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noir-york

1,833 karma · joined September 19, 2013

I'm @brianazzopardi
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noir-york··on Before buying a NYT subscription, here's what it'll take to cancel it
> both look down on non-Anglosphere countries

I don't know where you get that from. Any examples?

> You have to be aware of their biases, though.

A point of view is not a bias. The Economist was founded as a pro-market liberal (classically liberal) publication. A Marxist would consider that a bias I guess?

noir-york··on Before buying a NYT subscription, here's what it'll take to cancel it
Consider this another vote for the Financial Times and the Economist. I am subscribed to both, and Foreign Affairs.
noir-york··on Armenia Is an Orphaned Client State
That was a very interesting read - thanks for sharing.
noir-york··on Fox Two: The Story of the Aim-9 Sidewinder (2014)
Great read!
noir-york··on An F-22 test pilot on the Raptor's flight control system
This article has some more information: https://t-intell.com/2020/05/22/lethal-stalkers-how-turkish-...
noir-york··on There’s no replacement for the thrill of browsing in a bookstore
How can you love reading and not appreciate a well curated bookshelf whether at someone's home, or a bookshop?!

The sheer joy of browsing Hatchards... last time I visited I found a first English edition of Proust and I just had to have it.

noir-york··on Europeans vow to pursue digital tax plans after US “provocation”
Trump is a moron - threatening to withdraw US troops out of Germany is a gift to Russia.

But the EU cannot wait for Trump to go away because if he wins reelection that could be 5 years away. We don't have that time. The EU needs to work with what its got - work with India, Australia, PacRim countries.

The problem is that the EU is itself split with different interests. Someone has to provide leadership. The US president is the natural option but Trump has not stepped up. Someone else needs to - it cannot be Merkel as she's stepping down soon, but we urgently need leadership on the issue.

noir-york··on Europeans vow to pursue digital tax plans after US “provocation”
> Ps. Trump has no interest in peace and prosperity. Haven't you been paying attention? The US has never been this divided and the current leader thinks tweeting is more important.

Trump's only interest is re-election.

The US govt is a huge entity with may players of which the president is one, albeit an important one. The US military, State, academia and other institutions are all actors and they do have an interest in peace and prosperity.

Presidents come and go, but institutions remain and it is important that the relevant institutions adopt a common posture towards China.

noir-york··on Europeans vow to pursue digital tax plans after US “provocation”
> How can you not see that they are waiting till trust re-appears.

The EU cannot afford to wait that long. China isn't taking a pause on its aggression. Indeed, its exploiting the US under Trump, Covid, etc to move aggressively now.

> The current situation is nuts and it's not Europe's fault.

"fault"? It doesn't have to be your fault if the mess still ends on your lap. And Europe (and I'm a European) being neighbours with Eurasia doesnt have the luxury of huge oceans separating it from revanchist powers.

noir-york··on Europeans vow to pursue digital tax plans after US “provocation”
> The US isn't the only potential ally against Chinese influence, why should Europe align itself with America instead of other countries?

Of course! All countries that value a rules-based order should ally, and that would include the EU, the US, India, Australia, and the many other smaller countries.

> Also, do you think there's no argument to be made for changing China's behaviour through a partnership?

Been tried. India was trying that by letting China have a stake in the economy. It hasn't ummmm worked out so well.

China uses the economy as a tool for its own political aims.

noir-york··on Europeans vow to pursue digital tax plans after US “provocation”
I was replying to the point about why EU and the US should form an alliance against China - and the reason being the wider geostrategic context.
noir-york··on Europeans vow to pursue digital tax plans after US “provocation”
Because China is threatening the global order on which peace and prosperity lies, starting with the freedom of the seas.

China is already harassing and sinking fishing vessels and trying to close the South China Sea. It may soon try to enforce an ADIZ over the SC Sea as well. Not great.

China is a growing aggressive power with cyber attacks across a multitude of countries and is running, like Russia, disinformation campaigns to undermine democracy.

It is in the interest of EU and the US, and indeed many countries, to have a rules-based international order. It is increasingly in the interests of the US as its power is in relative decline.

noir-york··on A Facebook crawler was making 7M requests per day to my stupid website
Only if you use conntracking though no?
noir-york··on The EU is beginning to believe the UK wants Brexit trade talks to fail
> Your description of helicopter money sounds wrong - if it's so great why not do it more often.

Because it undermines CB policy and leads to hyper inflation and ruining the economy. Some CBs are legally proscribed from engaging in helicopter money for good reason.

> There have to be liabilities to it.

You mean balance sheet liabilities? None. The money is recorded as an asset "receivable" on CB balance sheet.

It does add up :D Japan has been doing it for a decade (for the wrong reasons unfortunately).

For layman overview; most mainstream financial news sites like the FT and Bloomberg do a good job:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-05/how-long-...

https://www.ft.com/content/fd1d35c4-7804-11ea-9840-1b8019d9a...

noir-york··on The EU is beginning to believe the UK wants Brexit trade talks to fail
> I have my serious doubts. Spending large amounts of money wisely or blowing it wildly can look the same (HS2?) but the outcome is different.

Austerity takes money out of a contracting economy making the situation worse, creating a vicious cycle, and whats worse hollowing out govt services (NHS, policing, education). Austerity is dangerous on a number of levels.

> Is this any different from a person getting indebted on a credit card? Honest question.

Yes, its completely different. Debt creates a liability, it needs to be paid back.

