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paulpauper

51,782 karma · joined April 18, 2015

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paulpauper··on People hooked on vapes try a new way to quit: cigarettes
no kidding . ppl have been trying to look for cig alternatives forever. If vaping worked as well, it would be everywhere. It's still a small niche.
paulpauper··on People hooked on vapes try a new way to quit: cigarettes
i remember a long time ago seeing the ads on TV with the turtle...the listed side effects were half the ad.
paulpauper··on People hooked on vapes try a new way to quit: cigarettes
How cool is COPD and lung cancer? Vaping at least does not kill you
paulpauper··on People hooked on vapes try a new way to quit: cigarettes
That said, the patches are great for focus and anxiety when used in low doses in moderation

There is almost no good evidence of this. Effect sizes are tiny, if any. Just placebo and anecdotal. The effect is so small it's not even worth it from

paulpauper··on People hooked on vapes try a new way to quit: cigarettes
Smoking was so huge in Britain. People think smoking was big in America, but the UK it's like a culture in and of itself
paulpauper··on People hooked on vapes try a new way to quit: cigarettes
had one lung removed, and the other was probably close to worthless from smoking
paulpauper··on People hooked on vapes try a new way to quit: cigarettes
That is crazy. How long did they live? It would be fascinating if someone could live a long life despite smoking so much
paulpauper··on People hooked on vapes try a new way to quit: cigarettes
It's just lighting and inhaling. It does not take any extra time
paulpauper··on People hooked on vapes try a new way to quit: cigarettes
yeah it's annoying when people overstate the efficacy of patches. if patches worked as well as cigs, everyone would just buy patches instead (huge market here..don't steal my idea).
paulpauper··on Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters
they fixed it . need better paywall bypasses
paulpauper··on Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters
I think also a lot of it is intuition.
paulpauper··on Nvidia is the central bank of AI
yeah except Ai companies have actual earnings and customers
paulpauper··on Nvidia is the central bank of AI
"Uh, that’s a pretty load-bearing as long as its cash flows continue. The two things are surely correlated."

Ppl have made the prediction of it being a bubble or unsustainable since 2022. At this point, it's hard to say these people have credibility anymore. Ai is big enough, much like Google in 2005 or Facebook/Social Network in 2010 or apps in 2015, that it's an institution unto itself. It's not going to just crash as so many are expecting and have been wrong the past 4 years about.

paulpauper··on The Education of a Doomer
I’ve never had this worry. When I was funemployed last year, I spent my time reading books and writing code and hanging out with friends. If the future is an infinite UBI-funded vacation, I know what I’ll do. “Before the Singularity, read books and throw house parties; after the singularity, etc.”

yeah it's obvious the author has a really high IQ who can keep himself busy with intellectual pursuits and a nice social life of other smart people . His experience will not map to the general population, who find themselves with idle time. Also, a barebones UBI will be hardly sufficient to cover other expenses unless the AI also solves housing, healthcare, insurance, childcare, transportation etc.

paulpauper··on Your intellectual fly is open (2025)
People, such as the author, who are smart and competent--be it writing, math ,coding etc.--I think systematically underestimate the difficulty of said task for a general population. Things they take for granted, such as writing well, are surprisingly difficult for large proportion of the general population
paulpauper··on Formalizing Fermat's Last Theorem
Yeah, "major conjecture proved" with unlimited token budget bankrolled by trillion dollar firm.
paulpauper··on Actively exploited sandbox RCE in all Chromium versions
chrome has more bugs, not necessarily because it's less secure, but its popularity makes it a bigger target, so more bugs are found
paulpauper··on Actively exploited sandbox RCE in all Chromium versions
The CVE associated with it (CVE-2026-85046) is already being exploited in the wild. If we put our thinking caps on, how much do you think this vulnerability is actually worth? How much do you think an organization like Google would spend on, for example, AI tokens or compute to detect this internally before it was found and exploited in the wild?

in the darkweb, due to crypto, a lot. there is where the $ is, whether it's stealing crypto directly or phishing developers.

paulpauper··on The asteroid currently hitting front end web development
Being a programmer in the era of AI now means configuring the AI and run environments to produce the sought result, than manipulating the code itself. It's like how C runs on top of assembly.
paulpauper··on Rich Dad Poor Dad author shocks fans with $1.2B debt
this is misleading. it's debt like a mortgage, not as in that he is literally broke.
paulpauper··on Google avoids a breakup of its ad tech business
what shocker . google has a long history of prevailing in court
paulpauper··on No country for mediocre mathematicians
So there is no getting around the fact that someone has to verify something. my point still stands.
paulpauper··on ArXiv has almost 600 submissions today and most are AI slop
just because it was produced with the help of Ai does not mean it's slop. Slop means it's also wrong. The math may very well be interesting and correct.
paulpauper··on No country for mediocre mathematicians
mathematicians or physicists fall into this category of knowing a lot about many thing . Sabine videos for example . she knows everything it seems
paulpauper··on No country for mediocre mathematicians
Whenever there is a breaking AI-generated proof, it's the job of actual leading mathematicians to formalize/check it . Laypeople are not checking or writing these AI-assisted proofs. Even when Lean is used, it's mathematicians writing these proofs and checking if the formalization was done right. Terrance Tao's career trajectory has reached new highs due to AI. He's more relevant than ever. This is the exact opposite of Ai making mathematicians obsolete.
paulpauper··on No country for mediocre mathematicians
A PhD in Arithmetic Geometry and a publication in a top tier journal is hardly mediocre in and of itself, as far the author is concerned. The equivalent for a software engineer is probably a leading AI engineer, with a strong publication count. I think a lot of people who are not mediocre are unaware of what mediocrity actually is. Yeah if you're only in the top .1% and comparing yourself to the literal best in the world, you will feel mediocre in that sense . A mid mathematician maybe publication in worse journals, teaching community college.
paulpauper··on Mark Zuckerberg's Social Reckoning
Meta stock is up $400 since 2016-2018, when "teen mental health" first became a concern. It's clear that META has boomed since then. Fines have amounted to little more than a cost of doing business. Stern words amount to no more than empty threats.
paulpauper··on Mark Zuckerberg's Social Reckoning
META makes so much money that this is immaterial. It's insane how profitable this company is
paulpauper··on The turbulent AI era is here
nothing will happen. the '20s and '30s were much worse compared to today and nothing happened. Americans are much more complacent now than even then. People aspire to get rich, like on TikTok and "hustle culture," not to hang the rich.
paulpauper··on The turbulent AI era is here
his article went hugely viral and is being discussed. I would say by that metric it was a success.
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