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root-parent

2,640 karma · joined May 21, 2026

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root-parent··on US urges G20 countries to allow AI training on creators' work
So that will apply to LLMs too? If you cant make a profit out of them after those years releases them under MIT license?
root-parent··on How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?
I cant believe you think this is a logical argument :-) If these are humans please gives us LLMs :-)
root-parent··on Show HN: The cheapest GPU cloud – H100s at $2.04/HR, H200s at $3/HR
So its ok for Anthropic and OpenAI to run inference at a loss, but criminal when others do it? :-)
root-parent··on Japan halves speed limit to 30km/h on all narrow city streets
>> Somewhere in the intersection of people cluelessly walking into the bike lane and bicyclists hitting the clueless.

Looks like bicyclists are the clueless...bordering on criminal:

https://youtu.be/u10OCGJH0Lg?t=3

https://youtu.be/P0bZFkPtu4M?t=3

root-parent··on How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?
On interest rates I guess this is one of the concerns:

"AI “definitely is, in the short and medium run, a force that increases both natural rates and potentially price pressures,” Arellano said. But other shifting pieces of the U.S. economy appear to be significantly offsetting the effect of AI investment, for now. If accelerating AI investment were to outpace the residential slowdown—or if rates were to fall and residential investment rebound—spiking aggregate investment would mean strong demand and even more upward pressure on rates."

https://www.minneapolisfed.org/article/2026/how-is-ai-influe...

root-parent··on How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?
The doctor said I was sick...but I did not die on Tuesday, so checkmate!

You are confusing an imprecise prognosis with a false diagnosis. And The funniest part is that "he keeps writing, therefore he was proven wrong" contains no actual proof that he is wrong.

root-parent··on The Vibe Code Cleanup Specialist [video]
But the velocity!, the jira tickets are moving!, I am just using tools! : https://www.youtube.com/shorts/78Q_UsWVvzk
root-parent··on I used AWS cognito for a startup. I wouldn't do it again
Most readers are agents, and they upvote their fellow countryman....
root-parent··on Elon Musk's xAI used child porn to train Grok models, lawsuit says
Oh look, its the CEO that was caught impersonating a child online...
root-parent··on Meta reaches $17B settlement over social media harms to children
The US politicians class is corrupt and captured by special interests. These 17B were already as provisions on their balance sheet. They will spend four times this in the next data center....
root-parent··on Starbase, LA
Its well known X did not pay their huge AWS bill. I would ask for cash first...
root-parent··on SEC Subpoenas Wall Street Banks over Situational Awareness
https://archive.ph/blfst
root-parent··on Is there a pending AI 'debt bomb' crisis? No. This isn't Enron 2.0
This author is a shill for the industry, spends his time as an AI invited speaker and presents no numbers.

Here are some real hard facts:

"Why Big Tech’s AI Spending Is $3 Trillion Higher Than It Seems" - https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/why-big-techs-ai-spending-is-3-t...

"Geospatial monitoring, AI infrastructure buildout, and the emerging credit implications for private credit markets" - https://www.moodys.com/web/en/us/insights/credit-risk/privat...

root-parent··on Treasury demand has become materially more valuation-sensitive
"The Treasury market’s toxic codependency" - https://www.ft.com/content/e3cd352e-5202-4748-952f-ed623ccdc...
root-parent··on If this is true, the hyperscalers are toast
It has to be the Hyperspenders
root-parent··on Zuckerberg encouraged growth over child safety, ex-Meta executive testifies
Its more horrible than you think, and Zuck should be in prison:

"The Facebook Files" - https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-facebook-files-11631713039

root-parent··on If this is true, the hyperscalers are toast
Two weeks ago, CNBC invited one of their "experts" who focus on SpaceX, and he said they have 10 million satellites in orbit. This is the current level of financial journalism available on "specialized" financial channels...
root-parent··on If this is true, the hyperscalers are toast
>> A remaining advantage of large language models is that as they get larger, they tend to hallucinate less

First time I hear that...not really true.

"Understanding Why Language Models Hallucinate: Testing Reasoning Against Priors" - https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.00447

"Calibrated Language Models Must Hallucinate" - https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.14648

"TruthfulQA: Measuring How Models Mimic Human Falsehoods" - https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.07958

root-parent··on If this is true, the hyperscalers are toast
Great movie...yeah I think I was inspired by the scene... :-)
root-parent··on Moderna reports first positive Phase 3 for mRNA neoantigen therapy in melanoma
>> Can you find a case where a press release after phase 3 was later proven wrong?

Galera Therapeutics, Actimmune, leronlimab, roxadustat, tivozanib, aducanumab, tebipenem are all examples of Phase 3 massive failures.

>> This is great news.

