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rainworld

644 karma · joined April 12, 2018

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rainworld··on Starlink militarization and its impact on global strategic stability (2023)
Did that language imping on the interests of America’s ruling elites, its security apparatus, or the interests of a certain entity in the eastern Mediterranean? No? Then we’re talking about entirely different things.
rainworld··on Starlink militarization and its impact on global strategic stability (2023)
The “opposition” that oversaw the Gaza genocide.

No, they are, in the words of German Chancellor Merz, perfectly happy to let Trump do their “dirty work.” All the better if it blows up in his face.

In fact, that’s the whole reason why Trump is in office and not in prison. Because after October 2023 Zionists don’t accept “no” for an answer.

rainworld··on Airbus is preparing two uncrewed combat aircraft
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modernity
rainworld··on Starlink militarization and its impact on global strategic stability (2023)
> I'm no fan of the party in power in the US, but I can campaign and speak out against them. I can raise money to oppose them. I can band together with like minded individuals to protest.

You can. Just not in any way that matters. And you won’t. Because that takes organization and all existing organizations that matter are captured by the system and novel ones would quickly be.

Perfect example: The US just launched a disastrous and illegal (both in their own and the UN system) war at the behest of a foreign power/influential minority against the will of its people and against its geopolitical interest. And the “opposition” does less than nothing. There is little anti-war protest and none of consquence.

Compare it with 2003 and earlier wars: The American public has been all but neutralized as a political force. Not that it could do much even then.

> That's superior to unilateral oppression.

You prefer the illusion of power.

rainworld··on Peter Thiel's Antichrist Lectures
Those who triumphed over “Russia” (also a tell) had anything but immaculate hearts.

> The good will be martyred; the Holy Father will have much to suffer; various nations will be annihilated.

Rings a bell. Errors are spreading but “Russian” they are not.

> The date of the attempted assassination, 13 May 1981, was the 64th anniversary of the first apparition of the Virgin Mary to the children at Fátima.

Do I have to spell it out.

rainworld··on The Israeli spyware firm that accidentally just exposed itself
> British colonialism

So the Palestinians and Arabs thought a hundred years ago. It served them badly.

It’s not that US/UK and others don’t get anything out of the relationship, as you note. But the arrows have been mostly pointing the other way for a long time. Trump and his background, as well as Epstein/Mandelson/McSweeney/Labour are just the latest, blatant examples of how this works.

rainworld··on Russia's 1.2M casualties in Ukraine dwarf all its conflicts since WW2
> Maybe WE can't imagine taking losses like this, but in Russia they seem more than willing.

WE are happily enabling Ukrainians to take such losses.

> seemingly carelessly.

They are doing what works—which evidently it does, however ugly and cynical it looks. And Ukrainians do the same when they try to recapture. This is the face of attritional warfare in the age of drones and under pervasive surveillance. But you’re probably right—WE could not sustain such for long. One hopes.

> now exceed sustainable recruitment and replacement rates,

That’s on even days. On odd days these people will tell you that the Russia army has been all but rebuilt and is about to invade the Baltics.

> Meanwhile, battlefield casualties favor Ukraine by a 2.5- or 2-to-1 ratio.

Russia is 4–5 times bigger. So, even if these numbers were true, they would be bad news. Same with materiel—just check Oryx. For extra credit, look at the trends of losses. Far from good enough and getting worse.

rainworld··on Something Is Wrong with Russia's Children
And, in fact, often sharing this “accelerationist” motive.
rainworld··on Something Is Wrong with Russia's Children
A much better and more informative piece:

https://open.substack.com/pub/eventsinukraine/p/zoomer-schoo...

rainworld··on Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
You did not understand the point of the quoted post at all and you’re turning the matter on its head.

For the US and its friends, the UN system and international law have always been a tool. Used when beneficial, circumvented when necessary.

> Syria, Iran, Venezuela, Russia...

Yes, the US decades-long lawfare and warfare against these countries in various domains is a great examples of the above.

rainworld··on Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
The multipolar world is truly new and terrifying

Now, even the USA invades foreign countries!

(https://x.com/EventsUkraine/status/2007431899107758263)

rainworld··on NATO Ended Russia's Estonian Air Incursions
> And what makes you think Russia didn't pay a price for that?

