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rmrfstar

2,010 karma · joined March 4, 2020

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rmrfstar··on Journalists Hacked with Suspected NSO Group iMessage ‘Zero-Click’ Exploit
These attacks would be a lot less dangerous if they couldn't get on-disk persistence. Just reboot your phone, and you're good to go. Only creeps like NSO who spy on normal people need that degree of persistence. Everyone else can just hang out in ram on some always-on server.

Vendors need to make it easier to verify the integrity of persistent firmware, in an offline fashion. It will dramatically increase the cost of persistence, which is the best way to put these thugs out of business.

rmrfstar··on No, SAR Can't See Through Buildings
Complex systems produce behavior that cannot be derived from first principles, which is why it is important to study the actual behavior of those systems. I studied E&M for four semesters at college, and it is far from clear to me that "the laws of physics" foreclose the possibility of this system unearthing new personal information about my patterns of life.

You might want to question your own confidence once in a while. Unless you independently predicted rowhammer, spectre, and meltdown.

rmrfstar··on No, SAR Can't See Through Buildings
They should open up a rate-limited retail API that lets us verify for ourselves what is visible in our life and what is not. Otherwise we have to outsource our thinking to others who may have a conflict of interest.
rmrfstar··on No, SAR Can't See Through Buildings
Does anyone have a white paper about corner reflectors and X-band SAR?

For what it's worth, the state very likely needs a warrant to use technologies capable of looking inside structures [1]. Not that the law applies to them, but hypothetically.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyllo_v._United_States

rmrfstar··on Emails show Navy's 'UFO' patents went through significant internal review
Yeah, if you had a crazy new electronic warfare technique you'd probably spread as much FUD as you could. You'd also spread FUD if you had nothing, Star Wars style. It's definitely one of those two things.
rmrfstar··on Advanced Persistent Threat Compromise of Government Agencies
> We also feel pressure to constantly modernize the infrastructure without having a parallel discussion about the security impact of these innovations.

We also have PE firms, like the ones that controlled Solar Wind, dictating the level of security investment and dumping their positions when the bill for their negligence comes due. PE wizz-kids call that "optionality". They love optionality.

Congress should listen to Dan Geer and adopt product liability for closed-source software. They should also do something about PE control over the economy, they are doing serious damage.

rmrfstar··on Emails show Navy's 'UFO' patents went through significant internal review
Has anyone ever seen one of these things with their eyeballs? Or is it all... electronic sensors? US electronic warfare is top shelf sorcery.
rmrfstar··on SolarWinds’ shares drop 22 per cent. But what’s this? $286M in stock sales
Comodo is fine last I checked [1,2].

Congress should probably just listen to Dan Geer and establish products liability for closed-source software. I feel like this might have turned up sooner if there was a git diff to read.

[1] https://blog.erratasec.com/2011/03/comodo-hacker-releases-hi...

[2] https://www.comodo.com/news/comodo-ceo-entrepreneur-of-the-y...

rmrfstar··on States bring action against Google under federal and state antitrust laws [pdf]
Given how much these issues are going to be discussed in the coming months, it's probably worth giving [1] a read. I selected that article for brevity, recency, and because the author is well known among HN readers.

[1] https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?art...

rmrfstar··on Minimal safe Bash script template
Out of curiosity, I grepped the Qubes github repos for awk. Here's the most complicated use I could find:

     awk -F : '/\/home/ { print $1":"$3":"$4":"$6 } '
rmrfstar··on Minimal safe Bash script template
Python is readable, awk is not. I'd rather spend an extra 5 minutes writing something that I don't have to burn 20 minutes understanding in just a few months time.

I think the popularity of Python for scripting is pretty good evidence that PG was dead wrong on the importance of brevity in programming languages. Further evidence can be found in Python's development of type hints.

rmrfstar··on U.S. Treasury breached by hackers backed by foreign government – sources
Interesting that they're called SolarWinds. They make netflow analysis tools... kinda like Stellar Wind.
rmrfstar··on Thinking About Decentralized Communities
The second requirement bullet point is solid, but I think it goes to far. Obviously user onboarding is a huge issue for new paradigms, and simplicity is paramount. But I think it's wrong to suggest that non-browser clients are not the way forward. Look at Whatsapp or Signal.
rmrfstar··on Poll: Will you take the Covid vaccine?
Supply chain integrity is a huge issue that normies take for granted. The surest way to lose normie friends is to point out how much faith people put in supply chains.
rmrfstar··on The YouTube ban is un-American, wrong, and will backfire
I think this is a push-not-pull situation. Here is a vision of the future articulated by a promising In-Q-Tel funded startup: [1,2]

    "[We need] a set of guiding principles to inform the types of speech that should be permitted in digital town squares"
[1] https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/10/15/forget-counterterrorism...

[2] https://primer.ai/

rmrfstar··on After raid on Covid whistleblower, it’s revealed password was on FL DoH website
An IP address retrieved from the Apache logs by the same sysadmins who put unhashed credentials online in a place where they could be indexed by Google?
rmrfstar··on We can have democracy or we can have Facebook
> Don't blame the mirror for what you see in it.

Agreed, Facebook is just exploiting weaknesses that already exist in American minds. Those problems exist elsewhere, but have not advanced as far.

