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plank_time

1,112 karma · joined March 8, 2021

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plank_time··on Bay Area cities want to end single-family home zoning
People are stupid if they think this will fix things.

I went to the peninsula looking at houses and the new trend is to add ADUs as part of the house or in the back.

You know why?

To help the owners pay off their $3M houses they used to be $1M 8 years ago. This then figures into the calculus of how much you can afford to buy a house for. What is an unaffordable $8000/month mortgage now becomes $6000/month. So people keep bidding higher and higher.

People in the Bay Area don’t realize that every little thing that keeps costs low gets funneled back into house prices. Interest on mortgage is tax deductible? Oh that means I can afford more house. The public schools are good? That saves me $3000/month so I can funnel that into the mortgage. Commute is shorter by 20 mins? That means $200/month extra I can spend on the house.

There is no answer except for rich employers like Google and Facebook to spread out their headquarters across the world. Too many rich engineers with their stock going up 10-20x is what is fueling the housing crunch. Or create entire new cities along 280 where there is plenty of space. Invest in new cities, not try to cram more people in the same small area.

plank_time··on HHS announces rule to protect consumers from surprise medical bills
This is jaw dropping. How is this legal at all?

It sounds like a good startup. Do background checks on homeless people, see if they have any living relatives, and if so you can house them in a nursing home and charge the relatives.

plank_time··on Cops play music during filmed encounters to game YouTube's copyright striking
No. They don’t own the copyright of the song. That’s why it’s getting tagged by the algorithms.
plank_time··on Cops play music during filmed encounters to game YouTube's copyright striking
Put a very hard filter around the vocal range of sound, hopefully that would be enough to distort the music so that the algorithms can’t identify it.
plank_time··on Two Portland delivery companies revolt against Amazon, shut down
The goal is to pay people high at the beginning, get them hooked on the pay, and then squeeze them by lowering pay and they have no choice because Amazon is a monopoly on their services.

Have people not figured this out yet?

That’s how they get you and transfer all the costs out of their hands. I’m surprised there isn’t more of an outrage over this.

plank_time··on HHS announces rule to protect consumers from surprise medical bills
Do the children have to pay off the bills of the parent? That doesn’t seem reasonable to me. It sounds like the best thing to do before getting too old is to transfer all your assets out so that if you die you won’t have it robbed by hospitals, etc.
plank_time··on Robinhood S-1 IPO
As a former Uber employee, I assure you they do not become more accurate. It’s all based on funding rounds etc. The stock market is a different beast altogether.
plank_time··on Robinhood S-1 IPO
409a valuation.
plank_time··on Success in reversing dementia in mice sets the stage for human clinical trials
My mother suffers from dementia and I would sign her up in a heartbeat. Worst case is it kills her, and her suffering is over. Best case it cures her and her suffering is over.

Dementia is the cruelest disease, more so than others like cancer.

plank_time··on China releases videos of its Zhurong Mars rover
Composition of the atmosphere and knowing what frequencies of light make it all the way to the ground is different. There’s so much dust in the air that it might reflect different frequencies depending on where you are. That’s why having a cheaper probe on the ground that measures this makes it a better chance of getting it right for more expensive probes. But they don’t have those initial probes.

My point is China has no probes on Mars unless they have secret ones. They can GUESS what would be best optional frequencies to tune their solar panels for but my point is that they are spending billions of dollars. Do they really want to rely on data they didn’t retrieve themselves? That seems like an odd thing to take a risk on. Better to either work together with nasa since they have the expertise. Hence I’m curious what the relationship is between China and nasa for this project and if it was an open one or if they got the data some other way.

plank_time··on China releases videos of its Zhurong Mars rover
Does the Martian atmosphere filter out certain frequencies of light? And how does it compare against the frequencies that their rover solar panel is sensitive to? Or is their atmosphere thin enough such that UV light gets through? Can they make use of that?

Lots of questions just about their solar panels and what would be the most effective chemicals to make their solar panels out of to maximize their output.

They have no probes previously on the surface of Mars. How would they know how to make their solar panels to be the most efficient without data? Did they just guess? Did NASA share that information? Or is that secret information that NASA kept quiet and Chinese spies stole that information?

All three possibilities could have occurred but I really doubt that China would just guess and then spend billions of dollars to send a probe without knowing if it would work.

plank_time··on YouTube reinstates Right Wing Watch
YouTube is a monopoly and needs to be regulated. Period. End of story. They dominate online video and too many people are dependent on them and because of their monopoly position, they can do whatever they want without accountability.