That wasn’t the question and you’re putting words in my mouth.

> look at Syria - they literally removed Russia from the middle east.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c201p2dd6r4o

They were warm words from two men seeking a good working relationship.

Russia wants continued access to its Tartous naval port and Hmeimim military airbase on Syria's Mediterranean coast.

Sharaa suggested he would allow this, saying Syria would "respect all agreements concluded throughout the great history" of their bilateral relations.

In turn, he wants help to consolidate his power in Syria, secure its borders and rescue a parlous economy with access to Russian energy and investment.

Plus ça change.

rainworld··on NATO Ended Russia's Estonian Air Incursions
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_Russian_Sukhoi_Su-24_shoo...

Including but not limited to: A Turkish supply convoy, reportedly carrying small arms, machine-guns and ammunition, was bombed by what is believed to have been Russian airstrikes in the northwestern town of Azaz, in north-western Syria.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Russian_Air_Force_Al-Bab_...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Balyun_airstrikes

rainworld··on What Happened to Ukraine's Missile Defense
> You are massively downplaying the scale of the attack. Iran sent hundreds of missiles in a go.

The report I linked and you obviously didn’t read directly contradicts you: 574 ballistics total with no wave larger than 40.

> because they simply ran out of launchers and missiles

No evidence of the former and the latter is laughable.

> In the end…

… they murdered a bunch people, destroyed a bunch of things and achieved no strategic goal. No follow-through, no follow-up. Luckily, being the Jewel in the Crown, they are largely isolated from the consequences of such aggression and failure.

> 70% figure sounds wrong

Feelings. Wild claims online. Well, it’s quite possible Israel as well the US used even more interceptors than they care to admit. But that doesn’t help your case.

> That certainly doesn't match up to the claims of the IDF, and if it was true the Americans wouldn't stop boasting about it.

You must be new to US-Israel relations.

rainworld··on What Happened to Ukraine's Missile Defense
70% of interceptors used were US. A whopping quarter of THAAD stockpile.

https://jinsa.org/jinsa_report/rising-lion-air-defense/

> almost no major hits

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_Military_Censor

> saturation attacks

They weren’t saturation attacks; in fact many were surprised by their small size compared to preceding True Promises. Unlike Israel, which had to tap out after 12 days, with a face-saving intervention by the US, Iran was in for the long haul.

> Missing something

Israel + US + friends had the highest density air defence network with plenty of interceptors and it wasn’t enough. They had all the time and space to operate without threat and yet by the end Iranian drones were hitting Israel. Given area and supplies and proximity, it’s just hopeless for Ukraine. Also, previously claimed interception rates were exaggerated.

rainworld··on Dietary omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids as a protective factor of myopia
Revealed: many common omega-3 fish oil supplements are ‘rancid’

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/jan/17/revealed...

rainworld··on Monte Carlo Crash Course: Quasi-Monte Carlo
extremely expensive

No. CSPRNGs can be pretty competitive these days: https://github.com/google/randen

Yes, in some cases that’s still (a bit) too slow or too much code but best to benchmark first.

rainworld··on AV1@Scale: Film Grain Synthesis, The Awakening
And yet here we are: DNR -> fancy grain -> DNR -> basic, approximated grain. Because noise doesn’t compress. And you get compression artifacts even in Blu-ray releases. What’s the point of applying fancy grain when what a lot viewers end up seeing is an ugly smudge?
rainworld··on AV1@Scale: Film Grain Synthesis, The Awakening
These days, when we see noise/grain in an end product it has likely been added in post-production. So, ideally, studios would provide distributors with a noiseless source plus grain synthesis parameters. Bonus: many viewers would welcome an option to turn it off.
rainworld··on Panjandrum: The ‘giant firework’ built to break Hitler's Atlantic Wall
Don't tell mopsi but I’m not actually Russian.

Our vital interest is cheap energy and a peaceful near-abroad.

Not our vital interest: https://static.dw.com/image/17298012_1004.webp

rainworld··on Panjandrum: The ‘giant firework’ built to break Hitler's Atlantic Wall
No, you’re still not getting it. This “double standard” is a figment of your imagination, it doesn’t exist. Roughly every country on Earth acknowledges Ukraine’s right to self-defense. A large number of them is materially supporting Ukraine.

