You are clearly a wizard of a prior era. But it is a new era.
351 karma · joined February 5, 2021
You are clearly a wizard of a prior era. But it is a new era.
The unceremonious use of (what I speculate is) AI-assistance is becoming more normal. I think a lot of people who were die-hard skeptics will just quietly protest less and less. Also, for people who use it well and poorly alike, the urge to not advertise any AI-use at all is common today. People who know how to use it well don't feel the need to explain themselves to unreasonable absolutist skeptics.
> they'll raze the ground to ashes before anyone can use it for legitimate means.
You were so cynical you thought this one category of people would literally prevent any fruitful use. Now you simply argue with me whether the category exists at all.
> I really have no idea what you're on about. There's TONS of examples of people abusing this already.
Grossly dishonest in spirit, you are.
While I'm on board with you about the inabsolute security of this (relative to what's typically expected of cryptographic systems), the fact that their 'verified' state requires a live certification and can be revoked means that the sensor responsible for obviously faked images will see those images and that device no longer certified.
It all relies a lot on trust in Apple, and integration with Apple, and relatively unmotivated attackers.
Or maybe you can just get too spoiled with it grokking your intent, then become so vague that your vague ideas are actually just bad ideas. Certainly has happened to me.
Is that hotel example real? Curious how exactly you employ this technique—my naive idea was, if talking software development, a sort of 'sanity-check auto-linter agent' catch errors on a regular basis (every 10 seconds, every write, w/e).
Not so much reducing cost by reducing headcount, but reducing liability; it's the legal labyrinth which is the barrier to entry to scale business. While it is present elsewhere, it's universal in employment.
The real question is "how big can a business be before it requires a legal department?" That an AI can automate many rote tasks and have some expertise means the benefits of scale with less of the risk.
Of course you'd feel no need to justify all the exceptions when people you don't like are excited about a movie, food item or video game. Yuur justification for cynicism is vacuous, which will obscure realistic concerns.
The consistent view is one regarding IP in general - not reverse engineering your morals based on the case.
If you're saying it's predicting, then each result should be falsifiable.
The result of an LLM output should be able to be scored against what it is supposedly predicting. Of course, that isn't possible, because it isn't predicting anything when giving novel outputs, otherwise that thing would exist independently.
I view favored house-odds, on arbitrary games or not, as unethical and predatory. This is the classic casino slot machine and related. However, Poker doesn't have house odds, it is a fair game.
Move one level up: prediction markets don't have house-odds if implemented plainly. On non-game events, they also have a positive externality, which already contradicts your claim: prediction markets predict quite well.
Yet another level up: investing in the stock market. The same authentic gambler who burns money into a slot machine can play the stock market to similarly disastrous ends. But if you define this as gambling and want to outlaw or limit it to 'professionals' then you bar people from capital markets which is absurd.
I find that when I give an LLM my full handcrafted codebase, it does very well. It follows my conventions, sees the intent and can coherently build within its scope. It writes much better code than a 'vibe' prompt.
It is always tempting and I myself will continue pushing the boundaries, but when you keep an LLM in reasonable scope (that may be one line, function, file at a time, depending on your idea of reasonable), you, by definition, can get sound utility out of them.
In the context of 'decentralized tech' I've come to believe literal 'decentralization' has unavoidably poor network effects, while 'accountability' gives what people envision from 'decentralization' without the tradeoffs—by being a more fundamental property (decentralization can emerge from it if required).
Ordering a conversation between an unbounded set across independent nodes leads to misordered interactions not possible if you just centralize. It seems like a small issue, but at scale quality really suffers when some universal, fine-resolution ordering can't be agreed upon.
You can devise many clever schemes to try to avoid centralization and achieve coherency, but if one service is more up to date with more info, it is preferable and offers a more coherent public conversation. Network effects still dominate despite the protocol.
All that said, if I wasn't very aligned with the spirit, I wouldn't care so much to think about it. I'm also aligned with the spirit of Bitcoin but the culture present in both doesn't help it. The fact that Nostr is Bitcoin aligned, meaning it rejects the technical options of protocols taking more risks, hurts it.
The way it handles public keys and identities is very simple and good and to me is very obviously reflective of a good future state. But it's not unique to Nostr.
In the literal sense, centralization leads to economies of scale and the alleviation of coordination issues. Those coordination issues are what make physically decentralized networks so complicated, inefficient and fractured. These networks usually just find ways to centralize despite.
People really want decentralization of power—let's just replace the word with a better word: accountability. One should be able to enjoy economies of scale (centralized infrastructure) but have the cryptographic mechanisms in place to ensure the infrastructure must reveal its use and abuse of power, and can be easily replaced.
Nostr, like most 'decentralized' tech will switch between the meanings of both. Either way, it fits the description above: a single relay can work well, multiple have awkward coordination. The sense it which it is accountable is only that it can be replaced, but network effects favor the largest, so that's a problem.
If I'm going to be iterating on one document or idea in an extended manner with feedback from the chatbot, I will make an effort to setup the decorum it should follow, because it's a small proportion of the time in that chat.
But the guy just trying to get a report or email out quickly? Not so much.
'Crypto' adopts to some extent a principle of being 'decentralized' and now has to square what it means for that type of hardware to compete with economies of scale which are naturally centralized.
"Decentralized" is just a bad metric. The real value-add of 'crypto' done right is accountability; Bitcoin mining is just the simplest example: any miner who builds less utilitarian blocks (either worse transaction selection or building on a bad history) is accountable by any other miner with the same margins who will maximize that utility, thus their income.
The urge to 'decentralize' is always in tension with that efficiency optimization. It is fine for an agent with concentrated power (under certain bounds) to be in a system, so long as they are accountable, usually by being easily replaceable.
Unfortunately a lot of 'crypto' intuition is just based on the idea of a wide breadth of servers or nodes equals some meaningful distribution of power, which is naive.
The common counter-argument is that specifying to the sufficient level is more work than just not using an LLM at all. I find that is not a universal rule.
> Advertisement serves to increase purchase of the inferior product.
> The best product, which previously didn't require ads [on Amazon] now must pay Amazon to compete for eyeballs.
Advertisement, when successful, increases the purchasing of any product, generally. That the best product is subject to this effect and competition has nothing to do with Amazon or technology.
Therefore one should not expect higher quality out of many businesses using AI, but you should certainly expect such businesses to highly value AI. The arguments in favor of quality didn't seem to work before, I don't think they will now.
That said, I'd like to see the prompt(s) having such an effect on the subjective choices for a project like this.
I ended up on VS Code. I'm very critical of Microsoft generally, but VS Code is a very good editor and my favorite agent harness.
For headless, Pi might be the way.