qgin

Tbh this reply works for pretty much anything anyone ever says

This is making it more complicated than it needs to be. You can tax things any way that funds collective expenses but doesn’t disincentivize economic activity ”too much”.

Theres nothing special or holy about income tax. If there’s no more income to tax, that burden gets shifted to corporate tax in some way. Whether it’s across the board or something more fussy like “taxing AI” is just implementation detail.

People who think our short lifespans are important because they give meaning to life never seem to want to shorten their lives in order to maximize meaning.

Never dying ever is definitely a weird thing to consider, but that's not possible even theoretically. Eventually all the energy in the Universe will reach maximum entropy and nothing will be alive.

But I am very suspicious of anyone who is sure that 75 years is the optimal meaning-to-lifespan ratio.

The argument against screening is kind of like if you had a really inept fire department that ended up crashing the firetruck into other vehicles and buildings every time they were dispatched... and instead of figuring out how to have the fire department respond to calls in a better and safer way, you ban smoke detectors because then the fire department will only be called after buildings are confirmed to be already engulfed in flames.

Thank you! I was wondering if I had imagined that.

Amazon, Microsoft, Google all are profitable even despite their capex. Worst case scenario they stop spending on AI capex and go back to being ridiculously profitable instead of just comfortably profitable. There's no actual implosion for the big names.

Idk they seem pretty serious

https://gizmodo.com/official-air-taxi-provider-of-the-2028-o...

I think it’s anything in the category of “way more common than a helicopter to the point where normal people use them”.

Looking like 2028-2030 but it's a moving target.

Since we're basically getting flying cars next year at the World Cup, I guess it's going to be after flying cars.

Nobody seems to want to use Copilot, but Microsoft is in a great position when AGI "drop-in office workers" become a thing. They can just provision however many virtual coworkers to a Microsoft Teams instance and you'll be handing off documents and chatting with the AGI workers pretty much as you would any other remote worker.

Microsoft doesn't have to be first or best here. Just owning the plumbing of so many present-day workplaces with Teams and Office will make it hard to beat them.

Another way to say it might be that we've been shielded from the effects of not investing in our own children by the immigration of smart and educated young adults, where countries with less immigration are more acutely aware of how well its own educational system is performing.

Anyone who has ever worked on any sort of sales funnel knows: every time you ask someone to take an additional action, you lose people. Ask everybody to reapply, you'll end up with fewer people. You can say that's evidence of previous fraud, but it's largely just going to be people who didn't make it through the additional friction.

The online troll farms of today make me nostalgic for an age when intelligence agencies were putting effort into promoting jazz and modern art for national security reasons.

I think for these tools that still less than a full Drop-in Office Worker Replacement, it takes some time within organizations to figure out how they can be used to reduce human labor needs.

So what might start out as an additive tool for existing workers, over time, managers start to see ways to reorganize the work between AI and humans and find efficiencies that can lead to headcount changes.

At a big hospital system, nurses call patients with complex medical issues and help organize appointments and tests and whatnot. Previously, they had about 20 people who would transcribe recordings of the calls and then write up documentation for the medical records. Now AI transcribes and writes the report and sends it to the nurse to sign off / make edits.

AI is absolutely replacing jobs though. I personally know multiple people whose companies have downsized departments or eliminated departments completely, offloading the work to fewer people using AI tools.

I love this sort of documentation-style guide to medical issues. Reminds me of https://www.fourmilab.ch/hackdiet/e4/

Amazing work! I can’t wait to get my QardioArm back out and use it again.

I don't think I have ever seen someone change their long-term average happiness more than a small amount with maybe two exceptions:

1. Someone trapped in a truly off-the-charts stressful environment and then removing themselves from it

2. Psychiatric drugs

Hard to select for adaptive traits for something that only happens just before you die.

Chipotle raised their prices 45% in 5 years.

“The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.”

We have a lot of people being constantly brainwashed that we have the most amazing system in the world and that any attempt to change it is communism.

This makes me feel that the extremely short AGI timelines might be less likely.

To sign this deal today, presumably you wouldn’t bother if AGI is just around the corner?

Maybe I’m reading too much into it.

That's the story then. Apologies for missing that.

The article describes the researchers and research as being based at Cincinnati Children’s Hospital. That’s the reason for the question.

How do they have confidence that the vials they're getting are sterile / pure / free of endotoxins / etc?

I haven’t heard a good argument why this isn’t the most likely path.

There will most likely be period where robotics lags AGI, but how long will that really last?

Especially with essentially unlimited AGI robotics engineers to work on the problem?

We’re working on all-purpose human replacements.

Imagine if the tractor made most farm workers unnecessary but when they flocked to the cities to do factory work, the tractor was already sitting there on the assembly line doing that job too.

I don’t doubt we can come up with new jobs, but the list of jobs AGI and robotics will never be able to do is really limited to ones where the value intrinsically comes from the person doing it being a human. It’s a short list tbh.