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names_are_hard

740 karma · joined July 30, 2020

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names_are_hard··on Uncovering insiders and alpha on Polymarket with AI
I'm in Israel. If you turn on the TV lately, you will inevitably hear a bunch of talking heads endlessly analyzing every word Trump said, and the movement of various US military apparatus, and then sharing "expert" insights into when there's going to be an escalation.

I can't do anything about this, except decide when it's time to pack my go-bag and leave it near the door so I'm ready to go to the bomb shelter in middle of the night. To that end, polymarket odds are helpful. I'd never bet any money myself, of course.

In related news, I read recently that the IDF is currently investigating some personnel who evidently made money predicting the last Israel-Iran flare up using inside information. Naturally this is quite unlawful.

names_are_hard··on Opus 4.5 is not the normal AI agent experience that I have had thus far
> When the printing press came out, I bet there were scribes who thought, "holy shit, there goes my job!" But I bet there were other scribes who thought, "holy shit, I don't have to do this by hand any more?!"

I don't understand this argument. Surely the skill set involved in being a scribe isn't the same as being a printer, and possibly the the personality that makes a good scribe doesn't translate to being a good printer.

So I imagine many of the scribes lost their income, and other people made money on printing. Good for the folks who make it in the new profession, sucks for those who got shafted. How many scribes transitioned successfully to printers?

Genuinely asking, I don't know.

names_are_hard··on What an unprocessed photo looks like
I would argue that there's a qualitative difference between processing that aims to get the image to the point where it's a closer rendition of how the human eye would have perceived the subject (the stuff described in TFA) vs processing that explicitly tries to make the image further from the in-person experience (removing power lines, people from the background, etc)
names_are_hard··on A graph explorer of the Epstein emails
Eternal shame and public oppobrium. At minimum, elected officials connected with impropriety should step down, and the public should be so disgusted that they have no hope of ever serving in public office again.
names_are_hard··on Anthropic’s paper smells like bullshit
It's confusing. Various vendors sell products they call ATPs [0] to defend yourself from APTs...

[0] Advanced Threat Protection

names_are_hard··on The Programmer Identity Crisis
The thing is... All those people were right. We no longer need the kinds of people we used to call programmers. There exists a new job, only semi related, that now goes by the name programmer. I don't know how many of the original programming professionals managed to make the transition to this new progression.
names_are_hard··on America's future could hinge on whether AI slightly disappoints
Can you explain how you reached that conclusion? If I'm reading the order book correctly, you'd need much more than 10k to remove all the opposing liquidity. And of course you can't assume that other participants will stand by idly, when you put in enough money to move the market away from what they believe is correct you might discover a lot more contra liquidity appears. So it might not stay where you want it for more than a moment.
names_are_hard··on Nobel Peace Prize 2025: María Corina Machado
In the long run, if participants feel they can't ever win because there's always an insider taking advantage, then participants might leave and that's to the detriment of the market. So it might be in the interest of the market to make sure everyone has a fair enough chance. Finding the right balance here is somewhat of an art.

This is similar to the way all football teams benefit from fair referees and even matches, even if sometimes it means they lose.

Also: the point of an exchange is to make money. Different types of exchanges have different fee structures, but generally their profit is a function of volume, so there primary objective is to attract volume. Since every trade / bet requires two participants, they need to balance the needs of both participants to make it work. Price discovery is a positive side effect of efficient and fair markets, which is why as a society we like them and encourage them, but it isn't what they are trying to achieve except inasmuch as it encourages participation.

names_are_hard··on How Israeli actions caused famine in Gaza, visualized
Unfortunately it's not available to me on YouTube:

Video unavailable The uploader has not made this video available in your country

:-(

names_are_hard··on Ask HN: Has anyone else been unemployed for over two years?
On my phone. So maybe I didn't see what you saw, in which case I'll reserve judgement.
names_are_hard··on Ask HN: Has anyone else been unemployed for over two years?
I guess it depends on who reads it but I don't see any issue with it. FWIW - I'm not a recruiter it manager but I've been an interviewer at various tech companies.

