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pasquinelli

2,672 karma · joined April 2, 2013

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pasquinelli··on When oil prices spike, where does the money go?
> Rich is just a word that is over-used to push political agendas. It is a relative term. I am rich compared to a huge segment of the world's population. I am poor compared to the top .1% of people.

i agree. "capitalist" is the word for what people really mean when they talk about "the rich"

pasquinelli··on When oil prices spike, where does the money go?
the large in the "owning a large amount of..." is relative. you could think you're rich and i could think you're poor, or i could think you're rich and you could think you're poor.
pasquinelli··on When oil prices spike, where does the money go?
are you sure you understand what rich is?
pasquinelli··on The Hierarchy of Money
doesn't that mean you spend time reading the summary of articles you wouldn't have read on your own, and thus it wastes time?
pasquinelli··on CCC invites all model citizens to 40C3
> Bay area but the guess "small negative experience" - the idea of we are going around experiencing things and our life is a product of these experiences we consume and interpersonal politics - that's very california "the personal is the political" or that it's some how a consumption experience we "have" and who we "are" is coloured by these "experiences" etc (a fish in the water "what is water?")

you might be giving them another small negative experience. you've certainly given me one.

pasquinelli··on Suspected sabotage causes major Netherlands rail disruption
that's a huge leap
pasquinelli··on Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
my reflex was to think that sounds like a lie israel would tell to get trump to go to war with iran, but i realize my reflexes aren't always right, so i looked it up and it turns out, yes, it's obviously an israeli lie and the only reason you'd believe it is because you really want to.
pasquinelli··on Houthis 'take control' of key island in global shipping route
no, it is just trump. netanyahu's been pushing for this for decades, but prior presidents just didn't let themselves be pushed.

as for iran, they've been the picture of restraint since trump's first term.

pasquinelli··on Cherenkov Radiation
> the passive aggressiveness is coming from you.

could you explain this? the comment you're replying to, how is it passive-aggressive? seems more regular-aggressive to me.

pasquinelli··on Anthropic researcher believes more than 10% chance AI 'could kill all humans'
you're being extremely generous.
pasquinelli··on Pentagon rescinds new testosterone screening policy without explanation
> You're arguing against something that's been known for decades

oh, no i'm not. *you're* telling me what i'm saying because you don't have the attention span to read, but have unlimited patience for hearing yourself talk.

pasquinelli··on Pentagon rescinds new testosterone screening policy without explanation
kids also grow taller which doesn't happen when you take t, so i guess your thought experiment is pretty stupid, actually.
pasquinelli··on What will our economic future look like?
> Lower staffing levels per unit of care performed makes medical care cheaper for patients.

yeah yeah, sure sure

pasquinelli··on Anthropic researcher believes more than 10% chance AI 'could kill all humans'
> As a pretty avid Star Trek watcher from childhood, I found most of the things there technologically plausible other than the conversational nature of the ship's computer.

so the faster-than-light travel seemed plausible?

pasquinelli··on Pentagon rescinds new testosterone screening policy without explanation
what if your baseline was not so much training? i assume it works by improving recovery, if not someone will need to explain what it's supposed to do to make you stronger. so, given that, your anrcdote indicates you were overtraining before t, and t reduced your recover times so that you were no longer overtraining.

but if you're working well within your ability to recover and you add t and change nothing else, how do you get stronger?

pasquinelli··on Top Pentagon Official Contracted Personal Lawyer to Handle Minerals Deal
> Short of rewriting the constitution, that just isn't going to happen

then a new constitution it is!

pasquinelli··on Any Human Ever – One life, drawn at random from all who have ever lived
apple season is fall, if you're wondering.

him eating apples when in season seemed to me at first like an anachronism, but actually, i do that. years ago i got fed up with apples that were whatever, so i decided to only have apples when i could find mcintosh (my favorite apple), and eat loads of them.