There will be a silver lining in the Facebook case though. We're going to see a lot of emails and depositions that end the "Mark Zuckerberg is a uniquely competent person who earned an empire through ability" myth. That's good enough for me.

rmrfstar··on After raid on Covid whistleblower, it’s revealed password was on FL DoH website
Florida's solution to having incompetent sysadmins is to send armed thugs to terrorize peoples' families. Pretty on-brand if you ask me.
rmrfstar··on Pandemic Villains: Robinhood
> retail investors get mostly better prices from market makers

When broker-dealers (BD) say this, check their foot notes. The precise statement is something like "80% of market orders are filled with a price improvement relative the the NBBO at the time of execution." That is a super narrow definition of "better". It says nothing about limit order fill rates, improvement rates, or improvement magnitudes.

More importantly, it says nothing about the path of the NBBO midpoint. "Better" needs to be measured relative to the counterfactual where orders are not sent to the BD. The BDs that fill Robinhood orders are all associated with large systematic hedge funds. The hedge funds make directional bets and hold positions overnight, activities that move the NBBO midpoint. That is a seriously suspicious conflict of interest.

If the BD is benefiting from hedge fund research about short-term price movements (probably legal if disclosed to hedge fund LPs), it will harm Robinhood clients. If the hedge fund is benefiting from BD research about retail flows (probably illegal), it will harm Robinhood clients. The data only has to cross the corporate boundary once to be harmful.

The worst thing about this clear conflict is that the BD and hedge fund are the only ones presently capable of measuring that harm. Until the SEC undertakes a systematic analysis, it is inappropriate to call this a "conspiracy theory". The SEC doesn't even have the data it needs to study this question. Weird.

rmrfstar··on Open Security Training: open license training material for computer security
A prominent practitioner should make an "applied cryptography syllabus" that sketches a coherent learning philosophy. Topics, level of detail, order, references.

Even just annotating the table of contents from "Serious Cryptography", "Cryptography Engineering", etc. would be enormously useful for motivated hobbyists.

Probably hard to monetize, but it would be a great service to the community.

rmrfstar··on Former Tesla engineer sues for defamation
It's a solid point, and I've updated my comment accordingly.
rmrfstar··on Former Tesla engineer sues for defamation
Probably the biggest takeaway is, in jurisdictions that permit it, "record all your conversations at work, encrypt them, and hope you never need them."

She would be in a totally different situation if she had a tape of Tesla's AGC threatening her friends through their immigration status. That is straight up mafia tactics.

Brings to mind this case [1].

[1] https://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-echochambers-29388019

rmrfstar··on EU countries team up for semiconductor push
> the consensus seems to be that Intel tried to pile up too many new improvements, which backfired. TSMC took a more incremental and safe approach

Can you point to some industry literature that explains this?

If this is true, it is a lot more surprising that Intel is talking about going fabless. You build a lot of expertise by rolling the dice on new techniques that don't pan out on the first iteration. People wouldn't be so pessimistic about Boeing if they had just been overly aggressive in a new airframe design, rather than failing to safely mount new engines on an old design.

rmrfstar··on An Economy of Godzillas: Salesforce, Slack, and Microsoft
The regulator wouldn't have to do anything more invasive than say, "Microsoft will charge its development cost or greater for any additional features that are currently offered commercially".

Yes, that would create some accounting overhead. But it's a small price to pay to keep Godzilla from eating the villagers' livestock.

rmrfstar··on An Economy of Godzillas: Salesforce, Slack, and Microsoft
Some of us who care have to use Windows at work. Instead of paying us more, our companies spend obscene sums on inferior software because that's what everyone else does.
rmrfstar··on An Economy of Godzillas: Salesforce, Slack, and Microsoft
He mentions it all the time. The index to his book has 11 references to the "consumer rights movement". A central premise of his book is that the "Watergate babies" shifted antitrust law from a focus on democratic control of corporate power to so-called "consumer rights".
rmrfstar··on An Economy of Godzillas: Salesforce, Slack, and Microsoft
Take a look at the issue from another point of view. Predatory pricing and bundling are two destructive ways to compete.

Predatory pricing is just dumping. You sell something below cost until your competition goes out of business, then you either raise prices or hold prices constant but reduce quality (eg Amazon selling counterfeit books).

Bundling is requiring people to purchase A+B in combination. An example would be a gourmet ice-cream maker that is actually famous for chocolate but only sells 50% chocolate, 50% vanilla.

You can see this move as a combination of bundling and predatory pricing. Microsoft did this with Defender too. Their strategy is to starve nascent competitors for revenue in a niche area so they can never mount a direct attack on the core business.

rmrfstar··on How to Think about Correlation?
Context.

The picture at the top of the confounding article gives it away. Those kinds of diagrams are common in "hierarchical Bayesian models" like LDA.

In the simple linear setting, they are the same thing. Teaching people the "confounding variable" concept in a general setting before teaching them about "omitted variable" in a linear setting is like teaching people about Riemannian manifolds before teaching them about vector spaces.

Correlation isn't a particularly useful concept outside of simple linear models.

rmrfstar··on How to Think about Correlation?
Confounding variable is a more confusing, less precise name for the same phenomenon.

Omitted variable bias tells it like it is. A bias in a regression coefficient that results from an incorrectly specified model.

rmrfstar··on How to Think about Correlation?
This is like... intro-to-intro statistics, summarized in the last bit of the article: "yes, corr is like a rescaled regression coefficient."

    y = x*b + e
    b = cov(x,y)/var(x) = corr(x,y) * (std(y)/std(x))
It's too bad the article did not mention omitted variable bias. The two principal sources of spurious correlation are (1) measurement error, (2) omitted variable bias. It is much easier to grok omitted variable bias in the regression context, then pull it back to correlation with the scaling rule.
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