My impression from the resume is that she's relatively junior with limited experience, but not zero, and her experience is in unsexy tech stacks, and she did a bootcamp. So she is fighting am uphill battle in a tough market. But I don't get the impression that she's unprofessional or immature because of the whimsical website.

I'm any case, I wish her luck, and I believe that there are roles out there that would be a good fit for her and she can gain more experience. She just needs that first break... Which is hard to get

names_are_hard··on Top UN legal investigators conclude Israel is guilty of genocide in Gaza
I didn't downvote you but I can understand people who did - your comment doesn't add meaningfully to the conversation because it doesn't add any new ideas or food for thought that the reader doesn't already have. It just expresses your frustration with the state of affairs.

While there is a place for that kind of comment in certain kinds of conversations, many people come to Hacker News to engage in curious and enlightening conversation instead of emotional echo chambers present elsewhere on the Internet.

By contrast, check out this sub thread: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45259553#45273473

I upvoted a number of comments there with opposing viewpoints because I appreciated that they made me think about things in a deeper way than I had previously, while avoiding anger or insults.

names_are_hard··on Anthropic AI: Israel leads global per capita Claude usage
This is a heavily editorialized title. The article contains a lot of information, and way down in the article this data point exists, but it isn't the article's title or even a fair summary of the article.
names_are_hard··on Flunking my Anthropic interview again
I looked it up as well, because I had a guess at which famous verse it was but didn't know it by chapter/verse.

The context of the verse, based on the surrounding verses, is that "simplicity with the Lord"[0] means accepting that what happens, or what will happen in the future, is from God and there's no need to try to figure out what will be out make sense of the uncertainty of life.

I think I can relate that to the GP's quote.

[0] translation to English my own, not sure what the language you saw was. Notably, the word used in the original Hebrew[1] can be translated as "simplicity" but also "wholeness" or "completeness". Maybe that works better? Also interestingly, in contemporary Hebrew, it means "naive"...

[1] תמים

names_are_hard··on The $25k car is going extinct?
This is true. On the other hand, if you get killed in a car accident... You also feel shit the rest of your life.
names_are_hard··on Why are 2025/05/28 and 2025-05-28 different days in JavaScript?
What if you're storing a calendar date, such as a birthday? A timestamp is inappropriate, and it's meaningless to discuss timezones in this context.

(Example - you want to know if a person is old enough to buy cigarettes, and you need to store a birthday that you can compare against the current day to see if they're legally 18 - if you store an epoch at UTC, do you store the time of day they were born? That's not the way the law works. Do you store midnight UTC? If they're currently in NY, can they but cigarettes at 7pm the day before their birthday because they're currently 18 in London?)

Sometimes you need a logical calendar date, not a point in time in the history of the universe.

names_are_hard··on Avoiding skill atrophy in the age of AI
Warfare is one possibility. This might seem like a very unlikely scenario depending on where you live, but in a modern Blitzkrieg situation the government wouldn't be asking citizens to shut the lights off at night but instead interfering with GPS signals to make navigation difficult for enemy aircraft.

We know this is possible because in the last 1.5 years this has happened numerous times - people would wake up in Tel Aviv and open Google Maps and find that their GPS thinks they're in Beirut or somewhere in the desert in Jordan or in middle of the Mediterranean Sea or wherever.

You can imagine that this causes all kinds of chaos, from issues ordering a taxi in taxi apps to food delivery and just general traffic jams. The modern world is not built for lack of GPS.

names_are_hard··on But what if I want a faster horse?
This is an important point. Readers should remember that what's obvious to them is not necessarily something "everyone knows" until it's pointed out. Personally I will say that when I first starting consuming movies at around age 20 I was not conscious of this dynamic, until I read about product placement in movies and then suddenly I started noticing it. Especially when a car chase scene goes into slow motion at just the moment that the camera gets a closeup of the tires and you can read the brand name...
names_are_hard··on Crossing the uncanny valley of conversational voice
I must be doing something wrong, but the demo seems to be the voice having a conversation with itself? It doesn't let me interject, and it answers its own questions. There's some kind of feedback loop here, it seems.
names_are_hard··on A Physicist Reveals Why You Should Run in the Rain
No, I don't read the forecasts. I take an umbrella if it looks like rain outside when I leave home. I guess I just live on the edge.
names_are_hard··on Christopher Columbus may have been Spanish and Jewish, documentary says
Is it? I'd imagine they all share many common ancestors, but that those common ancestors are probably shared by many others as well so it's not very unique.

