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orwin

4,774 karma · joined August 17, 2017

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orwin··on Earth is tearing apart beneath the Pacific Northwest
I'm not anti AI-text, especially if it's technical, but come on, my brain tried to escape my skull reading the first few sentences. Can some effort be made at least to make reading palatable? if it's AI writing, why not just prompt it to go to the point and aoivd trying to sound clever while being annoying to read? I think every article generator should put an absolute "do not use metaphores: you're very bad at it and it is off-putting" in their agent.md, at the very least.
orwin··on CEO of Mistral: AI is software. It can be controlled
Because we were sold ASI for Sonnet 4.8. the for Gpt 5.3. then itvwas Astra and Fable. I use AI coding agents. Maybe I don't have access to SOTA, but I use the closest models that were supposed to be great. They're not. They still need to compact the context. They're still susceptible to poisoning. You still need to restart them from a memory file to clean up the context, and the only way to use agents 'swarm' is to give them a very short life.

I don't think my position is the one that needs arguments tbh. I'm even lowering my standards, moving my goalposts closer to the AGI crowd. I will admit we've reached AGI when a LLM can play a 1800 elo FIDE (not 1800 on a fake AI only elo rating) with a specialized harness made by a human. Previously I insisted the specialized harness had to be written without human supervision, now I don't care.

orwin··on CEO of Mistral: AI is software. It can be controlled
It's in the article, no? Mistral's new idea to control AIs? To give them a state basically? No one discuss the idea here, weirdly.
orwin··on Unknown number of Texas voter registrations went unprocessed due to DPS error
Clearly, Luigi found a far more effective way.
orwin··on Where's the Beef?: The lab-grown-meat revolution that wasn't
I'm pretty sure it's just the taste of meat that the author didn't like. My half-sister don't eat most meat for taste reasons, and the nausea after tasting beef the author describe sound exactly like her reactions.
orwin··on Italian parliament votes for return to nuclear energy
I don't understand why people are so bullish about SMRs. 25 years ago we were trying to increase reactor size and testing breeders, no we want smaller reactors, for what reason?
orwin··on Netherlands bracing for potentially devastating US sanctions against the ICC
The first gulf war, the one that happened 4 years after the US government sold Iraq war helicopters very cheaply, and help them improve their chemical weapons to use against Iran. Two years after it gave Iraq targets for their brand new cyclosarin weapons, as well as political support to prevent Iraq from loosing.
orwin··on AI Has No Wisdom and Neither Will You
We're not talking about unit tests here. We're talking about data structure and code complexity.
orwin··on AI Has No Wisdom and Neither Will You
Lol no. Just get your company quality gates and put it in the Claude.md.

I guarantee you will pass the gate, and the code will still be dumb, except now you'll spend 10x the tokens.

orwin··on US troop deaths during Iran war exceed Pentagon count by at least four
No women and no children worked in salt mines. Salt mines were often temporary punishment or permanent punishment akin to a death sentence for slaves and captured enemies. The way Belgian/German concentration camps were managed in Africa was new. And paved the way to Hitler.

And I don't want to poorly paraphrase Aimé Cesaire, so I'm taking a translated quote: 'What he cannot forgive Hitler for is not crime in itself, the crime against man, it is not the humiliation of man as such, it is the crime against the white man, the humiliation of the white man, and the fact that he applied to Europe colonialist procedures which until then had been reserved exclusively for the Arabs of Algeria, the coolies of India, and the blacks of Africa.'

orwin··on Uber arbitration award over Emily Normandin-Parker’s death
(in my country, to get a bus driver license, you have to go through training that explain how to act in weird situation, how to identify dangers and which danger to prefer. You have a whole hour about always stopping at a safe place (parking, bus stop, red lignt, stop sign) before getting involved with anything that happen inside)
orwin··on ZuckOff Know when a camera is in the room
I mean, one app collect your usage data, the second doesn't.
orwin··on ZuckOff is a free app that sees Meta glasses before they see you
Untrue for sails, untrue for dinghys, untrue for foils, because price discrimination. I thought it might have been true for catamaran, but I looked it up and it seems that Hobie Cat 16 are still more popular than Nacras for some inimaginable reason, as for once it's not price related.

