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padobson

3,513 karma · joined March 17, 2011

Technology enthusiast from the great state of Ohio. Currently living in Detroit. Freelance developer. Christ Follower. Husband. Father.

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pat ATSYMBOL downpatproductions.com

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padobson··on Federal Reserve chair says decline in workers' share of profits 'very troubling'
I feel like unions really missed the boat on this one. Maybe I don't know union history well enough, but it seems like the UAW should have made large equity stakes in Ford, GM and Chrysler (or the equivalent historical companies) important priorities in their heyday.
padobson··on Federal Reserve chair says decline in workers' share of profits 'very troubling'
I agree with this. Every offer I've gotten from an early-stage startup was market salary and <1% equity, often when I was engineering hire 1-5. I had conversations with founders and told them that if they couldn't meet my market rate, they had to give me 3-5% of the company. They all said no, so I did to. Then I'd get my market rate from a bank or a security company or went back to contracting for multiple clients.
padobson··on The San Franciso Fire Department makes its own wooden ladders by hand
I'm not sure how many degrees of separation this knowledge is from programming, but it's got to be one of the highest values I've ever seen on HN.

Bravo.

padobson··on Gigantic study of Chinese babies yields slew of health data
I think OP is trying to say something like, "The variance between groups is less than the variance among them"
padobson··on Job-hopping increases, in possible boon to wage growth and productivity
It seems like the conclusion to draw from your perspective is that companies should have processes in place to offer regular promotions and raises.
padobson··on After the Fall: Ten Years After the Crash
Maybe, but how much overvaluation is there? $100 billion? $500 billion?

There needs to be trillions of dollars of overvaluation and a huge amount of leverage to constitute a financial crisis. I'm open to being wrong, but I don't see that here. Valuations may cut back a bit, but as you say, it's not like these companies are worth nothing, like Bear Stearns and Lehman and most other investment banks in 2008.

If there's a market correction in startups, I don't see it necessarily leading to a systemic financial crisis. More like a mild recession.

padobson··on After the Fall: Ten Years After the Crash
I'm not sure how you interpreted my comment, but I'm partially agreeing with you. "Tax the rich" never works out that way, since it's mostly people at the very bottom of the upper class paying most of the taxes.

The wealthy folks everyone gets in an uproar over don't pay any taxes, have the political power to avoid it, and even if they didn't, would be able to hire lawyers and accountants to help them avoid it. As a result, it's the people trying to claw themselves into the wealthy class that are most penalized by income taxes.

Let's go to a consumption tax with some kind of cash prebate to make sure the first $10k-$20k of spending is untaxed, and dispense with income taxes that have largely failed to do what they were designed to do.

padobson··on After the Fall: Ten Years After the Crash
Love this. I can't see a specific bubble yet. As someone in the tech industry, I'm tempted to say startups, but while the latest batch of IPOs seem underwhelming, none of them seem like out-and-out dotcom-style failures. SnapChat, Dropbox, Airbnb and their ilk seem like viable businesses to me.
padobson··on After the Fall: Ten Years After the Crash
I agree with this. Folks earning $200k-$500k are paying most of the taxes because they have little-to-no political influence, and they're easy scapegoats because most people make less than them. This is the glass ceiling of the US tax code.
padobson··on We Have Reached Peak Screen. Now Revolution Is in the Air
Think about how checking e-mails can take you completely out of context and badly dilute the quality of your work.

I agree with this completely, but the converse is also true. Sometimes you need to switch context during the day, and scanning headlines and reading emails helps me do that (I'm doing it right now!).

