194 karma · joined March 20, 2011
Also in my experience it has been a waste of time to think about scaling. Big companies do not simply look at your website and tell the lackey engineer to integrate your product into their production product and pray for it to work. There are going to be many phases of adoption which your ability to scale will be tested.
Scaling is a nice problem to have, worry about making something people want first.
I don't hate MongoDB but I think it is overhyped. The fact that 10gen raised 42m is crazy. I would be surprised if those investors got any return greater than the money they invested.
The same thing is true with pricing a product: it's very difficult to raise prices, while it's very easy to lower them.
"The technology of the future will always be the technology of the future."
Just like cold fusion has been 5 years out for a long time. I know that is cynical, but the truth is flash keeps scaling and the new technologies are not cost effective compared with silicon flash.
evolution > revolution
The second link did a good job of summarizing the technologies that existing companies are pursuing. Most of these companies would like to have a two terminal element (resistor) over a three terminal element (transistor) if they could. It requires less space. When one of them finds a way to make it cheaper than flash you will see it on the market.
"As with many other ground-breaking technologies being developed at HP Labs, HP has not yet committed to a specific product roadmap for memristor-based products,"
Let me also say that I worked in the non-volatile memory business for seven years. Any organization that can scale better than its competitors will do so, unless they don't like making money. End of story. If HP and Hynix are not ramping to high volume, it's because they are not ready, not some stupid conspiracy theory that they want to stagnate the development of cloud-buzzword "technology".
This just means that it's easy to get something working in a lab but it's hard to make a product that you can mass produce. In non-voitile memory a flash replacement is always 2 years out, just like cold fusion is always 10 years out.