pasquinelli··on Fish Bad, Sugar Good and Other Medieval Ideas About Food
i've pickled by accident before. first time it happens by accident and you're brave enough to try it and you're fine, it becomes something you'll try with anything.
pasquinelli··on Marx, Keynes, and AI
> Rational means you take the choice that provides the most value for yourself.

provides the most value over what period of time?

making every choice such that each choice, considered in isolation and unto itself, nets you the most value compared to what other choices would've gotten you at that same moment is analogous to best-first search. no one would say that best-first is the rational way to search for a path in a graph, because of all the ways it fails. so my question is, if there's one of those tragedy-of-the-commons situations that happens all the time, why do we insist on saying the participants are acting rationally when they are, metaphorically, walking into a wall forever?

pasquinelli··on Marx, Keynes, and AI
> It's rational at the individual level, irrational at the group level.

no, it's irrational at the individual level too, because it will cause more harm than good to the individual firms. it's in the short-term that the cost savings are had; the demand destruction is long-term and outweighs the cost savings.

that's what the abstract says. the only issue i have is insisting on calling that rational. it's like saying eating all the seed corn is rational if you can eat most of it yourself. in the moment you're winning, so it's rational. but tomorrow everyone has none. why do we call that rational?

why do we torture the word rational rather than phrase it as competitors are in some ways incapable of acting rationally?

pasquinelli··on Marx, Keynes, and AI
> In order for this statement to be true, you must also have perfect knowledge: something that is unachievable in most circumstances.

if the optimal situation requires perfect knowledge that can't be had then it's not the optimal situation, it's a fantasy. it's like saying the fastest route through a maze is a straight line from the start to the finish-- that would be true if the maze wasn't there.

there are two ends to what i'm arguing but people seem to only be able to hold one in their mind at a time.

pasquinelli··on Marx, Keynes, and AI
then it isn't possible in that situation to limit ai deployment, so limiting ai deployment can't be optimal because it's impossible.
pasquinelli··on Marx, Keynes, and AI
i'm sure it's meant in some kind of technical sense that is precisely defined in the field of economics, but this use of the word "rational" is irritating:

> This demand externality traps rational firms in an automation arms race, displacing workers well beyond what is collectively optimal.

you can't be trapped in a sub-optimal situation and be rational at the same time. the rational thing for these rational competitors to do would be to agree to slow their deployment of ai, because the cost savings will be more than lost to demand destruction down the line. so if they won't or can't do that, they aren't rational. on the flip side, if it is actually impossible to slow ai deployment, then the firms are rational and the situation they find themselves in isn't actually sub-optimal.

it's irritating to me because i often see persuit of self-interest even to one's eventual detriment held up as "rationality", which may be true in some technical sense within the field of economics (i really couldn't say), but is certainly not true for, like, actual rationality. myopic selfishness is never rational.

pasquinelli··on Highest-ever ocean temperature measured as powerful El Niño forms
i've lived in rural texas close to the border, and nothing was happening there except an immigration detention facility.
pasquinelli··on Humanity has the debate about AI consciousness backwards
if you're interested it's called panpsychism, the idea that consciousness is a fundemental trait of the universe. it's an idea a little like solipsism, in that people have a reflex against it, but it's pretty hard to make a case against it any stronger than "come on man don't be stupid."
pasquinelli··on Humanity has the debate about AI consciousness backwards
maybe a teddy bear does have consciousness too, in the same way you do.
pasquinelli··on Iranian hackers shut down UK power plant for 4 days
in the case of iran, it's hard to imagine it wouldn't be in retaliation for the infrastructure in iran that america has destroyed, so a cold war on one side, a hot war on the other.
pasquinelli··on Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter
it's like being in a traffic jam and complaining about the aircraft carrier on the road ahead of you.
pasquinelli··on Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter
https://www.ucs.org/resources/us-military-and-oil

that article links to the dod's own reporting.

pasquinelli··on Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter
individual people don't matter, they're peanuts. otoh the single biggest consumer of fossil fuels is the US DOD. and why is that, really?
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