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moosey

1,570 karma · joined November 6, 2014

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moosey··on Jimmy Wales has quietly launched a Facebook rival
How many years after we went to space using a central authority did it take before private enterprise could do it? How much did private enterprise depend on the technological development that arose from central and shared commitments to scientific development in that space?

We can have the same discussions about the NIH and new drug development (since most drugs simply can't make money). The internet, chips, Google itself was started as a federally funded post-grad project.

Things move much faster when we devote shared resources into risk taking that cannot make money. It might sound like waste, but government spending, I surmise, is what creates great economies. This occurs because technological advancement, especially those that can't obviously be exploited for financial gain in the market, are the true drivers of our economy.

Either way, we will soon begin to see who is right. There are several countries now competing with the US who were far behind when we went to our current model of low taxation, high free market. It should be interesting to see if their centralized scientific/technological systems outdo us over time.

moosey··on Jimmy Wales has quietly launched a Facebook rival
What I would recommend is that you spend some time on reddit and find them for yourself. Reddit has so many well-built communities, that it's difficult for me to suggest some. Even really vile parts of the site are good for understanding propaganda and how it works, and what it's saying today.
moosey··on Jimmy Wales has quietly launched a Facebook rival
Honestly, I have a strong interest in US, Chinese, European, and now Russian politics, and how they relate to the future of the humanity and all life on earth. It is clear that most real innovation happens much more quickly and decisively if centralized under a government that decides to spend a lot of money on research, so those are discussions and reading materials that I have to find on places like reddit. Ultimately, many of the decisions and things occurring today, while political, have deep personal philosophical roots. Discussions in particular spaces regarding that simply can't happen here due to the rules; rules that differ on different subreddits and for each community I agree with.

Reddit is the best place to find those, IMO.

moosey··on America’s Largest Health Insurer Is Giving Apartments to Homeless People
> I hate to be so harsh, but the bleeding hearts would be a lot more skeptical of housing the homeless if they started moving into their neighborhoods.

I absolutely agree with this, and we can find data that supports this concept quite aggressively throughout US history, with one example being that racial integration in schools stopped when it came to northern cities. It was fine as long as we pretended it was a southern problem, but today the most racially segregated schools can be found in major urban centers.

Ultimately, most decisions are made emotionally, and in order to move human society to the next stage of ethical development, we will need to combine an ethical baseline of human welfare (Singer style reverse utilitarianism comes to mind) with the application of data and statistics. Unfortunately, thinking statistically is difficult, and the human mind is capable of rationalizing emotional decision making before the thought it complete.

Ultimately the problem of homelessness is easily solvable from some pure mathematical/economic standpoint, but fails for the same reason that supply/demand is not a law of human society: it all depends on rational actors, a unicorn-like construct.

It doesn't mean that we cannot apply data to our decision making, but it _does_ mean that we need to work our hardest to defend decisions based on high quality data, high quality data analysis, and well-replicated science. Housing first is an idea where all of the early analysis has been extremely promising, and the NIMBY-ism that surrounds it should be called out for what it is: emotional decision making that disregards data and science resulting in a lack of compassion for people. I will say it's unethical, but it's also completely and totally human.

moosey··on America’s Largest Health Insurer Is Giving Apartments to Homeless People
The reason that we can and should do housing first is for two reasons.

First, it's cheaper than any of the alternatives. From the NEAH, a paragraph describing those savings:

> Finally, permanent supportive housing has been found to be cost efficient. Providing access to housing generally results in cost savings for communities because housed people are less likely to use emergency services, including hospitals, jails, and emergency shelter, than those who are homeless. One study found an average cost savings on emergency services of $31,545 per person housed in a Housing First program over the course of two years.xii Another study showed that a Housing First program could cost up to $23,000 less per consumer per year than a shelter program.

Next, it's just extremely effective. Being homeless over any period of time negatively affects mental well-being. The longer that you are homeless, the worse this gets, and the harder it is to get out. Housing first isn't just the cheapest solution, it actually solves the problem of homelessness directly and helps people to heal their mental state. You can find this information all over the place.

Ultimately, we should have rapid housing-first policies for everyone who ends up homeless, but that will require the American public to give up our normally punitive cultural attitudes so that the data can win, but we haven't done the best job ending other punitive systems despite their total failure, like the war on drugs.

