask HN: What do you think of our new app? FutureTweets.com
Interesting. So what does it say when you override it? "From web"? Isn't that hard to accomplish via API?
ryanmahoski··on Ask HN: What do you think of our new app? FutureTweets.com

   "have an alibi..."
...that ends in "sent from Future Tweets."
ryanmahoski··on Ask YC: What great mac-only software do you recommend?
Check out http://osx.iusethis.com. Filter on genre, sort by popularity, read comments and download apps.
ryanmahoski··on Ask YC: What live chat solutions do you use?
irc
ryanmahoski··on Wacky, But Serious: What would it take to set up a stock market?
Another approach might be to create a service that helps startups open their books to become financially transparent. With Amazon FPS, not only could you expose sales data in real time but you could split the revenues among individual stakeholders. So the idea is, raise capital by encouraging your visitors to purchase a share of your future sales - and make the algorithm so transparent that they're assured X even if Y happens.
ryanmahoski··on Paul Graham on a New Attitude for Startup Acquisitions
the audio: http://dl.getdropbox.com/u/142733/Audio/Lectures/future_of_w...
ryanmahoski··on How designers work (Ph.D. Dissertation)
This challenge to overconfident amateurs is relevant and well argued. In short, get out the pencil and paper, it's time for a renaissance of sketching. In Ch 3 he critiques [amateur design technique] which he views as too cerebral. In Ch 4 he evangelizes a more pragmatic, physical approach which he calls cognitive interaction. The paper is involved - he backs up his thesis by citing its philosophical, evolutionary basis among other tediousness - so you might want to skim Ch 0 and skip to Ch 3.

From Ch 5:

Why are experiments (and simulations) in the physical world superior to models and simulations in the head? The reason is that you want to find out both what you can figure out and what you can't figure out, i.e. what you cannot simulate mentally. That is, you want to know also about the effects of your actions that you cannot predict or forsee.

[Then he talks about iterating over "fine-grained pieces of activity, a continuous attention to feedback that replaces complex pre-planned actions, and simpler and smaller actions..."]

Why is this better? Remember dead reckoning: it starts from a known position, but the shortcomings of prediction yield an accumulating error that makes the computed position deviate more and more from the actual position. Position fixing instead reestablishes accuracy each time a fix is made. So the more often you make fixes, the more often you can make the proper adjustments to your course, and the less will your measured position drift away from the actual one.

ryanmahoski··on World Bank Under Cyber Siege in 'Unprecedented Crisis'
It appears a contractor at the World Bank methodically compromised a ton of sensitive information.

Article Summary:

Between 18 and 40 servers at the World Bank Group were secretly compromised during the past year. Among them: 6 SAP servers, a security/password machine, a server that contained "scanned images of staff documents" and one that held contract-procurement data.

Senior IT guy at the bank's headquarters: "They took our existing data stores and organized them in a way that they could be easily accessed at will...They had access to everything...They had the keys to every room at the bank. And we can't say whether they still do or don't..."

The first major breach was on the subsidiary International Finance Corp in 2007. The invader had at least 6 months of total access to the company's data.

A second major breach occurred in April '08 on the World Bank Treasury system.

Then in June they found a sysadmin password on an external box which let them to log into the World Bank's insurance arm. From there they compromised yet another sysadmin account and you get the picture.

Evidently a contractor installed a keystroke logger.

ryanmahoski··on Says Amazon: S3 Is So Popular, We're Lowering Prices
The price change only affects customers whose average daily storage exceeds 50TB.
ryanmahoski··on Coping with Speech Noise in the Modern Workplace
I love earplugs. My favorite design is foam and rated 30 decibels. For $10 you can get a 50 pack at CVS pharmacy. http://www.cvs.com/CVSApp/catalog/shop_product_detail.jsp?fi...

