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pandeiro

303 karma · joined January 15, 2011

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pandeiro··on I wasted years of my life in crypto
Use it all the time. Occasional hiccups.
pandeiro··on Evolving OpenAI's Structure
Vulture Capitalists, obviously
pandeiro··on We're forking Flutter
There's no hot reload in Android (kotlin) dev? Wow
pandeiro··on OpenAI Threatening to Ban Users for Asking Strawberry About Its Reasoning
Get out of this thread and never come back.
pandeiro··on Programming with ChatGPT
I'm using Meta-Llama-3-8B-Instruct.

BTW it's a great project and I see it's gotten massive adoption on Github, with plenty of Issues to follow. Curse of success!

Thanks again.

EDIT: Created an Issue for it, probably a more appropriate place to file this ;)

https://github.com/simonw/llm/issues/561

pandeiro··on Programming with ChatGPT
Your tool is really cool, thanks for making it and sharing.

I notice that a lot of times, the multi-line output I get from my prompts is truncated or the model just aborts or something. The exit code is still 0 but it seems like something went wrong.

pandeiro··on Show HN: Handwriter.ttf – Handwriting Synthesis with Harfbuzz WASM
I remember that, too, and switched to IE for the next X years
pandeiro··on OpenAI Announces SearchGPT
Can't believe unfettered greed and self-interest would ruin something like this.
pandeiro··on CDK Global cyberattack impacts US car dealerships
Another update:

https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/security/cdk-global-ou...

pandeiro··on Israel reportedly used fake social accounts to garner support from US lawmakers
Reasonable approach and I applaud your effort to maintain the site's purpose while also not ignoring these issues (that do have some relation to the tech industry, as we've seen). Thank you.
pandeiro··on The Beirut Port Explosion Forensic Investigation (2020)
One man's politically biased is another's politically astute.
pandeiro··on Journalists should be skeptical of all sources including scientists
The die hard masking advocate is your example? Wow
pandeiro··on Substack Notes Launched
Especially when they're factchecking for partisan narrative compliance
pandeiro··on Substack Notes Launched
lol just go along with it, we need to label them something, and "non-partisan" just doesn't give anyone a self-righteous dopamine hit
pandeiro··on Myocarditis after Covid vaccination: Research on possible long-term risks begins
University of California

"With this recommendation, the UC Vaccine policy now requires all staff and students to get the bivalent booster, when eligible"

[1] https://campusready.ucdavis.edu/covid-vaccination

pandeiro··on Myocarditis after Covid vaccination: Research on possible long-term risks begins
Re: 'the level of discussion'

What you posted was condescending and demonstrative of a large blindspot as to the degree of adverse event surveillance actually being carried out.

Hope that helps you achieve the tone of discussion you're aiming for, in the future.

pandeiro··on Myocarditis after Covid vaccination: Research on possible long-term risks begins
Nuts is that on the basis of the flimsiest of evidence, your ascribing an efficacy in disease prevention to an intervention (wearing masks) that was widely understood to do no such thing prior to 2020.

Furthermore, respiratory disease avoidance on a society-wide scale has never and almost certainly will never be achieved. The assumption that it is an attainable goal is truly nuts.

pandeiro··on More than 1M fewer students are in college, the lowest numbers in 50 years
Why not wait until COVID hysteria is over? Seems like the right call.
pandeiro··on Big gap between Pfizer, Moderna vaccines for preventing Covid hospitalizations
COVID IFR for your probable age group: 0.05%
pandeiro··on Big gap between Pfizer, Moderna vaccines for preventing Covid hospitalizations
Wonder of the number and frequency of these 'surprises' has anything to do with them being trialed and authorized in 3-6 months rather than the standard 6-10 years.
pandeiro··on Facebook to target harmful coordination by real accounts
Yeah how did I know the first actual concrete example would involve COVID? jfc
pandeiro··on Rogue antibodies involved in almost one-fifth of Covid deaths
Holy crap reading the replies here I'm really at a loss to imagine what an "UNSAFE and effective" vaccine would look like.

"Yeah Bob, got the flu shot yesterday and I can't hear, can't sleep, and can barely walk." WTF?