Quote is from: http://endhomelessness.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/housin...

moosey··on Decisions, Decisions or Why Baskets of Options Dominate
Instead of saying that a basket of options is a minimization of decisions, I would say that it's admitting that most decisions are answered with a series of statistical odds. If you can play a game where you think that the system has missed the boat on some small chunk of statistical possibility, for instance, if you think that the market is missing the potential for wealth in genetic analysis with artificial intelligence, then you push some moderate percentage of additional wealth or leverage in that direction.

This is the actual state of the world. Most real world decisions aren't actually yes/no. It's probability analysis, which is a far more difficult yet more accurate model of decision making.

moosey··on Friended is a new social network that wants to get real
Why not just make it so that people that you don't interact with get auto-unfriended over time. If you just post, post, post and have no meaningful relationship beyond parasocial bullshit, then in no time, you'd be removed from the networking system. With something like this, the network would no longer be a personal marketing system, but would actually only keep you with people that you actually interact with in meaningful ways over time, perhaps through event scheduling, and perhaps through conversation.

If you left for a long time, you'd come back to a friendless universe, sure, but only on the network. I guess that the ultimate goal of a network like this would be to get people off of it, which would be healthy for the individual, and bad for the company.

Oh well, there goes that idea.

moosey··on State of Health Report Shows Growing Despair Among American Men
Although I'm male, I live my life surrounded by women and have a large focus on women's issues. I also see the writing on the wall: IVF technologies that are being developed today will further erode the value of men in most if not all non-socially conservative societies. I predict large numbers of women in single, cohabitating, or lesbian arrangements having children together because large numbers of men have proven themselves insufferable. I certainly know I have demonstrated as much in the past.

Men capable of rethinking their relationship with women and what it means to be a male, rather than a man, I imagine will do fine in the coming social upheaval.

moosey··on Climate Change Will Cost Us Even More Than We Think
I, on the other hand, believe that fighting climate change will be a great wealth equalizer. The development of cheap energy in the form of wind and solar power, and also the need for centralization in the fight against climate change (which will require an increase in taxes against those with money: the rich) will eliminate many current power structures in our current economic system, and will make many aspects of the 'usefulness' of wealth: the ability to travel quickly and in ... extreme ... comfort, access to exotic foods at any time, and the ability to use huge amounts of energy, will all become extremely limited or will be available to everyone, at least up to the point that it matters anymore.

These things that you describe must happen will never be accomplished by private companies because they are all wealth destructive behaviors, and the organization that does is will not make profit off of these endeavors: nobody can afford to buy the stuff being described anymore, at least in the United States. I know that I certainly can't afford to change out all of my homes infrastructure in preparation for climate change, and almost everyone that lives around me is in a worse financial situation than I'm in.

The process will be completed by governments, not by private corporations. This is probably part of the reason that corporations and the extremely wealthy fight against the knowledge of climate change in the public sphere: it will eliminate their 'monarchic' power structures and replace them with the highly effective centralized power structures that we had pre-Reagan.

moosey··on The most successful people are just the luckiest, a new computer model confirms
When I was young, it wasn't that I was necessarily smart, but I did enjoy reading. My typical fare from when I was very young included books on biology, archeology, anthropology, etc. Everyone took this to mean that I was smart, and I ended up in the classic 'smart trap'. I forgot what it was that made me knowledgable (practice), and instead believed it was innate.

Regardless of this, now that I am an adult, I find that I would love to spend my time learning. It's a primary value. I have children, and have to focus on their upbringing as well, which is a massive drain on the time that I can bring to bear on learning new things - and I mean taking classes to advance my understanding of mathematics, not learning a new programming language.

When I think about being wealthy, I actually think about spending my time going to classes, doing research, and advancing human knowledge. I know others who would use their time for leisure, and probably a dozen other possibilities.

In the end, I simply don't value money beyond giving me the basic necessities of life. I find my time outside of work is best used focusing on studies like what I described (I mean, they are all free now, for the most part). I find that people who are focused on wealth, unless it is inherited, put most of their time in gaining new wealth. I just don't see anything revolutionary in gaining more power, which is what wealth is to me. True revolution comes from technological development, which is typically done by the public sector. Sadly, work there is poorly rewarded by the private sector (companies making billions on the internet don't donate money back to DARPA for more research, or for that matter GPS, chip technologies, etc.).

