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purpleblue

1,108 karma · joined August 3, 2022

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purpleblue··on Ask HN: What podcasts do you listen to?
He's a human being, not a robot. He's trying the best he can and he's being completely honest about it. I'm not sure what you're expecting from him, but he's not perfect nor does he claim to ever be. He's trying to be honest and open-minded more than anyone else in media so I appreciate that immensely.

Are you saying the VAERS reports are useless or biased?

purpleblue··on The US Housing Market Has Become an Impossible Mess
The biggest issue with 0% interest rates is that it let the stock market skyrocket. From 2009, the returns on some stocks like FAANGs are 20X or more, in less than 15 years. This created a huge, ridiculous income gap between the haves (ie. those with tech stocks) and the have nots (everyone else).

Everyone with exposure to tech stocks got extremely rich, including hedge funds. So all home owners are either those that had houses before the bust, those that had money before the housing bust and bought houses during the bust, or those that became very wealthy from tech stocks and bought houses. That raised the price of houses to unaffordable levels, and now hedge funds with all their tech wealth are buying homes to turn most people into renters. There's no room for the Have Nots to buy houses anymore. If you don't currently have a house, and you don't make millions on the stock market, there's no way you're ever going to be able to afford a house.

We need a housing crash, but the Fed will never allow it, and hedge funds know this. That's why supply remains tight. Only rich people are currently buying houses, and it won't change regardless of interest rates. Hedge funds have to suffer catastrophic losses in order for supply to reenter the market.

purpleblue··on Ask HN: What podcasts do you listen to?
I guess it depends on what the definition of "without an agenda" means. He has opinions, some of them very strong, but he doesn't bring someone on to push an agenda that he wants to publicize. He has people on that he wants to have a genuine discussion with. And he's not beholden to any particular ones and is willing to have an open-minded debate or discussion.

With Sanjay Gupta, he brought him on so that he could have a debate about the COVID vaccine, and Gupta conceded many points that Rogan made. He never has "gotcha" questions like many journalists, and I believe it's an entirely honest discussion with all of his guests. For example, he has had hard-core pro-Palestinian journalists like Abby Martin, and very pro-Israeli talk show hosts like Ben Shapiro. He's had politicians from all sides of the spectrum. He is more than willing to have people debate the COVID policies and vaccines but no one takes him up on his offer, like Peter Hotez. He has some independent journalists like Alex Berenson who is very much against the legalization of cannabis, something that Rogan uses often.

In terms of "fringe beliefs", what do you mean? I like the fact that he has a variety of topics, some of them absurd, like aliens. Not everything has to be serious.

purpleblue··on Ask HN: What podcasts do you listen to?
Joe Rogan Experience is the best podcast that I listen to. It has a wide variety of guests and topics, from regular politics to Neil deGrasse Tyson to Elon Musk to Bernie Sanders to aliens to psychedelic drugs to anti-mRNA vaccines. Joe Rogan is also an excellent interviewer because he asks questions without an agenda.
purpleblue··on WeWork Plans to File for Bankruptcy as Early as Next Week
How does Softbank still keep standing? They keep losing on the vast majority investment they've made, and yet they haven't come up against any financial issues? I feel like Softbank going bankrupt is going to be the Black Swan that affects Silicon Valley the most.
purpleblue··on [dead]
I agree. Can we auto-flag articles from sites like this?
purpleblue··on Quadcopters can now visually track targets more effectively
I think anti-facial recognition makeup will become a lot more prevalent.
purpleblue··on Lab leak fight casts chill over virology research
There is ZERO evidence that it's zoonotic spillover. In almost 4 years they haven't found the source. There's actual hard evidence that it came from the Wuhan lab.
purpleblue··on Lab leak fight casts chill over virology research
I'm glad that things are slowing down here. Virology research is one of those things no one ever thought about, but the fact that a single careless lab was able to release a virus that killed tens of millions around the world should be a wake up call that the researchers were outpacing the regulations. The entire industry around the world has to be heavily regulated at this point to prevent this from happening again.
purpleblue··on Ask HN: Is middle management the most vulnerable/disposable in a corporation?
Yes.