If I go on another subject I invested time in, RPGs, D&D is the most popular system while inferior imho to a lot of others. Even if we have to keep the very flawed d20 system, the way forgotten chronicles handles everything is superior (and if in your bad opinion it's not the case because weirdly you like the class system, you probably would prefer pathfinder instead of dnd).

orwin··on US troop deaths during Iran war exceed Pentagon count by at least four
I'm just talking about the tactics the Nazis use and the work camps. Huge inspiration from Belgian Congo, Madagascar "tache d'huile" tactics and the German Mozambican work camps into genocide around WW1.
orwin··on War may be coming. Are we psychologically ready?
> I read an article in early 2000 that stipulated that EU and USA are borrowing so much money that eventually they will HAVE TO recoup through war, Conquering Russia.

Lol. Not how money, nor borrowing as a nation-state works. Probably from a trader-adjascent idiot who thinks he understands econ 101 because his qwants makes him money. Macro-econ is probably the subject with the biggest dunning-kruger syndrome you can find, so I advise you to either read a lot (and I do mean a lot), catch up at least to the bachelor level and continue reading econ books (written by economists PhD, not wall street insiders that journalist claims are economists), or just avoid the field completely and never believe anything an 'economist' write or say on TV, if he/she isn't a PhD.

orwin··on US troop deaths during Iran war exceed Pentagon count by at least four
(not really, it was more from how French, Belgians and Germans treated the African population they occupied) (not a fan of the US but I have to defend them here)
orwin··on US Military had close call after using AI for hallucinated intelligence report
Yes, a common view at the time was that the only de-escalation possible would have been through workers cooperation, which is why so much of the Marxist flank of the SFIO argued in favour of pacifism: to buy time for the workers to unite.

Which probably wouldn't have worked, but maybe it could have been a much, much smaller conflict.

orwin··on The US 'Kill Chain' That Destroyed an Iranian School
I don't care about whataboutism much, so I won't argue with you on your points, but know that it seems a large part of the 1200 killed during October 7th were killed by the Hannibal doctrine, which for the first time was applied to Israeli civilians.
orwin··on US Military had close call after using AI for hallucinated intelligence report
China has sold military hardware to Iran in exchange for oil. They also proposed their help for a de-escalation plan to Pakistan if needed, letting regional powers handle the issue and never presented themselve as the only solution (They did the same for Turkye and the Ukraine war).

I can name plenty of flaw and issues i saw in China, plenty of foreign policy i find dangerous, but you people make me want to defend them every time with your uncharitable opinions. China "do nothing, win" strategy is even true on the internet ffs.

orwin··on US Military had close call after using AI for hallucinated intelligence report
only 31-40% of the german electorate was that. And it was on the decline, which is why Von Papen convinced himself he would be easy to negociate cabinet postition with Hitler.
orwin··on US Military had close call after using AI for hallucinated intelligence report
Not really. It took a full month for the austrian to send Serbia its ultimatum. If the ultimatum was given imediatly after the assassination, both France and Russia would have let Serbia go.

Also, in France Caillaux, one of the most powerful pacifist in the government (he had the economy and was _good_ at it, which is rare enough to be noted), who was anti-war, had to be let go because his wife killed a journalist (not really a journalist, but adjascent enough so that the difference don't matter) around the same time, leaving Jaurès alone to push Viviani to let it go. Plus Viviani was with the Tsar in Russia when the ultimatum was given, which surely did not help _at all_. Especially since Rasputin was out of the capital at the time. Truly an unfortunate timing here.