I just think it's a difference in values. Getting to where I wish I could be at this point of my life would come at too much cost to my family, so now I find myself working for profit for the rest of my life. Not so bad, of course... I have some time for the leisure that allows me to expand my knowledge, and maybe catch up enough to understand the incredible things that are happening in the space of scientific advancement.

moosey··on Facebook and Speech
Based on the history of facebook and its news feed, I believe that the news feed or activity feed in general, unless it is a dumb pipe, should be considered human psychological experimentation. Under this premise, I would submit that not facebook, but instead its curated feeds, should be made illegal.

But then again, the same logic could be applied to advertising/marketing... well, at least some of it, perhaps most.

moosey··on Twitter, Facebook, WhatsApp and Instagram Restricted in Southern Turkey
Ultimately, we can talk about the ethics or whatever around this, but politics has nothing to do with ethics. I find it shocking that we cannot discuss the general nature of the US political system, but are willing to discuss what are ultimately political concerns in other nations.

Either we cover the US political systems, it's treatment of refugees and immigrants, and the ridiculous denial of science and human welfare... or we don't and we leave other countries alone. I am as appalled as anyone by what is happening here, but why would this article be allowed, and not others that point out, rightfully, that this is due to actions by the current POTUS (probably for personal gain, too).

Confessing that human welfare is a political decision makes me sick, but look around.

moosey··on No evidence that testosterone reduces cognitive empathy
I agree. I'm not denying this. This is exactly why it should be called dominance and not privilege. And it does have real impacts on both groups.
moosey··on No evidence that testosterone reduces cognitive empathy
What I'm more interested in seeing is whether or not being in a dominant group in society reduces empathy. Historically, we might have looked at the lack of empathy of specific groups and made assumptions about the group in general, but perhaps it simply has to do with whether or not that group finds itself dominant in society whether it be economically, politically, or socially.

All of these groups in Western societies have been, and often still are, dominated by men. Looking at how things are changing, with women slowly gaining power in the workplace, I'm finding a lot of men are behaving differently than I remember 30 years ago. Whether or not this is due to gaining empathy, or due to fear of punitive measures, I don't know, but for me personally I feel it is the former.

moosey··on I used to fear being a nobody, then I left social media
Just turn on the procrastination monitor. I did it and with my reading habits, I can only post something like one or two comments a day.
moosey··on Federal Prosecutors Conducting Criminal Probe of Juul
How hyperbolic. Everyone is on a health continuum, and I know people who are incredibly active, informed and intelligent, and further with healthy who use a variety of drugs recreationally, including nicotine.

Many people use these things because their concept of well being differs from yours, and not every in an individualistic way (like antivaxx). There are a number of benefits to nicotine and if it can be taken safely then all the better.

moosey··on A ‘Grass-Roots’ Campaign to Take Down Amazon Is Funded By Its Biggest Rivals
Soon "tell us what to think" will be so subversive that most people might not have any way to combat it. Experiments have shown that leading questions can create memories where none previously existed, and how fragile and inaccurate our memories are. I don't know if that makes times interesting or terrifying.

It's come to the point where I seriously toy with handing off most of my decision making process to statistics. Mathematics has derived an algorithm for a lot of real world decision making that is superior to what the vast majority of humans can do, and I'm not sure which group I'm in: the ones that make really poor emotional decisions (although "luck" and emotions are tied together, according to more research I've read; luck might just be a way of thinking), or if I'm able to make well informed decisions based on data.

moosey··on Silicon Valley is terrified of California’s privacy law
The way I'm guessing that will be clarified is that if you are charging for your product, you cannot offer a lower price point for allowing data collection. This will probably boil down to professional, paid for services, being allowed to collect only a small amount of information, and what is strictly needed.

The second line would allow companies to pay people to permit them to collect information. I imagine that because of the first statement, a company that is charging for the service cannot take advantage of this statement.

moosey··on "Ecological grief" grips scientists witnessing Great Barrier Reef’s decline
I experienced something like this earlier this year, when I read about the massive loss of flying insect life. It was deep enough that I am pretty sure that I went through an identity crisis, and through the books by Yuval Noah Harari (adding a layer of abstraction to human organization, and a new way to look at identity for me), classes like "Learning How to Learn" (which took away the sense that I was static, or just too stupid to become a researcher and be able to help in the near future), and "Enlightenment Now" by Steven Pinker (teaching me to understand that advocacy works, amongst other things), I'm pretty sure I came out a healthier individual on the other side. In fact, I'm not exactly sure about the old version of me at all, it's been quite the journey this year.