If they had competition, they would not be able to get away with having no customer support. The fact their customer support (which any other company like theirs would have) is practically non-existent is proof that they are using their monopoly position to the detriment of their customers who have no choice but to use them. It’s the same as them raising their prices. Except what they do instead is instead of explicitly raising prices, they cut services so that they are themselves more and more profitable. This is a direct result of their monopoly.

YouTube and other Google properties needs to be regulated by the government. They need to reinstate competent customer support and have a viable appeal system that isn’t a black hole. They need to be explicit with what constitutes a strike or a violation, and they need to be more effective in combatting fraudulent notices of copyright violation.

plank_time··on China releases videos of its Zhurong Mars rover
Of course it’s different. You need to know how to make solar panels so that it will work on Mars. It’s different than those you would need for the moon. It would have to work through the dust storms.

The equipment would need to be rated differently. How the signal is sent from the rover to the orbiter would be different, etc. There’s a lot of knowledge that you would need to build up about Mars and having probes on Mars and the logistics of sending data to and from Earth via orbiter that you would need before jumping all the way to sending a large expensive rover to Mars.

That’s interesting about NASA not being allowed to share data. I really wonder how China was able to leap to sending a rover without lots of investment in understanding everything else about it.

plank_time··on China releases videos of its Zhurong Mars rover
How did China know how to make their rover without sending a bunch of probes onto Mars? Did NASA share its data and info with China so that they knew what specs to make the solar panels, etc?
plank_time··on Sriracha hit revenue of $150M a year with no sales team or ad spend
20x revenues? It’s not growing 100% YoY, so there’s no way it’s even 10x revenues.
plank_time··on Sriracha hit revenue of $150M a year with no sales team or ad spend
That’s if you’re happy with only 150M/yr. Thats not going to make a regular VC satisfied.
plank_time··on Citing a serious flight test incident, FAA slows Boeing 777X certification
If it’s just pilots and peons in the plane during the test flights, it will only be about saving money.

They need to put an executive in every one of the test flights until it is fully certified. I assure you it will be the safest plane you will ever fly.

plank_time··on Crazy Conclusions in Early Childhood
He doesn’t. He remembers his mom telling him about the incident and it has morphed into him thinking he remembers it.

My kid swears he remembers this one incident that my wife and I joke about, but what he remembers is the video of it. You physically don’t have the brain cells for long term memories until around age 5 which is why most childhood memories start around there.

plank_time··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
Nope. You are confidently wrong again.

Early diagnosis means new ways of treating cancers like liver and pancreatic. You don’t seem to understand this. Right now there is practically no treatments for either because it’s detected so late. Maybe after 20 years of early diagnosis we can treat pancreatic cancer the same way we do others.

Let me guess. You were telling people in early 2020 that N95 masks don’t work.

plank_time··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
Do you think that technology doesn’t improve over time? You are suffering from a fixed mindset, where you think people or technology is as good as it gets now and never improve.

You should read up more on growth mindsets. People and technology aren’t fixed. They change and improve over time.

If people had your attitude about AIDS we would have let all AIDS patients die because “oh well nothing we can do.”

Luckily those with growth mindsets and optimism didn’t listen to people like you and now AIDS patients take a single pill a day.

The same could happen with cancer to, but not if people like you are in charge.

plank_time··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
Exactly. Also my sincerest condolences to you and your family.

The level of arrogance in these responses parroting what they’ve read in a paragraph online approaches that with what we saw early in the pandemic with masks.

“Masks don’t work! Fauci said so!” And the level of confidence they said it was shocking along with the self-righteousness.

Yes, maybe people can’t put on N95 masks properly... but maybe we can teach them? Is that so mind blowing? We teach people how to wash hands for 20 seconds, is it not so hard to believe you can’t teach people to wear masks properly? Maybe make masks that are easier to put on?

It’s sad how people with no vision are Karen’ing people to not think ahead or think of the future. It’s scary that it’s happening on hacker news.

plank_time··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
We don’t give colonoscopies to 20 years olds because it’s an expensive, invasive test with a low rate of cancer. We don’t give mammograms to under 40 year olds these days because the same and it’s notoriously inaccurate.

