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rayshan

3,803 karma · joined December 11, 2013

Hello world.
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rayshan··on Umami: Self-hosted open-source alternative to Google Analytics
This. Just got bitten by this by using Vercel’s serverless functions edge caching. More details: https://twitter.com/rayshan/status/1295521974479798274?s=21
rayshan··on ZSA Moonlander: A next-generation ergonomic keyboard
Thanks for reminding me of this, really glad they're still iterating. We need more options with long-term companies and support. $393.40 shipped is too steep though, for that price I think the ergodox / moonlander is a better option.
rayshan··on ZSA Moonlander: A next-generation ergonomic keyboard
I've been eyeing the Ergodox-EZ for a few months and this was an instant buy for me. Lately I've been rotating between TKL keyboards and the Microsoft Sculpt Ergonomic, but my right wrist is still getting worse.

I looked at over a dozen split keyboard options. Seems like no matter if you build or buy, it'll cost around $300. I decided I didn't want to also buy a soldering kit and wait months for parts to arrive.

Here's a comparison site between all the known split keyboard layouts (no moonlander yet though): https://jhelvy.shinyapps.io/splitkbcompare/

rayshan··on ZSA Moonlander: A next-generation ergonomic keyboard
Try the Microsoft Sculpt Ergonomic, $60, works well and looks nice, but not mechanical.
rayshan··on Apple WWDC20
This is why I read HN.
rayshan··on V002 Camera Live – Zoom with Your DSLR as a Webcam via USB
I tried Cascable with my Fuji X-T30. Works well for wireless connection but not for wired.

Another option is Ecamm Live: https://www.ecamm.com/

Camera Live does work with other cameras. Nikon is coming in the next release. See github issues.

rayshan··on V002 Camera Live – Zoom with Your DSLR as a Webcam via USB
Did not consider this, thanks so much! I need mine for photography so need to source another cam just as a webcam.
rayshan··on V002 Camera Live – Zoom with Your DSLR as a Webcam via USB
It does work with other cameras. Nikon is coming in the next release. See github issues.
rayshan··on OBS (macOS) Virtual Camera
Yes please! Would love to use my X-T30 as a webcam on my mac.
rayshan··on Surface Go 2, Surface Book 3, Surface Headphones 2 and Surface Earbuds
There's a picture of the new Microsoft Ergonomic Desktop on The Verge. So sad that the keyboard is wired and not TKL :( Somewhat normal function keys though compared to the Sculpt. Mouse is also wired.

https://www.theverge.com/2020/5/6/21247234/microsoft-surface...

https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/W1Uqdi9jgOACKGZQ_CEJVgGbxdw=...

rayshan··on Google Pixel Buds
Here's a great video review by one of my favorite presenters: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aMKgWMO3fu8
rayshan··on Incremental Builds in Gatsby Cloud
Wow MintData looks so cool! I was just trying to figure out whether Webflow can be used to build simple apps, then I saw this, a whole new level. Is there a way to try it?
rayshan··on Ask HN: What is your blog and why should I read it?
https://shan.io/

I write about personal finance. There are 3 things that make your money more productive: information, tools, and time. I can't give you more time but I write about hidden insights and make tools that help you make smarter investment decisions.

Some recent posts that are relevant to this new COVID19 world:

What did we learn from the 2008 Great Recession https://shan.io/writing/learnings-from-the-2008-great-recess...

How bad can this recession get? https://finance.shan.io/recessions-bear-markets-compared/

rayshan··on Stanford CS248: Implement an SVG Rasterizer
Yup this is the problem. Workable but painful.
rayshan··on Stanford CS248: Implement an SVG Rasterizer
This looks so cool! But your demo link is broken :(
rayshan··on Stanford CS248: Implement an SVG Rasterizer
I wish for that world to exist, but rasterized images are much easier to share and render nicely in iMessages etc.
rayshan··on Stanford CS248: Implement an SVG Rasterizer
No. It does a perfect job because Puppeteer is just Chrome, not JavaScript :) Thanks though!
rayshan··on Stanford CS248: Implement an SVG Rasterizer
This looks great, will test it out, thx!
rayshan··on Stanford CS248: Implement an SVG Rasterizer
What's a good JavaScript-based solution to render SVG into an image? html2canvas doesn't work well with SVG, especially those heavily styled with CSS.
rayshan··on Ask HN: How are you preparing yourself for a recession?
I'm in the camp of more preparedness is better, and actions need to be taken. For me it's about studying recession histories, stay calm, keep investing.