The best context switching strategies I've found are eating and meditation, but those aren't always feasible or socially acceptable, so browsing headlines is a good stand-in.

padobson··on How to Structure Django Projects
I couldn't agree more with your approach. If you maintain highly cohesive/loosely coupled django apps in your greenfield monolith, it's relatively trivial to switch to SOA/microservices as you scale the software with your organization.
padobson··on ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention
> Productivity and wages broke lockstep in the 70s, wage growth has lagged employment growth to an unprecedented degree since 2009

I certainly believe this on a national scale, but I've never seen these stats properly adjusted for globalization. A billion people were lifted out of poverty in the time period mentioned. It doesn't seem to me that these traditional indicators are wrong, they've just been corrected for a global marketplace.

padobson··on Supreme Court Rules Police Need Warrant to Track Your Cellphone
Yeah. It's still early for him, but describing Gorsuch as a socially conservative, civil libertarian might be accurate.
padobson··on Show HN: Why Do I Procrastinate? – Web MD for Procrastination
This is a fair criticism and may be correct, but I have to continue doing what works. I haven't found a better way to suppress procrastination yet.
padobson··on States Can Require Internet Tax Collection, Supreme Court Rules
I spend $1000/yr in effort and fees on my federal income tax return. There's nothing especially practical about letting the feds take care of things.
padobson··on Show HN: Why Do I Procrastinate? – Web MD for Procrastination
Yo Yo Ma, George Gershwin, Chuck Mangione, Weather Report
padobson··on Nintendo and Microsoft team up to promote cross-play, while Sony remains silent
I would chalk the market cap differences up to the differences in the industries. Internet search is more than 5 times the size of console gaming, and vastly more profitable.

I think a true quantitative comparison would have to account for market size, market share, age of the market, and typical industry profit margins.

A qualitative comparison might be more instructive, though. How many truly successful user experiences have been built on top of Facebook? Newsfeed, Messenger, and Ads? Maybe Farmville? On top of Google? Search, Gmail, Analytics and Ads? Less than a handful for both. Playstation, on the other hand, has had thousands of successful user experiences over a twenty year period.

Facebook, Google, and others often seem to have an adversarial relationship with their 3rd party developers. I could only imagine what types of amazing experiences we could be enjoying if they adopted the licensing model that's led Sony to dominate its industry for 20 years.

padobson··on Show HN: Why Do I Procrastinate? – Web MD for Procrastination
Self discipline definitely has a momentum effect.

My most productive days are the ones that start at 5am with a run, followed by a shower, meditation, and writing up a list of things I want to accomplish that day. Then I start working with my noise cancelling headphones and my flow-state playlist. It's very deliberate from start to finish.

My least productive days are the ones where I roll out of bed randomly, when the sun has been up for a while, and sit down at my desk still in my pajamas. HN or YouTube tend to be my first tasks of the day, and sometimes I don't get to any others. These types of days seem to be something that's happening to me, rather than something I'm choosing.

I struggle with depression, and I find the second kind of day is a feedback loop of anxiety and procrastination. The first kind of day is a virtuous cycle of productivity and serenity.

That 5am alarm is the best way I know to set the whole thing in motion.

padobson··on Nintendo and Microsoft team up to promote cross-play, while Sony remains silent
I don't think it's out of line to say Sony understands the platform business better than anyone. And I'm not just talking about console makers, I'm talking about all platforms: iOS, Android, Steam, Facebook, Twitter, etc etc etc.

Sony's first goal every generation since the PSOne has been winning game developers to their side. Game devs like large user bases, but that's only one aspect of why a developer picks a console. Sony's primary focus every generation is to get everything else right: development tools, hardware storage and performance, consistent controller design, software medium, and so on. They've had some misfires here and there (the Cell processor comes to mind), but they typically outperform their competition in all of these categories.

I think it's because Sony knows their customer isn't the gamer, it's the game developer. The game developer's customer is the gamer. Again, user base numbers attract developers, but Sony recognizes that user bases are driven by developer support. It's definitely reciprocal, but Sony's dominance comes from understanding that catering to the developer is paramount. That's why they've consistently created an environment that breeds killer apps. I can't think of another platform maker in the last 20+ years who's been better.