I would recommend, even though these awful events are occurring, to read books that encourage positive action (Enlightenment Now) and books that encourage understanding of other people and their viewpoints, even if you find them to be unacceptably obtuse at times: there are many layers of abstraction that people live on, and sometimes you are just at a different one.

Advocate against pollution, and the causes that give rise to it. It will help to bring change, it isn't hopeless.

moosey··on How common was it for parents to lose a child?
For those desiring an affirmative defence of the Enlightenment; reason, science, and humanism (which I think falls short ethically, but is a subset of what I try to practice), then I would strongly suggest reading "Enlightenment Now", by Steven Pinker. He makes a few broad generalizations of political groups, but I wouldn't try to argue against the specific policy recommendations that he has. Similar data is covered in so many different disciplines that it left me with incredible optimism that I continue to carry.
moosey··on The Impossible Burger and Beyond Meat aren't healthier
Eating at a lower trophic level reduces your energy consumption and therefore your pollution output. If you are able to do that with foods that are close to the general macro and vitamin content of a burger, and it tastes about as good (or identical, as I see at times), then shouldn't it be an ethical imperative, given what we know today about climate change?

I mean, I know that humanity will survive climate change, I have every hope & belief, but the earlier that we work on it, both individually and collectively, the better off we'll be. This whole thing about "individual health" is just more tragedy of the commons, especially when the quality of health of the food is so similar - both will get you equally obese.

If we are talking about health and human welfare, there exists a lot of lower hanging fruit than concern about the miniscule differences between beyond meat and that which comes from cattle, but the ecological arguments that can be made are undeniable - impossible and beyond blow beef out of the water.

moosey··on 'Co-living': the end of urban loneliness or cynical corporate dormitories?
I've been thinking about extreme co-living, with people who have a shared set of values living together and sharing not just the living space, but also wealth, to such an extent that it's basically a new-age monasticism. Regardless, the idea is crazy and out there, and probably possible with a limited subset of college professors or something like that, but still, it has its basis in shared values.

Working at the same company is not a shared set of values, at least not the way that companies are structured today and how workers are seen by those companies. As such, I don't think that these living spaces can build the tribal and communal opportunities that make a shared living space workable, and make people willing to improve that shared space. As corporations become larger, and with consideration to the fact that they might start to consider these kinds of shared values and try to build based on those, it might be possible, but it's probably also illegal for a corporation to do such a thing.

moosey··on Much fridge food ‘goes there to die’
My partner and bought a CSA share, and the entire food planning for each week is based on that CSA share. Often times, food is prepared on the weekend, and we eat only left overs all week. We also have a small garden outside. Between the two, we have little need to buy anything but proteins, all of which are vegan, and perhaps a few additional food items like bread.

Our food waste and costs have dropped dramatically, but we did have to make a 'sacrifice' of choice. Each week, the food that is produced for consumption in the house is decided not by us, but by what is produced and distributed by the farm. Due to this process, we might have lost choice, but we have gained, surprisingly, variety.

To expand on this idea: I think that the prevalence of choice in our supermarkets (example: fresh fruit in the middle of winter, wtf?) is massively inefficient, and should be reconsidered. Of course, when human society decides to get its collective act together and fight climate change, the point is moot. The entire 'choice regime' is dependent on high density fuels, and energy density will make these choices for us if/when carbon based fuels are made more expensive.

moosey··on Epstein’s Links to Scientists Are More Extensive Than Previously Thought
Money is power, and that power is necessary for continued scientific development. The problem isn't that scientists came to him for that money, it's the fact that the system is built in such a way that bad actors get to retain power.

The problem isn't that scientists went to him for his wealth, but that he had wealth after the first set of convictions. This should be our focus.

moosey··on Elon Musk Gambled Tesla to Save SolarCity
Currently, Tesla and SolarCity and others like it are dealing with current political turmoil. It's obvious to anyone with secular attitudes that we need to build up battery and renewable energy technologies. When we appeared to be moving in the direction of supporting the technologies with subsidation, it appeared that this was the path that we'd be taking long term, that the US political system was coming to term with its issues, and that early adopters would be able to survive. This isn't always the case, often times early adopters don't quite get it right, and later adopters come along and correct the few issues that exist, and then they prosper.

For better or worse, secular understandings and political understandings don't always jive. Now that political attitudes have changed, it seems obvious that early adopters will struggle, as their affordability is often based on those same subsidies. This is the only frame of reference in my mind that is terribly important when it comes to the success or failure of many of the properties that Musk runs. The fact that he's kept them going in the current political and social environments is really a credit, I think.