We give blood glucose level tests and cholesterol tests to everyone every year at the physical because they are cheap and easy to administer. Even though the effects of both may take decades to have any effect and have no correlation to ultimate death. It’s about trade off of cost and convenience.

If you detect pancreatic or colon cancer in a 20 year old patient via $1 blood test, that is immediately actionable. Cancer is ALWAYS actionable unless you’re talking about prostrate which grows slowly. But even in a 20 year old, you would want to treat that but maybe not a 70 year old.

And we’ve never had the ability to detect stage 1 cancer of the deadliest types of cancer. Imagine the new treatments that might save lives if we could.

Honestly, the number of people here who think they know better and citing unrelated research is bordering on anti-maskers parroting the surgeon general saying masks don’t work when they do.

plank_time··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
It’s pretty easy. If blood test says “liver cancer positive. Colon cancer negative.” you check the liver for cancer. No need to check the colon for cancer. No need to scan the entire body for lumps.
plank_time··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
That’s what scientific studies will produce. They won’t need your particular blood for that. You as an individual only care if you have cancer at the time of the blood test.
plank_time··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
Utterly wrong. You are conflating current technology like MRIs and CT scans that only detect lumps, to blood tests that detect CANCER.

Yes, if every lump were treated and excised then it would be problematic. But CANCER is different. The only cancer that you might be able to leave alone is prostate because it grows so slowly. Everything else is a risk.

And if we can treat cancer at early stage 1, then maybe people won’t be as afraid of it because it has such a high rate of cure. We don’t know that until we do it.

plank_time··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
Why wait until 2023 for a larger study? This is a game changing technology that should be pursued like the COVID vaccine. We should be dumping billions into this across the globe to improve its accuracy and drive costs down.
plank_time··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
Again, absolutely absurd. Many cancers have no symptoms until it’s too late. Do you even understand this? At that point the choices for treatment are extremely limited.

Even breast cancer needs x-rays to detect lumps, not detect cancer. You need a subsequent biopsy to differentiate. That’s our technology right now. If we had a blood test to detect cancer, not lumps, it’s game changing.

Maybe after a generation of early detection, new outcomes will emerge if we can detect the most deadly cancers early. You’re taking old studies and applying them to new technologies and saying “it won’t work.” It’s ridiculous that you are doing this.

plank_time··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
The utter confidence with how you answer all these comments while being completely wrong is sickening. It really shows a lack of vision but you wield your confidence like an expert but you’re not and only displaying the Dunning-Kruger to a t.

Early detection these days consists of things like CT scans which can’t tell the difference between cancerous tumors and benign tumors. I have a friend with a mass near her liver but they didn’t detect it until quite large. She asked what she should do and their answer was “well if it was liver cancer you would be dead by now, so it must be benign.”

This is the state of detection that you think is such a utopia, that we shouldn’t bother trying to improve, because you are so confident with your answers but you literally have no idea how wrong you are.

Having an accurate blood test that can differentiate a cancerous tumor from benign is ground breaking. Early detection of cancers like pancreatic or liver cancer detection is virtually impossibly today until it’s too late is groundbreaking. It could lead to new treatments that work when the cancer is small vs when it’s too big to operate.

You’re taking studies done using very obtuse, inaccurate and costly detection like MRIs and CT-Scans and conflating them with new technologies. It’s backwards, old thinking and trying to pooh-pooh new ideas and technologies because of poor understanding on your part. It had no place here among people with vision and hope for the future.

plank_time··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
There is no early detection for pancreatic cancer. So we don’t know what we can do yet. Right now by the time we detect it, we are dead.

An entire generation of early detection might create new methods to treat it. We don’t know what we don’t know.

plank_time··on Blood test that finds 50 types of cancer is accurate enough to be rolled out
This is an absolutely absurd thing to say.

“We’ve never had blood tests that detect pancreatic cancer early, therefore we should never use them because when we used other means to try to detect early, it didn’t lead to better outcomes.”

If you can detect colon, kidney pancreatic or liver cancer early, you might be able to do surgery or develop treatments at the stage 1 stage. Right now we don’t have anything except MRIs and CT scans that are too hard and expensive to do frequently. And if you are diagnose with pancreatic cancer it’s usually so late that you will basically die in weeks.

You’re basically saying “give up. Even if we detect early you all die anyway” which is frankly stupid. You’re discounting the possibility that early detection by means of a blood test adds whole new layers of possibilities to fight those particularly dangerous cancers.

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