Monetary financing - aka helicopter money - is precisely the opposite.

The central bank "prints" money: it can be credited to the govt's account, or the CB can directly credit household bank accounts with money created from thin air. No new liabilities are created.

The problems with monetary financing is that it can get addictive; its use outside of situations of extreme economic distress is the biggest risk with its use.

noir-york··on The EU is beginning to believe the UK wants Brexit trade talks to fail
Yes, of course. The point is that Keynesian macro and appropriate tax policies are a much better policy response than austerity can ever be.

The UK has the advantage of printing its own currency so it can engage in monetary financing if the situation warrants it; an option not available to Euro economies.

noir-york··on The EU is beginning to believe the UK wants Brexit trade talks to fail
politics = economics, pretty much?!

I'm afraid you are seriously mistaken. Just take court jurisdiction and supremacy of parliament.

Politics is very much not economics, at least when it comes to Brexit.

noir-york··on The EU is beginning to believe the UK wants Brexit trade talks to fail
> Interesting that you seem to have come to a conclusion that is basically the opposite of reality. The UK wants to have its cake (benefits of trade and travel ties) and eat it too

It is standard negotiating OP by both sides. Just take a look at the Troika / Greece negotiations: breakthroughs come at the very last minute.

Extending the transition period merely lengthens the phoney negotiations.

> There is no exit that puts the UK in a better position because it imagines itself to have power and influence that it does not possess.

Viewed through an economic lens, Brexit will do damadge, certainly in the short term. Medium to long term depends on whether the Tories learn drop austerity and to love Keynes . It seems Sunak does, going by short record so far.

Viewed through a political / sovereignty lens the argument for Brexit is on a stronger footing.

noir-york··on The EU is beginning to believe the UK wants Brexit trade talks to fail
A mix of tactics and politics.

While Brexit is bad economically, the political argument is different.

noir-york··on The EU is beginning to believe the UK wants Brexit trade talks to fail
Just take a look at the EU's fisheries position which is basically the status quo as if the UK had never left the EU.

Which is crazy; either the UK has left the EU and so cannot enjoy the same market access as a member, and the EU correspondingly has reduced access to UK market, or else there is full access for both parties.

Source: https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-uk-fishing-in-troubled-wa...

noir-york··on Godot 4.0 will get a new lightmapper
Godot is awesome, and Juan and the contributors are doing fantastic work. They deserve every success.
noir-york··on On Killing Tanks
Awesome comment :)
noir-york··on The Two Kinds of Moderate
It is indeed true - the extreme left and right (along with the religious extremists of any religion) all believe that they have the One True Solution, and have historically been ready to murder millions who they believe stood in the way.

So yes, both the extreme left and the extreme right are not only wrong, but morally repugnant.

The whole point of classical political liberalism is of how to get multiple incompatible ideas of what is the good life (broadly understood) to coexist peacefully. Without it there is only tyranny or chaos.

noir-york··on The Two Kinds of Moderate
There is a significant qualitative difference between ideologues (left or right) and, to use Graham's terminology, 'accidental moderates' or the 'intentional' ones.

Ideologues assume that there is a single version / source of the truth whether it is a religious text, or a secular one (Marx, Hayek, etc). 'Intentional moderates' are not monist (as are idealogues), but to the contrary triangulate. If anything, intentional moderates reject the notion that there is an objective position.

Accidental moderates - idealised - are actually just being reasonable and weighing different considerations, thus arriving at a considered position.

Intentional moderates may not necessarily be cowards. To take an exampe: most people are ignorant of economics and so their position on, say, the interest rate is not an informed one.

Intentional moderates use a centrist heuristic in the belief that the reasonable answer is somewhere between the two extremes. There is nothing wrong with this; one cannot expect voters to be experts or even well informed on all the posible issues of government.

noir-york··on John Carmack: I’m going to work on artificial general intelligence
A child picks up an apple but doesn't know what an apple "is". It doesn't even have the vocabulary to describe it.

As adults we know what an apple is because we understand it as a concept, the ideal "apple", and can manipulate the concept into areas way outside the original concept (say, the phrase "apple of my eye").

noir-york··on Fire One, Fire Ten: Implications of the Torpedo Scandal of World War II (2018)
For a worse screw-up read about the bureaucratic slug fights around the M14 rifle (the shortest-serving US standard issue rifle), and the M16 (substandard ammo, etc) in Vietnam that needlessly cost American lives. There are good reasons the Springfield Armory was closed down by McNamara in '68.
noir-york··on A Thriving Civilization in Malta Collapsed 4k Years Ago
As a Maltese, I can confirm :) Sahha!
noir-york··on Researchers easily trick Cylance's AI Antivirus to think Malware is 'Goodware'
Indeed. I wonder if its some version of Paul Graham's Bayesian classifier he had posted many many years ago...
noir-york··on Petrichor: why does rain smell so good?
If you find the article interesting you will most likely want to enjoy it to Ludovico Einaudi's sublime Petricor piece (modern violin / cello / piano). Its a beautiful piece of music.

https://open.spotify.com/track/4XWqS8UGO5x4ClB2yH0nbW?si=Ewz...

And congrats on the good taste, even if I say so myself.

noir-york··on France has approved a digital services tax despite threats of retaliation by US
> Does that mean that EU citizens should also pay for these services?

Making people pay to access Facebook etc would be the best possible move for society ever.

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