Your pink noise loop is great. Mirror: http://audiothink.s3.amazonaws.com/pink_noise.mp3

ryanmahoski··on First Palin, now Bill O'Reilly gets hacked
If the info in that screenshot is a representative sample:

BillOReilly.com gets ~68 premium account signups per day. Half choose the monthly plan, $4.95, and the other half choose the annual plan, $49.95. Daily revenue: $1,900. Annual revenue: $680,000.

ryanmahoski··on Ask HN: How does News.YC work?
http://ycombinator.com/newsfaq.html
ryanmahoski··on Confessions of a Banned Digger
Summary: Mark Cuban's brother is obsessed with gaming digg. He and other spammers use time-delayed scripting techniques to artificially promote stories. After his first warning, he returned to using scripts and now his account is deleted, his IP address blacklisted.
ryanmahoski··on Twitturly for sale and YouNoodle thinks its worth $9.8M in 3 yrs time
I wonder how they deal with spam. Twitter doesn't even require email verification. Someone could create a bunch of twitter accounts, connect them, and shotgun URLs by script.
ryanmahoski··on Dropbox should have used a Jumpbox
Oh ok. I see it now. And the advantage then is that you begin with a full stack. Cool.
ryanmahoski··on Dropbox should have used a Jumpbox
I agree with your premise that too many demos are done over the wire. Using a virtual domain on a virtual server IMO shows respect for your audience. Even if connectivity is strong at the beginning of a demo, one rogue audience member on bittorrent can make the presenter look foolish. API and cross domain calls will still draw bandwidth, but at least the parts you can control will be fast.
ryanmahoski··on Dropbox should have used a Jumpbox
I can appreciate the advantage of having my server environment on a USB drive, particularly if I don't want to lug my laptop to a demo, or my laptop is AWOL, or the situation calls for using someone else's computer. That seems very useful, and I can see the value of Jumpbox for those reasons alone. I know that it's also a breeze to fire up for ad-hoc development environments.

But when the only technical challenge is internet connectivity, such as in this case, what is the advantage of Jumpbox over VMWare or Parallels?

ryanmahoski··on Ask YC:How do you create a website?
First, ask yourself "What do I want from this web site?" Let your answer to this question drive your design. Before you even get into the html, brainstorm. Let your imagination go. Write your thoughts down, sketch it out. Then consider how to build it.

The first step for me is a wireframe. That's just a drawing of how the main blocks will be laid out. Read Michael Parkatti's post: http://www.socialbias.com/the-case-for-building-wireframes/. Michael makes a strong argument for wireframing and reading it helped me understand my own struggle with design.

Next, build the wireframe. You drew it, now build it. Write the html and css to mimic your picture.

The next stage is filling in those boxes. You can start with the hard stuff but I prefer to crank out the easy stuff first. My goal is not to make the site beautiful (yet), just pretty enough to help me see some context.

As for the hard stuff, it depends on what you're trying to build. Digg took lots of talented people a lot of time. Make sure if you have your sights set high that there isn't a known "clone" that you can borrow as a template. Otherwise get used to learning scripting languages and frameworks. Good luck!

ryanmahoski··on My Boss is Adamant about Using a WYSIWYG Editor to Code HTML. How do I Change his Mind?
So the advantage to WYSIWYG is instant gratification and automated coding. It's great for amateurs and if you're just posting to a form but it complicates site building because now you have crap in your files that you don't understand. To the extent you want to build something original and editable, you should avoid dynamic template editors -- they inevitably change three things whenever you change one thing. Most of what I've seen them produce is irrelevant or incidental to what I'm trying to accomplish. But if your boss only wants you to build something static with a few minor changes to a template, maybe he's right. Not all projects call for elegance, creativity and adaptability.
ryanmahoski··on [dead]
What nonsense. Flagged.

brittney08: what the heck? This is tripe, not hacker news.

