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rainworld

642 karma · joined April 12, 2018

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rainworld··on NRC issues first U.S. construction permit for a BWRX-300 small modular reactor
No recirculation pumps. Feedwater is pumped as usual.
rainworld··on US Forces Exit Iraq
For the US, oil money (in Dollars) and control over Iraq: https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/why-does-the-us-control-i...

For Israel, oil from Kurdistan: The revival of the Kirkuk-Haifa pipeline fell through but Turkey stepped in to enable transport.

For both, the neutralization of a regional actor. The chaos that also weakened its neighbors. Eventually, the destruction of Syria. A base and flight path to attack Iran.

rainworld··on US Denmark agreement enhanced veto rights over Greenland econ and military
> XI. Permanent nature of this Agreement

> This Agreement does not have an end date and may only be amended by mutual consent in accordance with Article XIII of the 1951 Defense Agreement.

> In case Greenland exercises its right to self-determination to become independent, the Government of the Kingdom of Denmark and the Government of Greenland shall together ensure that the independent Greenlandic state will (i) agree to remain in NATO, including by applying to become a member if necessary, and (ii) affirmatively assume, as from the date of independence, all of the rights and obligations of the Kingdom of Denmark specified in this Agreement, including any implementation agreements or arrangements between the Parties, as well as the Defense Arrangements.

With this, Denmark has effectively ceded sovereignty over Greenland. In time, they are likely to lose it entirely.

The weakening Empire is squeezing its satrapies for all they are worth. But don’t expect genuine resistance and elite resentment any time soon, there’s a century of conditioning and control to undo. Hard power, soft power, covert power.

This isn’t about Trump, he’s a convenient vessel.

rainworld··on Looking forward to Git 2.56 – and 3.0
At this point, it does not appear that (reasonably strong and modern) symmetric cryptography (ciphers, hash functions, etc.) is realistically threatened by quantum computing: https://words.filippo.io/128-bits/
rainworld··on Iran school bombing: grounds to believe US was behind atrocity, UN finds
Especially when the whole point of such lies is to kill the story before it gets much public interest. A device the sunny state of Israel uses all the time and to great effect.
rainworld··on Ukrainian drones strike Russian gas facility over 3k km away in Siberia
> the same thing

If only the Taliban had received half a trillion of military and financial support. If only China had shipped them thousands of FPV drones per day and given them access to low-latency satcom and a trillion-dollar ISR ecosystem.

> how do you win them over

Putin would have loved to. But, finally, even he has realized that that brotherly ship has sailed for a while. Luckily for him there’s an alternative: he just has to make sure Ukraine doesn’t come back from this in any threatening fashion any time soon. An effort that’s well underway and intensifying.

His other option would be what the West’s darling is doing in the Middle East, genocide. But Putin is not a monster.

rainworld··on Ask HN: When will the war in Ukraine end?
As things stand, without fresh funds, Ukraine can keep the war going for about another year. I wouldn’t expect Zelensky to concede this round one day too soon.
rainworld··on Russia fires economist over Ukraine war warning
The problematic thing here is that there remains an abundance of cowardly and delusional elites in positions of influence and power. 4.5 years in. Willing to sell out their countrymen for a mirage of normalcy that will not come. Not to the 99.9%, anyway. We wouldn‘t be here if Putin was a fraction of the despot he’s presented to be in the West.
rainworld··on Low-Tech Ceramic Water Filter
http://archive.today/2026.08.13-052756/https://wiki.lowtechl...
rainworld··on Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory
https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/celebration_parallax
rainworld··on Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory
“This is how you "negotiate" with Turks: you kill dozens of them, then don’t apologize.”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Balyun_airstrikes

rainworld··on Ukrainian drones hit more sites of Russian online retailer Wildberries
> tempted to respond in kind

Has nothing to do with it.

> It's basic human nature.

No it’s the nature of a proxy war, the nature of a gambler with no post-war future, the nature of hubristic technologists with software for brains.

Results e.g.: https://x.com/andrii_sybiha/status/2079998734637658585

The firing of Fedorov should tell you something about how well this latest gambit/escalation is working. And about the chasm between PR and reality. Syrskyi knew where this is going. And he knew what the AFU are in dire need of: men, not robots.

rainworld··on How Ukraine Built a War Fighting State
This year, so far and among other things, we’ve had an illegal war against Iran, an illegal blockade against Cuba, hundreds of civilians murdered in the Caribbean, the murder of a head of state, the abduction of another. As well as the continued support for Zionist genociding. No meaningful protest from Western regimes, Western media, and most of the enthusiasts here. Might makes right is the whole of the law—as long as it’s the West‘s.
rainworld··on EU Parliament greenlights Chat Control 1.0
But they dutifully support those who do, materially and diplomatically. Carrying significant political cost, internally as well as externally.
rainworld··on Deadly abuse of mobilized men in Ukraine
More from Ukrainian public broadcasting: https://suspilne.media/kropyvnytskiy/1340118-smerti-vid-pnev...
rainworld··on Deadly abuse of mobilized men in Ukraine
This is about forcibly drafted men (particularly those with additional issues like addiction) who get sent on assaults with low rates of success and high chances of death (or serve in similarly dangerous roles). Very different from the glamour raids they publish on social media. Russians do these assaults too, of course. Because, for the most part, that’s how territory is taken in this war.