Plus the death of multiple diplomats involved in the prevention of WW1 at least once in 1911, who all decided to die around the same time (the last two in 1914, Pressensé and obviously Hartwig, whose death was truly, truly unfortunate).

And here i'm only aware of French people who would have prevented the war (beside Hartwig and Rasputin, but everybody know about them), but i'm pretty sure even more people in Germany and in Austria could have done the same.

orwin··on US Military had close call after using AI for hallucinated intelligence report
Yes, but when a statistical model give you an erroneous result, you call the output an error, not a bug. I think error is more appropriate here. The error can be a sampling error, an inference error, or yes, a software error (or bug)
orwin··on US Military had close call after using AI for hallucinated intelligence report
I disagree, for me "error" is way, way more accurate than "hallucination", but i did take applied statistics in college and that might have influenced my vocabulary. Maybe that for the general public, "hallucination" is a better description, i might have biases in this case. But "error" is _definitely_ more accurate.

If people want to call "drisse", "aussière", "balancine" and "ecoute" all as "boat ropes", they are correct. In english, i would certainly call them all "boat ropes" in any case, as i never needed to translate their names. It isn't the most accurate in my opinion, but as long as you're not working on them (or manning a boat in my analogy), who cares.

orwin··on If materialism is true, the United States is probably conscious
Are you cryptic on purpose too? Or are you high?
orwin··on Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes
Honestly, if we're only talking about SOTA llms, in sandbox mode without harness? No shot. Without harness LLMs have no memory of previous moves. I can't make the last version of chatgpt remember more than 5 movements. I guarantee you, if you do not add flags in the harness with 'left rook moved' or 'right rook moved', it will try to illegally castle 100% of the time it's in the situation. Llm+harness, just make it call stockfish tbh.
orwin··on Iran school bombing: grounds to believe US was behind atrocity, UN finds
To me, more than 20 minutes, less than a day. Which is what happened (40 minutes between the missiles and the bombs)
orwin··on If materialism is true, the United States is probably conscious
You're right. Postmodernism isn't a relevant philosophical movement since the 80s at best (some would argue it wasn't a movement at all, just a term used by simple minds to join multiple philosophers who rejected meta-narratives but all had very different point of view on everything else). I don't understand why in the past 15 years everyone talk about it. My understanding is that it's often people who never read Lyotard and misunderstood Derrida (I don't have the English word for 'contresense', basically understanding the opposite of what is said. I heard someone say 'you shouldn't criticise art with the standard of the current time' to attack Derrida's ideas lol. Which is fair, because Derrida was a cryptic asshole on purpose, but he did teach in English and his lecture are publicly available, and almost clear.)

Also, the last 'representant' was Baudrillard, and he died in the early 2000s, probably a bit sad that 'Matrix' misrepresented his philosophy so much. Baudrillard never worked on consciousness, but if he did, I think he would be a materialist (an illusionist probably. At least reading his books made me one, and hopefully I didn't misunderstood him).

This paper doesn't look like continental philosophy at all though, so I don't understand why postmodernism comes up.

orwin··on More than 100k people in Japan are now aged 100 or older
The radar might be second class (not sure I would go that far, it's not a Thales radar but it's still good), but the plane is built with EW in mind, and that makes it useful.

What makes it bad is how hard the cooling is, its range without range extenders (that break stealth) and the maintenance.

orwin··on More than 100k people in Japan are now aged 100 or older
They did that btw. Is there any railroad bridge still standing in south Iran?
orwin··on More than 100k people in Japan are now aged 100 or older
Japan is very much still jingoistic today, and Jingoism is what drove the Lugou bridge incident and the seconds sino-japanese war. While it was imperialism that drove the invasion of Korea and Manchuria in 1931, with a real need for resources and to give land and slave to industrialists, the 1937 war was totally dumbfuckery from jingoist sentiments. Basically Trump, but supported by 85% of the population.

That's why fascism doesn't work btw. They end up believing their own lies and do the most egregiously idiotic shit.

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