Looking forward to the stock market reacting with the same level of due diligence show here, when the actual science data is published...in a still not announced distant future... :-)

root-parent··on Moderna reports first positive Phase 3 for mRNA neoantigen therapy in melanoma
Nobody is talking about curing cancer here.

These are patients who had melanoma surgically removed, and IF the unpublished data of phase 3 turn out to be true... you are looking at having improved survival rates after 2 to 3 years on 5 to 10% plus of the patients. That is ALL this still unknown announcement MIGHT mean.

root-parent··on If this is true, the hyperscalers are toast
You completely missed the thesis here, and that is supported by the numbers being presented. It is that a large share of ordinary inference can be routed away from the hyperscalers.
root-parent··on If this is true, the hyperscalers are toast
>> I stopped counting the number of times "estimates" said that a market would absolutely explode, and it absolutely didn't. Those are in the business of being a broken clock.

The lack of logic and risk management on this statement, is so strong, I hope humans are all quickly substituted by LLMs. Lets just do it and be done with it...

root-parent··on The Facebook Files
"Facebook Inc. knows, in acute detail, that its platforms are riddled with flaws that cause harm, often in ways only the company fully understands. That is the central finding of a Wall Street Journal series, based on a review of internal Facebook documents, including research reports, online employee discussions and drafts of presentations to senior management...

Time and again, the documents show, Facebook’s researchers have identified the platform’s ill effects. Time and again, despite congressional hearings, its own pledges and numerous media exposés, the company didn’t fix them. The documents offer perhaps the clearest picture thus far of how broadly Facebook’s problems are known inside the company, up to the chief executive himself..."

root-parent··on Moderna reports first positive Phase 3 for mRNA neoantigen therapy in melanoma
>> This is great news...

No this is insane news, the world is crazy and dumb. Must be all these LLMs. Stock up more than 150%, based on totally unpublished data and an X post...

- The flashy 49% figures are from the old 157 only patient Phase 2, not this Phase 3 trial. The phase 2 was open label, had only 50 controls, and its randomization was disrupted. Meaning 9 patients were reassigned and the final 37 were no longer randomized. Its primary RFS result was p=0.053 two-sided, with the 95% CI crossing 1. It also used an unusually permissive one-sided alpha of 0.10, and much of the later "confirmation" is just longer follow up of those same 157 patients...

- This phase 3 news so far is nothing more than a press release. They have not published hazard ratio, or confidence interval, their event counts or survival curves.

- They met the endpoint as used in the press release means nothing, until they publish the actual 3 data, so my money is at the end this will be a kind of marginal effect that researchers will struggle to reproduce for years

Another type of study that will take 2 to 3 years to validate or dismiss, in the meanwhile stock is up 150%....

root-parent··on Moderna, Merck Vaccine Succeeds in Preventing Melanoma from Returning
There is nothing to see here yet other than their stock popped 50%. Based on unpublished data...

- The initial 49% number comes from a very small phase 2 trial that had only 157 patients. And their original p-value was 0.053

- This phase 3 news so far is nothing more than a press release. They have not published hazard ratio, or confidence interval, their event counts or survival curves.

- They met the endppoint as used in the press release means nothing, until they publish the actual 3 data, so my money is at the end this will be a kind of marginal effect that researchers will struggle to reproduce for years

This is the type of study that will take 3 to 4 years to validate or dismiss, in the meanwhile stock is up 50%....

root-parent··on Stripe will reportedly acquire OpenRouter for $7B+
SOC 2 does not prove what are claiming. It audits OpenRouter controls, does not guarantee every downstream model provider retention or training behavior.

Actually, OpenRouter own terms...explicitly say they do not warrant providers data handling, retention, training, or security practices...and their Enterprise terms say... model providers are not OpenRouter subcontractors and that customers must assess those providers themselves... ;-)

root-parent··on Stripe to Buy OpenRouter for $7B
Most important...

- Your inputs are within the security boundary of your AWS account or AWS accounts

  Can OpenRouter say the same? - NO
- Your inputs are not shared with models creators

   Can OpenRouter say the same? - NO
- Your inputs are not used to train the next model

   Can OpenRouter say the same? - NO
- Within certain limits and certain models:

   "50.10.1. Subject to the limitations in this Section 50.10, AWS will defend you and your employees, officers, and directors against any third-party claim alleging that the Generative AI Output generated by an Indemnified Generative AI Service infringes or misappropriates that third party’s intellectual property rights, and will pay the amount of any adverse final judgment or settlement."

  Can OpenRouter say the same? - NO
root-parent··on A leaderboard of the biggest trading losses of all time
https://archive.ph/2Vv0H
root-parent··on Investors Slam SEC Plan to Remove Best-Price Rule
A Bacanal of Corruption.
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