Middle management is basically managers managing managers. A few levels of those could be eliminated, causing more stress for the survivors, but the workers aren't actually affected so it's a direct cost savings on the back of the surviving managers.

purpleblue··on Ask HN: How do you get out of a rut?
Spend the next year making work the least significant thing in your life.

Do a good but not great job at work, and instead focus on doing things like travel or finding a girlfriend/boyfriend if you don't have one. Work out once a day, visit friends in other cities, go on a road trip, etc.

purpleblue··on Tesla workers shared sensitive images recorded by customers' cars: Ex-employees
Elon has been constantly getting hammered by the media, social media, etc. And yet it doesn't affect Tesla at all. It actually couldn't be doing better.

Does anyone have any thoughts on how Tesla is able to escape this wrath?

purpleblue··on FTX thief cashes out millions during Bankman-Fried trial
If I had $470 million in stolen crypto, I would target to keep around 10% of that, and with the other 90%, just send them to random crypto wallets around the world. I would do that for years and years and lead the cops on expensive wild goose chases and get hundreds of thousands of people entangled, and then transfer some to me every now and then through different identities.

I don't see how this can be stopped, unless somehow they traced the execution of crypto transactions to a particular IP address and time.

purpleblue··on Archaeologists extract DNA of ancient Israelites
700,000 / 500 = 1400 half lives, or 2^(-1400).

I'll let you do the math on how much would remain if we had 1 million tons of horse DNA with a 500 year half life. I'll even let you assume we have 1 trillion tons of horse DNA.

purpleblue··on People are happier in a walkable neighborhood: the US community that banned cars
I spent a month in downtown major city this summer and I loved it. I could walk to work, walk my kids to summer camp, we all took the subway and walked sometimes back home. They loved it, and I loved it, despite being on a crowded subway or street car. Just the sheer human interaction and people watching made it so much more enjoyable than spending our time in a car isolated from the rest of the world. Yes, I wasn't accustomed to the noise and the ambulance and police sirens, but overall it was amazing and will try to do it next summer as well.
purpleblue··on Farm in Kenya to produce fossil-free fertilizer on site
When I read articles like this, I can totally understand China and India's argument as to why they won't or don't prioritize fossil fuel consumption.

The West has spent centuries modernizing itself to the point where there is a vast gap between the West and the rest of the world. Now that the West has a huge advantage, they want to start imposing moral arguments on the 3rd world nations as to why they should abide by the West's new set of moral codes, which handcuff the progress that 3rd world countries can make.

This feels like another example of where I bet it would be cheaper to do it in other ways (besides using Russian ammonia) but they decided to try the "green" way. It also feels a lot like how Monsanto tricked Indian farmers into using their seeds which required Roundup and then became indentured servants for the rest of their lives because of the financial handcuffs put on them.

So I can completely sympathize why many poorer countries can see all these environmental moral edicts as being ways to keep them oppressed and tricked into not making progress independently from the West.

purpleblue··on Archaeologists extract DNA of ancient Israelites
It's math. If the half-life was 500 years, there would be nothing left to sequence after 700,000 years.
purpleblue··on Archaeologists extract DNA of ancient Israelites
In a similar vein, scientists discovered T-Rex fossils that had bone marrow that was gellified, something that was supposed to be impossible. They could see blood cells and other structures.

I've been waiting for 10+ years for followup but haven't heard anyting about it. Does anyone have any updates to that? Were they able to dig up any other information from that discover?

purpleblue··on When does federal debt reach unsustainable levels?
According to Modern Monetary Theory, debt levels do not matter. Japan has sustained a 200% debt-to-GDP level for decades. I don't think the US has very much to worry about for a while, despite all the fearmongering.
purpleblue··on Strong static typing, a hill I'm willing to die on
It leads to fewer bugs of a certain type, but there are plenty of bugs being generated in statically typed languages in different ways.
purpleblue··on Strong static typing, a hill I'm willing to die on
I did C/C++ for the first 15 years of my career. I generally agree that strong typing is better for everyone.

But when I started working with python, I understood the beauty in it. At first I couldn't believe you could have a system running reliably that was being hit by millions of people around the world, but then that's when I fully appreciated the power of automated testing. I came from an enterprise shrinkwrap environment with 1.5 hr dev cycles, so you can forgive me for not understanding CD/CI at that point.