Sharing what I posted in another thread: my look into the 2008 Great Recession was very helpful with my pattern matching. 98 out of 100 stocks lost money during that recession, but most of them did super well during the longest recovery period in U.S. history. Even AIG made people a bunch of money.

Here's the full dataset of 1363 mid cap + stocks that traded during the 2008 recession, and their performances: https://shan.io/writing/learnings-from-the-2008-great-recess...

rayshan··on Learnings from the 2008 Great Recession
Sure! The same learning still applies though - don't be scared, it'll be ok, keep investing.
rayshan··on My Thoughts About the Coronavirus: Ray Dalio
Thank you! I did a while back, will see if HN lets me do it again. Feel free to AMA!
rayshan··on My Thoughts About the Coronavirus: Ray Dalio
Good insides on what companies can and cannot withstand a once-in-a-lifetime event. My look into the 2008 Great Recession was very helpful with my pattern matching. 98 out of 100 stocks lost money during that recession, but most of them did super well during the longest recovery period in U.S. history. Even AIG made people a bunch of money.

Here's the full dataset of 1363 mid cap + stocks that traded during the 2008 recession, and their performances: https://shan.io/writing/learnings-from-the-2008-great-recess...

rayshan··on Show HN: A better unicorn IPO leaderboard
Hey! Maker here. I built this because I couldn’t find a quick, easy and up-to-date source to help me pattern match IPOs.

How do you decide to invest in newly public companies?

Happy to answer any questions too.

rayshan··on Show HN: A better unicorn IPO leaderboard
This is a good example of how this leaderboard is very focused on short term IPO performance. Facebook is a another example (I’ll add it) that went down a lot but look at where it’s at now. I’m a big fan of Xiaomi and companies with products that make my life better everyday.
rayshan··on Show HN: A better unicorn IPO leaderboard
Thanks! Zoom is there, #3 from the cohorts that haven’t seasoned for 1 year.

Yea I’ll see what I can do to get the pre-IPO private round in. It’s easier to get per-IPO exposure as a retail investor nowadays.

rayshan··on Predicting Next Recession
There's not enough discussion about the eventual recovery in all these recession articles. I was looking at the last 2008 recession and found some interesting gems. For example, if you bought AIG, one of the main causes of the financial crisis, you would've made out like a bandit during the recovery period. Definitely too big to fail.

Here's all the data on how stocks performed during and after the last recession: https://shan.io/writing/learnings-from-the-2008-great-recess...

rayshan··on Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts
Why not keep a good chunk of cash around? During the 2017 ~ 2018 financial crisis, 1331 out of 1363 midcap+ stocks lost money. It was a great time to buy undervalued stocks that eventually benefitted from the longest recovery period ever, still going strong today. Even AIG, the villain that caused the crash and was bailed out by the government, was one of the top performers during the recovery.

If you're curious, here's the full stock performance dataset I pulled for the last recession: https://shan.io/writing/learnings-from-the-2008-great-recess...

rayshan··on Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts
Right, they aren't the same. The '87 black friday crash made a big impact on the investment community, but it wasn't a recession.

The commonly used U.S. definition is the one from NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research):

"A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales."

Here's a list of past recessions: https://www.nber.org/cycles.html

rayshan··on Ask HN: Is a Recession Coming?
Yes, a recession will happen. So will the post-recession recovery period. It’s going to hurt. 98 out of 100 stocks during the 2008 Great Recession lost people money. At the same time recessions don’t last long [1], and it’s a great opportunity to buy, whether it’s stocks or homes.

I was just looking into the last recession, and I found that the market was wrong, and overreacted about a lot of stocks during that time [2]. Even AIG, the villain that caused the crash and was bailed out by the government, was one of the top performers during the recovery.

Try to have a balanced approach - cash + defensive assets (like gold and household staple stocks) + not selling all your stock.

[1] 2008 Great Recession: 1.5 years; 2000 dot com bubble: 8 months; early 1990s recession: 8 months

[2] https://shan.io/writing/learnings-from-the-2008-great-recess...

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