So after 20 years of building up that kind of leverage with developers, it doesn't make much sense to just give part of it away until game developers make it clear they need it.

padobson··on Why China doesn’t dominate soccer
So if you look at a distribution of folks possessing the attributes required of a footballer, you can be fairly competitive amongst the general population with one or two, but the long tail of elite players requires all seven of the attributes you mention.

you'll be better than most players up to probably a US division 3 college level

If you really love the game, this sounds like a fairly satisfying career peak. A reasonably healthy player should take comfort in knowing it's achievable through effort alone.

padobson··on The Divorce Surge Is Over, but the Myth Lives On (2014)
For those interested, there seems to be some discussion of Cihuacalli in Law and the Transformation of Aztec Culture: https://books.google.com/books?id=NdB-XuZ4VPEC&lpg=PA139&ots...
padobson··on The Divorce Surge Is Over, but the Myth Lives On (2014)
You make a good point. OP's point more serves as a scalable approach to reproduction and child rearing rather than sexuality. With widespread birth control available, sexuality doesn't have to overlap as much.
padobson··on Domino's Pizza unveils U.S. infrastructure project filling potholes
federalism will always result in top heavy administrations, where fewer and fewer people have more and more power over the whole country

You could say that about any form of government. I think it's human nature to want a single dictator, so the governed seem to eventually give their consent to one.

padobson··on Toys ‘R’ Us Didn’t Have to Die
Do you have any links to the places already doing it? I'd like to know more about them.
padobson··on Domino's Pizza unveils U.S. infrastructure project filling potholes
I like the leadership of Domino's here. As logistics focus more on the home as the final destination, companies like Amazon, FedEx, Uber, or even Postmates are going to have to look at infrastructure conditions as a threat to their business.

Rather than lobbying to increase gas taxes and funnel more cash into various government bureaucracies, Domino's is trying to address the problem directly, by getting the money directly to the local agencies that actually fix the roads.

I hope others follow suit.

padobson··on Toys ‘R’ Us Didn’t Have to Die
What if your house was the shopping mall? When Sears, Macy's, JCPenny, etc all die, there's going to be a lot of shopping malls with big empty spaces. If those spaces were transformed to residential, it'd be trivial to walk to all the little shops currently between the big anchor chains, regardless of climate or season.
padobson··on A Stampede of Meatless Products Overrun Grocery Store Meat Cases
All of this. There is no defense for hiding the truth from your customers. How is anyone helped by selling tofu to someone that wanted to buy beef?

And if something can be labeled GMO or non-GMO, why can't it be labeled lab-created or bio-engineered or the like? It might be molecularly the same, but what's the harm in letting folks know?

padobson··on Tech Companies Still Aren’t Hiring Black Workers
I think the right is correct that a victim mentality is extremely dangerous and should be avoided at all costs.

This can't go understated. Life is hard and often tragic. Everyone will be a victim of injustice, often grave injustice, at one point in their lives or another. The worst thing a culture can do is demotivate folks to face their tragedies because something about their personal identity (race, gender, geography, religion, etc) made it impossible to overcome.

padobson··on Tech Companies Still Aren’t Hiring Black Workers
I'm willing to accept there is racism in the tech industry, but I'm not willing to accept that it is the ONLY variable keeping black folks from tech jobs.

This problem needs a real, statistical, multivariate study. Any publication casting judgement on the tech industry while remaining unwilling to pony up the dough for such a study should be properly criticized for playing the race card and inventing false narratives to gain readership.

Telling me there aren't many black folks in tech is not enough. I need a data-driven explanation of WHY before I accept it's mostly racism, or it's mostly a pipeline problem, or it's mostly a primary education problem, or it's mostly a cultural problem, or it's not a problem at all because black folks don't want tech jobs in the first place.

padobson··on Sucking carbon dioxide from air is cheaper than scientists thought
I'm with you. I have to believe a joint country climate accord where member nations pledge to suck X gigatonnes of carbon from the atmosphere (or finance those that do) is a much easier political sell than 1) taxing fossil fuel companies/cartels or 2) enforcing emissions restrictions on various industries.

Cleaning up 150 years of emissions in 20 or 40 or even 60 years seems like a miracle on par with the moon landing or eradicating smallpox.

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