ryanmahoski··on Good religion needs good science
Are you trolling? I stopped reading this after "Nothing in scientific method contradicts Christian teaching." Evidently, he isn't familiar with the part of the scientific method that insists on testability.
ryanmahoski··on Ask HN: Feedback on my new web app please
A URL pointer service with tracking metrics - smart idea, good version 1. I like that the metrics updated immediately after I clicked a link I'd made. The interesting part to me was that it showed relevant Twitter, delicious, etc traffic - for both the cli.gs link and the long URL. Signup was simple and professional. Ignore the people who are expecting a perfect version - you made it clear up front that you're not finished under the hood and haven't applied polish yet. I see you're going to have charts and graphs eventually; nice. I wonder, will you also pull client IP addresses through ip2geo to show maps of visitor traffic? Lots of possible features to add. Congrats on v1 - keep rolling out the reporting tools and polish. If you do, demand for your premium plan should fall into place.
ryanmahoski··on Tim Berners-Lee has lost the plot
I think Duncan Riley is in over his head on this one. His argument is basically that if we permit organized rating of web sites, that governments will use the system to stifle unpopular opinion. That's a reasonable theory but I think it breaks down when you realize Google has been rating the value of web sites for years, and so have other entities with arguably a net positive effect. What Tim Berners-Lee is proposing is a tool, run by a bunch of what he considers to be credible organizations, and while we may worry they won't do a good job I don't think it's clear that the cure is worse than the disease.
ryanmahoski··on World Bank rankings by country: Ease of Doing Business, Starting a Business, etc.
According to the report, in the U.S.:

* There are 6 procedures required to start a business (versus 1 in New Zealand and Canada)

* A startup must wait 6 days after submitting an application in order to begin operation (1 in New Zealand)

* It takes 12 days to register property (2 in New Zealand)

* Taxes must be paid 10 times per year (twice in Sweden)

* It takes 187 hours per year to pay taxes (80 in Hong Kong)

* Total tax rate for entrepreneurs is 42.3% (24% in Hong Kong)

ryanmahoski··on Leadership skills come from expert knowledge, not interpersonal skills
I had the same problem. You have to click the "choose download location" link. Here's a mirror: s3.amazonaws.com/2008/nba_paper.pdf

In short, an NBA coach who has never been an NBA player will tend to have a worse W-L record than a coach who has played in the NBA. And NBA allstars who become coaches have the best coaching records. From the paper: "For the typical team, the difference between having a coach who never played NBA basketball, and one who himself played many years of allstar basketball, is approximately six extra places up the league table."

Which is interesting, but yes, let's be careful when drawing conclusions and generalizations. To that end the paper said "our findings may be relevant to a range of high-performance workplaces where the employees are experts." The researchers merely found some data that suggested a coach's past performance as a player was positively correlated to his W-L record as a head coach. The paper did not conclude that interpersonal skills were irrelevant to a coach's record, nor did it conclude that interpersonal skills mattered less than playing skills. The researchers did not interview any people or even define terms like leadership, interpersonal skills or expert knowledge. They did milk 8 seasons' worth of Sporting News though, their primary source.

ryanmahoski··on This is the page that made doing OOP in Javascript click for me.
If anyone wants to download the four part series, here it is concatenated: http://s3.amazonaws.com/2008/09/javascript.mp4 (178 MB).
ryanmahoski··on What is worth its weight in gold?
Antimatter, most expensive substance on Earth. $62.5 trillion an ounce according to nasa.
ryanmahoski··on Ask HN: What does your room look like?
Den: http://s3.amazonaws.com/2008/office.jpg Notice the hard wood floor I built on top of the carpet so the chair's casters would glide smoothly. Cost me $50 in wood and an hour's time but it beats those plastic mats you get at office supply stores which inevitably fail on thick carpet. The photo was for a recent craigslist ad to sell the display and MP. Hence why the MP is on the desk instead of the floor. And why the display shows stock Leopard, and why the keyboard and mouse are stock and why it appears I'm using that goofy keyboard tray. At one point, I had the MP in the right side compartment but when I closed the door the fans blared and I realized there was no ventilation - so I nixed that soundproofing hack. I prefer the mobility of a laptop now but miss the extra productivity of the desk setup, particularly when coupled with a Logitech MX Revolution mouse (not pictured, highly recommended).
ryanmahoski··on Ask HN: What does your room look like?
True, in an ideal environment the floor is best. But someone lives in the apartment below. I imagine they appreciate my imperfect but - at normal volumes - acoustically sound hack of incorporating rubber stabilizers in the subwoofer base and glass shelving.
← PreviousPage 2 of 4Next →