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rbritton

2,228 karma · joined March 4, 2009

[ my public key: https://keybase.io/rbritton; my proof: https://keybase.io/rbritton/sigs/FiE_9V5bf-EtTlAwBQDh96Ygx7370J-YFoV7sNt1m6I ]
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rbritton··on The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
And those consequences matter. You can't handwave them away and pretend they don't exist.

Don't forget that you work in a fairly unique field. Many, many occupations cannot work from home.

rbritton··on The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
This study suggests that the resulting rise in deaths isn't immediate. That it isn't measurable now does not mean it isn't coming.

>1 %-point rise in the unemployment rate raises the risk of dying next year by 6%.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S02779...

rbritton··on The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May
At what cost? When do you factor in the additional deaths and other consequences from suicides, domestic violence, increased substance abuse, and so on? There are two sides to the equation.
rbritton··on Millions of credit-card customers can’t pay their bills
You're going to get massively downvoted here because you dared question the hive mind.

None of their approaches place any consideration on the damage caused by the mitigation efforts themselves. Suicides, domestic violence, overdoses, and other negative outcomes are all up and will cost lives.

At what point does the conspiracy theory that much of it is a pure power grab become validated?

rbritton··on Ask HN: What is your strongest argument against remote work?
Hiring is more difficult. It's not that you can't find applicants, but the people capable of performing without direct supervision is (mostly) a subset of those capable of performing in an office. It can be difficult to identify those who will actually perform well in that environment. It takes some degree of maturity and responsibility to provide value as a remote worker because there's always that temptation to do something else.

That said, I wouldn't trade this lifestyle for anything. The only complaint I've ever had is that coworkers not capable of performing in a remote environment sometimes last too long at the company.

rbritton··on Medical staff say virus stigma driving Tokyo hospitals to edge of collapse
Do you have any links handy discussing the issues? I have not come across anything like that in my reading and would like to read more on the critiques.
rbritton··on Medical staff say virus stigma driving Tokyo hospitals to edge of collapse
The NY study does align fairly well with similar studies done in Santa Clara County and Los Angeles County in California, though. All three indicate a significantly lower IFR than previously expected.
rbritton··on U.S. Postal Workers Were on the Front Lines Before. They Were Ignored
Responding to the sibling comment: they don't need to make a profit, but they should at least break even. Call it a price, a tax, or whatever, but it's capable of being completely self-contained where those using the service can pay the full cost of operating it.
rbritton··on Weekly deaths in the US down by 7-10k for the week ending March 7
Since they’re predominantly focused on when it’s about kids, I’ll add those stats since I have them handy.

Causes of death, 2016, ages 0 to 14 (60,975,441 population estimate, 32,709 deaths reported):

- Congenital defects: 5,598 (17.11% of deaths reported)

- "Otherwise unclassified": 3,161 (9.66% of deaths reported)

- Motor vehicle accidents: 1,455 (4.44% of deaths reported)

- Cancer: 1,284 (3.93% of deaths reported)

- Accidental hanging, strangulation, and suffocation: 1,215 (3.71% of deaths reported)

- Major cardiovascular disease: 901 (2.75% of deaths reported)

- Drowning: 713 (2.18% of deaths reported)

- Non-gun murder: 663 (2.03% of deaths reported)

- Accidents not explicitly listed: 657 (2.01% of deaths reported)

- Influenza & pneumonia: 356 (1.09% of deaths reported)

- Gun murder: 238 (0.73% of deaths reported)

- Firearms accidents: 74 (0.23% of deaths reported)

The mortality rate for someone between the ages of 0 and 14 in 2016 was 0.897%. That means the chances of death from a firearm for that age group was 0.0086%.

Sources:

- Centers for Disease Control. National Vital Statistics Reports, Vol. 67, No. 5. "Deaths: Final Data for 2016" Table 6.

- US Census. Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for Selected Age Groups by Sex for the United States, States, Counties, and Puerto Rico Commonwealth and Municipios: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2018.

- Social Security Administration. Period Life Table, 2016.

Note: CDC numbers are based off reported cases across a variety of age groups. They do not represent an exact number but are instead meant to be treated relatively (e.g., 4.44% of child deaths are due to car accidents)

rbritton··on H5N1 (2013)
To play devil’s advocate — a not insubstantial amount of the economic damage is self-induced. We could accept some degree of risk and the associated consequences to reduce that, but we have not for various reasons that are subject to debate. I suspect in hindsight we’ll find we have overreacted due to a lack of good information.
rbritton··on Covid-19: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐evidence‐based measures
That’s when the announcement of it was broadcast, which is why I used that time.
rbritton··on Doctors and Nurses Say More People Are Dying of Covid-19 in the US Than We Know
The corollary is also true: more people are not dying of Covid-19 than we know.
rbritton··on Covid-19: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐evidence‐based measures
Washington does as of 5:00 pm PDT today.
rbritton··on Substantial undocumented infection facilitates rapid dissemination of SARS-CoV2
Influenza R0 has varied historically between 0.9 and 2.8 [0], where covid-19 is typically quoted as having an R0 around 2.3-2.5. It’s not substantially different in that regard.

