31 karma · joined June 8, 2024
Just to play with computers like I used to play with legos. And then close the potentially unfinished useless pointless messy unmaintainable broken software project, never to reopen it, and be content that I had fully achieved what I had set out to do.
IMO if you can’t see the difference between crypto and LLMs, you aren’t paying enough attention. I think it’s much closer in impact to the internet than to crypto. Just because something is wildly overhyped, doesn’t mean that what’s underneath the hype isn’t huge.
There’s tons of value in AI, the only questions are how far will this improvement curve go before leveling off and how long will it take to usefully integrate the technology into various domains. The tide will go out and we’ll realize that many emperors have no clothes, but there will be many AI companies that have strong understanding of the reality of the tech, have strong technical and business fundamentals, and will be well positioned to become Fortune 50 companies.
Worth noting that I don't think you need to train the models or even touch the PyTorch level, but you do need to understand how LLMs work and learn how (if?) they can be applied to what you work on. There are big swaths of technology that are becoming obsolete with generative AI (most obviously/immediately in the visual creation and editing space) and IMO AI is going to continue to eat more and more domains over time.
I think that ship has sailed? Agree that the ramifications of auto-transforming communication is huge, but I think I'm more optimistic. The internet is a cesspool, I think that improving things is pretty likely now that empathetic software is no longer the stuff of dreams.
A couple things are really interesting about this idea. First - it's so easy for the end-user to customize a prompt that you don't need to get it right, you just need to give people the scaffolding and then they can color their internet bubble whatever color they want.
Second, I think that just making all comments just a couple percent more empathetic could be really impactful. It's the sort of systemic nudge that can ripple very far.
For HN comments, I think you're right. But I think there is still lots of potential there, from tooling to help Dang use his time more effectively to tooling that you can switch on when you are in a bad mood that lets you explore your curiosity but filters out/transforms the subset of comments that you don't have the emotional capacity to deal with well.
The cool thing is that this tech can be easily layered on top of the actual forum (does vertical integration give you anything? certainly crazy expensive) and so the user can be in control of what filters/auto-moderation they embrace. Plus text makes it easy to always drill deeper and see the original as needed.
The natural evolution of this technology is to insert it into human communication channels and automatically transform raw thoughts into something better for the other end of the channel. "Better" is open to interpretation and going to be very interesting in this new world, but there are so many options.
Why not a version of HackerNews that doesn't just have commenting guidelines, but actually automatically enforces them? Or a chrome extension that takes HN comments and transforms them all to be kinder (or whatever you want) when you open a thread? Or a text input box that automatically rewrites (or proposes a rewrite of) your comments if they don't meet the standards you have for yourself?
But it's not obvious to me that approach was even a net win for Google as a business. Did Google Brain invent the technology that killed Google? TBD I think.
I've seen startups from a founder perspective and from an employee perspective (VC style startups). I agree there is more stress as a founder, but people really underestimate the toll as an early employee - the gap is smaller than many people think. Particularly those ideal missionary-type early employees, they take on just as much mental ownership burden as the founders. It is also an all-day job. Let me tell you, when the money runs low, it is immensely stressful as an early employee - it is both hard to be the one making the decisions and it is hard to not be the one making the decisions. The ability to walk away isn't a benefit, it's a burden.
Their jobs can be different (or can be very much the same - depends on people and every startup is its own beast) with founders needing to deal with fundraising, board management, and ultimately having the impossible problems land at their feet which is often out-of-scope (and out-of-sight) for early employees. But the same core problem exists for both - your actions will dictate the success of the company.
And there is a huge amount of understanding of the founder burden and support for them, from financial to emotional to reputational. Where are the support networks for early employees? People will say the founders, but this is a load of crap for the same reason that founders rely on relationships with other founders rather than talking to their board or teammates.
Early employee is probably the worst engineering gig in Silicon Valley on most dimensions. Unless you just want to 0 to 1 build things. Then I haven't seen a job that can compare.
It's the high-level services where OCI is worth avoiding. Even core tech like object storage has been a problem.