They are free to defend themselves till the bitter end. No one is stopping them. And, theatrics aside, support isn’t ceasing either.

But they’re not winning. There’s no right to that.

rainworld··on Panjandrum: The ‘giant firework’ built to break Hitler's Atlantic Wall
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rainworld··on RU's military not as damaged by attack as some pro-UA commentators suggest
And already—for the n-th time—escalation has made things worse for Ukrainians. More bombs and missiles are flying, restrictions were lifted.

Because good PR prolongs this war but doesn’t win it. Because ultimately, the interests of the nation, the regime, and its Western supporters are not aligned.

rainworld··on Panjandrum: The ‘giant firework’ built to break Hitler's Atlantic Wall
>Haven't they considered just stopping?

We don’t have to speculate. They’ve just presented to Ukraine and published their conditions for ceasefire or settlement.

The reaction suggests Ukraine/the West would rather continue. Of course, demands will only increase.

> Really the war started with Euromaidan

Sure it wasn’t when Ukrainian nationalists burned 42 people to death in Odessa?

>regime, pull out

Ah, but Ukraine/the West were given so many opportunities to settle this peacefully. Even the March 2023 settlement (which has been published) was dangerously generous, for said regime. But peace was not on Western leaders’ mind. They wanted something else.

(Preposterous to compare Ukraine/Russia with Afghanistan/US.)

rainworld··on Panjandrum: The ‘giant firework’ built to break Hitler's Atlantic Wall
>some other country to just give up

That some other country gets over 55% of its budget from the West and almost all its materiel. Total direct “aid” over 320 billion so far. Total costs to the West much higher still.

And the result for Ukraine is more territory lost, more destruction, and hundreds of thousands of casualties. No one would and could stop them from continuing the war on their own but imagine what that would look like.

And the result for the West is a stronger, hostile Russia with deepening ties to China, North Korea etc. Strategic failure.

>Zelenski is depicted as a war criminal

No. What we saw was a noisy attempt by the US to salvage its strategic failure in Ukraine/Russia. Russians weren’t fooled. It failed.

rainworld··on RU's military not as damaged by attack as some pro-UA commentators suggest
Not even the ability to pepper Ukraine with Kalibrs was hobbled.

You raise a good point, though. Why is the West, via its proxy, attacking (not for the first time, it must be said) a part of what it recognizes as Russia’s nuclear strategic assets? Sounds highly reckless and dangerous! What happened to winning?

rainworld··on DDoSecrets publishes 410 GB of heap dumps, hacked from TeleMessage
Spooks in general like to project a veneer of competence, downright invincibility. Entertainment media, journalists, experts play a big role in this. And by and large it works.

It’s especially true for spooks of a certain entity. Also, it’s easy to confuse brazenness, being protected from consequences, and usually downplayed or secret Western complicity with competence.

rainworld··on New drones are sneaking past jammers on Ukraine's front lines
Yes, even in still limited numbers they have been highly effective. Hundreds of Ukrainian assets destroyed, and they have no real answer. Played a big part in Kursk becoming such a debacle. And Ukrainians cannot hope to match these numbers. All of this is why they are so obsessed with that one Russian fibre optics plant that’s in attack range. Which, however, is at most a minor source of drone fibre.
rainworld··on Son of CIA deputy director was killed while fighting for Russia, report says
Yeah, it wasn’t the mass murdering of civilians with full material (several Hiroshimas worth of conventional explosives, free of charge) and poltical support of the ruling Democratic party that divided voters. Wasn’t the senile president and his joke of a replacement. It was Russia. Via their unstoppable social media wurlitzer. If you disagree you’re part of it, ipso facto. And a bot.

>HN'ers probably don't see it

Takes a very special mind to see it.

rainworld··on Ukraine's DIY drone makers are helping fighters on the front lines
KYIV, Ukraine — In the courtyard of a group of ordinary-looking Kyiv apartment blocks, a stairway leads down to a small basement apartment.

With the windows cracked open, children's voices from a nearby kindergarten fill the room. "But don't worry," he says, "we don't show our drones to the children."

Bragging about putting a military target next to a kindergarten, among countless other civilians.

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