Lethality estimates also suffer from being based on bad data. “Patients who have been tested for SARS-CoV-2 are disproportionately those with severe symptoms and bad outcomes.” [1]. For that reason, the CFR in the US at least has been around 1%, but the IFR could actually be significantly lower.

[0]: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19545404/ [1]: https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-a...

rbritton··on Fulfillment by Amazon suspends non-essential inbound shipments
Which one disappeared first? An audience willing to pay for quality journalism or quality journalism? I suspect quality journalism declined first, and it declined to the point where it made customers skeptical of journalism in general. That then shrunk the audience, and it circled back around again in a continuing cycle.
rbritton··on Pay up or we’ll make Google ban your ads
I think there was a time that was true. Now reCAPTCHA is so prone to tagging someone as a bot if they employ any ad blocking or tracking prevention that it significantly interferes with web use. It's an overall harm to the web in my opinion.
rbritton··on Where are all the animated SVGs?
I've recently done quite a bit of work with SVGs, including those with animations. Some observations:

* Edge doesn't support SVG animation in the older engine, only the newer Chromium-based one.

* Until recently, Chrome had a massive memory leak with SVG animations that loop if left up for several hours.

* SVG animations often cause enough CPU load to spin up laptop fans.

* There is no SVG support in email, so using SVGs in an environment that has both web and emailed pieces can mean duplicate assets.

* For maximum styling control, SVGs must be inlined. You cannot modify most attributes via CSS if they're loaded as an image.

And one nit about the linked tool from this post, Motion.app is a bad application name choice for OS X. It conflicts with Apple's Motion.app, which more than a few designers are likely to have.

rbritton··on Mozilla’s plan to fix internet privacy
Another FF plugin you might like is Multi-Account Containers [0]. It lets you isolate one or more websites from others to minimize their tracking ability.

[0]: https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/multi-account...

rbritton··on Costco Capitalism
It starts at the top or at the very least is looked over by the top. Every miserable work experience I’ve ever had was due to the culture passed down from the top. Likewise with every great place. Insecure, jealous, vindictive, <other negative adjective> people should never be promoted to manage others but often are when that’s easier than firing. Those types tend to shuffle around and work up the hierarchy by being miserable rather than competent.
rbritton··on Fungi that eats radiation found inside Chernobyl reactor
That's a big part of the storyline of The Expanse book series.
rbritton··on France fines Apple €25M for iOS software that slowed down older iPhones
They did [0], and to me it's a legitimate course of action to extend device life and minimize support load a bit. However, it should be disclosed clearly and not covered up until it blows up.

[0]: https://www.cnet.com/news/apple-slows-down-older-iphone-batt...

rbritton··on I won’t buy an iPad: ten years later
I do similar. I have two set up as camera monitors that can also pull up my rooftop weather station dashboard as wanted.
rbritton··on “This is why I use ad blockers and a pi-hole server”
Reference for what the different colors mean: https://simonhearne.com/2015/find-third-party-assets/
rbritton··on Incarcerated and Facebook
Uber will ban you even if charges are reversed due to someone using a stolen card. It happened to someone I work with.
rbritton··on How to be anonymous in the age of surveillance
I think it extends to more than just walking. I snowboard as much as I can during the winter, and I can reliably pick out people I know from extreme distances just by how they ride. The posture, size of the person, and other traits all add together to be a fairly unique signature.
rbritton··on Ring fired employees for watching customer videos
Ubiquiti’s offerings can all run 100% locally. I have my entire setup using PoE so each only needs a single cable.
rbritton··on WiFi deauthentication attacks and home security
Probably, but it would block the alerting feature they highlight in their ads. That said, I find motion detection alerting to be useless on outdoor-facing cameras due to vegetation, weather, and wildlife. The false positive rate makes it annoying.
rbritton··on You might literally be buying trash on Amazon
I've actually gone back to eBay for many types of products, including computer components. The platform itself is only the transaction layer, and you're able to select the specific company/individual on there to purchase from. Because the reputation is tied to the account, they're more incentivized to match the product description to the actual product delivered.
rbritton··on Luxury hotel guests keep stealing mattresses
I worked at a hotel for ten years. You’d be amazed at the number of things that are suppressed. Dead bodies, bed bugs, etc all happen far more frequently than you’d think but are cleaned up quietly and quickly.
rbritton··on Unsolicited messages on Keybase
Do you use Fastmail’s aliases? Those are one way to pinpoint which service revealed your email address if you’re diligent about creating them.
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