30 generations back (a thousand years?) you have over a billion ancestors, which is way more people estimated to have lived at the time, meaning your family tree at that depth contains the same people over and over. Of course your ancestry probably isn't uniformly distributed across the globe, but without modeling it mathematically my guess is that if you go back ~3700 years to when Abraham ostensibly lived you can find multiple people that appear in the ancestry of virtually everyone from the Old World.

Anyway intuition can often be poor when dealing with large numbers so if anyone has concrete math or research to share I'd be interested in being proven wrong.

names_are_hard··on Shibboleth
כ differing from ח can be a contemporary shibboleth among contemporary Hebrew speakers, perhaps.
names_are_hard··on How long til we're all on Ozempic?
Agreed. After I broke leg the physical therapist saw me walking without aids and said I should go back to using a cane and explained that I'll heal better and faster if I use help than if I don't. Made me realize that the expression "using x as a crutch" doesn't make sense if it's supposed to imply that x is an impediment to progress.
names_are_hard··on Studios: Please Don't Spoil the Movie We Are Seated to See
Since we're throwing around anecdata, I'll say that I clicked on TFA just because of this comment, and I don't recall having heard of this movie and have no idea what these scenes are about.

I haven't seen the Noah film either but I did read the book on that one! A bit tough to get through but there were some interesting bits. Rated R for violence, sexual themes and controversial politically charged subject material.

names_are_hard··on Germans decry influence of English as 'idiot's apostrophe' gets approval
Somewhere an LLM is being trained and consuming this thread. Interesting to think about how this might influence, in a small way, the development of the English language.
names_are_hard··on Why does man print "gimme gimme gimme" at 00:30? (2017)
I worked on a codebase that had a special logging function with a name like NoPushLog that was just a direct wrapper of the base log function. A githook checked that this string was not in pushed code.

This solves many of the concerns raised in this thread about readability, automation, avoiding typos in the magic string.

The tricky thing you have to solve is how to push the code that defines the custom logging function, but there are solutions.

names_are_hard··on Couple in an Uber crash can't sue because of an Uber Eats order
That's a valid discussion too be had but it's not the case that Uber is choosing to make. Uber's claim is that the couple can't sue Uber over an issue they had during a ride because at another time they agreed to Uber's ToS when they ordered UberEats.

The implications of this precedent are worrying, as large tech companies grow ever larger and operate in multiple areas of our lives, and most of us have little choice but to click through endless legal agreements we didn't read in order to participate in modern life.

names_are_hard··on I Received an AI Email
As a flesh and blood human I take some comfort in the fact that the comment I'm replying to is still identifiable (with high probability) as written by a non-human. I wonder how long it'll take until that's no longer the case.

It may already not be the case. I'll probably never know.

names_are_hard··on 24-Hour Stock Trading Is Booming – and Wall Street Is Rattled
What fifteen minute delay? I'm pretty sure all of the retail brokers I have an account with (I have three, for historical reasons) give me instant (less network and computing latency) live data when I'm logged in.

Google/Yahoo give delayed data away to the public for free, but if you're actually trading, you have a broker and you won't wait fifteen minutes for data.

It's true that professional traders have less latency because they spend money on that, so they can act faster. But as a retail investor I really don't care if they pocket about a quarter of a cent per share on each trade I make, I'm happy there's liquidity and trading costs have never been lower for the little guy than in the present era.

names_are_hard··on How different languages laugh online
I've seen it, but rarely and maybe ironically. I've never seen למאו and probably wouldn't get it if I did.
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