He's not building fossil fuel based vehicles. He's not building coal plants. He's keeping the space race alive. The general dislike of this guy seems personal. There are far larger financial crimes to go after, but Musk made himself a target. Damn, I wouldn't doubt that he does some of it on purpose.

moosey··on Singapore Says Musk's Electric Cars Are About 'Lifestyle,' Not Climate
The car is one of the ultimate goals of individualism: constant access to what Mills called "Negative Liberty", essentially the freedom to do whatever physical thing you desire to do at any given time. Unfortunately, that means that the subject must self-coerce themselves into believing it's ok that everyone own a car, and something that we can maintain forever. I wonder how many people in the US refuse to believe climate science simply because the idea of losing their car is physically painful.

When individualism leads us down a path of bad decision making (building electric cars rather than the far superior collective path of building up mass transit), I'm always reminded of a scene from the Cixin Liu "Rememberance of Earth's Past" books, where an individualist decision is made that ultimately dooms the people of the solar system, and the person who would have been the true hero of the story only gets to tell that decision maker that they are a child before he is sent off to prison.

This is essentially our battle against climate change right now: technologists trying to make enough toys to keep the rabble of toddlers happy so that we can actually fix the problem.

moosey··on Removing Coordinated Inauthentic Behavior from China
> We’re constantly working to detect and stop this type of activity because we don’t want our services to be used to manipulate people. We’re taking down these Pages, Groups and accounts based on their behavior, not the content they posted. As with all of these takedowns, the people behind this activity coordinated with one another and used fake accounts to misrepresent themselves, and that was the basis for our action.

To suggest that the practices of facebook in general - likes, the activity feed, and various experiments that facebook has in its history - is not itself an attempt by a coordinated group to manipulate people, is itself disingenuous at best. In order to correct this to honesty, they would have to clarify that they don't care for external groups - other than those who pay for advertising services - to be permitted to manipulate people.

This take down of a few pages being followed by 15k people and its subsequent information release is itself a manipulation, to make it appear as if facebook is doing something about the glaring problems that I personally think it represents. It seems to me that in the halls of power today, there are few good actors, and this tiny morsel doesn't make facebook one of them, and does nothing about the manipulators on their platforms that are beyond their ability to take down, despite self-serving dishonesty from so many groups.

In other words, what a skillfully crafted news release from facebook, give that marketer a raise.

moosey··on Salvator Mundi and the unreality of the art market
https://archive.archaeology.org/online/features/hoaxes/intro...

The archaeology community has been dealing with this for years, and supplied this interesting read.

The art market, though, I assume is mostly money laundering.

moosey··on Toni Morrison Has Died
Your comment is a powerful acknowledgement of the dominance of your group (white male) via a technique that I've only seen a few times: specifically describing some of the perquisites of your position in society.

As I've dealt with various issues throughout my life, I've had identity crises where I've had to deal with similar introspection due to being a male, which comes with a number of ... social benefits (I feel gross saying it). while I'm mostly white, the dark skin color that I had as a child set me apart, and I think prepared me for the introspection that I had to go through.

Was there a specific book or experience that aided you? I'm always hunting down challenges to what I perceive as natural, normal or inevitable.

moosey··on Radioactive ruthenium from an undeclared major nuclear release in 2017
Looking from the outside, dealing with problems of this scale have a number of aspects to them: remediation of the issue, understanding, prevention, and accountability. In this list, accountability stands out. A person or organization that makes a mistake that has already been taught the other pieces of understanding and prevention of an accident has limited need for accountability.

This is not how our society works or thinks, though. There is a strong current of punitive accountability. From a financial perspective, someone might argue that this makes sense: someone who causes harm to many others shouldn't be allowed to remain rich. However, implementing such a system means that organizations within will defend themselves vociferously.

This is why many businesses are starting to use low or no accountability systems to make sure that root cause analysis and mistakes are brought to the forefront after issues. I'm not suggesting that such a system would be easy to implement on a much larger level, especially with our level of inequality in the US, but perhaps the solution is just not to be so damn punitive, and perhaps the other aspects of issue remediation wouldn't be so damn bad. Perhaps there wouldn't be lawyers informing business owners that they can't apologize, because that is opening the doors to being completely destroyed by accountability.

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