Yes, you can't detect when changes could cause bugs, but that's where testing comes in. Where I worked, we had to have complete code coverage so that every line of code was tested, and we needed to have a very strong automated testing. Using that method of testing, it made it a lot more predictable.

Sure, bugs can leak through, but having worked in C/C++ for so long, I can assure you that static typing only fixes a certain number of bugs, there are plenty more sources of bugs that just types.

So for the record, I like static typing and generally agree with using it, but I also see the beauty and simplicity in dynamic typing like Python and it's not complete chaos and there are ways to mitigate it.

purpleblue··on PFAS Forever Chemicals Present in Some Plastic Recyclable Bottles
I feel like the real environmental problem we have is chemical pollution we are generating throughout the world, and I feel like these companies are diverting people's attentions with carbon and global warming. Yes, that is a problem but I feel like the chemical pollution in our waters and in our food supply is a much more immediate issue. Yet almost no focus is done on it. It very much feels like what the sugar industry did back in the 1960s to divert attention away from sugar and onto fats, which lead to decades of wrong advice and bad food habits.
purpleblue··on Cat found after Lyft fiasco dragged on for days, Lyft to pay vet bills
> That last few Lyfts I have ridden in had drivers that didn't 100% understand the English language. It's very possible they mistook the banging action as something other than "Hey, stop! I've left something in the car."

This is a horribly racist remark, basically saying that people from other countries are imbeciles with no understanding of basic human behavior. They can't speak English, but doesn't mean they have an intellectual disability and too stupid to understand what "hey stop" means.

purpleblue··on Cat found after Lyft fiasco dragged on for days, Lyft to pay vet bills
WTF is wrong with that driver? How could he be so uncaring like that? All it would take is a drive back with the cat, he must have knowingly just dumped it somewhere and drove off. He should definitely get removed from the platform for that.
purpleblue··on Return to Office Is Bullshit and Everyone Knows It
I really enjoy being in the office for so many reasons. The irony is that my job is remote in the sense that my team is in another city, and I only show up to the office because I want to be around people, get free lunch, etc. Previous to this I worked at a "remote-first" company, and despite being focused on remote work, I was never so unproductive because I spent most of my time waiting to connect with other people.

However, I understand why many people do like WFH. I don't understand why this isn't a conversation between the employee and her direct manager? If the direct manager can point to problems with being WFH then I can understand forcing RTO. But if the employee is verifiably productive with good performance ratings, why should she be forced to return to the office?

And this recursively applies all the way up the chain. If a director sees that a manager is falling behind in productivity, then she can drill down on the manager's performance and the performance of the team. But if performance reviews are good, why dictate that someone should be in the office? It's pretty stupid.

purpleblue··on Drinking diet sodas daily during pregnancy linked to autism in male offspring
Soda and diet soda usage has curtailed over the last 10 years, but autism rates have still grown. I think even using broad brushstrokes it doesn't seem likely there's a strong link here.
purpleblue··on Drinking diet sodas daily during pregnancy linked to autism in male offspring
Stevia has been used in Japan for decades, since the 1970s.
purpleblue··on RabbitMQ vs. Kafka – An Architect’s Dilemma (Part 1)
If someone is asking if they should decide between RabbitMQ vs Kafka, they should 100% use RabbitMQ. It means they have no idea what they're dealing with, the architectural differences, and the investment that the company needs in order to use Kafka.

So use RabbitMQ.

purpleblue··on The truth about nitro-meats: my seven-year search for better bacon
It's using celery juice which has nitrates in it.
purpleblue··on I built Excel for Uber and they ditched it
1) This was the type of effort and level of coding that I saw when I was Uber during its heyday. I love it and I miss it every day.

2) You stole Box code, used it at Uber, and then stole Uber code and posted it on github. I understand no one's using the code or missing that code, but you really did steal that code. It belongs to the company, not to you. I would be careful not to do that in the future, because technically that's a trade secret and people have gone to jail over that, like that programmer at Goldman Sachs (wrongfully) and ironically Levandowski who took Google code and tried to use it at Uber.

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