Women in the AFU are volunteers and serve different roles.

rainworld··on Deadly abuse of mobilized men in Ukraine
Polemical original title distracts from the content. Full article. Quoting the author:

Ukrainian liberal media writes about it, but only in Ukrainian. Not for western consumption.

rainworld··on The Defeat of Nuclear Deterrence
Self-fulfilling prophecies need prophets.
rainworld··on The Defeat of Nuclear Deterrence
> Any reasonable leadership would have cut their losses yet here we are.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HKxeuY7bMAEwZ30.png Indeed.

rainworld··on The Defeat of Nuclear Deterrence
> The country that’s getting 55% of its state budget from the EU isn’t a proxy. Not to mention the munitions, the weapons, the training, and above all the access to the US’ trillion dollar ISR and satcom network.

Spade? That’s a shovel drenched in blood.

rainworld··on The Defeat of Nuclear Deterrence
It’s conceivable that Russia could force the West to back out of the proxy war. But then they’d get proliferation in Europe, Taiwan, South Korea, and other places. And Usrael would very likely use nukes against Iranian missile cities. (Conversely, first use against Iran would give Russia license etc.) Apart from general global instability and uncertainty this might unleash.

So, it’s not hard to see why they haven’t—so far. And why they are pursuing their (slow and costly, sure) conventional military, economical, and demographic long-term neutering of Ukraine. And let’s not forget the enormous economic/budgetary cost to the EU.

Also, Russia retains a number of ways to escalate inside of Ukraine: bridges, dams, depopulation of frontline cities. China could finally abandon their stance of being mostly neutral.

The problem is that Ukraine/West keep escalating and the day when Russia’s calculus changes may yet come.

rainworld··on The dangerous delusion of modern warfare
> the standard "modern" war

For the US and friends is terrorizing the enemy, his forces, his civilian population into giving up. Is feeding a civil war until he crumbles.

> bomb the living shit out of anything armoured

That’s absolutely not what’s missing in Ukraine.

> and then push forward with your own armour.

And then, as soon as you assemble let alone move in the open, you get wrecked. No one has an easy answer for this. The answer is what we’re already seeing: attrition.

> Iran

Iran prevailed in an highly asymmetric conflict by successfully attriting US/Israeli air defenses and surviving their attacks, depleting their arsenals. Which was their goal, not “levelling Tel Aviv”—however much they would have liked to.

Finally, what Israel is facing in Lebanon right now is but a pale imitation of what’s going on in Ukraine. But bad enough. One can imagine what just a couple days of Ukraine-level losses would do to them, militarily and politically. No matter their air superiority.

rainworld··on Hormuz closure could trigger 'agrifood shock', price crisis within a year
The classic HN trope of a non-rebuttal presented as rebuttal. And you conveniently left out the link in the sentence: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/07/31/congress/ma...

It’s true, “MAGA KY” has Trump’s name slapped on. Like the Zionist war againt Iran. Which you clearly support.

> I'm all ears.

You’re clearly not.

rainworld··on Hormuz closure could trigger 'agrifood shock', price crisis within a year
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/05/17/massie-aipac-record... It literally was. And wait till you find out you find out who Epstein et al. were working for.
rainworld··on Hormuz closure could trigger 'agrifood shock', price crisis within a year
You, as many do, forgot to mention the root cause: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/us-iran-war-request-israel...

> The meek recent Senate protest means nothing. If the elites didn't want the war, the House and the Senate would have 2/3rd majorities to stop it.

Yesterday’s AIPAC-driven ouster of Rep. Thomas Massie should tell you why no one is trying to stop this and who these “elites” you speak of answer to.

> The IRGC wants the blockade for self-preservation among its own population to show it is resisting "The West".

They are not showing off. They are actively and successfully resisting “The West”. Which could only sustain 5 weeks of active hostilities, got nowhere, hurt its position in the ME severely, but still cannot concede. Which brings us back to the root cause.

rainworld··on Iran threatens 'complete and utter annihilation' of OpenAI's $30B Stargate
https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-repatriates-bodies-of-1-...

1000 Ukrainians for 38 Russians. Such exchanges with similarly lopsided ratios happen every couple weeks.

rainworld··on The final switch: Goldsboro, 1961 (2013)
The notion that the bombings constituted an informed political decision intended to forestall an otherwise unavoidable invasion, and that Japan wasn’t ready to surrender is a complete retcon.[0] But a great example of how well Americans control the narrative—even eight decades after the fact. If anyone else did them they would be condemned as Great Crimes of History.

[0]: Truman didn’t order Hiroshima, and didn’t even know about Nagasaki. He did stop them after that.

rainworld··on MoD sources warn Palantir role at heart of government is threat to UK security
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Maxwell#Distribution_of...

It’s just the latest implementation of a winning formula.

rainworld··on Starlink militarization and its impact on global strategic stability (2023)
Did that language imping on the interests of America’s ruling elites, its security apparatus, or the interests of a certain entity in the eastern Mediterranean? No? Then we’re talking about entirely different things.
rainworld··on Starlink militarization and its impact on global strategic stability (2023)
The “opposition” that oversaw the Gaza genocide.

No, they are, in the words of German Chancellor Merz, perfectly happy to let Trump do their “dirty work.” All the better if it blows up in his face.

In fact, that’s the whole reason why Trump is in office and not in prison. Because after October 2023 Zionists don’t accept “no” for an answer.

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