Yeah yeah yeah, downvote away.

pandeiro··on Joe Rogan, confined to Spotify, is losing influence
Not surprised this degenerated immediately into a mass ranting session about pandemic science with pretty much the entire catalog of cognitive biases and logical fallacies on display.

I guess that's interesting to some, from a sociological standpoint, but for me, there's more than enough of this on literally every other social media platform.

I'm interested in a discussion about the actual dynamic of spotify vs youtube dissemination and whether the claims made in the article are valid. Because the entire premise is backed by the "secondary metric" of how many Twitter followers a guest's account grew by -- this seems pretty ripe for confounding variables, like the appeal of the guest, auxiliary appearances elsewhere, the news cycle at the time overlapping with the guest's subject matter, and other things.

Curious what others think of this.

pandeiro··on Joe Rogan, confined to Spotify, is losing influence
The State is always benevolent and we should always believe and do everything they say. End of story.
pandeiro··on A New Antibody-Dependent Enhancement Hypothesis
You "literally have evidence" that what doesn't happen in humans, ADE in general? Seems pretty easy to disprove; there's a lot of research based on the phenomenon, eg:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7211844/

If you're talking about ADE with COVID specifically, I agree there's no evidence, but there's the obvious principle that absence of evidence doesn't equate to "evidence this doesn't happen", which, if you have it, please link?

Side-note: definitely helps your argument to throw around the term "anti-vaxxers", though. You could probably just remove all the other words in your comment and keep just that, to the same dog-whistling effect?

pandeiro··on Newsom Misled Public About Wildfire Prevention Effort Ahead of Worst Fire Season
Not a dumb question at all. Not a domain expert but an enthusiast so I'll take a crack at an answer:

Maximal fire suppression strategies have been the most prevalent approach to avoiding property damage and loss of life caused by forest fires for most of the past century, despite the known harm to ecological systems that rely on periodic burning, because nature is difficult to control/predict and prescribed burns (an alternative or supplemental approach) are time and labor intensive.

pandeiro··on If you sell a house these days, the buyer might be a pension fund
So you're saying 'net net', you think the COVID mortality is undercounted? If I had to bet something valuable, I'd take the other side. That's just what seems most probable to me, based on the evidence I cited.

Another plausible explanation to excess mortality differences is that lockdowns and other measures caused people to engage in behaviors that increased mortality, from putting off necessary medical visits to exacerbated mental health due to social isolation or financial stress.

pandeiro··on If you sell a house these days, the buyer might be a pension fund
Personally my guess is that COVID was, yes, responsible for the vast majority of those deaths.

But I also do think that those cases of overcounting are very likely NOT the only, isolated ones. The dynamics exposed (how hospitalizations were counted, the basic 'with' vs 'of' question), almost certainly apply more broadly.

So, apologies for attempting nuance, but I think COVID can at once be a) a massive pandemic (and tragic for millions), while also being b) somewhat overblown due to unrigorous metrics that in turn feed more sensationalism than otherwise warranted.

pandeiro··on If you sell a house these days, the buyer might be a pension fund
Aside from the distraction of the author's nuttery, the issue is probably the most salient one for the American middle class over the next century.

Either very strong measures are imposed to limit / de-incentivize real estate speculation and hoarding, or the vast, vast majority of the population is entirely excluded from any kind of property ownership.

And while simplistic 'conspiracy' thinking definitely is of a much lower value than rigorous analysis, there is IMO merit to at least acknowledging that the politically powerful class might overlap substantially with the rentier (property ownership) class and thus resist any such reform taking place. It shouldn't be out of bounds to speculate on the motives of powerful actors, even if it is obviously not the same as making evidence-based claims.

pandeiro··on If you sell a house these days, the buyer might be a pension fund
Agreed, I use euromomo to look at total mortality across Europe and it's difficult to deny that something was killing lots more people than usual last spring and winter (northern hemisphere).

However it can also be the case that COVID deaths (and hospitalizations as well) may be over-reported. We have recent reports that seem to be pointing strongly to this possibility.

[1]: Alameda County revising COVID deaths downward by 25% - https://oaklandside.org/2021/06/04/alameda-countys-new-covid...

[2]: Research in CA suggests COVID hospitalization in children overcounted by 40% - https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2021/05/study-number-of-kids...

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